31/01/2019

It's Time To 'Take Out' Environment Ministers Who Fail On Climate, Says Oliver Yates

The Guardian

The longtime Liberal party member wants to take on Josh Frydenberg to start a people power campaign
Oliver Yates, the former chief executive of the Clean Energy Finance Corporation, is preparing to run as an independent against Josh Frydenberg in the Melbourne seat of Kooyong. Photograph: Thomas S Dalhoff
Oliver Yates, the son of a Liberal politician and longtime party member, wants to take on Josh Frydenberg in a seat once held by Robert Menzies to start a people power campaign not only in Australia, but around the world.
The former Macquarie banker, and head of the Clean Energy Finance Corporation, who will confirm his intention to run in Kooyong as an independent publicly on Wednesday, says the challenges of climate change are now so serious, so pressing, that citizens need to “take out” their environment ministers when they occupy the portfolio but fail to protect the environment and the climate.
“I want, globally, to hold accountable environment ministers who have disregarded their responsibility to the environment,” Yates tells Guardian Australia.
“I want this to be a worldwide campaign where citizens take out their environment ministers if they do not care for the environment, because clearly they are not doing it anywhere round the world, and citizens are not making any progress in this.
“We all tried as business people. We’ve been good, and managed our positions, but this is serious. It’s a really serious issue that needs to be addressed.”
The newly minted independent candidate dismisses a rationale that Frydenberg, while federal environment and energy minister, did attempt to land a policy that would have reduced emissions in the electricity sector before it was scuttled by the party conservatives who took out Malcolm Turnbull as Liberal leader.
Frydenberg, Yates contends, has policy views that are out of step with the majority of Kooyong electors, and “had plenty of opportunity to stand up in relation to the environment when he was minister, or even now, as a more influential person, but he’s failed to discharge his duty in relation to environmental responsibility”.
He says the only way the Liberal party will get the message is if sensible independents are prepared to enter the arena. “It’s an important aspect of our responsibilities as citizens to take this murky field up, and play the game, to try and deliver a better outcome for each other and the globe.”
As well as sending a signal that citizens have agency when parliaments fail to provide policy leadership, Yates has bigger ambitions. He thinks the time has come to rethink the mechanics of politics in Australia. He points to other parliaments around the world that are less dominated by a rigid two-party system.
He says if he were to win Kooyong at the coming federal election, he would, for example, be open to serving in a newly elected government, or providing policy advice relevant to his professional expertise in finance and climate change policy.
“I don’t think I would able to be bound by caucus or cabinet rules, so it would be quite difficult, however I would openly offer my services. I will do that in any way … that delivers the best outcome for the taxpayer.”
Yates believes people are sufficiently sick of the status quo to be open to new ways of political representation. “I don’t think we can say the way government has operated, or the way parliament has operated in the past, is the way it is going to be going forward. That’s an assumption.
“The hold of the [major] parties when the membership is less than that of the Hawthorn footy club, and the party members don’t get to determine policy, policy is dictated by a central executive of members of parliament – I don’t think the business model under which the Liberal party currently operates is sustainable.
“I don’t want to get ahead of myself, I have a big challenge in this seat, but I think it’s crazy to always think about the world as it has been and you can’t imagine something different.”
He says a collective failure of imagination and innovation is now deadweight on the Liberal party, and has led to “cultural failure”.
“Objecting to everything has left them in a very dark place, psychologically. They won’t look out and embrace change. They resist change. The Liberal party has become a party of resisting change and that’s terribly negative for society – to have a government resist change. Change is coming in every way, and change creates opportunity.”
If Labor wins the coming federal election, and Yates manages to secure a position on the crossbench, he says he’s open to a discussion about negative gearing concessions, but wary about changes to pensions or superannuation.
On negative gearing he says: “The question is: is it right for people to negative gear 100% of their income away and have seven houses? Shouldn’t people always be paying some level of tax as they are receiving some level of services.
“I think the government or the opposition has the right to suggest reforms, and as independents, we’ll be able to offer alternative views or comments or practical changes, which they may find acceptable.”
While the candidate has big ambitions, Yates faces an uphill battle to blast Frydenberg out of the blue ribbon seat he has held since 2010. The treasurer and deputy Liberal leader tends his local turf assiduously, and won the seat in 2016 with a primary vote of 58%, which was a positive swing of 2% on the previous federal contest.
It seems unthinkable that the government would lose Kooyong, long the jewel in the Liberal party crown, and held by three previous party leaders, but last year’s state election delivered a 9% negative swing in the state seat of Hawthorn, with the seat falling ultimately to Labor.
The state seat is within the boundaries of Kooyong. “We saw the turn in Hawthorn and they refuse to listen to that electoral defeat being driven by significant inaction on climate change.”
Yates says state Liberal John Pesutto, who lost Hawthorn last year, had described voters worried about the environment as tribal. “If he wants to describe people who want to protect the environment for the future as tribal then go ahead, because it is the tribe who will take you on.”
He says he will run an open ticket, but expects Labor and the Greens to direct preferences his way. “I’m expecting that sensibly the Greens and Labor would probably understand their probability of winning here is low, and if they’d like to achieve their stated objectives of environmental action then they’d be inclined to support my campaign.
“I would be hopeful I would receive their preferences. I understand it’s an uphill battle … but we need to force this government and future governments into taking climate change seriously because they are beholden to inaction.
“I would like to see Liberals challenged on a seat-by-seat basis until they get the message.”

