10/03/2017

How Climate Change Battles Are Increasingly Being Fought, And Won, In Court

The Guardian

Around the world courts are stepping in when politicians fail to act, with South Africa's government the latest to lose a groundbreaking climate lawsuit with judges ruling against its plans for a new coal-fired power station
Campaigners outside Pretoria high court during South Africa's first climate change lawsuit. Earthlife Africa challenged the government's approval of the proposed Thabametsi coal-fired power plant. Photograph: Courtesy of James Oatway/CER
The South African government has lost the country's first climate change lawsuit after the hight court ruled against its plans for a coal-fired power station, the latest in a rising tide of international climate litigation.
Environmental NGO EarthLife Africa challenged the government's approval of the proposed Thabametsi coal-fired power station on the grounds that it should have been preceded by an evaluation of its climate change impacts. The North Gauteng high court agreed and ordered the government to reconsider its approval, taking into account a full climate change impact assessment.
A draft assessment shows that the project slated for the drought-prone Limpopo province will produce significant greenhouse gas emissions, and that the climate impacts threaten the future viability of the plant.
The case comes shortly after a groundbreaking climate case decided last month in Austria. A federal court blocked the expansion of Vienna's international airport because the increase in carbon emissions that a new runway would generate is inconsistent with Austria's commitments to tackle climate change. The Austrian decision not only echoes controversies around airport expansions in the UK and France; it's also the latest example of courts around the world stepping in to hold governments to account for escalating global temperatures.
Since a landmark Dutch climate change case, filed by my colleagues, resulted in an order that the government significantly reduce its carbon emissions, lawsuits challenging inaction on climate change have been filed in courtrooms in Europe, North America, and the Asia-Pacific region. Some lawsuits target the inadequacy of policies intended to reduce carbon emissions (as in the US, New Zealand, Belgium and Switzerland) while others challenge individual projects that have potentially catastrophic consequences for the climate (as in Norway, where the government has permitted new drilling for oil in the Arctic).
In Pakistan, where rising temperatures are already threatening lives and livelihoods, a court found in favour of a farmer who argued that his rights to life and dignity were under threat because of the government's inadequate climate change policy.
Climate change litigation is an invaluable strategy at a time when governments have failed to live up to their repeated promises, affirmed most recently in the Paris agreement, to prevent dangerous interference with the climate system. Current pledges to reduce emissions are projected to lead to warming of 3.2C above pre-industrial levels – way above the agreed target of "well below 2C" and likely to lead to radical changes in the environment.
Aside from highlighting the obligations of governments to protect their citizens from foreseeable harm, these cases have the considerable advantage of putting the facts of climate change on the public record. These facts, endorsed by governments through the adoption of scientific reports at the UN, include that climate change is real; that it is caused by human activity; that it will dramatically affect every region in the world; and that it is more cost-effective to act now than later. While it might be expedient for politicians to obfuscate these facts, it is another matter altogether to produce evidence to substantiate their position in court.
The political and social ripple effects of climate change cases are also enormous. While the Dutch government is appealing against the court's ruling in the Netherlands, the case has already had a huge impact on national policy making and public debate.
Emboldened by the ruling, opposition MPs have drafted a new, more ambitious climate change act and a majority of parliamentarians have voted to phase out coal-fired power as quickly as possible. It has also catalysed an unprecedented level of social mobilisation around climate change as an issue.
These cases are powerful vehicles for the progressive action on climate that is urgently needed. Far from being an undue interference with policy making processes, courts are reaching decisions in accordance with existing law and science. For as long as governments fail to take the steps necessary to avert dangerous change, courts can be expected to act as vital checks on political inaction.

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Australia Faces Gas Shortage, More Blackouts From 2019: Market Operator

