02/01/2021

Is Nuclear Fusion The Answer To The Climate Crisis?

The Guardian

Promising new studies suggest the long elusive technology may be capable of producing electricity for the grid by the end of the decade

A rendering of Sparc, a nuclear fusion reactor currently under development. Scientists behind Sparc hope it will be capable of producing electricity for the grid by 2030. Photograph: T Henderson/CFS/MIT-PSFC/Wikimedia


If all goes as planned, the US will eliminate all greenhouse gas emissions from its electricity sector by 2035 – an ambitious goal set by President-elect Joe Biden, relying in large part on a sharp increase in wind and solar energy generation. 

That plan may soon get a boost from nuclear fusion, a powerful technology that until recently had seemed far out of reach.

Researchers developing a nuclear fusion reactor that can generate more energy than it consumes have shown in a series of recent papers that their design should work, restoring optimism that this clean, limitless power source will help mitigate the climate crisis.

While the new reactor still remains in early development, scientists hope it will be able to start producing electricity by the end of the decade.

Martin Greenwald, one of the project’s senior scientists, said a key motivation for the ambitious timeline is meeting energy requirements in a warming world. “Fusion seems like one of the possible solutions to get ourselves out of our impending climate disaster,” he said.

Nuclear fusion, the physical process that powers our sun, occurs when atoms are pushed together at extremely high temperatures and pressure, causing them to release tremendous amounts of energy by merging into heavier atoms.

Since it was first discovered last century, scientists have sought to harness fusion, an extremely dense form of power whose fuel – hydrogen isotopes – are abundant and replenishable. Moreover, fusion produces no greenhouse gases or carbon, and unlike fission nuclear reactors, carries no risk of meltdown.

Fusion seems like one of the possible solutions to get ourselves out of our impending climate disaster
Martin Greenwald
Harnessing this form of nuclear power, though, has proven extremely difficult, requiring heating a soup of subatomic particles, called plasma, to hundreds of millions of degrees – far too hot for any material container to withstand. To work around this, scientists developed a donut-shaped chamber with a strong magnetic field running through it, called a tokamak, which suspends the plasma in place.

MIT scientists and a spinoff company, Commonwealth Fusion Systems, began designing the new reactor, which is more compact than its predecessors, in early 2018, and will start construction in the first half of next year.

If their timeline goes as planned, the reactor, called Sparc, will be capable of producing electricity for the grid by 2030, according to researchers and company officials. This would be far faster than existing major fusion power initiatives.

Existing reactor designs are too large and expensive to realistically generate electricity for consumers. Through the use of cutting-edge, ultra-strong magnets, the team at MIT and Commonwealth Fusion hope to make a tokamak reactor that is compact, efficient and scalable. “What we’ve really done is combine an existing science with new material to open up vast new possibilities,” Greenwald said

Having demonstrated that the Sparc device can theoretically produce more energy than it requires to run in the research papers published in September, the next step involves building the reactor, followed by a pilot plant that will generate electricity onto the grid.

Scientists and entrepreneurs have long made promises about fusion being just around the corner, only to encounter insurmountable problems. This has created reluctance to invest in it, particularly as wind, solar and other renewables — although less powerful than fusion — have become more efficient and cost effective.

But the tide is changing. In Biden’s $2tn plan, he named advanced nuclear technologies as part of the decarbonization strategy, the first time the Democrats have endorsed nuclear energy since 1972. There is also significant investment coming from private sources, including some major oil and gas companies, who see fusion as a better long term pivot than wind and solar.

According to Bob Mumgaard, chief executive of Commonwealth Fusion, the aim is not to use fusion to replace solar and wind, but to supplement them. “There are things that will be hard to do with only renewables, industrial scale things, like powering large cities or manufacturing,” he said. “This is where fusion can come in.”

The plasma science community is generally enthusiastic about Sparc’s progress, though some question the ambitious timeline, given engineering and regulatory hurdles.

Daniel Jassby, who worked as a research scientist at the Princeton Plasma Physics Lab for 25 years, is skeptical about whether a fusion reactor like SPARC will ever provide a feasible alternative source of energy. Tritium, one of the hydrogen isotopes that will be used as fuel by Sparc, is not naturally occurring and will need to be produced, he said.