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Fish Kill In The Murrumbidgee River Leaves 'Thousands' More Dead

Fairfax - Peter Hannam

Fishery authorities were heading to the lower Murrumbidgee River on Tuesday afternoon to investigate reports of another fish kill on NSW rivers.
The Minister for Primary Industries, Niall Blair, who was himself visiting the site of a mass fish die-off on the Darling River at Menindee, said "we think it's in the hundreds to the thousands" at the Redbank weir pool near Balranald.
Perch are among the fish to have been killed in the Murrumbidgee fish kill. The image was taken at the site of another event this week at Menindee on the Darling River. CREDIT: GRAEME MCCRABB
"We think it's mostly carp and golden perch" with some bony herring, Mr Blair told the Herald after meeting Menindee locals seeking help after the region was hit by its third large fish kill in about five weeks.
"To see it first hand, it's important," he said, adding, "this is something that won't leave your memory for a long time."
The first fish die-off at Menindee killed perhaps tens of thousands of fish, while a separate incident three weeks ago left up to an estimated one million dead. This week's event, though, which began unfolding on Monday morning, could top the previous two. "The total biomass [of the current die-off] will probably be bigger," Mr Blair said.
While the bulk of the Menindee deaths were small bony herring, golden and silver perch were killed too, and some of the Murray Cod - which can be decades old and more than a metre long - are also turning up dead, Graeme McCrabb, a Menindee resident said, after meeting Mr Blair.

Same trigger
The trigger for the latest Darling die-off appears to be the sudden drop in temperatures in recent days after the mercury nudged 49 degrees last Friday. The shock of cooling to as low as 17 degrees triggered blue-green algae to die, bringing oxygen levels below critical thresholds for the fish.
Mr Blair said the fish deaths on the Murrumbidgee appear "to be the result of the same weather event".
The Department of Primary Industries said state and commonwealth agencies were meeting this afternoon "to discuss available options for managing flows within the Murrumbidgee River to address declining water quality at various locations".
Mr Blair said that unlike the Darling, there are more potential sources of water to help flush out a build-up of blue-green algae on the Murrumbidgee. These include Burrinjuck Dam, where the reservoir level sits at just under 38 per cent full, and Blowering Dam now at about 31 per cent, according to WaterNSW.
Flows at Balranald were about 500 million litres a day, a much better position for the river compared with the lower Darling, he said.


Menindee resident Graeme McCrabb films dying fish near his home, he could see the dead fish - mostly bony herring and perch - stretched out along at least a kilometre.

More deaths ahead
While Premier Gladys Berejiklian drew criticism for failing to travel far from Wentworth - at the juncture of the Murray and Darling rivers - during her recent visit, Mr Blair's second visit to Menindee was more positively received.
Mr McCrabb, who went out on a boat with Mr Blair on Tuesday, said a subsequent meeting between the Minister and other locals was "constructive", including the pressing of an economic recovery plan for the region. "He gave us the impression he wanted to help," Mr McCrabb said.
The extent of the latest fish kill on the Darling River at Menindee, as of Tuesday morning, January 29. GRAEME MCCRABB

The problem could still get worse, with fish dying in parts of the Darling further out from Menindee than in the two previous kills, he said.
"The water looks terrible," Mr McCrabb said, adding the dead bony herring "are everywhere".

'Disgusting'
Menindee residents, meanwhile, are being asked to sign waivers for potable water deliveries, a move Roy Butler, the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party candidate for the seat of Barwon, said was to prevent them suing the government if they become ill.
"This is third world stuff. Sydneysiders would never tolerate that," Mr Butler said.
"The tap water is disgusting," he said. "I even met people who don't want to shower because it makes their skin peel."
Robert Borsak, the party's leader, said he would "be pushing very strongly for a NSW state royal commission when parliament resumes, to flush out the corruption and mismanagement of our rivers".

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Gum Trees And The Fight Against Global Warming

Fairfax - Greg Callaghan

Just as the world grapples with the effects of climate change – fiercer and more frequent bushfires, droughts, floods and freak storms – Australia is doing its darndest to cut down more trees.
Forests are disappearing so fast in NSW and Queensland that WWF International has put Australia on its list of global deforestation hot spots – the only one in the developed world – while koala populations continue to be decimated through habitat loss.
Climatologists say one of the easiest and cheapest ways to reduce carbon emissions is to preserve forests; deforestation accounts for 18 per cent of global emissions, far surpassing vehicles and aircraft combined, according to the Climate Council.
Trees in the outback may fare better than those in urban centres, at high risk of dieback over coming decades. Credit: Getty Images
It's not only forests that are vulnerable: the trees in our streets, parks and backyards will also come under increasing heat stress in the coming decades. 
A 2017 study of 1.5 million trees in 29 council areas from Darwin to Launceston, Brisbane to Perth, revealed that nearly one in four trees in urban centres will be at high risk of dieback: wilting, browning of leaves and dead branches. 
Around 40 per cent of trees in parts of Sydney, 32 per cent in Melbourne and 85 per cent in Darwin will be vulnerable if current carbon emissions continue. Exotic trees from Europe and North America may be at special risk.
The sooner we adapt to a warmer, drier future, the better, says Dr Gregory Moore, a University of Melbourne botanist who has been studying Australia's 750 eucalypt species since 1975, and suggests we grow more native plants in urban areas.
While Australia's eucalypts aren't immune to heat stress, some are as "tough as old boots", he explains. "Messmate stringybark is a great survivor in the harsh Australian environment. Its thick, stringy bark helps protect the trunk during bushfires; shielded under the bark are buds that can help re-establish leaf coverage. It's a species likely to cope well with climate change."
Moore says our highest priority should be to protect the size of our forests. "Australia's high-country national parks are substantial but not connected. You need really large single areas to allow evolutionary processes to take place."