ReutersSonali Paul

High voltage power lines are pictured as storm clouds roll in a suburb of Sydney, Australia, February 19, 2017. REUTERS/Jason Reed
Australia faces a gas crunch from 2019, raising the risk of power blackouts from a shortage of gas-fired generation and gas supply cuts if no action is taken, the country's market operator said on Friday.
The warning comes after a string of outages and electricity price spikes in Australia's eastern states over the past year that have highlighted the need for gas-fired generation to shore up power supplies.
"We're going to see security of both systems, gas and electricity, become more challenging," Mike Cleary, chief operating officer of the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO), told Reuters.
More gas-fired plants will be needed to beef up power supplies as they can raise and lower output more quickly than coal-fired plants as a back-up for wind and solar when the wind isn't blowing and the sun isn't shining, the AEMO said in its annual gas outlook.
However the need for more gas for power has arisen just as three new liquefied natural gas (LNG) export plants have opened in the northeast, tripling gas demand and drawing supply out of the domestic market.
While gas goes for export, the AEMO projects production for the domestic market will drop from 600 petajoules (570 million MMBtu) in 2017 to 478 PJ in 2021.
That will result in a shortfall of gas supplies to homes, businesses and industry of between 10 PJ a year to 54 PJ a year between 2019 and 2024, or it could result in electricity supply shortages of between 80 gigawatt hours and 363 GWh between 2019 and 2021, the AEMO said.
To encourage new supply, gas and power prices will inevitably rise.
"We're going to see gas-fired generation increase demand (for gas) and we're going to see an impact on price," Cleary said.
The AEMO said options for dealing with the shortage include diverting a small amount of gas away from LNG into the domestic market, increasing output from existing fields or developing new gas fields.
However developing new fields by 2019 will be a challenge, as the state of Victoria has just approved a moratorium on conventional gas drilling onshore until 2020, while several other states have limited fracking of unconventional gas.
A coal seam gas project proposed by Santos, called Narrabri, could alleviate all of the gas shortfall if it starts producing by 2020, the AEMO said, but that project faces a lengthy approval process amid strong local opposition.

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Climate Institute To Shut Due To Lack Of Philanthropic Support

Fairfax

Australia's original climate change-focused think-tank and lobby group will shut after it failed to replace the multi-million-dollar bequest it relied on.
The Climate Institute, known for its research and leading role in public debate since being set up in 2005, will close in June.
Outgoing Climate Institute chief John Connor. Photo: Alex Ellinghausen
It comes 18 months after the institute called for public donations to offset the lapsing of the foundational support set up by Rupert Murdoch's niece, Eve Kantor, and her husband, farmer Mark Wootton.
Mr Wootton, also the institute's chairman, said he was proud that the institute had built understanding of a complex issue during a tumultuous time in Australian public life.
He said he was particularly gratified to have seen the shift in the business and finance communities, where many who were opposed to the institute's goals had in recent years become allies.
"We are disappointed that some in government prefer to treat what should be a risk-management issue as a proxy for political and ideological battles," he said.
"They are increasingly isolated as the costs of inaction mount and the opportunities and benefits of action become ever clearer."
Where membership-based environment groups are necessarily focused on building grassroots support in the community, the Climate Institute has developed a reputation for policy analysis and building partnerships across the ideological spectrum.

APRA's blunt climate change warning
The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority's very blunt warning of the obvious physical risks and transition risks of moving to a low-carbon economy. Michael Pascoe comments.

It played a central role in the campaign for a limit on greenhouse gas emissions, and in bringing together groups representing business, investors, unions and the welfare sector to push for change.
It also focused on improving understanding of the importance of climate risk-management in the financial sector, particularly superannuation funds.
Climate Institute deputy chief executive, Erwin Jackson, said the world saw Australia's climate commitments as "woefully inadequate". 
The closure follows the resignation of the institute's long-time leaders, chief executive John Connor and deputy chief executive Erwin Jackson.
Mr Connor will move to Fiji next month to head the secretariat supporting the Pacific nation's presidency of this year's United Nations climate negotiations. Mr Jackson resigned late last year for personal reasons.
The institute was originally planned to run for five years through the Poola Foundation, set up from the estate of Ms Kantor's late brother Tom. It was extended to a decade when the first round lapsed in 2010, but not expected to continue beyond that.
Australian Industry Group chief Innes Willox said the institute had been a "very strong actor" in public debate, advocating for sensible discussion and workable outcomes.
"Their voice in the debate will be missed," he said.
Australian Council of Social Service chief Cassandra Goldie said the institute was a key partner in bring groups together and making the case for addressing climate pollution in a fair and equitable way.
"We are losing a major brains trust for the country on these issues, and a voice that has been such an important contributor on an agenda that clearly remains alive and extremely urgent," she said.
"It is very sad. I hope there can be some intervention to keep its doors open and continue to build on the vital work they have done."
Olivia Kember, the institute's head of policy, will act as chief executive until it closes in June.

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