28/11/2017

NSW Coal Mines In The Pipeline Are 'Bigger Than Adani', Lock The Gate Says

Fairfax - Peter Hannam

The amount of new coal mining output being assessed by the Berejiklian government eclipses the Adani megamine proposed for Queensland and dwarfs its carbon emissions, according to analysis by Lock the Gate.
A review of 10 major new mines or extension projects with key decision points during the coming year shows the potential for 75 million tonnes of annual coal production in NSW, more than the 60 million tonnes Adani hopes its Carmichael mine in central Queensland will produce each year.


'Adani is destroying everything'
Pollution and environmental destruction by Adani's operations are threatening the livelihoods of nearby rural Indian villagers.

Even though some of the new mines will be underground, the total land disturbance from the 10 projects would total 39,000 hectares, also larger than Adani's proposed 28,000-hectare disruption, Lock The Gate calculates, using published data from the projects.
Water use would also be greater, with 23.5 billion litres a year for the 10 ventures compared with Adani's 21.5 billion litres.
And greenhouse gas emissions from the new fleet of mines would be about 50 per cent greater, at 181 million tonnes of carbon-dioxide equivalent versus Adani's 120 million tonnes, the anti-coal group said.
"We have already increased the volume of the coal we produce [in NSW] since 2010 by more than Adani is expected to bring to the surface," Georgina Woods, a Lock the Gate campaigner, said. "And now we're proposing to do the same again."
Adani's Carmichael mine was one of the most debated issues in the recent Queensland elections. Lock The Gate predicts mining and the controversial coal seam gas project proposed for Narrabri in the state's north-west will be also prominent issues when NSW voters go to the polls in March 2019.
Land, water and carbon emissions from the new mines will be the focus of a "Time2Choose" campaign Lock the Gate will launch on Tuesday.
Big scoop: New coal mines being proposed by NSW would eclipse Adani's Carmichael mine, an anti-coal group says. Photo: Michele Mossop
"The Adani coal mine has rightly been the biggest issue in the Queensland election and it's shocking to think that NSW is going down the same path with a coal expansion larger in scale than Adani's mine would be," Ms Woods said,
"In the next 12 months, NSW faces a choice – do we want our valuable farming land to be sacrificed to more coal mines? Do we want precious groundwater to flow into saline pits at the expense of farmers and the environment?" she said.
Coal railway to the Wilpinjong mine, near Mudgee, north-west of Sydney. Photo: J Parsons
Industry challenge
Coal projects in New South Wales
Stephen Galilee, chief executive of the NSW Minerals Council, said Lock the Gate had combined thermal and coking mines – such as Hume Coal and Rocky Hill – in the 10 projects, which showed they "don't know what they're talking about".
Adani protesters try to interrupt Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk on the first day of the recent state election campaign.  Photo: Darren England/AAP
"We challenge Lock the Gate to name a single mining operation in NSW they support," Mr Galilee said.
"Mining operations in NSW use 0.1 per cent of land in NSW compared to 76 per cent for agriculture, and there are around one-third fewer operating coal mines in NSW now compared to five years ago."
Queensland Opposition Leader Tim Nicholls was also confronted by anti-Adani protesters during his campaign. Photo: Tracey Nearmy
A spokeswoman from the Department of Planning and Environment said the government considered all development applications "on their merits, under planning law and NSW government policies".
"We closely assess any potential benefits or impacts to the environment, the economy, and communities," she said. "Our assessment process also looks at the potential cumulative impacts of proposals in a region or area."
Jeremy Buckingham, the NSW Greens energy spokesman, said that while the opening up of the Adani mine and the Galilee basin represents a line in the sand for many, the amount of coal being mined in NSW is globally significant and disastrous for the climate".
"The Coalition has approved over 1.3 billion tonnes of coal since it came to office in 2011 and NSW Treasury forecasts that 9.6 billion tonnes would be mined in NSW by 2056," Mr Buckhingham said.
Ms Woods said coal mining's impact in the Hunter Valley had "never been assessed cumulatively across the region", with each individual mine adding "more and more burden". Drawdown levels of groundwater had reached five metres in some regions, she said.
The proposed Upper Hunter mines "will essentially do to Muswellbrook what has already happened to Singleton – surround it with open-cut [mines] and dramatically degrade air quality as well as impact on thoroughbred breeding and farmland", she said.