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Thousands Of Australian Animals Die In Unprecedented Heatwave

The Scientist - Jef Akst

Freshwater fish suffer from low levels of oxygen in the country’s rivers, while bats are unable to survive the extreme air temperatures.
Male, female, and juvenile spectacled flying foxes (Pteropus conspicillatus)
WIKIMEDIA, JUSTIN WELBERGEN
In northern Australia, at least 23,000 spectacled flying foxes (Pteropus conspicillatus), a type of fruit-eating bat, died over two days last November as the country experienced record-breaking temperatures of more than 42 °C (107 °F), the BBC reports.
That body count, tallied by wildlife volunteers in the weeks after the heatwave, amounts to about a third of the 75,000 spectacled flying foxes in Australia, and it may be an underestimate, Western Sydney University ecologist Justin Welbergen tells the publication.
“It was totally depressing,” rescuer David White tells the BBC. About 10,000 black flying foxes (Pteropus alecto) also died during the same two days of extreme heat.
Many spectacled flying foxes were found dead around Cairns, a city in Queensland
DAVID WHITE
Meanwhile, hundreds of thousands of bony herring (Nematalosa erebi), golden and silver perch (Macquaria ambigua and Bidyanus bidyanus, respectively), and Murray cod (Maccullochella peelii) have died in Australia’s Darling River as a result of the extreme weather conditions.
In addition to the record-breaking temperatures, Australia suffered periods of intense drought, causing water levels to drop and heat up.
This set the stage for major blooms of cyanobacteria, which did not kill the fish directly but depleted the dissolved oxygen in the water after a sudden cool spell broke the heatwave, Anthony Townsend, a senior fisheries manager at the New South Wales Department of Primary Industries, says in a statement, according to Nature.
A young bat rescued by volunteers during the heatwave
DAVID WHITE
On Tuesday (January 15), an Australian state government announced a plan to deploy 16 battery-powered aerators across the region’s drought-affected waterways, in hopes of increasing oxygen levels.
 However, Niall Blair, minister for regional water, tells reporters that the aerators “are a Band-Aid solution,” according to the Associated Press. “Nothing will stop this fish kill unless we get proper river flows and water levels in our dams back up to normal.”
Temperatures higher than 42C can kill flying foxes, scientists say
DAVID WHITE
Researchers are concerned about other animals in the country, as the hot, dry weather is predicted to continue.
Flying foxes are likely not the only species that are sensitive to the extreme heat, Welbergen tells the BBC, but because large numbers of the bats live in urban areas, their deaths are hard to miss. “It raises concerns as to the fate of other creatures who have more secretive, secluded lifestyles.”


Residents of Charters Towers in Queensland are being overwhelmed by bats

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30/01/2019

The Human Survival Summit: The Next Wave Of Climate Change Protests Is Coming

Huffington PostJo Confino

Greenpeace and Amnesty International unite in push for greater civil disobedience.



Students gather to demand the government take action on climate change on Nov. 30, 2018 in Sydney, Australia. Young people around the world are staging climate change protests inspired by Greta Thunberg, a 15-year-old Swedish student who has been leading a climate strike outside Swedish parliament. Mark Metcalfe via Getty Images
DAVOS, Switzerland ―Two of the world’s largest nonprofits are joining forces to spark a new wave of civil disobedience to intensify pressure on governments and business leaders to avert a climate catastrophe.
Greenpeace International, which has traditionally focused on environmental issues, and Amnesty International, which has concentrated on human rights, are co-launching a Summit for Human Survival later this year to encourage nonviolent protests and other interventions that force greater action on climate change. The event is expected to include NGOs, grassroots activist groups, as well as arts and cultural organizations from across the world.
Kumi Naidoo, secretary-general of Amnesty, said it is essential for organizations across different sectors to join forces rather than seeing issues such as the environment, human rights and international development as separate. An important aim of the upcoming summit, Naidoo said, is to mobilize non-environmental communities to recognize the seriousness of climate change.
“One of our errors has been to see climate change only as an environmental issue,” he told HuffPost at the World Economic Forum in Davos, which hosts business, political and economic leaders. “We should never have framed it that way, and I hope we have not left it too late to create that intersectionality.”
In its report published last October, the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change found that the world has only 12 years left to avoid catastrophic climate change. Both Greenpeace and Amnesty believe that direct action is essential to wake people up to the immediacy of the problem.
Sunrise Movement protesters inside the office of Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) to advocate that Democrats support the Green New Deal, at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, DC on Dec. 10, 2018. SIPA USA/PA Images
Jennifer Morgan, head of Greenpeace International, told HuffPost that it is important for people to rise up and engage in nonviolent direct action to bring the urgency of this message to corporate leaders in a different way. She highlighted that this week more than 30,000 school students went on strike in Belgium seeking greater action on climate change and children in Berlin took to the streets calling for an early coal phase-out.
“The youth are demanding to be heard. The question is, why isn’t the Davos elite responding with the scale and pace required?” she said. “We have no time to waste.”
Naidoo, who was Morgan’s predecessor at Greenpeace International, believes one focus for direct action should be to push for an end to financial investments in the most polluting industries. That should include going after the big banks, he said, as they continue to fund the fossil fuel industry and are more sensitive to consumer pressure.
The idea of the Summit, said Naidoo, is not for it to dictate or try to coordinate centralized actions but rather to unite individuals and organizations so that they can collaborate in pushing for change. He pointed to new forms of protest such as the Extinction Rebellion movement, one of the many youth-driven civil disobedience movements focused on climate change. It began in the U.K. and is now launching chapters across the globe, including in the United States. Naidoo added that big international NGOs aren’t organizing this mobilization and that this sort of decentralization should be encouraged.
Both Naidoo and Morgan used the end of the WEF to lambast the politicians and business leaders present for not recognizing the planetary emergency we face. Naidoo criticized the leaders present and accused them of only caring about maintaining the status quo, pointing to their failure to act in the wake of the 2008 global financial collapse and the Asian financial crisis a decade earlier. Discussions about the need to scrap fossil fuel subsidies and address tax havens after the last global financial crisis had taken place, he said, but nothing significant had materialized.
“We need to fundamentally rethink what structural and systemic changes are needed in the economy to make sure we address climate and dangerous inequality, which is leading to massive social tensions. Instead, all we have seen is system recovery, system maintenance and system protection.”
As the world tinkers on the brink of a climate catastrophe, Morgan said, “it is deeply disturbing that … avoiding further temperature rise is not at the very center of all of the meetings of CEOs and world leaders.”

