10/04/2018

Is Climate Change Really Too Hard To Understand?

Washington PostTom Toles

Tom Toles
A lot of people wonder why we are doing so little to prevent the slow-motion catastrophe of climate change. One theory is that it’s too big a subject to understand.
It’s a big subject, all right. And a difficult one to address. But too big to understand it isn’t. Quantum physics is too big to understand. Climate change is simple. I’ll put it in one sentence: There are known heat-trapping gasses, and if we add too much of them to the atmosphere, it will cause large, foreseeable damage to humans and natural environments. That is not too big to understand.
And a majority of people understand it just fine. They are making the assumption that the political process will work normally and that the government will take the steps necessary to deal with it. Like government did with smog, and with polluted water, and with acid rain, and with ozone depletion. The thing that is hard to understand is how people in positions to do something about it do nothing. Or rather, do everything in their power to stop action.
And even this isn’t impossible to understand. People with a large financial stake in emitting heat-trapping gasses have been protecting their financial interests. People in government have allowed themselves to be swayed to inaction by these powerful financial interests.
The biggest, hardest thing to understand is how we have come to such worship of wealth that it has completely overwhelmed and paralyzed our government’s ability to do its necessary work. This is what ordinary people fail to grasp. It is this gigantic failure of ethics in the face of money that is too big to understand, because it violates everything we were taught about how government and American society work.
It is not the role of individuals to solve climate change. It is a collective-action problem, the kind of problem that governments are designed to solve. Even so, a lot of individual people have been working very hard on the climate issue. Their government has been worse than unresponsive. And now in the Trump era, government is not merely paralyzed; it is actively making it even harder for people to take action on the climate.
And government officials know full well what they are doing. Climate change is not too big to understand. Oil companies have understood it for decades. Government officials understand it, too. They. Don’t. Care. They have put short-term personal interests first. They have sold their share of Earth to the highest bidder. And your share, too.
That’s the unbelievable thing that is hard to understand.

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This All-Electric Plane Could Change Everything About Regional Air Travel

Fast Company - Adele Peters

Eviation’s Alice Commuter plane–the winner of the transportation category of Fast Company’s 2018 World Changing Ideas Awards–seats nine people and is entirely battery powered. 
[Image: Eviation]
In five years, if you want to take a trip from San Francisco to San Diego, it may be possible to do it on a small electric plane–and with a ticket that costs less than driving or taking the train.
The Israel-based startup Eviation, which is building a new all-electric, nine-seat airplane, called the Alice Commuter expects to begin making its first commercial flights in 2021 and scale up to hundreds of routes across the U.S. over the next few years.
The timing is right, the founders say, because of the current state of technology.
“There is a revolution happening in aviation, and it’s happening because of lightweight materials, energy density of batteries, the power of electric propulsion, and the computer power of managing this together,” says Omer Bar-Yohay, co-founder and CEO of Eviation, the winner of the transportation category of Fast Company‘s 2018 World Changing Ideas Awards.
[Image: Eviation]
While some other startups in the space (including Zunum Aero, which has the backing of the VC arms of JetBlue and Boeing) are focusing first on hybrid planes,  Eviation chose to go all-electric for its first plane because it thinks that’s what will make flights as affordable as possible.
“This will really be available to all, and [it will] make sense to take our aircraft and not drive,” he says.
The technology, he says, is cheaper than hybrid options both because electricity is cheaper than jet fuel and electric planes cost less to maintain.
“If you look at the numbers, the overall cost of maintaining the cost of complexity of a hybrid unit compared to just swapping batteries every two years or so–the batteries win hands down.”
Because electric batteries store less energy by weight than jet fuel, the tiny planes can only travel relatively short distances–650 nautical miles–and because they carry a small number of passengers, this won’t be replacing most large commercial flights.
But many flights do only fly short distances, and because of the competitive cost of the technology, Eviation saw it as a good place to begin.
The plane is designed to feel as steady and comfortable as flying on a standard private jet so that the small size won’t intimidate passengers.
At first, the company expects that regional operators will use the planes to fly people between smaller airports. But over time, it’s possible that big airlines could begin to use the planes for short flights, rather than using something like a 737.
They might also begin to shift away from the current hub-and-spoke model, in which most journeys require a connecting flight, to more direct flights between smaller cities.
“What we’re really giving here is a potential for a kind of high-speed rail–A to B–but from any A to any B,” says Bar-Yohav.
The startup has been building a full-scale aircraft since mid-2017 and expects to take demonstration flights in 2019. By 2021, it hopes to be certified and flying on a first proof-of-service route.
After the first plane comes to market, the next step may be a larger plane that can carry 19 passengers.
The company may also develop a smaller vertical takeoff plane for urban transportation, similar to those in development by Uber and others.
 “We’re trying to do this first with regional transportation, and then look to the edges of this huge market,” says Bar-Yohav.

