16/07/2017

The Climate Change Scare Campaign Most Politicians Won't Go Near

Fairfax

You can tell the coal-fanciers within the Coalition are panicked. Not content with scaremongering about rising electricity prices, they are now invoking the greatest carbon price of them all – death.
On Thursday morning Liberal MP Craig Kelly said people would die of cold this winter because renewable energy was putting up electricity prices.
Illustration: Joe Benke
Both elements of this outlandish statement were baseless and wrong, but instead of that disqualifying Kelly from the debate, it served only to burnish his credentials for it.
Because when it comes to climate change policy, if you're not scaring people, preferably age pensioners – a magical category of voter who can ill afford bill hikes and will never live to see the effects of dangerous climate change – you're just not doing it right.
It's not the first time Kelly has linked green policies to death – it's something of a personal brand for him.
Previously he has said high electricity prices will push up the cost of heating public pools, which will be passed on in higher prices for swimming lessons, which will deter parents from enrolling their children in them.
A generation of children will be defenceless near large bodies of water.
Result: KIDDY DROWNINGS.
Liberal MP Craig Kelly has repeatedly linked green energy and death. Photo: Andrew Meares
The final pencil strokes on Kelly's vignette of doom come in the form of a cancer warning.
Kelly says people will be forced to burn wood in their homes because they can't afford to turn on their heaters, which will lead to increased air pollution.
The effects of catastrophic climate change warrant a scare campaign of their own.
Result: LUNG CANCER. POSSIBLY SINGED FINGERS AS WELL.
Kelly's logic is spectacular in its circularity – note he is actually admitting that burning carbon is toxic to humans, but no way is he letting that sway him into thinking we might want to come up with a few alternatives to burning it globally, on a massive scale.
You really have to hand it to the Member for Hughes – he has cornered what is a very full fear-mongering market.
He knows conditions are perfect for his high-stakes play – when you have Alan Jones thundering that Energy Minister Josh Frydenberg's career is "finished" because he hasn't yet tattooed to his forehead his commitment to coal-fired power into the unending future; and Tony Abbott using his considerable spare time to remind everyone how spectacularly he came to power on the promise of lower electricity bills – well, you know you are riding the zeitgeist.
Kelly's death predictions operate in a fact vacuum – next he will be warning us of the risk of viral epidemics because the shivering masses will be forced to huddle together for warmth.
But it's not his absence of proof, or even his lack of compunction to show vague causality, which is galling.
It's the fact that he has stolen the thunder of those who urge climate change action on the basis of the extinction of the species if we leave things as they are.
Death, high cancer rates, drownings – that territory is supposed to be the environmentalists' (speedily defrosting) tundra.
Climate scientists, not by nature a rowdy crew, have, for decades now, been politely ahemming at the back of the room to get our attention, so they can warn us about all the various ways our children are going to get cooked if we don't act collectively soon.
A New York Magazine cover story published this week entitled The Uninhabitable Earth, laid out some of the terrifying scenarios that could eventuate "absent aggressive action", broken down into cheerful subheadings like "Poisoned Oceans", "Climate Plagues" and "Permanent Economic Collapse".
It was criticised as being overblown by some climate scientists and focusing on the worst, worst-case scenarios, but not before it lodged firmly in the amygdalas of hundreds of thousands of readers. It lays out what the author says are the possibilities of unmitigated climate change – including the annihilation of Bangladesh and Miami, tens of millions of climate refugees, deadly heat waves, cities like Kolkata and Karachi becoming uninhabitable for humans, and greater social conflict leading to war, not just because of the food shortages and shrinking land resources, but because everyone is so irritable from the heat.
A number of climate scientists have since objected to the piece, saying it is too dire – as Michael Mann of the University of Pennsylvania said, "the evidence that climate change is a serious problem that we must contend with now, is overwhelming on its own". But the piece also mentions a phenomenon called "scientific reticence", which describes the habit climate scientists have of being so cautious and self-censoring they fail to communicate how dire the threat is.
This is where politicians could, for once, be useful.
They are experts at fear fomentation – during any given electoral cycle they taunt us with the possibility that immigrants are taking our jobs, that immigrants are taking our welfare, that Medicare is going to be shut down like a disused kiosk, and that our preschoolers will be forced into transgender-dom if gay people are allowed to marry.
All we need is one Craig Kelly for the climate – to stand up in Parliament and, instead of brandishing a lump of coal for the amusement of the proletariat, hold up a picture of an infant with her skin peeling off, or a submerged Palm Beach mansion, or a Torres Strait Islander forced to flee his home because of rising seas, or a piece of grey coral plucked from our dying reef.
The greatest thing about this scare campaign? You don't even have to make up the facts.