The team at MIT propose that this substance will be regenerated continuously by the fusion reaction itself. But Jassby believes that this will require a huge amount of electricity, which will make the reactor prohibitively expensive. “When you consider we get solar and wind energy for free, to rely on fusion reaction would be foolish,” he said.

Mumgaard concedes that the challenges that lie ahead are daunting. But he remains confident.

“There is a broader trend in acknowledging how important climate is and that we need all hands on deck,” he said. “We got into this problem with technology, but with fusion there are big opportunities to solve this with technology.”

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(AU) Cabinet Papers: How Howard Government Could Have Avoided Climate Wars

NEWS.com.au - Finn McHugh

The dogged opposition of a key minister helped block an emissions trading scheme throughout the 2000s, paving the way for two decades of climate wars. 

The 2000 cabinet papers show John Howard’s cabinet had an almost unanimous view of an ETS as effective and inevitable. Source: News Limited

Australia could have avoided two decades of climate wars had the Howard government pushed ahead with its majority view of an emissions trading scheme (ETS), newly released documents reveal.

The National Archives has released the 2000 cabinet papers, showing John Howard’s cabinet had an almost unanimous view of an ETS as effective and inevitable.

The scheme was ultimately scuppered by internal divisions.

Historian Chris Wallace said the lack of climate change scepticism in the 2000 cabinet was in stark contrast to the current Coalition, which has been mired by factionalism over the issue.

“The distinctive thing about these papers is that they don’t show any science versus politics binary,” she said.

The 2000 cabinet papers reveal John Howard’s cabinet viewed an ETS as effective and inevitable, but the scheme was ultimately sunk. Source: News Limited

“The picture the papers show is one where the science is not questioned, it’s not even mentioned.

“There’s just a broad expectation coming through cabinet submissions … that there was likely to be a neutral market solution to this issue, and that an ETS was only a matter of time.”

The documents reveal cabinet wanted to act decisively to end uncertainty for investors, a problem that continues to hinder the energy sector today.

The government conducted a feasibility study into an ETS in 2000, and then Deputy Prime Minister John Anderson said the debate “lined people up in unusual ways”.

“People you would not have thought of as economic rationalists around the table argued the economic rationalist position,” Mr Anderson said.

“Those who we might have thought of as being deeply committed to a free enterprise model were surprisingly interventionist.”

Industry Minister Nick Minchin staunchly opposed the ETS. Picture: Michael Jones

Chief among those was Industry Minister Nick Minchin, who attempted to derail an ETS by insisting cabinet should only approve it if there was an established international trading scheme.

“Minchin’s perspective was … that we not make ourselves cleaner but poorer and others dirtier but richer,” Mr Anderson said.

A tug of war between Mr Minchin and Environment Minister Robert Hill continued all year.

Mr Minchin ultimately prevailed, defining the Coalition’s climate policy for two decades.

Treasurer Peter Costello’s proposal for an ETS was rejected by cabinet in 2003 before Prime Minister John Howard lost the 2007 election after embracing the scheme.

In 2009, Mr Minchin was crucial in toppling Malcolm Turnbull’s leadership over his support for an ETS.

Dr Wallace said under Mr Turnbull’s successor, Tony Abbott, the Coalition “harked back to a less sophisticated, pre-Howard era of coalition government” on emissions.

Nick Minchin (right) helped topple Malcolm Turnbull over an emissions trading scheme. Picture: Mark Graham / AAP Image

Prime Minister Julia Gillard’s term was partly defined by her acrimonious rollout of a carbon tax, which Mr Abbott savaged as a “great big new tax”.

But Dr Wallace said the Coalition’s experience in rolling out the controversial goods and services tax (GST) showed an ETS would have become “an accepted, unremarked upon aspect of finance in Australia” had Mr Howard won in 2007.

Mr Anderson agreed that a 2007 win would have led to an ETS but denied the “devilishly difficult” issue would have been put to bed.