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Australia's Heard Island: A Mysterious Land Of Fire And Ice

ABC

Australia's tallest mountain — with its active volcano — is one of the country's best-kept secrets, and holds clues to understanding the Earth's past and its future.
Credits
Journalist: Marty McCarthy
Graphics: Kate Doyle
Photography: supplied by Pete Harmsen, Doug Thost, Matt Curnock, Kieran Lawton, Karl Rollings, Kate Kiefer, Michael Trapp & Australian Antarctic Division
Even if you could get to Australia's most remote island, chances are you still wouldn't quite see it.
The little-known landmass, Heard Island, hides in dense cloud for around 360 days a year.
The rare few who do reach this distant wonder are more likely to hear the gurgle of molten rock bubbling up through the island's violent core.
The active volcano on Heard Island, known as Big Ben, is adorned with vast glaciers stretching to the crashing waves of the ocean far below.
At a soaring 2,745 metres, it is 517m taller than Mount Kosciuszko, giving it the little-known title of the tallest mountain in Australian-owned territory excluding Antarctica.
Heard Island takes seven days to reach by boat from Fremantle.
The 4,000-kilometre journey over rough and stormy seas is usually undertaken only by fishermen and the occasional research scientist.
A map showing the location of Heard Island and the McDonald Islands. 
Doug Thost, a former glaciologist with the Australian Antarctic Division, which administers the island, has made the journey twice. He describes it as a "danger and a privilege".
Humanity deserves to know a bit more about this place; it is a jewel in the southern Indian Ocean. I'd hate to see it loved to death, but I'd love to see it on Australia's list of things to do from a research perspective," he told the ABC.
"Being in such a remote and wild place is pretty humbling. You have to be very aware of the potential danger you could be in and how unlikely it is that you could be rescued if something does go wrong, but it's invigorating."
One of Dr Thost's colleagues almost died traversing the island. Fifteen years ago, on Christmas Eve, Dr Thost and his colleague were climbing one of the glaciers, Brown Glacier, to study how fast it was melting.
The island acts as a sentinel for a warming planet and the impacts of climate change in the Southern Ocean.
"We were at the top of the glacier and my co-researcher and I turned around to go back. We were roped up, thank God, because my colleague suddenly fell into a crevasse. He was a dead weight hanging down there for a bit," Dr Thost said.
The colleague survived but the incident highlighted one of the many perils of the remote subantarctic island.
The weather can be equally as nasty. Wind speeds at Heard Island can average about 33 kilometres per hour.
Dr Thost once recorded a 200kph gust on the glacier — equivalent to a category three cyclone. The winds can whip up a blizzard on a glacier in an instant.

