29/03/2016

Great Barrier Reef Coral Bleaching At 95 Per Cent In Northern Section, Aerial Survey Reveals

ABC NewsPeter McCutcheon


Video: Of the 520 reefs he surveyed, only four showed no evidence of bleaching (ABC News)

Key points:
  • 95 per cent of the Great Barrier Reef's northern reefs rated as severely bleached
  • Only 4 out of 520 reefs surveyed were found to be unaffected by bleaching
  • Third global coral bleaching event since 1998
An aerial survey of the northern Great Barrier Reef has shown that 95 per cent of the reefs are now severely bleached — far worse than previously thought.
Professor Terry Hughes, a coral reef expert based at James Cook University in Townsville who led the survey team, said the situation is now critical.
"This will change the Great Barrier Reef forever," Professor Hughes told 7.30.
"We're seeing huge levels of bleaching in the northern thousand-kilometre stretch of the Great Barrier Reef."
Of the 520 reefs he surveyed, only four showed no evidence of bleaching.
From Cairns to the Torres Strait, the once colourful ribbons of reef are a ghostly white.
"It's too early to tell precisely how many of the bleached coral will die, but judging from the extreme level even the most robust corals are snow white, I'd expect to see about half of those corals die in the coming month or so," Professor Hughes said.
Coral bleaching is caused by abnormally high sea temperatures that kill the tiny marine algae essential to coral health.
This is the third global coral bleaching since 1998, and scientists have found no evidence of these disasters before the late 20th century.
"We have coral cores that provide 400 years of annual growth," explains Dr Neal Cantin from the Australian Institute of Marine Science.
"We don't see the signatures of bleaching in reduced growth following a bleaching event until the recent 1998/2000 events."


Video: Reef coral bleaching at 95 per cent in northern section, survey reveals (Photo: Justin Marshall) (7.30)

What is coral bleaching?
  • Occurs when abnormal environmental conditions cause coral to expel tiny photosynthetic algae, called zooxanthellae
  • Loss of colourful algae causes coral to turn white and "bleach".
  • Bleached coral can recover if the temperature drops and zooxanthellae are able to recolonise them, otherwise it may die
Source: ARC Centre of Excellence
Environment Minister Greg Hunt flew over the reef just eight days ago, before Professor Hughes' aerial survey, and announced some additional resources for monitoring the reef.
"There's good and bad news — the bottom three quarters of the reef is in strong condition," he said at the time.
"[But] as we head north of Lizard Island it becomes increasingly prone to bleaching."
The northern part of the Great Barrier Reef is the most pristine part of the marine park — and that is one possible glimmer of hope.
"On the bright side, it's more likely that these pristine reefs in the northern section will be better able to bounce back afterwards," Professor Hughes said.
"Nonetheless we're looking at 10-year recovery period, so this is a very severe blow."

'We're seeing climate change play out across our reefs'
Professor Justin Marshall, a reef scientist from the University of Queensland, said the reason for these bleaching events was clear.
"What we're seeing now is unequivocally to do with climate change," he told 7.30.
"The world has agreed, this is climate change, we're seeing climate change play out across our reefs."
Coral bleaching is caused by abnormally high sea temperatures that kill the tiny marine algae essential to coral health. (ARC Centre of Excellence Coral Reef Studies)

Professor Hughes said he is frustrated about the whole climate change debate.
"The government has not been listening to us for the past 20 years," he said.
"It has been inevitable that this bleaching event would happen, and now it has.
"We need to join the global community in reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
"For me, personally, it was devastating to look out of the chopper window and see reef after reef destroyed by bleaching.
"But really the emotion is not so much sadness as anger.
"I'm really angry that the government isn't listening to us, to the evidence we've been providing to them since 1998."
Mr Hunt told 7.30 that he was confident in the advice from the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority — that the southern and central parts of the reef had so far escaped serious bleaching.
He said the Government had committed $2 billion over the next decade to protect the reef through initiatives such as improving water quality and removing the crown-of-thorns starfish.
A spokesperson for the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority said it would be following up the aerial surveys with in-water surveys over the next two weeks to determine the true extent of the coral bleaching.


