08/01/2018

Sydney Hits Its Highest Temperature Recorded Since 1939 With Penrith Reaching 47.3c

ABC News


Across the greater Sydney area, people are swimming, cycling, and cooking over a hot stove as temperatures soar. (ABC News)

Penrith in Sydney's west has reached a top of 47.3 degrees Celsius, the highest temperature recorded by a weather station in the Sydney metropolitan area in 79 years.
The temperature hit 47.3C at Penrith just after 3:00pm on Sunday.
The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) early Sunday said it had confirmed preliminary data and declared it was the highest temperature ever recorded by a weather station in the Sydney metropolitan area.
However, the NSW BOM tweeted just after 4:00pm that they had missed a temperature in the north-western Sydney suburb of Richmond, at a now closed recording station.
The 1939 high was 47.8C.
A weak south-easterly change forecast to come through later on Sunday offering some relief to the coast.
Sydneysiders flocked to the beach to cope with the heat. (AAP: Glenn Campbell)
"That may just trickle into the western suburbs this evening, however the west is still expected to remain very hot for the rest of the day," said Andrew Haigh from BOM.
"Tomorrow will be another hot day in the west, a little bit less so than today in the east."
Total fire bans and severe fire danger warnings were issued by the NSW Rural Fire Service for the Hunter and Greater Sydney, with the bans continuing into the start of the working week.
Sydney's heatwave caused problems at the Sydney International tennis, with fifth seed Kristina Mladenovic retiring after being badly affected by the heat.
Extreme, severe and low-intensity heatwave ratings have been given to most of NSW over the next few days. (Supplied: Bureau of Meteorology)
The competition was out at Sydney Olympic Park, which had a top recorded temperature of 44.5C just after 1:00pm.
Bahar and Amir Kashefi were beaming bright on their wedding day despite the heat. (ABC News: David Spicer)
Bahar and Amir Kashefi were still smiling despite the heat scorching their wedding day.
"I'm sweating, my bridesmaid is sweating. The wind was not too bad around here but otherwise it was scorching hot," the bride said.
"I think I am going to cut the wedding short, go straight back to the hotel and jump in the pool."
Homeless man Charles Orchard, 43, receives water from Missionbeat van driver Patrick Crawford near Central Station. (ABC News: Emily Laurence)
Mission Australia's homeless transport service Missionbeat were out in force to keep people cool.
They organised for two heat-affected homeless people to get to the hospital and transferred several others to refuges and hostels.
Animals at Taronga Zoo on Sydney's north shore were fed a variety of iced foods to keep them cool, with Fergus the Hippo feasting on some carrot ice blocks.
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Large Climate Change Expedition To Set Sail For Antarctica

TVNZ

One of the world's top scientific research ships is heading to Antarctica with 30 scientists from 11 countries on board to investigate climate and sea changes.
The JOIDES Resolution. Source: IODP
The 140m-long JOIDES Resolution is in New Zealand waters for about 18 months for a series of expeditions.
It has just finished investigating the Hikurangi subduction zone east of Gisborne and headed off for Antarctica on Sunday with a new group of scientists on board.
It operates under the 23-nation International Ocean Discovery Programme.
Voyage leader, Rob McKay of Victoria University of Wellington, said the aim of the latest expedition was to understand how the ocean and the ice sheets interacted.
"We want to find out what happens when you put warm water next to the ice sheets. How quickly do they melt? And what's the impact of that melt on the oceans?"
By drilling down up to 1km beneath the seafloor, the team will be able to get a glimpse into "greenhouse worlds" that existed 20 million years ago when carbon dioxide levels were similar to those currently in the atmosphere.
Antarctica acts as a giant heat-sink that helps regulate the temperature of the planet.
"If you change that, you're changing a major part of the global climate system. We're trying to understand what happened the last time that was changed."
If the West Antarctic Ice Sheet was to melt, as it has in the past, Dr McKay says the global sea level would rise about three metres.
The impact from the collapse of the much larger Eastern Antarctic Ice Sheet would be even more dramatic, as it contains enough ice to cause an estimated 20m rise in global sea levels.
"The consequences of that for coastal living, globally, are obvious, but we're also trying to understand the implications for the biosphere in the Southern Ocean. This is one of the largest biological habitats on the planet and we don't know how it will respond to these changes."
When the JOIDES Resolution returns from the Ross Sea in early March, it will stop at Lyttelton again and pick up a fresh crew of scientists and head back to the East Coast for a further probe of the Hikurangi subduction zone.
The area has slow-slip events - small bursts of movement on the fault lasting from weeks to months instead of seconds to minutes as in conventional large earthquakes.
They are poorly understood and scientists want to know what causes them and what relationship they have with large earthquakes.