Australia's Hawaii, but colder
Big Ben formed about one million years ago and now looks like a classic volcano — conical, built up over the years by layers of hardened lava, tephra, pumice and ash, with smoke billowing from the top.
It would be bigger if the cooled lava was not in constant battle with glacial ice. At the lava cools, the expanding ice on the glaciers shatters the rock, and the fragments get carried down to the sea.
While Heard Island is larger, the volcanic action on the smaller McDonald Island group, about 43km to the west, is much more violent.
A map of Heard Island and the McDonald Islands. 
"Big Ben oozes runny lava, but McDonald Island explodes," said Jodi Fox, a graduate student in volcanology at the University of Tasmania.
The lava at McDonald is thicker, which traps the gas inside until it almost reaches the surface and then when it does, the gas expands rapidly and causes the explosion.
McDonald became Australia's second active volcano when it broke its 75,000-year dormancy in 1992, according to UNESCO. A large eruption in 1996-97 saw the island double in size to 2.4 square kilometres.
"That part of Australia is growing. Heard is probably producing small lava flows every few months, so it is gradually getting bigger," Ms Fox said.
Ms Fox was part of a team of researchers aboard the CSIRO's Investigator research vessel in 2016 that mapped the seafloor around the islands in search of underwater volcanoes.
"There are features that are almost certainly volcanoes below the surface as well, they just don't have names and we don't know what the extent of their volcanic activity is yet," she said.
The McDonald Islands group has doubled in size over the past 30 years due to volcanic activity. 
Mike Coffin, the chief scientist on that trip, said it was hard to measure the growth of the islands even above the ocean surface. Access to Heard Island is largely restricted to keep it free of introduced animal pests. The volcano itself has only been successfully climbed three times.
"The height of Heard Island at Mawson Peak appears to have grown. Officially Heard is 2,745m, but we think it's now about 2,813m. We'd love to take a helicopter with a device to measure it properly, but the winds are usually too strong for drones or helicopters," Professor Coffin said.
Tom Trull, principal research scientist and marine biochemist for the CSIRO in Hobart, also studied the islands during the 2016 research trip, and said it was unlike any Australian landscape he had ever seen.
"Both islands are a contrast, and beautiful in different ways," Dr Trull said.
"Heard has its big high cone with glaciers glistening in the sun and a plume of ash coming out the top and black lava pouring down the side, and vegetation and wildlife at the bottom.
"Then you go to McDonald. It's a small, fuming, stinky, hot, covered bunch of rough rocks that you couldn't imagine stepping on. It's somewhere between idyllic and hellacious; it's like another planet," Dr Trull said.
Researchers believe the islands are formed by the Kerguelen Hotspot — similar to the way the Hawaiian Islands are forming.
A hotspot is a place where an unusually high flow of convective heat, known as a mantle plume, rises from deep within the earth. The plume melts through the earth's crust, forming a volcano.
"The source of their volcanic material is deep in the earth — about halfway down to the core — about 2,900 kilometres down," Professor Coffin said.
A hotspot under Heard Island and the McDonald Islands is responsible for the volcanic activity in the region.
Volcanoes are more common at the boundaries of tectonic plates, where plates split or collide and magma escapes. That type of volcanism is well understood and proven but hotspots are not.
"These very deep-rooted volcanoes that sit in the middle of tectonic plates, like at Heard and McDonald, would make up less than 5 per cent of the earth's volcanoes. Hawaii would be the most well-known example," Professor Coffin said.
The plume hypothesis is not universally accepted, but it is the most widely cited explanation for how volcanoes form far away from plate boundaries.
One of the reasons behind the addition of Heard and McDonald Islands to UNESCO's World Heritage List in 1997 was their potential clues to understanding this process better, and its role in the formation of ocean basins and continents.
"They [the islands] offer an active example of plume volcanism, providing direct geological evidence of the action of the longest operational plume system known in the world," UNESCO said.
The islands are mostly composed of phonolitic low-silica pumice, dikes and lava domes, and sit atop an underwater plateau known as the Kerguelen plateau. (Supplied: Matt Curnock and Australian Antarctic Division)
 Researchers also believe if it were not for the volcanoes, marine life would not exist in such an abundance in this harsh part of the world. The volcanoes act as a food source, of sorts.
"The island's volcanic activity is a source of iron. Iron enters the water and fertilises phytoplankton productivity in the Southern Ocean," Dr Trull said. "Phytoplankton are the plants of the sea."
Smaller animals, like krill, eat the phytoplankton. Crustaceans and fish then eat the krill. Birds and seals eat the fish.
"Like on land, any animal can eat another animal, but first an animal has to feed on a plant. So the whole history of volcanic activity has made the island, not just physically, but also biologically," Dr Trull said.
"Most of the Southern Ocean has very low levels of [marine life] productivity, but around these islands the levels are high. So the first question is, 'Why are they are high?'"

A forgotten gift from Britain
When Captain John Heard of the merchant vessel Oriental made the first official sighting of Heard Island in 1853, he thought it was a massive iceberg that had drifted from Antarctica.
The captain's wife wrote in her diary: "the sun seemed so dazzling on the water, and the tops of the apparent icebergs covered with snow. We were all the time nearing the object and on looking again, the captain pronounced it to be land".
The first landing happened two years later, and the island became a base for sealers who hunted elephant seal, fur seal and sometimes penguins. One hundred thousand barrels of elephant seal oil were made there before the practice ended in 1877, giving way to an era of scientific expeditions.
Britain's HMS Challenger paid the islands a visit in 1874 to collect scientific samples. Australian geologist and Antarctic explorer, Douglas Mawson, visited Heard Island in 1929.
The United Kingdom formally claimed the islands in 1910 but transferred them to Australia in 1947. However, Australia's interest in the islands' research potential dried up once Mawson Station was established on Antarctica in 1954 and the base on Heard closed the following year.
The most recent expedition to Heard was in 2016 by RV Investigator — it took a team of 40 scientists for six weeks. Mike Coffin, the expedition's chief scientist, said that trip took eight years to plan, and no-one stepped off the boat.
"I would like to see Australia set a year-round research station there and give it the attention it cries out for. It is a fascinating place geologically, biologically, chemically, and physically. But its costs would be in the millions of dollars per year," he said.
Australia's spending on subantarctic research mostly goes to Antarctica, such as the new $2-billion icebreaker vessel currently being built for reasons that are becoming increasingly political.
Despite countries like China and Russia having no territorial claims to Antarctica, both have recently started investing heavily in the region. China is building research stations and airfields and is calling for more access to the continent.
The Australian Government announced a $200 million funding boost to the Antarctic program in 2016.
Australia's new icebreaker, RSV Nuyina, is seen under construction in Romania. (Supplied: Damen/AAD)
"Science is the currency of Antarctica, that's how you make your reputation on Antarctica," Professor Coffin said.
A ban on mining in Antarctica comes up for renegotiation in 2048 when the Antarctic Treaty System (ATS) expires. Mineral exploitation aside, there is a concern countries are eyeing Antarctica for its strategic importance: it's an ideal place to build satellite receivers and global positioning systems (GPS).
Robb Clifton from the Australian Antarctic Division, who is also one of a handful of people to successfully climb Big Ben, acknowledges many scientists want a permanent research base established on Heard Island, but says doing so could taint it.
"There really is not a need for a research station now. We needed it in the past to help us get to Antarctica. But in terms of having a small ecological footprint there, there isn't a requirement to build a station there. We have a subantarctic station on Macquarie Island, which means Heard is left to be a very wild and largely untouched place."
Robb Clifton, Tim Curtis, Stu Davies and Matt Rogerson on the summit of Mawson Peak on Big Ben in 2000. (Supplied: Robb Clifton and Australian Antarctic Division)
A canary in the coal mine for climate change
Researchers argue a permanent presence on Heard Island is critical because they believe it holds clues to understanding not only the earth's formation, but also its future.
Heard Island has 12 major and several minor glaciers that together cover 70 per cent of the island. They are shallow and fast flowing, meaning they respond very quickly to a warming climate.
UNESCO said the glaciers on Heard were responding to climate change "faster than any glaciers elsewhere, making them particularly important in monitoring climate change".
When Dr Thost made his last visit to the island in 2003, that's exactly what he was doing. For four days a week over two-and-a-half months he climbed glaciers, clocking up 25 vertical kilometres by the end of the expedition.
"Based on our study of Brown Glacier over a period from 1947 to 2004, it lost 29 per cent of its original area. In 1947 the glacier stretched all the way to the ocean and ended in a 20-metre-high ice cliff, but now it has retreated by nearly 600m," Dr Thost said.
Researchers investigate glacial retreat on Heard Island caused by climate change. (Supplied: Doug Thost)
Dr Thost said from the 1940s to 2003 the temperature on Heard had increased by 1 degree Celsius in the winter months, and .8 of a degree in the summer months. He pointed to climate change.
"Heard and McDonald Islands are the frontier between cold Antarctic conditions and more temperate conditions. Heard Island is a sentinel island, like a canary in the coal mine. It is telling you that something is happening and temperatures are changing along that convergence."