Links

Community Solar Heads For Rooftops Of NYC’s Public Housing Projects

InsideClimate News - Lyndsey Gilpin

New York City’s public housing authority is taking bids in a plan to lease its roofs for community solar projects that could power thousands of urban homes. 
Miguel Rodriguez, who grew up in public housing in New York, is developing skills as a solar installer through a public housing-connected program. Credit: New York City Housing Authority
When you look out across New York City from the top of the Empire State Building, thousands of empty rooftops come into view. They could be ripe for solar panels, but the overwhelming majority of residents and business owners inside are renters with no control over those sunny patches of real estate.
The city's public housing authority, the largest public housing landlord in the United States, recognizes the potential, and it has a plan to put hundreds of those rooftops to work.
In January, the authority will start reviewing bids for phase one of a project to increase the amount of solar power generated in the city. It's a small step, but one could that could help grow the market for urban solar power. The goal is to install 25 megawatts of solar panels atop the city's public housing buildings, enough capacity to power 6,600 households, as part of New York City's 100 percent renewable commitment.
There's one catch: The New York City Public Housing Authority (NYCHA) can't directly use that power. It already has a deal with the electric utility Con Edison.
Instead, the authority plans to lease its rooftops for community solar projects―an arrangement that will allow companies to install solar panels in one location and sell the energy to customers who can't install their own. 
"Our goal is to help solar power be accessible by anybody in New York City, which is not the case currently," said Daphne Boret-Camguilhem, senior program manager for energy and sustainability at NYCHA. By expanding the use of rootop solar, New York City would not only reduce its carbon footprint―the city has a goal to cut emissions 80 percent by 2050, and buildings are its largest sources of greenhouse gases―but also create renewable energy jobs for low-income residents and connect more communities to cleaner, cheaper power.
A view across New York City's Roosevelt Island shows expanses of unused roof space. Credit: Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images
Solstice, a company that connects customers to community solar projects, says projects like this can start to reach a massive gap in the solar market: the 77 percent of Americans who cannot access rooftop solar because they have a shaded roof, rent their property, or have low income or a credit history that prevents them from purchasing panels.
"Many people are skeptical of the idea of community solar because it sounds too good to be true: you're saving money and switching to supporting clean energy, without having to put anything on your roof," said Kelly Roache, senior program manager for Solstice. "We get people to come learn about how that works, through relationships and trust-building. We're peeling back the layers to see what has prevented them from accessing it."

How Community Solar Works
Most community solar projects work in one of two ways: community solar "gardens" are organized by cooperatives or communities that own a solar farm, or space for solar panels is leased from large developers or landowners.
Financing for these projects varies depending on state regulations, but one common model is for a utility or other company to buy about 40 percent of the power, with the remaining 60 percent purchased by communities, typically through their local utility, Roache said. People who participate can save 10 to 20 percent on their bills, aren't penalized if they move, and there's usually a waiting list to join the project if someone drops out.
The rooftop of one restaurant supply company's giant warehouse in the Bronx holds 1.5 megawatts of solar panels. Credit: Don Emmert/AFP/Getty Images
Groups like Solstice play an important role by building communities of solar power users. The company reaches potential customers by canvassing door-to-door, building relationships with faith-based organizations, community centers, and environmental groups, and teaching energy literacy, Roache said. So far, it has generated 23 megawatts of solar demand by connecting customers to solar projects in three states and Washington, D.C.
NYCHA's first phase will install up to 7 megawatts of community solar on the roofs and parking lot canopies in 14 public housing developments, enough to power up to 1,600 homes. The companies chosen will pay NYCHA to rent the rooftop space, and those companies will deliver solar power to customers through Con Edison.

Building a Solar Market with Public Housing
In order to create greater access for low-income customers, there have to be high-profile programs―like the public housing solar project in New York―that bring in investment and create a market, said Sean Gallagher, vice president of state affairs at Solar Energy Industries Association.
Other public housing authorities around the country are also exploring community solar, but with different approaches. Among them:
  • Denver's housing authority plans to have its own community solar garden ready for operation by the end of the year on 74 acres at a solar test facility in Aurora. The project is expected to power up to 700 public housing units and low-income homes, while cutting energy bills by about 20 percent, offsetting over 54,000 tons of carbon emissions, and providing job training.
     
  • St. Paul, Minnesota's public housing agency launched community solar gardens early this year outside of the Twin Cities to meet the electricity needs of 10 of its public housing high-rises. The solar gardens are expected to save the housing agency $130,000 a year.
     
  • Those and other projects contribute to the Department of Housing and Urban Development's Renew300 Initiative, which aims to install 300 megawatts of solar on federally assisted housing by 2020.
Not all regions and utilities are as open to community solar, however, Gallagher said. Many utilities have net metering limits for the size of solar projects or don't allow third-party purchasing agreements, and electricity rates vary by state and utility company.
New York's community solar market hit a bump in September, when the New York Public Service Commission approved a plan to replace net metering with a complex metric for large-scale community solar projects. Solar advocates say it may undercut the community solar market by allowing utilities to decide the value of proposals.
"It's the tricky part of what New York is trying to hit―can you construct a compensation mechanism that's rational, fair, and gives customer some opportunity to save some money on their bills," Gallagher said.