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Earth’s Sixth Mass Extinction Is Already Underway, Scientists Have Warned

NEWS.com.au - Matthew Dunn

EARTH is already in its sixth mass-extinction event, meaning three-quarters of all species could soon disappear from our planet, scientists have warned. 
The era of ‘biological annihilation’ is upon us, scientists warn.
HUMANS have damaged the Earth’s ecosystems so badly that we are facing the biggest mass extinction since the dinosaurs were removed from the planet 66 million years ago.
And there is very little we can do because this era of “biological annihilation” is already underway, scientists have warned.
According to a study published in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, the sixth mass extinction is currently underway, with fears three-quarters of all species could disappear in the coming centuries.
And while the previous five mass extinctions the Earth were caused by natural phenomena, humans are the contributing shift for the current biological annihilation.
Although some might view the findings as nothing more than alarmism, lead researcher Gerardo Ceballos said avoiding such strong language wouldn’t be ethical as the problem is far more severe than what was previously thought.
Assessing many common species around the globe, scientists found up to 50 per cent of all individual animals have been lost in recent decades.
They also found that about 30 per cent of all land vertebrates — mammals, birds, reptiles and amphibians — are not currently considered endangered, despite a rapid decline in populations.
Human overpopulation is the main cause of the sixth mass extinction. Source: Supplied
“Population extinctions, however, are a prelude to species extinctions, so Earth’s sixth mass extinction episode has proceeded further than most assume,” the report read.
“The resulting biological annihilation obviously will have serious ecological, economic and social consequences,” the report concluded.
“Humanity will eventually pay a very high price for the decimation of the only assemblage of life that we know of in the universe.”
Researchers did say it is possible to halt the decline, the outlook does not look positive.
“All signs point to ever more powerful assaults on biodiversity in the next two decades, painting a dismal picture of the future of life, including human life,” researchers wrote.
Overhunting, invasion by alien species, climate change and toxic pollution were all contributing factors in wildlife dying out.
However, the ultimate driver is “human overpopulation and continued population growth, and overconsumption, especially by the rich”.
Author of the 1968 book The Population Bomb and study researcher professor Paul Ehrlich said the serious warning in the report should not be dismissed.
“The time to act is very short,” he told The Guardian.
“It will, sadly, take a long time to humanely begin the population shrinkage required if civilisation is to long survive, but much could be done on the consumption front and with ‘band aids’ — wildlife reserves, diversity protection laws — in the meantime.”
The last mass extinction saw the end of the dinosaurs. Source: AFP
What were earth’s previous mass extinctions?
  • End-Ordovician — c 443 million years ago
    The third largest extinction in Earth’s history saw a severe ice age cause sea level falling by 100m, which wiped out 60-70 per cent of all species — most of life on Earth was in the sea.
  • Late Devonian — c 360 million years ago
    Three quarters of all species on Earth became extinct after prolonged climate change event, with shallow seas the worst affected areas. Reefs were also hard hit, which nearly saw all corals disappearing.
  • Permian-Triassic — c 250 million years ago
    Aptly nicknamed ‘the great dying’, the third mass extinction saw 96 per cent of species dying out. Massive volcanic eruptions in Siberia were strongly linked to the savage episode of global warming responsible for the extinction.
  • Triassic-Jurassic — c 200 million years ago
    Climate change, an asteroid impact and flood basalt eruptions have all been blamed for wiping out three-quarters of the species on Earth.
  • Cretaceous-Tertiary — 65 million years ago
    The most famous mass extinction, which saw the death of dinosaurs from a giant asteroid impact.
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Floods, Reef Loss And Migration: Asia's Future On A Hotter Planet

ReutersThin Lei Win

Of the top 20 cities with the largest projected increase in annual flood losses between 2005 and 2050, 13 are in Asia


BANGKOK  - A new report by the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) outlines the dramatic changes Asia-Pacific nations would face if measures to curb climate change and adapt to its effects are too slow and unambitious to keep global warming within agreed limits.
If the world carries on emitting greenhouse gases as now, and international cooperation to limit climate change fails, average temperatures will rise by over 4 degrees Celsius (4C) compared with preindustrial times by the end of the century, the report warned.
Here are some of the potential impacts it projects:
  • All coral reef systems in Asia-Pacific would collapse due to mass coral bleaching with a 4C rise. This could lead to losses of almost $58 billion in reef-related fisheries in Southeast Asia between 2000 and 2050.
  • Even if global warming is limited to 2C as pledged in the Paris climate pact, almost all coral reefs are expected to experience severe bleaching.
  • Sea level may rise by 1.4 metres (4.6 ft) if temperatures increase by 4C.
  • Nineteen of the 25 cities most exposed to a 1-metre sea-level rise globally are located in Asia-Pacific, seven of them in the Philippines alone.
  • Indonesia would be the Asian country worst-affected by coastal flooding, with about 6 million people expected to be hit each year until 2100.
  • With a 4C temperature rise, annual precipitation is expected to increase by up to 50 percent over most land areas in the region, while some nations like Pakistan and Afghanistan may experience a 20-50 percent decline in rainfall.
  • Of the top 20 cities with the largest projected increase in annual flood losses between 2005 and 2050, 13 are in Asia - located in China, India, Vietnam, Indonesia, Thailand and Japan.
  • Rice yields in some Southeast Asian countries could decline by up to 50 percent by 2100 if no climate change adaptation efforts are made.
  • Heat-related deaths among people aged over 65 could rise annually by 52,000 cases by 2050.
  • The six places particularly prone to future migration linked to climate change are Bangladesh, Philippines, China, the Mekong Delta in Vietnam, the Indus Delta in Pakistan and small island states in the Pacific.
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