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Climate Change Litigation Rising With The Seas As Victims Revert To 'Plan B'

ABC RadioMalcolm Sutton

Many Pacific island nations are just metres above sea level and vulnerable to rising seas. (Instagram: presidentloeak)
When they first warned more than 30 years ago that human activity could create an enhanced greenhouse effect, scientists hoped it would lead to decisive action to lower fossil fuel emissions.
Instead, levels have continued to rise to a point most scientists agree that climate change accelerated by fossil fuel emissions is changing the weather and intensifying storms.
"Plan A was the hope governments would step up and social movements would be powerful enough to put pressure on governments," University of Adelaide Law School Associate Professor Peter Burdon said.
"But that hasn't happened, so Plan B is to try the courts," he said.
Across the world a shift towards climate change litigation is gathering steam as low-lying island countries and even United States' cities take aim at governments and big oil companies for failing to act proportionately on emission reductions.
One of the most recent cases involves 21 teenagers in the US state of Oregon, who have been given judiciary permission to sue the federal government for failing to uphold their constitutional rights.
"They assert that the actions of the [US] government and their delays and failure to take meaningful action against climate change has violated their generation and their constitutional rights to life, liberty and property," Professor Burdon said.
"They've gone through several layers of hearings and at every stop, the government has sought to throw it out, and have been joined by companies like ExxonMobil and Chevron, but it was decided they had a legal case and it can be heard."
Elsewhere in the US, cities such as San Francisco and Oakland have filed lawsuits against big oil and gas companies to pay damages caused by rising seas, while in the Netherlands, Friends of the Earth have threatened litigation against Royal Dutch Shell if it doesn't bring its business in line with the Paris Agreement within eight weeks.
It follows a landmark ruling in the Hague District Court during 2015, which forced the Netherlands government to reduce emissions by 25 per cent by 2020 after it was found to be breaching a duty of care.
Modelling has predicted cities like Brisbane are on track to lose large sections to the ocean by 2100. (Supplied: Coastal Risk Australia 2100)
Drawing similarities with big tobacco cases
The Hague court accepted there was a class of greenhouse gas emissions caused by human activity (anthropogenic) and therefore no dispute whether the government was contributing or causing a degree of climate change.
Professor Burdon said accusing big oil and gas companies and governments of contributing to climate change rather than blaming them outright was a similar approach to those who fought big tobacco in the past.
"That was precisely what big tobacco did in the case against them, because how do you prove that your smoking led to this particular type of cancer?" he said.
"Attribution science, drawing the link of causality between what a company did and the effect you're experiencing, is something that government and fossil fuel companies can delay or run counter arguments against.
"But if you argue that their actions perhaps didn't cause a storm event or bushfire, but exacerbated it and increased its intensity, that, I think, is a stronger argument."
The Netherlands decision of 2015 was achieved by 886 individual co-plaintiffs represented by the Urgenda Foundation, which was subsequently "inundated with requests for assistance to commence like litigations around the globe".