Ripple Effects: Training and Jobs 
Community solar is still a nascent market, but that's starting to shift. There are projects in 26 states, and according to GTM Research, 410 megawatts of community solar will be installed in the U.S. in 2017, and by 2019, there will be some 500 megawatts installed each year.
In projects involving public housing, cities are aiming for more than just cheap, clean power―they see benefits in job creation and training, too. In New York, 30 percent of the hires for the NYCHA project have to be NYCHA residents.
Miguel Rodriguez, who grew up in the Lillian Wald Houses, a public housing project on the Lower East Side of Manhattan, was used to frequent blackouts, when the complex would suddenly lose power. After Hurricane Sandy flooded the neighborhood, Green City Force came in to help with restoration efforts. Rodriguez enrolled in the program and became interested in solar. After getting certified and working as an installer, Rodriguez, who is now 24, got involved with the NYCHA project.
"It would be huge," he said. "People would have a reason to get together for something positive in the neighborhood, and the social value of the neighborhood would go up."
Now finishing up his associate's degree in New York, Rodriguez is already thinking about how to use the skills he's learned to build community solar projects outside the U.S. "My family is from the Dominican Republic, and there's shortages and energy problems," he said. "I'm thinking about learning more and then going in my own backyard."

Links

American Leaders Should Read Their Official Climate Science Report

The Guardian

The United States Global Change Research Program report paints a bleak picture of the consequences of climate denial
The remains of the Signorello Estate winery smolder after the October wildfires in Napa, California. Photograph: Eric Risberg/AP
The United States Global Change Research Program recently released a report on the science of climate change and its causes. The report is available for anyone to read; it was prepared by top scientists, and it gives an overview of the most up to date science.
If you want to understand climate change and a single document that summarizes what we know, this is your chance. This report is complete, readily understandable, and accessible. It discusses what we know, how we know it, how confident we are, and how likely certain events are to happen if we continue on our business-as-usual path.
To summarize, our Earth has warmed nearly 2°F (1°C) since the beginning of the 20th century. Today’s Earth is the warmest it has ever been in the history of modern civilization.
Global average surface temperatures over the past 1,700 years. Illustration: United States Global Change Research Program
While the planet has warmed, the climate and the Earth’s environment has responded. We are observing heating of the atmosphere, oceans, and the Earth’s surface. Glaciers are melting at an alarming rate. Snow cover is decreasing and we are experiencing increased water scarcity, particularly in parts of the world that rely on snowmelt for water.
The amount of ice is decreasing. In particular, the ice that floats atop waters in the Arctic have decreased significantly since measurements began. As a result of melting land ice and thermal expansion, sea levels are rising. Oceans have risen, on average, 7–8 inches. In some places, the rise has been much more. Astonishingly, half of the total rise has occurred in the last 30 years. Currently, oceans are rising faster than any point in time in the last ~3,000 years. Not only that, the ocean rise is causing city flooding to accelerate.
According to the report, seal levels will likely rise somewhere between 1–4 feet by the end of the century, but increases up to 8 feet can’t be ruled out (~2.5 meters). For context, approximately 150 million people around the world live within one meter of current sea level.
If you live away from the shores, you are not immune to the impacts of climate change. The report delves into the increases in extreme weather. For instance, heavy rainfall is increasing across the United States as well as globally. These increases will continue into the future and they are already leading to more severe flooding. The prediction that scientists made that wet areas will become wetter is turning out to be true.
There are more extreme heatwaves as well. Not only are we seeing more heat waves (and severe droughts), but in the next few decades, the authors predict temperatures will rise by ~2.5°F (~1.5°C) in the United States. This is an enormous change in temperature that will reshape the country. Similar changes are occurring and will occur in other countries.
What the report also shows is that the biggest uncertainty in future climate change is us. What will humans do about it? We have the choice of taking action now to reduce future climate change. Or, we can ignore the problem and face the consequences. That choice has tremendous implications. If we take strong actions to reduce greenhouse gases, we may be able to limit global warming by 2100 to 3.5°F (2°C) above pre-industrial temperatures. If we ignore the problem, we will face temperature increases as much as 9°F (5°C). The impact such a temperature change would have on agriculture, sea level, heat waves, droughts, and weather is almost unthinkable.
There is some hope in this report. Even with recent economic growth, the rate at which we emit greenhouse gases has not risen as fast as the past. This means it is possible to have a healthy economy and a healthy environment.
For those who say dealing with climate change is too expensive, they repeat a myth. In fact, ignoring climate change is much more expensive then dealing with it. Had we taken action years ago when scientists first warned us of the problem we would be well on our way to effective mitigation. We’ve lost valuable years to the denialists. The more time we waste, the more expensive this problem will be in both lives and dollars.

