23/12/2016

Climate Change Skepticism Fueled By Gut Reaction To Local Weather

Scientific AmericanScott Waldman

The public’s perception of global warming is shaped by the weather that people experience
Credit: Flickr (CC BY-SA 2.0)
If  it’s hot outside, you’re more likely to believe in climate change.
The public perception of climate change is shaped by the weather that people experience, according to a study published yesterday in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences journal.
People who live in areas where high temperature records are broken are more likely to believe in global warming than those who do not. In areas that experienced record lows, people were less inclined to believe in the mainstream climate science that shows human activity is warming the Earth.
People see climate change through a local lens, said Robert Kaufmann, the study’s lead author and director of the Center for Energy and Environmental Studies at Boston University. And in many areas of the country, the climate is not changing in the same way that it is for the entire planet.
That, of course, doesn’t mean climate science is wrong, since it doesn’t claim that all parts of the planet will warm in the same way. But the study shows that people’s daily weather experiences does lead to skepticism in areas not breaking heat records, he said.
“When personal experience and expert opinion don’t align on a topic that’s not critical to an individual’s well-being, they’re going to go with their gut rather than what the expert tells them,” Kaufmann said.
Researchers noted that the discrepancy resulted from the public’s equating of weather with climate, which many assume are the same. When they head outside and the weather is extremely hot and humid, they are more likely to believe in a warming climate, which is a weather trend that lasts for decades. In addition, the term “global warming” has convinced many people that they must feel record warmth for the theory of a hotter planet to hold true, researchers found.
The areas where many heat records are broken, and where public perception is tilted in the direction of mainstream climate science, included much of the West Coast and the Northeast. Areas where there is a high level of climate skepticism and record-breaking cold include Ohio and much of the Mississippi River Valley.

I’ll make up my own mind
The study was released on the same day that the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration declared November the fifth hottest on record and again noted that 2016 would likely be the hottest year on record for global temperatures. The contiguous United States experienced its fifth warmest November ever recorded, according to NOAA.
Despite the gap in perception, a majority of Americans want more political and corporate responsibility on climate change, according to a survey from Yale University’s climate change communication program, released last week.
A majority of Americans favor political action on global warming, despite the presidential victory of Donald Trump, who questions climate science, the survey found. It shows that almost two-thirds of registered voters across all parties want the Trump administration and Congress to do more to address global warming. Almost three-quarters of Republicans and about 90 percent of Democrats want corporations to do more on climate change.
“For the most part, Americans want major institutions that have a lot of power and influence to do more on the issue on global warming,” said Matt Cutler, a Yale University researcher.
Still, Kaufmann said it’s human nature to trust one’s own experience over scientific evidence or political wisdom.
“Unless it really affects my everyday life, I’m not going to spend time studying this issue, and I’m not necessarily going to believe scientists either, especially now that experts are held in such ill repute, but I’m going to make up my mind based on how I can see and feel climate change,” he said. “For many people, that is record-high and record-low temperatures.”

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Adani Companies Facing Multiple Financial Crime, Corruption Probes

ABC NewsStephen Long

A special "black money" investigation team is examining alleged fraud by Adani companies in India. (ABC News: Nic MacBean)
Key points:
  • Two separate investigations into allegations of trade-based money laundering by Adani companies underway
  • Federal Government considering granting Adani a $1b subsidy to build a railway
  • Adani denies wrongdoing
The business behind the planned Carmichael coal mine in North Queensland is facing multiple financial crime and corruption probes, with Indian authorities investigating Adani companies for siphoning money offshore and artificially inflating power prices at the expense of Indian consumers.
Companies under scrutiny for the alleged corrupt conduct include Adani Enterprises Limited — the ultimate parent company of the massive mine planned for the Galilee Basin.
Two separate investigations into allegations of trade-based money laundering by Adani companies are underway — one into the fraudulent invoicing of coal imports and the other into a scam involving false invoicing for capital equipment imports.
"They are very serious allegations and they are being conducted by the premier Indian government agency investigating financial crime," Australia's foremost expert on money laundering, Professor David Chaikin of the University of Sydney, told the ABC.
"The allegations involve substantial sums of money with major losses to the Indian taxpayer."
Adani denies wrongdoing.
The "modus operandi" of the claimed fraud is outlined in a circular issued by India's Directorate of Revenue Intelligence, which was obtained by the ABC.
"Intelligence obtained by the Directorate of Revenue Intelligence indicated that certain importers of Indonesian coal were artificially inflating its import value as opposed to its actual value," Professor Chaikin said.
"The objective … appears to be two-fold: (i) siphoning off money abroad and (ii) to avail higher power tariff compensation based on [the] artificially inflated cost of the imported coal."