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Cooking The Books On Climate Change Policy

Fairfax

Two reports released on the same day, from the same government department with two very different sets of findings.
The Turnbull government's climate change policy review would have you believe we are well on our way to reaching our international commitment of a 26-28 per cent reduction by 2030.


Only problem is we are not.
Omitted from the final public presentation are spreadsheets the department quietly released on a separate database a week before Christmas that shows Australia will be at least 140 million tonnes above its target by 2030 at the current rate of growth.
There has been an extraordinary 7600 per cent increase in small scale solar power.  Photo: PA
While the policy review states: "we have a record of meeting and beating our emissions reduction targets and are on track to meet our 2030 target," the department's emissions report admits clearly: "Australia's emissions have risen in the past three years."
The rise has come on the back of the expansion of the liquefied natural gas sector. The report says that will be offset in the future by "flat electricity demand, the renewable energy target and the announced closures of coal power stations".
Under the government's national energy guarantee, the electricity sector – Australia's largest emitter –must achieve a proportionate decrease in emissions to meet our Paris obligations.
Slice 26 per cent of electricity emissions off the total target and the economy is still cumulatively 600 million tonnes short of meeting its 2030 benchmark.
Minister for Environment and Energy Josh Frydenberg.  Photo: Alex Ellinghausen
That means the transport, agriculture and waste sector have to somehow find more savings than an entire sector that is weaning itself off the biggest polluter of all: coal-fired power.
It will only reach its target if the closure of Liddell power station goes ahead despite the Turnbull government's best attempts to prevent it.
Australia's emissions projections as contained within the policy review.  Photo: Climate Change Policy Review
Fuel efficiency standards, electric cars and the extraordinary 7600 per cent increase in small-scale solar power driven by consumers over the past decade will help, but they wont be enough.
As the department's report says: "The key drivers of emissions to 2030 are increases in transport activity linked to population and economic growth and increases in herd numbers in agriculture linked to international demand."
Which means the economy needs to slow down or rural voters and the Nationals are likely to be gearing up for a fight over farming.
Given the choice between the two, it's likely a government of either stripe will take the third option.
Throw Paris out the window when it comes to crunch time.
An independent analysis commissioned by the Greens suggests the size of the abatement is now so great that it would require us to take all cars off the road or cows off farms, not in a decade, but tomorrow.
The laughable proposition underscores the size of the task in the decade to come.
The first step in addressing that gap is admitting that it exists. Which why the deliberate omission of a chart in a review that clearly shows Australia sailing way above its targets in the climate change policy reviews is so striking.

The department and Environment Minister Josh Frydenberg consulted no less than 270 stakeholders and received 357 submissions but the government's obfuscation in omitting the offending chart from its final policy review is remarkable.
By pretending it doesn't exist, it has given themselves room to move.
Into that space falls the government's concessions to "stakeholders", aka big business, which have been carefully worded to essentially allows companies to increase their emissions if their production does.
"One option would be to broaden access to baseline increases, so all facilities have an up-to date baseline that reflects their individual circumstances," the policy review states.
"In addition, baselines could be regularly updated to reflect actual production. This would see baselines increase with production, supporting business growth. If production falls, the baseline would automatically fall in proportion."
The concessions typify the government's unshakeable faith in the market to deliver cleaner, cheaper outcomes.
Undoubtedly, consumers are becoming more energy conscious, the rapid increase in the uptake of household solar systems from 22,000 in 2008 to 1.7 million in 2017 and the expected growth of electric vehicles to 15 per cent of all new cars by 2030 are both examples, but without another major technological revolution it is difficult to see how consumers will drive all the gains needed on their own accord.
Tellingly, the only factors not accounted for in the projections beyond the national energy guarantee, as estimated above, are the ministerial forum on light vehicle emissions and "the work of the Council of Australian Governments".
Neither have achieved much so far, and the size of the total task is now so great that it risks becoming in policy what it always was in name, a target – to be missed when the final shot is taken.

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