18/06/2016

Seven Climate Records Set So Far In 2016

The Guardian

From soaring temperatures in Alaska and India to Arctic sea ice melting and CO2 concentrations rising, this year is smashing records around the world
Scorched land on the outskirts of Jaipur, Rajasthan, India
Scorched land on the outskirts of Jaipur, Rajasthan. The desert state recorded India's hottest ever temperature of 51C on 19 May. Photograph: Alamy Stock Photo
1) Arctic sea ice is melting at a rate that by September could see it beat the record low set in 2012. The maximum extent of sea ice in winter was at a record low, and the extent in May was the lowest for that month ever, by more than 500,000 sq km.


2) Every month this year has been the hottest on record globally for that month. May, data published this week by Nasa revealed, was no exception. Nasa's dataset, one of three main global surface temperature records, shows February recorded the highest anomaly against long term average temperatures.



3) India recorded its hottest day ever on 19 May. The mercury in Phalodi, in the desert state of Rajasthan, rose to 51C, as a nationwide drought that has affected more than 300 million people marched on, leaving armed guards at dams, and reservoirs well below their usual levels.

4) Alaska, along with the rest of the Arctic, has experienced record-breaking heat. Spring was the warmest on record in the state, with an average temperature of 0C, and the average year-to-date temperature has been 5.5C above the long term average.
5) Concentrations of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere have been breaking records every year for decades, but the size of the margin by which the record is forecast to break the annual record in 2016 is striking and itself a record. The increase for 2016 is expected to be 3.1 parts per million, up from an annual average of 2.1.



6) Australia, no stranger to record-breaking heat, just clocked up its hottest autumn yet. Average temperatures were 1.86C above the average, beating the previous record of 1.64C above average, set in 2005.



7) The Great Barrier Reef, a natural wonder and world heritage site, experienced its worst ever coral bleaching event, as a blob of warm water made its way around the world. An aerial study found that just 7% of the reef escaped bleaching, which can lead to the coral permanently dying.


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Earth's Heat Extends Unprecedented Streak of Shattered Records

Bloomberg -Tom Randall
 
El Niño is over, but the heat remains
1466088894_forest fire
Darryl Dyck/Bloomberg
It's no longer a question of whether 2016 will be the hottest on record, but by how much.
The El Niño warming pattern in the Pacific Ocean is over, but unprecedented heat remains across the planet.
Last month was the hottest May in 137 years of record keeping, according to new reports from NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
In an age of rising temperatures, monthly heat records have become all too common: May was the 13th consecutive month to set a new record, according to NOAA data released on Wednesday.
The extremes of recent months are such that we're not even halfway into 2016 and there's already a greater than 99 percent likelihood that this year will be the hottest on record, according to Gavin Schmidt, who directs NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies.
NASA and NOAA maintain independent records of the Earth's temperatures, but they both agree that last month was a scorcher.
If NASA's Schmidt is right, 2016 will be the the third consecutive year to set a new global heat record—the first time that's ever happened.
So far, 15 of the hottest 16 years ever measured have come in the 21st century.
Results from the world's chief monitoring agencies vary slightly.
The Japan Meteorological Agency said last month was the second-hottest May, not the hottest. Nevertheless, all agree that the extremes of 2016 are unrivaled in the modern climate record.
Some of this is still the result of last year's monster El Niño, which releases heat from the Pacific that typically lingers for months after the underlying conditions subside.
Now that El Niño has finally come to an end, it may soon shift to a cooling La Niña this summer, according to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. The agency gives a 75 percent chance of a La Niña pattern developing in 2016.
As the effects of El Niño fade, the new monthly records have become less dramatic, as shown by the dip in the animation above.
That doesn't mean we'll ever return to normal temperatures, said Deke Arndt, chief of the U.S. National Centers for Environmental Information in Asheville, North Carolina.
Climate change is like riding on an escalator of rising temperatures, he said, and El Nino is the same as jumping while you're on it.
Still, coastal cities are flooding more regularly, wildfires are starting early, and the world is in the midst of the most prolonged die-off of the ocean's coral ever witnessed.
Beyond the cyclical changes, there's no escaping the larger trend that we live on a planet that's warming rapidly.

A Brief History of Global Warming

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Election 2016: Climate Change - An Election Priority For Women

ABCErin Stewart

Women care more about addressing climate change than men, doubtless because they suffer more from its effects, writes Erin Stewart. So why are the Coalition and Labor not prioritising it in their election campaigns?
Students volunteer for a 'seaweed tourism' project as part of efforts to improve the health of the Great Barrier Reef. (ABC North Qld: Harriet Tatham)
In his capacity as the former minister for women, Tony Abbott claimed the best thing he did was repeal the carbon tax. "As many of us know," he said in December 2014, "women are particularly focused on the household budget, and the repeal of the carbon tax means a $550-a-year benefit for the average family".
Aside from overstating his figures, Mr Abbott expressed the absurdly inaccurate view that women were more interested in domestic arithmetic than the world around them. In actuality, women care a great deal about climate change, and are more likely to suffer as a result of it.
Eighty-two per cent of female respondents to the ABC's Vote Compass felt the Federal Government should do "much" or "somewhat more" to tackle climate change, compared with just 67 per cent of men.
These findings are in line with data from the Pew Research Centre which found 83 per cent of Australian women see climate change as a serious problem, compared with just 71 per cent of men.
Part of the reason for the climate gap is doubtless because women would be disproportionately affected if climate change was not effectively addressed. Chair of Population Health at Western Sydney University Professor Hilary Bambrick said extreme weather events killed more women than men globally because they were less likely to have the resources to survive.
They were also more likely to experience poverty and social restrictions, were less likely to be part of decision-making processes, and were also more likely to be exposed to mosquito-borne diseases in performing household tasks such as collecting water and harvesting food.
The reasons climate change was especially bad for women, Professor Bambrick wrote recently at the Conversation, was "largely because they are overrepresented among the world's poor and are thus more exposed to these dangers".