Adani Enterprises Ltd accused of bribery of public officials

Do you know how Adani's complex corporate web is controlled? (ABC News)

Five Adani Group companies are among a number of power companies named in the circular as under investigation.
These include Adani Enterprises Ltd, the ultimate parent company of the Adani entity, which holds the environmental approvals for the planned Carmichael Coal Mine and a railway to the mine.
Adani Enterprises Ltd has also been accused of involvement in large-scale illegal iron ore exports and bribery of public officials.
According to a 2011 report by the ombudsman of the Indian State of Karnataka, obtained by the ABC, police seized documents from Adani Enterprises in raids "which indicate that money has been regularly paid to port authorities, customs authorities, police department, mines and geology and even to MLAs/MPs".
The revelations come as the Federal Government considers granting Adani a $1 billion subsidy to build a railway from the Abbot Point Coal Terminal to the mine site 400 kilometres inland.

Planning Australia's biggest mine
Step through the key events in the planning of Australia's biggest mining project, the Carmichael coal mine in remote central Queensland.

When asked on AM whether the Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility (NAIF) would wait until the Indian investigations are concluded before approving the loan, Minister for Resources and Northern Australia Matt Canavan said that was a matter for it to decide.
"That's a matter for the Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility - as I said, I'm very confident in the skills and experience we've got on the board," he said.
"They will make an assessment of these things and provide me advice."
The ABC asked the Government's NAIF, which has an application from Adani for the subsidised, non-commercial loan, whether it was appropriate to consider it when Adani companies were facing multiple fraud allegations.
It also asked NAIF how it could conduct proper due diligence for the loan when the Adani companies in Australia, established for the rail project, were ultimately owned by a private company in the Cayman Islands, a secretive tax haven, as the ABC revealed yesterday.
NAIF did not respond.
When Senator Canavan was asked on AM whether he was aware of the investigations into Adani, he said he was seeking advice.
"I've asked my department for advice about it. As your story indicated there are no findings at this stage on this investigation," he said.
"It's not unusual, of course, for tax authorities and others to investigate large companies, as it happened in this country with many companies and has involved large settlements with the Australian Taxation Office.
"But I don't know the status of these allegations apart from the fact that they remain allegations."

Audio: Matt Canavan accuses ABC of publishing fake news (AM)

However, Professor Chaikin said Adani's loan application should be put on ice until it is cleared of wrongdoing.
"No Australian bank or financial institution or government should finance any transaction where there are allegations of financial impropriety or crime on foot," Professor Chaikin said.
"They should wait until those investigations are concluded before they complete their due diligence process and decide whether to make a loan."

Team examining alleged fraud by Indian Adani power company
Ariane Wilkinson, a lawyer for legal team Environmental Justice Australia, said the proposal was "seriously concerning" for a range of reasons.
"Not least of which is that the companies that will be applying for the loan, whether it is Adani Mining or one of the other companies owned in the Cayman Islands, are connected through their parent companies to allegations of fraudulent invoicing and trade-based money laundering," she said.

Adani's complex web
Adani's complex corporate web spreads from its planned Galilee Basin coal mine in North Queensland, across Asia to a Caribbean tax haven.