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The Arctic Sets Yet Another Record Low Maximum Extent

National Snow and Ice Data Center

This photograph from a March 27, 2015 NASA IceBridge flight shows a mixture of deformed, snow-covered, first-year sea ice floes, interspersed by open-water leads, brash ice and thin, snow-free nilas and young sea ice over the East Beaufort Sea. Nilas are thin sheets of smooth, level ice less than 10 centimeters (4 inches) thick and appear darkest when thin. Credit: NASA/Operation Ice Bridge.

Arctic sea ice was at a record low maximum extent for the second straight year, according to scientists at the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) and NASA.
"I've never seen such a warm, crazy winter in the Arctic," said NSIDC director Mark Serreze. "The heat was relentless." Air temperatures over the Arctic Ocean for the months of December, January and February were 2 to 6 degrees Celsius (4 to 11 degrees Fahrenheit) above average in nearly every region.
Sea ice extent over the Arctic Ocean averaged 14.52 million square kilometers (5.607 million square miles) on March 24, beating last year's record low of 14.54 million square kilometers (5.612 million square miles) on February 25. Unlike last year, the peak was later than average in the 37-year satellite record, setting up a shorter than average ice melt season for the coming spring and summer.
According to NSIDC, sea ice extent was below average throughout the Arctic, except in the Labrador Sea, Baffin Bay, and Hudson Bay. It was especially low in the Barents Sea. As noted by Ingrid Onarheim at the Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research in Bergen, Norway: "A decrease in Barents Sea ice extent for this winter was predicted from the influence of warm Atlantic waters from the Norwegian Sea."
Scientists are watching extent in this area because it will help them understand how a slower Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) may affect Arctic sea ice. "Some studies suggest that decreased heat flux of warm Atlantic waters could lead to a recovery of all Arctic sea ice in the near future," said NSIDC senior research scientist Julienne Stroeve. "I think it will have more of a winter impact and could lead to a temporary recovery of winter ice extent in the Barents and Kara seas."
This year's maximum extent is 1.12 million square kilometers (431,000 square miles) below the 1981 to 2010 average of 15.64 million square kilometers (6.04 million square miles) and 13,000 square kilometers (5,000 square miles) below the previous lowest maximum that occurred last year.
This late winter, ice extent growth in the Arctic has been sluggish. "Other than a brief spurt in late February, extent growth has been slow for the past six weeks," said Walt Meier, a research scientist at the NASA Goddard Space Flight Center. Meier is an affiliate scientist at NSIDC and is part of NSIDC's Arctic Sea Ice News and Analysis team.
Ice extent increases through autumn and winter, and the maximum typically occurs in mid March. Sea ice then retreats through spring and summer and shrinks to its smallest or minimum extent typically by mid September.
The September Arctic minimum began drawing attention in 2005 when it first shrank to a record low extent over the period of satellite observations. It broke the record again in 2007, and then again in 2012. The March Arctic maximum has typically received less attention. That changed last year when the maximum extent was the lowest in the satellite record.
"The Arctic is in crisis. Year by year, it's slipping into a new state, and it's hard to see how that won't have an effect on weather throughout the Northern Hemisphere," said Ted Scambos, NSIDC lead scientist.
NSIDC will release a full analysis of the winter season in early April, once monthly data are available for March.

This NASA Blue Marble image shows Arctic sea ice extent on March 24, 2016, which averaged 14.52 million square kilometers (5.607 million square miles) on March 24, beating last year's record low of 14.54 million square kilometers (5.612 million square miles) on February 25. Credit: National Snow and Ice Data Center/NASA Earth Observatory.
Arctic sea ice extent on March 24, 2016, averaged 14.52 million square kilometers (5.607 million square miles), beating last year's record low of 14.54 million square kilometers (5.612 million square miles) on February 25. Credit: National Snow and Ice Data Center.
The bottom part of this image shows a thin layer of ice bordering snow-covered, thick and ridged sea ice in the East Beaufort Sea. The rest of the image shows a lead that is mostly covered by large plates of dark nilas. Leads are narrow, linear cracks in the ice that form when ice floes diverge or her as they move parallel to each other. Credit: NASA/Operation Ice Bridge.
A thin cover of nilas, consisting of many ice floes that have finger-rafted together along the floe edges floats over the East Beaufort Sea. Credit: NASA/Operation Ice Bridge.