Wildlife's playground
As the glaciers retreat, they create lagoons and exposed beaches, enabling wildlife to thrive.
Three species of seal live on and around the islands. There are also two endemic bird species, the Heard Island sheathbill and Heard Island cormorant. Fifteen species of flying birds breed there as well as four species of penguin.
Antarctic cod and icefish live in the shallow nearshore waters while crustaceans, skates, toothfish, and even lantern fish reside further out.
The human-sized Patagonian toothfish, which lives more than 2 kilometres below the water's surface and is prized globally for its sweet omega-3 rich flesh, is often a target of illegal fishers.
Patagonian toothfish is caught predominantly by longline in deep waters in the remote Southern Ocean, however the species is unsuitable for intense fishing. (Supplied: Austral Fisheries) 
Since 1997 Australia has operated a legal fishery in the area, for toothfish and mackerel icefish.
"It's an amazing place. You feel liked you walked into a David Attenborough special," Dr Trull said.
Part of UNESCO's decision to grant the islands world heritage status was because of their biological purity. Heard is the only subantarctic island virtually free of introduced species. That purity is reflected in the behaviour of the wildlife that inhabit it.
"The penguins are so curious, they aren't fearful of humans, so they come up to the boat and get so excited that they get silly. They dive and jump like dolphins, trying to get a look at the boat, and they just look stunned," Dr Trull said.
"The entire place is stunning, and it's ours. It's our volcano and glaciers and animals. It startles me that Australians think of their beaches and red deserts, but they don't know about this other part of their landscape."

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Zali Steggall Promises Climate Change Fight With Tony Abbott In Warringah