“Take Melbourne and central Queensland: Australians’ aspirations in this area are miles apart and remain so. As some people worry desperately about their jobs and industries, others want climate change action,” he said.

“I don’t think those arguments would have gone away. There would have been ongoing disputes about the need to intervene at certain times to save this industry, or those jobs, or whatever.

“Every intervention, as was pointed out at the time, would throw more weight on domestically focused industries and households.”

Climate change is already here and it's getting worse

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(AU) Australia Records Fourth-Warmest Year In 2020, Despite La Niña

The Guardian

Climate scientist says another top 10 year is a ‘no shit, Sherlock’ moment, as temperatures across the country were 1.15C above average

Ploughing near Gunnedah in north-west New South Wales in May. La Niña brought much-needed rain to parts of Australia in 2020, but it was still the fourth-warmest year on record.  Photograph: Mark Kolbe/Getty Images



Last year was the fourth warmest on record for Australia, continuing a run of record warm years over the past decade, according to provisional data released by the Bureau of Meteorology.

Across the country, temperatures in 2020 were 1.15C higher than average, putting the year behind 2005, 2013 and 2019, which remains the hottest year on record.

The data is gathered from the bureau’s ACORN-SAT dataset that takes readings from 112 weather stations across the country and goes back to 1910.

Eight of the 10 hottest years on record for Australia have occurred since 2013, the data shows. Climate scientists said the heat was driven by human-caused climate change.

Dr Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick, a climate scientist at the University of New South Wales specialising in extreme events, said human-caused climate change had reliably delivered another top 10 year.

The hottest and driest year on record remains 2019, when mean temperatures were 1.52C above the 30-year average taken between 1961 and 1990.

Australia experienced droughts, heatwaves and devastating bushfires that carried on into 2020.

In March, abnormally high sea surface temperatures across the Great Barrier Reef caused the third mass coral bleaching event in five years.

The hottest spring on record occurred in 2020, with temperatures 2.03C above average. That ended with a November 2.47C warmer than average – the hottest November on record.

The bureau will check the latest provisional data before making a formal climate statement on 8 January.

The bureau declared a La Niña event in September and in late December said its influence was likely reaching its peak, with climate models suggesting a return to neutral conditions around late summer or early autumn.

La Niña is the cooler phase of a cycle known as Enso (El Niño Southern Oscillation), with the warmer phase known as El Niño.

Blair Trewin, senior climatologist at the bureau, told Guardian Australia La Niña’s influence on temperatures tended to come the year after the phenomenon was declared.

But he said: “Clearly 2020 was significantly warmer than a normal year. But it was a return to some level of normality after an exceptional 2019.”

While November was a record hot month, Trewin said it was likely that December had been relatively cool.

Rainfall and cloud cover in the north-west and central parts of the country had brought temperatures down.

Across the year, Trewin said, the underlying warming trend expected from human activity was the main driver of the higher temperatures.

La Niñas are associated with lower ocean temperatures in the tropical Pacific and can bring higher rainfall for northern, eastern and central parts of the country, as well as cooler daytime temperatures.

The provisional data shows the previous hottest year to be associated with a La Niña was 1998, when Australian temperatures were 0.97C above average.

The most recent year that temperatures failed to get above the 1961 to 1990 average was 2011 – the middle year of a La Niña that spanned three years.

Perkins-Kirkpatrick said the record hot November had been a surprise because it was expected that La Niña would have kept temperatures lower.

She said: “2019 was in a league of its own and 2020 I think was not as extreme. The tone for the year was far more placid.

“Even with a La Niña end to the year, La Niñas now are warmer than El Niños were without climate change. We are seeing each year come into the top 10, and each year will shift ever warmer.”

She said human activity – mainly from burning fossil fuels that were loading the atmosphere with extra carbon dioxide – was generating the extra heat.

“It is absolutely us causing this warming. It couldn’t be occurring naturally.”

In December the World Meteorological Organization released a preliminary report saying 2020 was likely to be among the three hottest years globally, using an average across five global temperature datasets.

The UN agency said the warmth of 2020 would mean the past six years were likely to be the six warmest years on record.

Bureau of Meteorology Climate and Water Outlook

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