Links

Why Climate Change Is Creating A New Generation Of Child Brides

The Guardian (words and photographs)

As global warming exacerbates drought and floods, farmers’ incomes plunge – and girls as young as 13 are given away to stave off poverty

It was the flood that ensured that Ntonya Sande’s first year as a teenager would also be the first year of her married life. Up to the moment the water swept away her parents’ field in Kachaso in the Nsanje district of Malawi, they had been scraping a living. Afterwards they were reduced to scavenging for bits of firewood to sell.
So when a young man came to their door and asked for the 13-year old’s hand in marriage, the couple didn’t think about it for too long, lest he look elsewhere. Ntonya begged them to change their minds. She was too young, she pleaded. She didn’t want to leave. But it was to no avail. Her parents sat her down and spelled it out for her: the weather had changed and taken everything from them. There was not enough food to go around. They couldn’t afford another mouth at the table.
That night she lay down in bed for the first time with the man she had never seen before and followed the instructions of her aunt, who had coached her on the important matter of sex. Ten months later, she gave birth to their first daughter.
Around 1.5 million girls in Malawi are at risk of getting married because of climate change. That’s a huge number
Everyone has their own idea of what climate change looks like. For some, it’s the walrus struggling to find space on melting ice floes on Blue Planet II. For others, it’s an apocalyptic vision of cities disappearing beneath the waves. But for more and more girls across Africa, the most palpable manifestation of climate change is the baby in their arms as they sit watching their friends walk to school. The Brides of the Sun reporting project, funded by the European Journalism Centre, set out to try to assess the scale of what many experts are warning is a real and growing crisis: the emergence of a generation of child brides as a direct result of a changing climate.
And time and again, in villages from the south of Malawi to the east coast of Mozambique, the child brides and their parents told an increasingly familiar story. In recent years they had noticed the temperatures rising, the rains becoming less predictable and coming later and sometimes flooding where there had not been flooding before. Families that would once have been able to afford to feed and educate several children reported that they now faced an impossible situation.
None of the villages had any way of recording the changes scientifically, or indeed felt any urge to do so. All they knew was that the weather had changed and that where they used to be able to pay for their girls to go through school now they couldn’t. And the only solution was for one or more daughters to get married.
Sometimes it was the parents who made the decision. For the good of the rest of the family, a daughter had to be sacrificed. She would be taken out of school and found a husband, one less mouth to feed. Sometimes it was the girl herself who made the decision and forced it upon her parents. Unhappy, hungry, she hoped that a husband might be the answer.
Fatima Mussa, 16 and nine months pregnant, lives in Nataka, in the district of Larde, near the coast in eastern Mozambique
Carlina Nortino (main image, first left) sits with her husband, Horacio, in the dry sand that is all that is left of the river that once flowed past the village of Nataka in the Larde district of Nampula province, on the east coast of Mozambique. From the ground, there is nothing to see of the river. But a drone camera sent up to hover above reveals the ghost of the river, a darker line of green growth winding its way across the plain.
Carlina is 15, Horacio 16. They married when she was 13, two years after the river disappeared, she says.
“I remember when I saw people here fishing. I used to sell the fish, I took it from the fishermen and went to sell it to the village. There was water everywhere. I remember seeing Horacio with the other fishermen. But without rain, the fish died.”
Her family used to harvest as many as 20 50kg bags of cassava. Today it is down to one or two bags. She blames the lack of rain.
Horacio looks across to where the river once ran. “I can’t fish any more because the fish don’t have water any more. The water disappeared. Now I do agriculture. Before, the rain started in September and came regularly until March. Now the rain only comes in January and February and that’s it.”
Carlina had dreamed of becoming a midwife: school was the most important part of her life. “It was never my desire to get married at that young age. I wanted to go to school. But I was forced to by my father. The family didn’t have enough food to survive. So my father accepted the proposal because he couldn’t support me to go to school.”
She give birth to their first child, a boy, earlier this year. There were problems from the start. The family could not afford to go to a hospital with an incubator and the child died. “I am sure that if my father and my husband weren’t that poor, my son would be alive,” she says.
It wasn’t his choice to marry her off, says her father, Carlitos Camilo. The 49-year-old used to support his family through fishing and farming. Then the weather changed and there was no more fish. “If I was able to feed my children, I wouldn’t have pushed her to get married so young. Look at my other daughters, they grew up, they went to school, they got married at a normal age.”