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Seven Charts Show How Renewable Investment Broke Records In 2015

Climate Brief -Simon Evans

Global investment in renewable energy reached record levels in 2015, according to a new report from the UN Environment Programme (UNEP) and Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF).
Chinese workers install solar panels at a photovoltaic power station in Eqiaotown, Wuhu city, east China’s Anhui province, 10 October 2014. © Imaginechina/Corbis
More surprisingly, perhaps, the report shows that the $286bn poured into green energy was more than double the spending on coal- and gas-fired power.
It also shows, for the first time, that more renewable power capacity was added than other sources and that renewable energy investment was mostly in developing countries.
Carbon Brief runs through the key findings in seven charts.

Record renewables
Investment in renewable energy reached a record $285.9bn in 2015, UNEP and BNEF say. That was up 5% on a year earlier and surpassed the previous peak of $279bn in 2011.
Global new investment in renewable energy by asset class, 2004-2015, $bn. Year on year growth is shown above the chart. Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance/UNEP Global Trends in Renewable Energy Investment 2016.

Low-carbon takes over
Investments in low-carbon sources of electricity, such as renewables, large hydro and nuclear, were much higher than for fossil fuel generation. The record $262bn renewable investment in 2015 was more than twice the $130bn that went into coal and gas.
In fact, this has been the case for several years, highlighting the extent to which low-carbon, generally, and renewables, in particular, have become mainstream.
However, it’s worth noting that investments in oil and gas exploration and extraction easily eclipse spending on new electricity generation capacity. Despite huge spending cuts in the wake of the oil price crash, oil and gas investment in 2016 is expected to be $522bn, down from $595bn in 2015.
Global investment in power capacity 2008-2015, $billions. Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance/UNEP Global Trends in Renewable Energy Investment 2016.

Majority stake
Last year also saw renewables, excluding large hydro, account for more than half of new power generation capacity for the first time. Of the 253 gigawatts (GW) added around the world in 2015, 134GW was from renewables excluding large hydro.
The world’s fossil-fired capacity also increased. After accounting for closures, global coal capacity increased by 42GW and gas by 40GW. Nuclear capacity grew by 15GW.
Net generating capacity added globally in 2015 by technology, gigawatts. Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance/UNEP Global Trends in Renewable Energy Investment 2016.

Rising share
Despite renewables dominating capacity growth in 2015, it’s worth remembering that the world continues to rely heavily on fossil fuels to generate its power. Renewables supplied 10% of global electricity, excluding large hydro.
Including large hydro, renewables’ share of global electricity generation rises to more than 20%.
Renewable power generation and capacity as a share of global power, 2007-2015, %. Renewable shares exclude large hydro. Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance/UNEP Global Trends in Renewable Energy Investment 2016.

Developing world dominates
The UNEP report shows, for the first time, that most renewable energy investment was in developing nations. This trend appears to be accelerating as ambition soars in China and India, while stalling across Europe.
Global new investment in renewables, developed vs developing countries, 2004-2015, $bn. Developed countries are OECD nations except Mexico, Chile and Turkey. Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance/UNEP Global Trends in Renewable Energy Investment 2016.

China’s surge
This regional split is seen even more clearly on the map, below. China, which now spends more on renewables than the US and Europe combined, has ambitious plans to double its wind capacity and treble its solar capacity during its next five-year plan to 2020.
In contrast, spending in Europe has more than halved since a 2011 peak and has now fallen back to 2006 levels. US investment has been relatively steady. The recent extension of wind and solar tax credits should ensure this continues.
Global new investment in renewables by region, 2004-2015, $bn. Includes estimates for undisclosed deals. Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance/UNEP Global Trends in Renewable Energy Investment 2016.

Falling costs
As well as reaching record levels of investment, renewable capacity added in 2015 was the highest ever too. That’s partly thanks to renewables getting cheaper, with each dollar buying more capacity.
In 2015, spending was 3% higher than in 2011. The 156 gigawatts (GW) added, however, was 56% larger than the 100GW installed in 2011.
Global renewable generating capacity (red line, left axis) and annual capacity additions (blue bars, right axis). Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance/UNEP Global Trends in Renewable Energy Investment 2016, REN21 Global Status Reports and Carbon Brief analysis. Chart by Carbon Brief.

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