The forgotten islands
The Takuu group of atolls is home to a rich and historic culture, but the resilient people and their idyllic islands face an increasingly dire threat from climate change.

The National International Law Association (NILA) warned at the time that it had potential for a "significant ripple effect for establishing climate liability around the world and in Australia".
It acknowledged, however, that the Netherlands have a civil system and a constitutional requirement to keep the country habitable and to protect and improve the environment, as does the US.
"Australia has a common law system and any case must be founded first on an appropriate course of action," a NILA spokesperson said.
"There is no similar express constitutional requirement."

Low-lying countries with Australia in their sights
Australia's carbon footprint per capita is among the highest in the world — 15.4 tonnes during 2014 compared to 16.5 tonnes in the US, according to World Bank figures.
This means its citizens punch well above their weight even if the country's overall emissions are comparatively low when compared to the likes of the US, Russia and China.
The Pacific island country of Palau has sought an advisory opinion from the International Court of Justice about whether it has a case against other countries for failing to prevent, reduce or control the risk of environmental harm to other states.
It follows threats by nearby Tuvalu in 2002 to take Australia and the US to court for failing to act on emissions.

Locals say tidal flooding events have become more frequent on Marshall Island due to rising sea levels. (ABC News)

Federal Environment Minister Josh Frydenberg did not answer if he was concerned by litigation manoeuvres taking place overseas but said Australia's emissions per capita and per GDP were now at their lowest level in 28 years and were on track to beat its "2020 target by 294 million tonnes".
"We have ratified the Paris Agreement alongside 170 other countries and we are committed to a strong but responsible 2030 target of 26 to 28 per cent below 2005 levels, which will see a halving of our emission per capita," he said.
Environmental Defenders Office Queensland chief executive officer Jo Bragg said the nation's governments were taking a "huge risk" if they failed to implement measures that effectively protected or "cushioned Australian citizens from the reasonably foreseeable impacts of climate change".
"While we have not seen the breadth or number of civil suits in Australia that have been launched in other countries, government must not be complacent and assume such suits will not be run," he said.
"Certainly, over the last seven years there have been a number of legal challenges by community groups to government decision-making approval of major thermal coal mines in Queensland and New South Wales."
People from Pacific Island nations want climate change action. (Te Mana: Litia Maiava )
Secondary effect of tarnishing reputations
Professor Burdon pointed out that climate change litigation often had the secondary effect of causing reputational damage to big oil companies.
"It's well documented now that Exxon have known about the risk that their work and their extraction processes have created for climate change for more than 30 years," Professor Burdon said.
This includes media reports in 2015 about an email written by Exxon's former climate expert Lenny Bernstein — in response to an inquiry by Ohio University — that revealed the company was aware of carbon dioxide's contribution to climate change nearly 40 years ago.
ExxonMobil runs several oil platforms in Bass Strait off the Victorian coast. (Supplied: ExxonMobil)
Mr Bernstein wrote to the university's Institute for Applied and Professional Ethics director that Exxon first became "interested in climate change in 1981 because it was seeking to develop the Natuna gas field off Indonesia".
"Exxon needed to understand the potential for concerns about climate change to lead to regulation that would affect Natuna and other potential projects," he wrote.
"They were well ahead of the rest of the industry in this awareness; other companies, such as Mobil, only became aware of the issue in 1988 when it first became a political issue."
Professor Burdon said that bringing a suit against an organisation like ExxonMobil was also about "hoping you can cause some reputational damage to them, or it could be about trying to halt or delay a project that they're trying to get through".
Both BP Australia and the Australian Petroleum Production & Exploration Association declined to comment on the likelihood of facing law suits in Australia.
But even if the evidence supporting anthropogenic climate change continues to increase, Professor Burdon said the primary success of court action will depend on a judge and whether or not they were the right person to understand the science.
"While they strive to be neutral, the judges are still human beings with their own political views and ideas," he said.
"It's about trying to get the perfect storm, get the right case with the right set of data with a judge who's open to the argument."

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