A Supreme Court appointed special "black money" investigation team is examining an alleged fraud by Adani power companies in India.
The companies have also been accused of siphoning off money in a fraud that used inflated invoices for capital equipment imports to shift funds offshore via intermediaries created in a tax haven zone of the United Arab Emirates and in Mauritius.
Companies that own the port and planned railway for Adani's Carmichael coal mine are linked to the alleged fraud via a director.
Directorate of Revenue Intelligence documents — cited in news company Indian Express — state that the Mauritius intermediary company, Electrogen Infra Holdings Pvt Ltd, is "controlled and managed by Vinod Shantilal Shah, alias Vinod Shantilal Adani".
"Vinod Adani is believed to be the sole director of one of the companies who have allegations against them of fraudulent invoicing," Ms Wilkinson said.
"He's also the sole director of companies in Singapore, who are the ultimate owners of the Australian Adani entities, who own the port and the rail for the mine."
Company searches by the ABC confirm that Vinod Adani is sole director of the Singapore parent companies.
The ABC has tried to reach Vinod Adani for comment.

Allegations are 'far-fetched' from laws of the land
An Adani Group spokesman told the ABC "the import of all goods were made under internationally competitive bidding processes".
"Reputed consultants evaluated bids received and the lowest bidder was allocated the final contract," the spokesman said in a statement to the ABC.
"The process was evaluated by the regulated authorities and financial institutions.
"So these are baseless allegations and far-fetched from the laws of the land."
Aside from shifting money offshore, the impact of the alleged fraudulent invoicing has been to push up power prices for Indian people.
"There is an irony," Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analytics director Tim Buckley said.
"Our government is saying that we need to export coal in order to alleviate Indian energy poverty and yet at the same time the Indian Government is charging that Adani has been inflating the price of coal imports at the expense of the Indian people through higher electricity prices."

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Judge Rules School Children Can Pursue Climate Change Lawsuit Against Washington State

The IndependentPhuong Le

King County Superior Court Judge Hollis Hill says young petitioners deserve 'their day in court' to protect their rights
Petitioner Gabe Mandell, centre, 14, addresses media members and supporters as he stands with other children asking Seattle court to force state officials to adopt new rules to limit carbon emissions. Elaine Thompson/AP
Eight Seattle children should have “their day in court” to argue that Washington State and others aren't protecting them from climate change, a judge ruled.
King County Superior Court Judge Hollis Hill allowed the young petitioners to move ahead in their case against the state, writing that “it is time for these youth to have the opportunity to address their concerns in a court of law, concerns raised under statute and under the state and federal constitutions.”
The petitioners, between 12 and 16 years old, had asked the judge last month to find the state Department of Ecology in contempt for failing to adequately protect them and future generations from global warming.
The judge on Monday said Ecology had complied with her orders by adopting the Clean Air Rule within the timeline set by the court, and so denied the youth's request to find Ecology in contempt.
But the judge allowed the young people to amend their complaint and move ahead with their constitutional claims “so as to have their day in court,” she wrote.
“The Court takes this action due to the emergent need for coordinated science based action by the State of Washington to address climate change before efforts to do so are too costly and too late,” Hill wrote.
The petitioners can now go to court and argue that the state has violated their rights under the state constitution and the legal principle called the public trust doctrine, which requires the government to protect shared resources, said Andrea Rodgers, a Western Environmental Law Center attorney representing the youth.
All of the policies that the state has implemented in response to climate change are not resulting in emissions reductions that comply with state law and science, she said.
Ecology spokeswoman Camille St. Onge said the state has adopted one of nation's most progressive carbon pollution reduction regulations and “will continue to do our part to help slow climate change.”
The case is part of a larger effort led by the Oregon-based nonprofit Our Children's Trust to force governments to take action on climate change.
Last month, a federal judge in Eugene, Oregon, allowed a similar climate change case against President Barack Obama's administration to proceed. In that lawsuit, 21 activists ages 9 to 20 argue that the federal government's actions violate their constitutional rights to life, liberty, and property, and the government has violated its obligation to hold certain natural resources in trust for future generations.
A group of emperor penguins face a crack in the sea ice, near McMurdo Station, Antarctica. Kira Morris
The judge in Seattle noted that the youth argued in their initial petition for a rule limiting greenhouse gas emissions based on the best available science. A rule was adopted but, the judge wrote, Ecology agreed that it isn't intended to meet the requirements of a state law requiring specific reductions of greenhouse gas emissions over the next decades.
The petitioners say governments must adopt science-based prescriptions that protect the rights of young people and future generations to a stable climate.
The judge said she would retain jurisdiction in the case.

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