In 2015 the United Nations Population Fund estimated that 13.5 million children would marry under the age of 18 in that year alone – 37,000 child marriages every day – including 4.4 million married before they were 15. Across the whole of Africa, Unicef warned in 2015 that the total number of child brides could more than double to 310 million by 2050 if current trends continue.
There are many reasons for children marrying young. In some societies, it is regarded as simply practical; when children reach puberty, sexual behaviour starts to carry with it the risk of pregnancy. Elsewhere, poverty is the driver: when parents cannot afford to feed several children, it tends to be the girls who have to go.
But set against that is a growing awareness of the issue and a stated desire by governments to tackle it. Malawi made it illegal to marry below the age of 18 in 2015 and wrote it into its constitution this year. The rate of child marriage should be falling. Yet it persists. In Mozambique the number of child brides is actually rising as a result of the growing population. Something else has entered the equation.
Little girls fetch water in Kachaso village, Nsanje district, Malawi. Extreme poverty in the region may compel them to marry before they’re ready.
The new factor is climate change, says Mac Bain Mkandawire, executive director of Youth Net and Counselling, which campaigns for the rights of women and children from its base in Zomba, Malawi.
“We do not have detailed figures, but I would say 30% to 40% of child marriages in Malawi are due to the floods and droughts caused by climate change,” he says. There are no detailed figures, he explains, because no one has previously thought to connect the two issues and to ask the right questions.
“Given that there are about 4 or 5 million girls at risk of getting married in Malawi, around 1.5 million girls are at risk of getting married because of climate change related events. That is a huge number.”
The published figures may underestimate the scale of the problem because many marriages are informal affairs, not officially recorded. Often they are simply an agreement between two families, or if there are no parents then between the boy and the girl themselves. Sometimes a small dowry is paid by the husband or his family.
That’s how it was for Filomena Antonio. She was 15 when 21-year-old Momande Churute approached her father, Antonio, and offered him 2,000 Mozambican meticals (£25) to marry his daughter.
Antonio Momade Jamal is 50. He has lived in Moma in Nampula province, all his life. He started fishing in 1985 when it was still a profitable business. Back then, buyers used to come from the city of Nampula to compete for the catch. Then the weather started to change.
“We see that it’s too hot. We talk about that and we all agree that it’s difficult to catch enough fish because of these high temperatures,” he says. “In the areas where we used to go, the sea level is rising and the waves are much stronger.”
He thought Filomena too young to marry but he felt he had little choice and when Momande offered to support her to stay in school, he agreed. He says he is not the only one.
“I’ve seen other neighbours who, because they are struggling, let their daughters get married. I have five other kids who go to secondary school. I have two other daughters, one of 13, another of 11. If a man came to ask for their hand, I would think about it, I would consider it. This man could help me support not only my daughter, but also help my other kids continue their education.”
Filomena sits next to him, listening. She appears to have accepted her fate as long as it means she can go off to study in the city. She wants to be a nurse.
“We met here in the neighbourhood and he asked me to be with him,” she says, indicating Momande. “I liked him. I thought he was a beautiful man.”
Its course still visible from the air, the river in Nataka, Larde district, Mozambique was a vital source of fish and water for irrigation until the rains became unreliable and the river dried up.
She told him he had to ask her father’s permission. “My father accepted because he had poor conditions, so he believed that my husband could support me to go to school. I accepted because my father allowed me to. Since my father is poor, I thought I would get married so that my husband would help me. I believe that if my father had kept doing well with the fishing, he wouldn’t have accepted the proposal because then he could afford my education, the school fees, my books.”
Mozambique is one of the world’s poorest countries, with almost 70% of its 28 million people living below the poverty line. It is particularly vulnerable to climate change: the Netherlands Commission for Environmental Assessment warns that “climate-related hazards such as droughts, floods and cyclones are occurring with increasing frequency”.
The legal age of marriage is 18 (16 with parental consent) but still Mozambique has one of the highest rates of child marriage in the world, with nearly one in two girls married by the age of 18 and one in seven by 15. The highest rates of child marriage are found in the northern provinces, including Nampula, which also has the highest number of adolescent pregnancies.
Fatima Mussa is 16, and nine months pregnant. She hadn’t really wanted to get married. On the other hand, her father could no longer afford to keep her. She married 18-year-old Priorino Antonio last year when she was 15 after he approached her father in the village of Nataka, in Nampula province, and offered him 2,000 meticals. There was no ceremony.
“My father said ‘I would have never considered allowing my daughter to marry now, because she is young. But she will marry because I don’t have enough money to send her to secondary school.’ I didn’t want to get married at such a young age, but I didn’t know what to do, since I couldn’t go to school. So I saw an opportunity to marry someone who could maybe improve my life a little bit.”
