07/05/2016

New Report: Reef Recovery Requires Climate Action

Climate Council

 Australia's Coral Reefs Under Threat From Climate Change

Our new report found that rising global ocean temperatures, driven by climate change, has been the cause of an extremely severe bleaching event on the Great Barrier Reef.

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KEY FINDINGS:
1) The longest global coral bleaching event on record is underway due to record breaking ocean temperatures driven by climate change and El NiƱo.
  • Australia's iconic reefs, particularly the northern part of the Great Barrier Reef, are experiencing severe bleaching.
  • Climate change – driven mainly by the burning of coal, oil and gas – has caused extreme ocean temperatures, making the bleaching on the GBR this year at least 175 times more likely. At present rates of climate change, this level of bleaching could occur every two years by the 2030s.
  • An estimated 36% of the world's coral reefs have been affected by major bleaching and nearly all reefs have experienced some thermal stress.
  • Climate change also threatens fish, crustaceans and other species that rely on the reefs as habitat.
2) Coral reefs are among the most biologically diverse and economically valuable ecosystems on Earth, but they are under threat from climate change.
  • The Great Barrier Reef is a multi-billion dollar economic asset. Its value-added economic contribution to the Australian economy was $5.7 billion in 2011-12, supporting 69,000 jobs.
  • About 500 million people worldwide rely on coral reefs for their food and livelihoods, which represent an economic asset worth an astounding $1 trillion.
  • Recovery could be impossible for many of the reefs currently affected by severe bleaching if climate change is not arrested.
3) The future of coral reefs around the world depends on how much and how fast we reduce greenhouse gas emissions now and in the coming years and decades.
  • At the Paris UNFCCC conference on climate change (COP21) in December 2015, the world's nations pledged ambitious emission cuts in order to limit global warming to well below 2°C with a target of 1.5°C in the long-term.
  • The pledges from COP21 need to be much more ambitious as the full implementation of current commitments would still see average global temperatures rise above 3°C.
  • Australia has a critical role to play in the global effort to reduce fossil fuel emissions and protect reefs like the Great Barrier Reef.
A new report today has revealed the influence of climate change on the Great Barrier Reef and provides strong scientific evidence that future bleaching events are likely to become more frequent and severe.
The comprehensive report, reviewed by international experts, found that rising global ocean temperatures, driven by climate change, has been the cause of an extremely severe bleaching event.
This event has affected 93% of individual reefs and many reefs in the north have been bleached for the first time.
At present rates of climate change, this level of bleaching could occur every two years by the mid 2030s and the world's coral reefs are unlikely to be able to cope.
"Recently, we have seen some serious smoke and mirrors about the ability of the reef to recover," report author Professor Will Steffen said.
"The fact is, as bleaching events get closer together and more severe, reefs will struggle to survive.
"Some parts of the reef currently experiencing bleaching may be able to recover, provided that they are not repeatedly and frequently bleached in the future. This is why tackling climate change is critical to the long-term future of the reef.
"Depending on how quickly the record-breaking ocean temperatures wane, the reef may be able to partly heal in some areas in the short-term. But in the long-term, the reef's capacity to recover will depend on how much and how fast we reduce our greenhouse gas emissions in the next few years.
"Recovery could be impossible for many of the reefs currently affected if climate change is not arrested."
Professor Will Steffen
Australia's coral reefs are very unlikely to recover in the long-term if we continue to burn coal, which is driving the increasing global temperatures, the report found.
Global emissions must be trending down by 2020 at the latest to save the world's coral reefs. While countries like the US are now reducing their emissions, Australia's are rising.
"We are more than halfway through the critical decade for action to stabilise the climate and reduce the risks of climate change. Scientists have been warning the world about the risks from climate change for more than 30 years. Now it is crunch time," co-author Professor Lesley Hughes said.
"The window to limit global warming and preserve Australia's coral reefs is running out.
"The decisions made in the next federal term of government and the current term of the Queensland government will be critical to the long-term survival of the reef."
"It is vitally important that Australia plays its part in global efforts to tackle climate change."
Professor Hughes said attempts to improve water quality on the Great Barrier Reef will be in vain without action on climate change.
"The bottom line is that water quality improvements, though welcome, will not save the Great Barrier Reef. The only way to do that is to rapidly transition our energy systems away from polluting fossil fuels towards modern, clean renewables," she said.

Links

Greg Hunt: No Definite Link Between Coal From Adani Mine And Climate Change

The Guardian

Australia's environment minister denies he failed to consider impact of a coal mine on the Great Barrier Reef, court documents show 
Coal at the Port of Newcastle
Coal being exported from the Port of Newcastle. The Australian Conservation Foundation is challenging Greg Hunt's approval of Adani's Carmichael mine. Photograph: William West/AFP/Getty Images
The federal environment minister has argued in court that coal from Australia's largest coalmine would have no "substantial" impact on climate change and as a result he did not need to consider whether it would affect the Great Barrier Reef.
The Australian Conservation Foundation challenged Greg Hunt's approval of Adani's Carmichael mine, alleging he failed to consider the impacts the burning of the coal from the mine would have on climate change and hence on the Great Barrier Reef.
Scientists have found the current mass bleaching event affecting 93% of the reef was made 175 times more likely by climate change and would become a biennial event within 20 years. After that point, the continued existence of the reef would be in doubt.
In federal court documents obtained by Guardian Australia, Hunt denied he failed to consider the impacts of coal on the reef.
In the outline of submissions filed on behalf of the minister, the Australian government solicitor explains that the minister did not think the burning of the coal "would be a substantial cause of climate change effects" and would have "no impact on matters of national environmental significance".
The minister's reasoning was that whether the burning of the coal would make climate change worse depended on whether it would increase the total amount of coal burned globally. But he notes there are a "raft of factors" that could affect how much coal was burned globally, including whether the coal from the mine displaced other coal and whether it was dealt with within various national emissions targets.
He concluded that there "was no requisite relationship between combustion emissions and increases in global temperature".
Further, the minister argued that since the net impact was "difficult to identify", there was no need to impose conditions on the mine, such as that climate impacts would be offset.
"Put simply, because any increase in net global greenhouse gas emissions was a matter of speculation, there was no need for or utility in the imposition of conditions."
The Australian Conservation Foundation was represented by the Environment Defenders Office Queensland. The court case was heard in the federal court in Brisbane on Tuesday and Wednesday and a decision is expected within three to six months.

Links

Great Barrier Reef: new chapter opens in the fight to save natural wonder from mining
Australia: The new coal frontier
Activists launch fresh court challenge over Carmichael coalmine
Adani's Carmichael mine approval labelled 'economic stupidity'
Adani freezes investment in Carmichael mine until world coal price recovers
Abbot Point coal terminal expansion given approval by Greg Hunt Traditional land owner tells court Adani misled tribunal over mine's benefits
Coal from Carmichael mine 'will create more annual emissions than New York'
Adani Carmichael mine in Queensland gets another green light from Coalition
Adani poised to submit third plan for dredging in Great Barrier Reef