Australian women 'financially vulnerable' to climate change
The threats are seen in Australia, too. Greens Senator Larissa Waters said she believed women were particularly financially vulnerable to climate change due to structural disadvantage and discrimination.
"With lesser financial means, it will be harder for women to recover from damage to their homes from extreme weather events driven by global warming, such as flooding, droughts or bushfires," Senator Waters told ABC News.
Federal Greens Deputy Leader Larissa Waters at a press conference at Parliament House in Canberra, Thursday, June 11, 2015.
Federal Greens Deputy Leader Larissa Waters says Australian women are financially vulnerable to climate change. (AAP: Mick Tsikas)
"Tragically, the incidence of family violence can increase in the wake of traumatic events such as serious natural disasters. For example, in the wake of the Black Saturday bushfires in Victoria."
According to the World Health Organization's Gender and Climate Change report, women were also more likely to pick up caring responsibilities in times of disaster and extreme weather events.
These duties created additional disadvantages in earning an income or gaining education. While the risks were heightened for women in developing countries, they were still shared across the world.
Research from Charles Sturt University that looked at the gendered effects of drought in rural Australia showed women tended to ignore their own health in order to look after their family and community in the wake of environmental strain.
"Women often bear the burden of having to rebuild communities after losing community resources, skills, and relationships from families and services that have left," it said.

Men suffer the effects of climate change, too
However, the effects of climate change are not solely experienced by women.
For instance, the Charles Sturt University research showed drought has a devastating impact on men too, who have an increased risk of experiencing isolation and loneliness, as well as suicide. Being confronted with a potential loss of livelihood, and feeling unable to reach out for help because of crushing gender roles, contributes to these risks — which must be taken very seriously.
With a July 2 election fast approaching, the Coalition and Labor have outlined significantly different climate policies, but neither has been campaigning hard on the issue.
Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull speaks to the media during a media conference in Townsville on June 13, 2016.
Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has said Australia should be a "role model in the management of coral reefs". (ABC News: David McMeekin)
Which seems odd, particularly given new reports which show 93 per cent of the Great Barrier Reef has been threatened by coral bleaching, caused (at least in part) by rising sea temperatures.
The Coalition has just announced a $1 billion plan to address the issue by providing concessional loans for clean energy projects that will improve water quality, but Queensland Government modelling suggested $16 billion would be required to meet water quality targets.
Moreover, as Opposition Leader Bill Shorten argued on Q&A on Monday, it makes little sense to talk about saving the reef without talking about climate change. "They are inextricably linked," Mr Shorten said. "It is a joke that on one hand my opponent is out there on the reef — that's good — pledging money — that's good — but if you've got climate change policies which do nothing about climate change, it's just a billion-dollar Band-Aid of neglect."

Majority of voters want greater government action on climate change
It is odder still given the results of a May ReachTEL poll, which found 56 per cent of voters think the Government should do more to address climate change and 64 per cent would be more likely to vote for a party that planned to completely convert Australia to renewable energy within 20 years.
(Although Pew found 71 per cent of Australian women thought people must make lifestyle changes in order to reduce the effects of climate change, while only 57 per cent of men agreed.)
Experts say action on water quality is needed now.

And yet Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has done little more to prioritise climate change than his predecessor, aside from signing the Paris Agreement promising to reduce emissions by 26-28 per cent from 2005 levels by 2030. He also has not reversed Mr Abbott's decimation of climate change research and development.
Meanwhile Labor is proposing two emissions trading schemes to charge big polluters for their environmental damages — one for the electricity industry and another for other polluting industries — which are to fund the bigger target of a 45 per cent reduction of emissions by 2030.
Climate Councillor Lesley Hughes, a Distinguished Professor of Biology and Pro Vice-Chancellor at Macquarie University, said the pledges that have been made were insufficient — they would not keep climate warming below 1.5 degrees Celsius.

Men leave a bigger carbon footprint than women
But while the effects of climate change are gendered, so too are its causes and potential solutions.
Dr Ariel Salleh, a Research Associate in Political Economy at the University of Sydney, pointed to evidence from around the world showing women did not leave as large an ecological footprint as men, because of differences in their consumption patterns.
A study from the Swedish Defence Research Agency showed that in some regions — they looked at Germany and Norway — differences in consumption rates were not as pronounced, but even so, men consumed more energy (8 per cent and 6 per cent respectively).
They found significantly larger differences in the two other countries they studied, Greece and Sweden (39 per cent and 22 per cent respectively). The men's bigger carbon footprint was due to their greater tendency to travel by car, go out for meals, and consume alcohol and tobacco products.
In terms of climate solutions, Dr Salleh said men were more likely to prefer "end-of-pipe" answers, that is, where problems were addressed by radical technological responses that may be risky.
Women, however, tended to take on the personal responsibility of making everyday changes, diverting the need to take unnecessary risks and incorporating care for the environment as routine.
"The way society is structured, women are given the labour to do with reproducing the next generation," as well as sustaining their families and communities, Dr Salleh told ABC News.
"It's a logical corollary that they will focus on issues like climate change."

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