Across the border in Malawi, nearly half the country’s girls are married by the age of 18 and nearly one in 10 by age 15, leaving Malawi ranked by Unicef as the 11th worst country in the world for child marriage. The legal age of marriage was raised to 18 in 2015 but there have been no reports of any prosecutions.
Poverty is the key factor, increasingly driven by climate change. The International Monetary Fund says that 70% of the 19 million population live below the poverty line, and 25% live in extreme poverty: “Considering that a significant number of the non-poor in rural areas are highly vulnerable to weather shocks, the poverty rate is – if anything – expected to increase due to the impact of recent floods and drought.”
For Lucy Anusa, it was the drought of 2016 that tipped her over the edge. She was 14, the youngest of three sisters living with their farmer parents in Namalaka, near the southern end of Lake Malawi, when the drought laid waste to their crops.
Lucy Anusa, now a 15-year-old mother, has returned to live with her family near Lake Malawi.
“I met this man who proposed to get married. I had to accept despite the fact that my parents kept telling me good things about education. But I opted for marriage given the way things were at home.”
Her parents were unhappy, but she was too stubborn. Only when she became pregnant and the husband turned her out of their home did she start to regret her decision.
Now 15, she gave birth to their daughter earlier this year. “My mother had to welcome me back. But she kept reminding me: ‘My daughter, I told you about this. You are too young for marriage. You have a lot of challenges when you go into marriage so young.’”
The changes in the weather are wrong-footing farmers, says Amos Mtonya from Malawi’s department of climate change and meteorological services. “When it starts to rain, they immediately start planting. But then, three weeks later, they realise that everything they planted is dry,” he says. “So to some, giving away their girl child can be a relief. It can also help the husband’s family, since it gets someone to assist with the household chores. Of course tradition plays its role, but climate change will encourage people to get married early.”
The government’s own report on the 2015 floods listed child marriage as one of the side effects, a view shared by the anti-child marriage campaign group Girls Not Brides. “If we don’t act now we risk another generation of childhoods being lost,” says its executive director Lakshmi Sundaram.
Maliya Mapira dropped out of school because a teacher got her pregnant. She was 15 at the time. Her parents are tobacco farmers and the worsening harvests meant they were living hand to mouth. When they discovered who the father was, they wanted Maliya to marry him. “But along the way the teacher was unable to support me, not even the baby. If my parents could have supported me, I would have preferred to continue with education rather than get married. But I didn’t want to put pressure on them. So I just decided to get married to this man to survive.”
But marriage has changed little for her. She and tobacco farmer Maliki Hestone, trying to raise her six-month-old son, Bashiru Akim, face the same problems her parents failed to overcome. “Sometimes, because of the floods, the crops get washed away. At the end of the day, we get very little harvest from it,” she says. “I don’t want to have more children because we are struggling taking care of the one I have. It would just make things more difficult.”
Five hundred miles away, in the courtyard of a house on the edge of Moma, Majuma Julio is stirring a pot of maize, preparing lunch for husband, Juma Momade, who is holding their year-old daughter, Fatima, on his lap.
Majuma Julio, now 17, married at 15 and has a daughter nearly two: ‘I don’t blame anyone. The weather just changed.’
The couple married two years ago when Majuma was 15 and Juma was 19. It’s not what she wanted, Majuma says. But she was staying with an uncle, a farmer, who was paying to support her through school. The weather changed and there was no more money; marriage was the only solution.
“It was because of the sun. There was too much sun and the rain was not falling enough. His production started to decrease three years before the marriage,” says Majuma. “It used to rain for two months, but after a while it started coming less and less. I don’t blame anyone. The weather just changed. My uncle called me and informed me that there was a man who wanted to marry me. I accepted. I didn’t like the idea but I just accepted because I wanted to study.”
Majuma knew that marriage would mean children. But Juma had promised to support her. “Juma and the imam came to my uncle’s house, they did the ceremony and we were married. I am all right now. I feel better than when I was in my uncle’s house because my husband treats me well, I keep going to school, there’s no problem.
“I won’t let my daughter get married at 15 years old. She has to study.”
Up the coast from Moma, administrator Brigi Rupio looks out across the wide blue expanse of the Larde river. “When I arrived here in 2014, there was a house right next to the river,” he says, pointing to where the bank is being undercut by the current. “But in 2015, there were severe floods that destroyed houses and increased the level of the river. Then there was drought. We had areas where we used to produce rice. But because of the dry spells, it’s not possible any more. The weather is changing. Even those who cannot read or write can notice that.”
The young girls taken out of school to marry early can attest to that.

