10/08/2016

To Stop Climate Change, Don’t Just Cut Carbon. Redistribute Wealth.

Foreign Policy In Focus - Jorge Villarreal*

Climate disruption is inextricably linked to economic inequality. Serious climate solutions must be, too.
 (Photo: Friends of the Earth International / Flickr)
This year's Democratic platform has the fingerprints of progressive movements all over it. A $15 minimum wage, a pathway to cannabis legalization, improvements to Social Security, police accountability, and financial reforms — including a tax on speculation — all make an appearance.
The platform also highlights the critical link between climate and the economy. In particular, it argues that "carbon dioxide, methane, and other greenhouse gases should be priced to reflect their negative externalities."
That's a complicated way of saying that the cost of the harm done to people and the planet should be calculated into the price of energy generated by burning coal, oil, and gas. If these costs were factored into the price consumers pay at the pump or in their utility bills, it could make dirty energy expensive enough to change both consumer and industry behavior. And that, in turn, would make renewable energy much more cost-competitive.
It could also — potentially — raise a lot of money.
Boulder, Colorado, is a case in point. The city made history in 2006 by enacting the country's first municipal-level carbon tax. Voters reauthorized it by a landslide in 2012 — in part, no doubt, due to an annual revenue haul of nearly $2 million. Jurisdictions in Maryland and California have since followed suit and set up their own municipal carbon pricing mechanisms.
But a clean energy economy catalyzed by a carbon tax is only a progressive victory if it's also a just economy. That means the policies to fight climate change also have to help end inequality. Why? Because the two are inextricably linked.
Sure, wealthy people may be in a better position to buy an electric car, cover their roofs in solar panels, and pay a premium for energy-saving appliances. But studies, including one by economists Thomas Piketty and Lucas Chancel, show that the rich are actually super-polluters. In the United States, the top 1 percent of income earners have an average carbon footprint two orders of magnitude bigger than someone in the bottom 10 percent of income earners.
A carbon tax could help transfer wealth from people at the carbon-intensive top to less polluting middle and lower-income households, and ensure the costs of addressing climate change are distributed equitably. But it this won't happen automatically. It will take thoughtful and inclusive policy design and implementation.

Lifting Up the Bottom
Like sales taxes and all other standalone consumption taxes, a carbon tax is, by nature, regressive. This means that people further down the economic ladder will have more difficulty paying them than their wealthier counterparts.
Low-income households spend, on average, 7.2 percent of their income on electricity and fuel — far more than higher income families, which pay about 2.3 percent. Simply put, any tax that increases the price of fossil fuels would hit lower-income families harder than their affluent counterparts, because a bigger portion of their income would be subject to it.
Luckily, there are tools to help structure a tax to redistribute revenue from wealthier households to everyone else.
A measure slated for Washington State's ballot this fall shows one way. The policy directs revenue which would be generated from a carbon tax to fund a state Earned Income Tax Credit worth up to $1,500 per year. It would deliver tax relief to nearly 400,000 low-income households while also cutting the state's regressive sales tax.
Similarly, a national carbon pricing scheme in the form of a cap-and-trade bill that was proposed in the United States in 2009 but never enacted called for an "energy refund program." The program would have provided a refundable tax credit to workers and payments to retirees, people with disabilities, and veterans. It would have also redistributed some revenue to low-income households by way of the electronic benefit transfer (EBT) system used to distribute food stamp benefits.
What revenue isn't directly returned via these mechanisms could be used to fund clean power infrastructure projects for marginalized communities, or programs to mitigate the health impacts of fossil fuel pollution and the effects of climate change. Some ideas being floated include financial incentives for community solar, subsidized rooftop solar systems, and energy efficiency upgrades for low-income homeowners.
As useful as a carbon tax could be, it's by no means a silver bullet. A truly effective climate plan must incorporate other strategies for lifting up people at the bottom of the income ladder.
Chile's carbon tax, for example, was adopted in conjunction with an increase in the nation's corporate income tax. Unlike the carbon tax in Washington State (which plans to phase out taxes on manufacturing) or a carbon trading scheme in British Columbia (which cuts corporate taxes), Chile's tax was specifically designed not to be revenue neutral.
Instead, the money raised there will be reinvested in education and modernizing the nation's electric grid to bring renewable energy online. As part of the policy package, taxes and regulations have been put in place to curb air pollutants from power plants like nitrogen oxides and sulfur as well.

A Broader Transformation
Finally, a carbon tax should be part of broader transformative shift. It isn't enough to merely put a price on emissions and charge it to consumers. The broader goal is to change the way we live, work, play, and think about burning fossil fuels.
In short, the tax would need to help us see how our patterns of consumption are connected to the drivers of climate change. And it would have to help us understand that the impacts of climate change, as well as the impacts of the policies we propose to help fight it, fall disproportionately on low-income communities and marginalized people in all communities.
Research suggests that Ireland's carbon tax, for instance, has encouraged more individuals to recycle regularly and to shift to greener transportation methods even as fuel and electricity prices rise. Norway, which has one of the highest carbon taxes in the world, has turned to seemingly unconventional methods to rethink their approach to climate action. This includes ambitious plans to phase out gasoline-powered automobiles and eventually phase out all automobiles in urban centers — basically altering the construct of the city itself.
A successful approach to climate change would be one in which taxpayers eventually accept the true costs of dirty energy, and actively demand and work towards a cleaner future. Though by no means a silver bullet, a truly climate justice-driven carbon pricing scheme should be part of the equation.

*Jorge Villarreal is a Next Leader at the Institute for Policy Studies.