The Guardian

Independent candidate says she won’t direct preferences to other candidates in former PM’s seat
Zali Steggall says Tony Abbott has ‘continually denied climate change’ and that she won’t direct preferences to other candidates in Warringah. Photograph: Luke Costin/AAP
Zali Steggall has promised not to direct preferences to other candidates and says the government should be more ambitious on emissions reduction than Labor as she makes her pitch to replace Tony Abbott in Warringah.
The independent candidate told Guardian Australia that Abbott had “continually denied climate change” and the conversation had “moved on” from carbon pricing because renewables were already cheaper than coal.
Steggall’s candidacy was welcomed on Monday by Labor and the independent MP for Wentworth, Kerryn Phelps, who said people were “disillusioned by the performance of the Liberal party” on issues including climate change and marriage equality.
Abbott holds Warringah with a primary vote of 51.65% and a two-party preferred vote of 61.55% but is being challenged by independents including Steggall, who is a lawyer and former Olympic skier, the Indigenous broadcaster Susan Moylan-Coombs and Alice Thompson, a former employee of the former prime minister Malcolm Turnbull.
The dumping of Turnbull in August has caused MP Julia Banks to join the crossbench and has been a major hit to the Coalition’s vote in progressive Liberal seats such as Kooyong, where a high-profile independent is also expected to enter the field.
The Herald Sun has reported that Banks is considering moving from her marginal seat of Chisholm to take on the health minister, Greg Hunt, in Flinders.
On Monday Steggall said Warringah was a “a very savvy electorate” and “as an independent it’s important to let people make up own mind” about their preferences.
Asked if failing to direct preferences might help Abbott retain the seat, Steggall replied that “a broad part of my base are moderate Liberal supporters”.
“We’re asking voters to think carefully about how they vote and I’m asking for people’s first preference,” she said. “To succeed, we need to bring down the primary vote of the current member.”
Asked about carbon pricing, Steggall said that a multi-pronged approach was needed to fight climate change and the conversation had “moved on” because there was “no need for subsidies” now that renewables were cheaper than coal power.
“We need to set ambitious targets to accelerate the transition to clean energy and the orderly retirement of coal,” she said. “Abbott and politicians on the far right are proposing subsidising coal, to keep open something that is not cost effective.”
Steggall said she would release a full climate policy before the election but pointed to more ambitious state targets as evidence of a “clear disconnect”, where “the federal government hasn’t been hearing people’s desire to make a difference”.
Steggall said that Labor’s emissions reduction target for electricity of 45% by 2030 was “a start” but was “not enough – we need to push for more”.
The Australian has reported that Abbott will write to voters that he has “more to do” for the electorate and “no one can fight harder for you and for our area than someone with the big megaphone that only a former PM has”.
“My other pledge is to do everything I humanly can to protect you from Labor’s tax attack that will unfairly target people in Warringah with above-average incomes and assets,” he reportedly says.
Steggall expects to capitalise on grassroots organising against Abbott from local groups including Think Twice Warringah and Voices of Warringah, which she said sprung up due to “growing dissent and dissatisfaction” particularly at “the way the Liberal party conducted itself last year”.
Steggall said that Abbott – who has suggested climate change is “probably doing good” – had “continually denied climate change despite all the facts being in”.
“It’s a fair assessment to say that he’s unwilling or unable to move and not open to debate or discussion,” she said. “He’s entitled to take that far-right view but it doesn’t reflect where this electorate is at.
“Warringah wants safe, sound and stable economic policy, but it’s a caring progressive electorate.”
Labor frontbencher Andrew Leigh told Sky News the opposition would “absolutely” still contest Warringah, describing the party’s candidate, Dean Harris, a small business owner, as “a great local bloke”.
The Labor leader, Bill Shorten, said that Abbott was a “formidable and tough campaigner” who could not be written off in Warringah.
He told reporters in Melbourne that Steggall’s nomination showed the government was “lurching from crisis to crisis” as their own supporters were running against the Liberal party as independents.
“On climate change … we agree that Tony Abbott has been a block on action on climate change – but it’s not just him, it’s the whole government.”
When asked about the potential for preferencing Steggall at the election, Shorten said: “This is an independent, she’s just announced that she’s running yesterday. We’ll examine her policies.”
Phelps told Sky News she was “very very pleased” that Steggall had decided to stand as an independent because voters were “angry about a lot of the mismanagement they’re seeing”.
“What we need to see are more independents from the sensible centre who can be an antidote to the lurch to the right we’re seeing from the Liberal party and Coalition government.”

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29/01/2019

Davos Oils The Wheels Of An Ecological Turnaround

AFR - Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, The Telegraph London

Nowhere in global discourse do Big Oil and Big Ecology come together quite so starkly as in Davos, their two parallel universes briefly intersecting in the capital of cognitive dissonance.
In one room Al Gore gives a masterful tour d'horizon of the predicament we face.
"We are putting 110 million tonnes of man-made, heat-trapping, global-warming pollutants into the very thin shell of the atmosphere as if it were an open sewer, and we do that every single day," he tells a gathering of ministers, princes and billionaires.
Al Gore at Davos, where he gave a masterful tour d'horizon of the predicament we face.  Jason Alden
Mr Gore alerts us to a study this month from the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences showing that Greenland's ice is melting four times faster than assumed.
He guides us to the terrifying Hothouse Earth report: we are on track for a temperature rise of 4-5 degrees above pre-industrial levels even under the CO2 targets of the Paris Agreement.
Lethal feedback loops will kick in as permafrost melts across Siberia and methane hydrates are released from the ocean. A cascade of critical thresholds will turn the Amazon to semi-desert. The West Antarctic Ice Sheet will plunge into the water.
As the dominoes fall, sea levels could rise by 60 metres, though that might be the least of our problems. Much of the world would simply be "uninhabitable".
The Davos elites are reduced to tears by Sir David Attenborough's gruesome footage of 100,000 walruses crushed together for survival on a thin strip of the north Russia coast because their ice habitats have vanished.
The mammals are forced on to cliffs, and then slither down to their deaths in a fantastical apocalypse.
Britain's Prince William, left, listens to Sir David Attenborough, who reduced the Davos elites to tears. Markus Schreiber
The audience leap to their feet for a triple ovation. Sir David sweeps the World Economic Forum.
At the same time, Opec leaders are in another room asserting that nothing much is going to change. Fossil dominance is ineluctable.
Amin Nasser, head of Saudi Aramco, says he is not losing any sleep over peak oil or stranded assets. "I don't see it happening in 10 years or even by 2040."
Opec chief Mohammed Barkindo is less defiant, and more alert to the fast-changing mood.
Opec chief Mohammed Barkindo at Davos: "Eighty-two per cent of the world's population has never flown in an aircraft, so there is a huge demand going forward." Simon Dawson
"Our industry is literally under siege and the future of oil is at stake," he said. Yet little is actually changing.
"In our projections, the world oil outlook to 2040, oil will continue to dominate the energy basket," he said.
"The key drivers are trucks, aviation, petrochemicals.
"Eighty-two per cent of the world's population has never flown in an aircraft, so there is a huge demand going forward."
Fatih Birol, the IEA's chief, says the emerging economies of Asia are adding a new coal plant every week.  Aaron M. Sprecher
Opec thinks oil will still be 27 per cent of the global energy mix in 2040, and that fossil fuels will broadly retain the 70 per cent share they hold today. Renewables will still be just 5.4 per cent.
Mr Barkindo notes that the neutral International Energy Agency (IEA) has much the same estimates. He is right.
Oil historian Daniel Yergin from IHS thinks oil demand will peak near 2040 but at a much higher level than today. It will then plateau, held aloft by powerful economic forces.
"I don't think peak means plummet," he said. "We're going to have two billion more people than now."
Rachel Kyte, the UN's special envoy for sustainable energy: "There are still fossil-fuel subsidies in G7 countries. That is ridiculous."  Jessica Hromas
In short, Big Oil and those who know its rhythms are in utter irreconcilable conflict with the planet evangelists. It is natural for anybody with a greenish Weltanschauung to feel a sense of moral outrage.Yet as you drill deeper into the global-warming debate, the moral contours become less clear. This complexity too was in evidence at the policy panels and back rooms of Davos.