Links

Deadly Mix Of Heatwaves And Humidity Could Make Some Australian Cities Virtually ‘Uninhabitable’

NEWS.com.auBenedict Brook

WITH temperatures nudging 70C, this CBD has already been dubbed a “river of fire”. Deadly heatwaves could make it a no-go zone.


Heatwaves - Nature's Silent Killer

CENTURIES-old heatwave records have been shattered all over Australia in the past week as cities from Hobart to Sydney have been hit by prolonged stretches of temperature far above normal. Hobart’s recent run of six consecutive November days above 26C hasn’t been equalled for 130 years.
While it may have been warm, though, it was manageable.
However, climate scientists are warning the conditions in another of Australia’s capitals could get so bad it may become “not viable” to live there in decades to come.
A combination of debilitating humidity and what’s known as the “urban heat island effect” mixed in with a good dose of climate change could leave Darwin off-limits to all but the hardiest.
Already, surface temperatures in parts of Darwin’s CBD have been recorded nudging 70C.
And regional cities in Queensland might not be far behind.
Darwin is already severely affected by humidity. Source: News Limited
Towards the end of November, Darwin locals look forward to the end of the “build-up”, the hot and sticky weather that precedes the wet season.
It’s been a tough few months. Earlier this year, the Bureau of Meteorology warned 2017’s build-up would be “brutal”.
“Everything is hotter than normal,” said the Bureau’s Greg Browning.
Australian National University’s Dr Elizabeth Hanna, an expert on the effects of climate change on health, told news.com.au it was the Top End’s tropical humidity that was the big problem.
“We can cope with much higher temperatures in Melbourne because the air is drier, but in Darwin the high temperatures and humidity are oppressive.
“If it gets worse, those unpleasant times of the year (like the build-up) will extend longer and longer making it not a viable place to live,” she said.
The Chief Minister has said Darwin CBD’s Cavenagh Street, is a “river of fire”. Source: News Corp Australia
UNINHABITABLE
Mattheos Santamouris, a professor of high performance architecture at the University of NSW, is working on a project, funded by the NT Government, to study how Darwin’s heat can be given the heave-ho.
“The focus is often on the global impact of climate change, but we also need to understand what is happening at a local level, in our own cities,” Prof Santamouris said.
“If we can’t find a way to make our cities cooler, they will eventually become uninhabitable.”
A cautionary tale of a possible future for Darwin lies further north. In August, there were warnings from scientists that by the turn of the century India could be hit by climate change fuelled heatwaves so extreme they could kill even healthy people within hours.
Under a scenario where carbon emissions were not throttled back, 4 per cent of India’s population would experience a non-survivable heatwave at some point after 2071.
A wet bulb temperature (which takes into account humidity) of 35C is when things start to head south.
Northern Australia is already in a stifling heat zone stretching across Asia. Picture: MIT. Source: Supplied
“We need to evaporate and sweat to cool down but when temperatures get close to or above our core temperature, and when humidity is high, the air becomes saturated and we’re not going to lose that sweat so our cooling mechanism is hampered,” said Dr Hanna.
The conditions wouldn’t affect everyone equally but in a major heatwave in India, she said, people could start to overheat even when sitting still.
Under a high emission scenario, India could experience heatwaves that cause death within hours by the latter part of this century. Picture: MIT. Source: Supplied
‘RIVER OF FIRE’
“If it’s 38C outside people feel crappy and grumpy and that has an impact on assaults so it has all manner of social issues,” she said.
In August, the Territory Government kicked off a project to see where Darwin’s hot spots were — and what was causing them — so they could cool the CBD down.
The heat mitigation study uses a dedicated “energy bus” and drones to measure surface and air temperatures.
“The study found our streets, parking lots, roofs and pavements have very high surface temperatures, ranging from 45-67C,” said Chief Minister Michael Gunner at the time.
“Areas such as the Post Office carpark, the Supreme Court car park, and the Bus Terminal are incredibly hot — Cavenagh Street (a CBD thoroughfare) is a river of fire.”
Prof Samtamouris told news.com.au Darwin was a classic case of an urban heat island where materials used in roads and buildings turbocharged temperatures.
A Darwin heat mitigation study has found some surface temperatures are in excess of 60C. Picture: UNSW Source: Supplied
However, temperatures drop dramatically in areas of foliage. Picture: UNSW. Source: Supplied
BITUMEN
“Black surfaces like bitumen absorb high amounts of solar radiation leading to high surface temperatures.” he said.
“A material with a temperature of about 70C may heat the air by around 3C.”
Alternative materials, such as special “cool” asphalt, can bring the surrounding temperatures down.
“In Darwin, you have overheating because there’s too much bitumen and not enough greenery”.
The study will continue for the next year but the Government said it is already burying one of its major carparks to reduce its impact on air temperatures.
And it’s not just Darwin. Sydney’s west is regularly up to 10C warmer than the CBD. The reasons are different — the CBD is cooled by winds coming off the seas which peter out by the time you reach, say, Penrith.
Artists impression of a vine shade structure over Cavenagh Street in Darwin. Picture: Supplied Source: Supplied
But the result is the same — increasingly uninhabitable cities. And climate change, pushing average temperatures up, continues to stymie mitigation efforts.
“Townsville and Cairns are not as bad but they will start to become like Darwin. Everything is just moving to the extreme but we just don’t know exactly when or how fast it will happen.” said Prof Hanna.
“Global temperatures are going so badly and emissions are increasing so much that it’s not looking good.”
Planting more trees and creating shady streets was a good strategy to make cities more liveable, she said. But a few plants here and there had their limits.
“As it keeps warming and warming, there’s only a little it can do.”