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Hollywood Is Finally Taking on Climate Change. It Should Go Even Further.

Future Tense* - Eric Holthaus*

Leonardo DiCaprio addresses world leaders at the United Nations in April 2016. Photo by JEWEL SAMAD/AFP/Getty Images
Hollywood celebrities have long prided themselves as the social conscience of America. Now, it seems, they've widened their reach to the entire Earth.
"Climate change is real, it is happening right now," DiCaprio said in his Oscar acceptance speech in February. "Let us not take this planet for granted."
With those words, DiCaprio did more for climate change advocacy than any other individual effort, ever, according to a new study. Compared to the Paris climate summit last December—in which world leaders agreed to the first-ever global accord designed to curb greenhouse gas emissions—DiCaprio's speech was four times as effective when it comes to increasing public interest in climate change.
Still, as powerful as it was, DiCaprio's speech was only viewed by tens of millions of people. On Friday, an estimated three billion people watched the opening ceremony of the Olympics in Rio, which included a stark, yet hopeful message about climate change. Brazilian filmmaker Fernando Meirelles directed the opening ceremony, which was probably the single most-watched moment yet about the single most important issue our planet is facing.
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Moments like these are becoming more common as it becomes painfully clear that the world is running out of time to prevent essentially permanent and potentially catastrophic effects of global warming. Scientists have struggled for decades to get the same basic message across: The world is warming, humans are the cause, and we know how to stop it. It seems, given how resoundly Leo's message was heard, that Hollywood has the potential to become the single most consequential voice amplifying scientists' calls to rapidly change course away from fossil fuels. That signal boost can't happen soon enough.
It doesn't really matter that Leo flies like a king and has a personal carbon footprint that vastly tops anything we mere mortals could ever dream of, or that Brazil's own record of protecting its country's unique environment is mixed at best. What matters now, in this 11th hour, is awareness and hope. We need to increase the number of people clamoring for action. And that's what Leo can help do.
"All that I have seen and learned on my journey has absolutely terrified me," said DiCaprio in an address to world leaders at the United Nations in April. "A massive change is required right now. … You are the last, best hope of Earth."
Hope wasn't always the focus. Ten years ago, possibly the only Powerpoint-based Oscar-winning film in history debuted. An Inconvenient Truth was a lightning rod, inflaming the debate on climate change and setting Al Gore apart as a leading political voice on communicating climate science. It was the start of the most important shift in global climate politics so far, and defined a decade of environmental messaging: Scare the bejeezus out of your audience via charts and graphs.
To some extent, that tactic has worked. For the first time, we have hard evidence that voters really, deeply care about climate change. Unfortunately, we've also seen the issue become one of the most polarizing in American politics. Whether you believe in climate change or not has become wrapped up in your political identity. That's why the infiltration of climate science and awareness into mainstream culture is so heartening—if climate change becomes part of the narrative that surrounds everyday life, perhaps it will become less polarized.
Today, we've got much more beautiful people interested in the issue (no offense, Al) and the stories being told, taken from both the real world and those of our imaginations, are much more persuasive. The Emmy Award-winning series "Years of Living Dangerously," which recently got renewed for a second season, features celebrities like Harrison Ford, Don Cheadle, and Matt Damon traveling the world and engaging with climate-related issues in often confrontational and eye-opening ways. (Indonesia threatened to deport Ford after he confronted the country's forestry minister.) Climate change—or broadly dystopian environmental themes, at least—are appearing with growing frequency in movies and television. Game of Thrones, Interstellar, the Hunger Games, and the Revenant—the film for which DiCaprio won his Oscar all essentially tell the same story: If we blindly continue on our current path, things could get really, really bad.
But for climate change to become a top issue among the American public, we'll need environmental themes to infiltrate popular culture even more. Hollywood has done a great job scaring us, but it now needs to move forward to solutions. In some ways, that's a harder story to tell. Earlier this year, Charles Ferguson's attempt at hope in his new climate change documentary A Time to Choose felt more like a long ad for the renewable energy industry. Perhaps a movie that is free to move beyond reality would be more inspiring—though that speaks to the sad state we are in.
Real change will happen only when our society's concern for the environment reaches a critical mass and—this is important—demands a better world. Hollywood has gotten pretty good at showing us what might happen if we don't act soon. The next step will be to imagine what a better world looks like.

*Future Tense is a partnership of Slate, New America, and Arizona State University.
*Eric Holthaus is a meteorologist who writes about weather and climate for Slate's Future Tense.

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Cholera Could Make A Comeback, Thanks To Climate Change

Grist - Katie Herzog



The '90s are back!
The 1890s, that is, when handlebar mustaches were hot and cholera took hundreds of thousands lives across the globe.
Over a century later, both look to be making a resurgence — the former thanks to Brooklyn scenesters and the latter thanks to climate change.
According to a new study in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, the waterborne bacteria that causes cholera, Vibrio, is on the rise due to warming ocean temperatures.
Researchers measured Vibrio bacteria in plankton samples collected between 1958 and 2011, a period during which the surface temperature of the oceans increased by about 1.5 degrees Celsius, and found that as the temperatures got higher, so did the number of lethal bacteria.
Currently, cholera kills about 142,000 people each year worldwide — a number that could increase with climate change.
People in developed nations are not at too much risk, as the disease can be mitigated with good water management.
"As long as those treatment facilities remain intact, I don't think we're going to see outbreaks of cholera [in Europe and the United States] again," study coauthor Rita Colwell told Scientific American. 
But the same cannot be said for the rest of the world.
People in less-developed nations with poor sanitation systems are especially vulnerable.

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