The new tobacco companies
Shell, BP, and Total are all at various stages of reinventing themselves as renewable energy companies.
Any non-state oil and gas company that digs in its heels faces a shareholder backlash and the wrath of the disinvestment movement. They are the new tobacco companies.
John Hess, founder of Hess Petroleum, said oil equities are shunned on Wall Street. There is already a fat climate discount on valuations.
"How we get back the hearts and minds of our industry is a real challenge," he said.
Vicki Hollub from Occidental says no major oil and gas company can raise capital or function properly unless it has a climate mitigation plan, and these days it must be more than superficial "greenwashing" or rebranding.
Occidental has teamed up with Net Power in Texas to push for a revolutionary form of carbon capture and storage (CCS).
This puts an oil major once decried as a climate villain on the other side of the ledger.
Net Power was founded by an ex-Goldman Sachs banker who decided to devote the rest of his life and all his money to cracking CCS. His goal was to find a commercially viable way to eliminate the CO2 emissions of coal and gas plants.
The company has built a plant based on the British-designed Allam Cycle with an "oxy-combustion" system using pure oxygen. It uses pressurised Allam Cycle itself to drive a turbine. It is a closed loop with no smokestack.
The hope is that the technology will capture 100 per cent of greenhouse gases and other pollutants at no extra running cost.
Zero-cost CCS would do more to cut emissions than electric vehicles - marvellous though they may be - even if every fossil-fuelled car on the planet were eliminated.
Fatih Birol, the IEA's chief, says the emerging economies of Asia are adding a new coal plant every week. The region has 2000 gigawatts of coal power from facilities with another 40 years of life ahead of them.
The sunk investments cannot be wished away.
"There is a gross disconnect between all the reports and targets and what people say at Davos, and what is happening in real life," he said.
"I am not saying that oil and gas are innocent, but they are not the main problem. There seems to be a blind spot about this in the climate-change debate."
The IEA estimates that coal accounts for 30 per cent of greenhouse gases.
"We have to move to CCS," he said, adding that just 8 per cent of CO2 emissions come from the 1 billion cars on the roads (to be 2 billion in another generation).

The distorting Tesla effect
Even if EVs reached 300 million by 2040 - an ambitious target - this would cut new emissions by just 1 per cent. The Tesla effect has distorted public perception.
"I don't think a lot of policymakers have an understanding of how Herculean the task is," said John Hess.
He invoked the 15 "Princeton Wedges", the combination of measures that would broadly be needed to cut emissions to zero while meeting the surging energy needs of China, India, the developing economies.
The world would have to do the following:
  • triple nuclear power to 1200 gigawatts
  • increase wind power tenfold to 2 million turbines
  • increase solar panels a hundredfold to 15,000 square miles (38,850sq km)
  • replace 1400 coal plants with gas, and fit 800 remaining plants with CCS
  • double vehicle efficiency from 30mp/g to 60mp/g (3.9 litres per 100km), and cut mileage driven by half
  • raise biomass ethanol from one sixth of the world's cropland
  • stop all tropical deforestation
  • adopt conservation tillage across all global agriculture and so forth.
Seen in this light, the vilification of the oil industry alone smacks of scapegoating.
"Climate change is real. You see it in warmer oceans where the water is acidifying, and in melting glaciers," said Mr Hess.
"I don't think anybody disagrees with the 'what'. It's the 'how' that is the real challenge."
The biggest single cause of global warming is farming and loss of forest combined, accelerated by our meat-based eating habits.
As an impassioned World Bank official told a panel, governments spend $US560 billion ($779 billion) a year on farm subsidies. Much of this promotes destructive practices.
The chief culprits are the US, Europe and the rich OECD economies. Part of the money goes into growing animal feed, a subsidy for livestock and cows (methane).

Fossil fuel subsidies 'ridiculous'
Or it goes into the production of sugar and high-fructose corn syrup, aiding and abetting our misnamed obesity "epidemic".
It is not an epidemic. It is a state-promoted and funded addiction syndrome.
A further $US250 billion goes into fossil-fuel subsidies, mostly in poorer countries.
This diverts scarce funds from healthcare and education towards the active encouragement of energy wastage and CO2 emissions.
Rachel Kyte, the UN's special envoy for sustainable energy, said everybody is to blame.
"There are still fossil-fuel subsidies in G7 countries," she said.
"That is ridiculous. We are not being consistent and coherent across our economies."
With the right policy framework the private sector will pick up the baton and run with it.
"The technology exists and it can be done affordably," she said.
If there is an enemy, it is not the oil industry. It is us.

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