Links

Queensland Election: How Adani Helped Undo The LNP's Push To Regain Power

The Guardian

Exit polls in the state’s south-east found up to 70% of respondents were against the billion-dollar rail line loan for Adani
The Liberal National party leader, Tim Nicholls. One LNP strategist said the billion-dollar rail line loan for Adani was ‘dead’ following the Queensland election. Photograph: Tracey Nearmy/AAP
It was the sleeper issue that ended up dominating the Queensland election campaign – and, in the end, activists believed, may have saved government for Labor.
Labor sits the closest to the majority needed to take government in Queensland, 47 seats, after receiving gains in the south-east, largely helped by a drop in support for the Liberal National party.
Among those were Maiwar, the electorate held by the shadow treasurer, Scott Emerson, who looks to have lost largely due to Greens preferences, along with other LNP-held inner-city seats such as Mount Ommaney and Mansfield, which both look to have fallen to Labor.
Exit polls commissioned by GetUp in those electorates found up to 70% of respondents were against the billion-dollar rail line loan for Adani, while another 30% said Labor’s decision to veto the loan helped decide how they would vote.
“We already know the majority of voters from every single party at play opposed the Naif loan, including LNP and One Nation voters,” the GetUp environmental justice director, Sam Regester, told Guardian Australia. “Taking a stronger position against Adani clearly contributed to the swing in south-east Queensland. Just as tellingly, Labor held on to the regional seats that folks like conservative analysts predicted would fall because of the veto.”
As of Sunday evening, the rural Labor seat of Mirani looked like falling to One Nation, while Townsville, which had been considered to have been saved for Labor, was slipping back to the LNP on postal and pre-votes.
Both were areas where voters support the Adani mine but, on Sunday, Labor strategists were putting the probable losses down to support for One Nation.
“I don’t think the Adani veto was a big deal to our campaign because, if it was, I think it would have shown up in Thuringowa [in north Queensland]. For us, it was an issue which distracted our campaign from day one and it meant we got no clear air, we were asked about it every single day.
“Then the veto happened and we were still asked about it, because it was the most interesting thing happening. Then Pauline Hanson entered the campaign and she became the most interesting issue.
“I think it stopped us from being able to talk about our issues at first and then, with the veto, we eventually managed to move on.”
Regester said that was because voters in the south-east, particularly, saw a point of difference.
“The strong showing of the Greens, particularly in south Brisbane and Maiwar, showed more than anything the value of having the clearest, strongest policy on Adani,” he said. “ For most of the last term of government, the two major parties were equally bad on this key issue, so it’s no wonder they picked up a swag of votes.
“Labor was able to offset this somewhat with the Naif veto but this election made it clear that the Greens can be a threat to both major parties when they’re not up to scratch, particularly on Adani.”
Galaxy’s exit poll, based on 1760 voters across 18 electorates across Queensland, had jobs, health and stable government as the top issues for most voters, with the Adani mining development being named as the most important issue by just 16 per cent of voters.
Other campaigners weren’t quite so sure the veto issue could be dismissed.
“I think it is hard to say,” another Labor strategist said. “It was certainly a dominant issue during the campaign. It was always a feature of internal party polls – with mixed results.”
Those mixed results came from a south-east vote, which was either pleased, or apathetic, about the loan veto, contrasting with a desire in central and north Queensland to see the mine begin work as soon as possible.
The veto proved an issue against Labor in Rockhampton, where the independent candidate, former mayor Margaret Strelow, who failed in her bid for Labor preselection despite Annastacia Palaszczuk’s support, strongly spoke out against the decision to bypass the loan.
Strelow’s preferences are now looking instrumental in deciding the seat. In Townsville, the mayor, Jenny Hill, a known friend of Palaszczuk, was also critical of the decision and did not appear with Labor during Palaszczuk’s campaign visits. Townsville is another seat going down to the wire for the incumbent government.
But some within the LNP, who are facing what has become known as “teal” seats, particularly in the inner-suburbs of cities, where voters may be socially conscious but economically conservative, believe the veto was enough to drive votes to the Greens.
It was those preferences that look like handing seats to Labor.
“It was a significant emotional issue for Greens voters which motivated them,” one LNP strategist said in the wash up. “In my view, the loan is dead.”
Others were a little more pragmatic.
“Do I think anyone wants to see a billion of taxpayer dollars go to a mining company? No, I don’t think anyone is overly in support of that,” an LNP campaigner said. “But what could we do? It’s not like we could veto something our own federal government set up.”
Palaszczuk announced she would veto the loan at the end of her first week of campaigning. Up until then, she was followed by anti-Adani protesters, who ambushed her at events, with the gatecrashing dominating the news cycle.
Announcing that she had learnt of a “smear campaign” by political opponents, to reveal her partner’s role at Price WaterhouseCoopers in helping Adani put together its loan application for the rail line, presenting a conflict of interest, Palaszczuk said if she won government, she would veto the loan.
Under the Naif rules, the states need to give approval for the loan. On Sunday, Palaszczuk confirmed she would stand by the veto decision. She also committed Labor to not allowing any taxpayer funds to flow to the mine, or its associated infrastructure, although has refused to give details of the royalty holiday granted to Adani, worth about $350m, which she said would be paid back with interest.
“We will veto the loan, they said on the 6th of June that they had the green light that they would build the mine and the rail line and we expect them to get on with it,” a Palaszczuk spokesman said.
The future of Adani now rests on whether it can receive financing to begin construction in the Galilee Basin, with some reports it may be close to securing Chinese money to open the mine. That has the potential to create another issue for the Queensland government, be it the LNP or Labor, as both have said they remain in support of the mine for the jobs it will create, with the Chinese funds potentially coming with Chinese labourer and steel strings attached.
GetUp have not finished fighting the project and Regester said Labor’s position was “still nowhere good enough” and a potential issue for the next federal election.
“After watching Adani dominate the state election, there will be folks in federal Labor keen to not see the next federal election nearly de-railed in the same way,” Regester said. “It’s in their interest to get on the right side of this extraordinary movement and oppose the entire Adani [mine] outright.

Links