28/03/2021

(AU) Australia’s Worst Floods In Decades Quicken Concerns About Climate Change

New York TimesDamien Cave

In a country that suffered the harshest wildfires in its recorded history just a year ago, the deluge has become another awful milestone.

After days of unrelenting rain, major flooding in eastern Australia forced nearly 20,000 people to be evacuated and more than 150 schools to be closed. Credit...Matthew Abbott for The New York Times

WINDSOR, Australia — Kelly Miller stood in her doorway on Monday, watching the water rise to within a few inches of the century-old home where she runs an alternative medicine business.

The bridge nearby had already gone under in some of Australia’s worst flooding in decades, along with an abandoned car in the parking lot.

“It’s coming up really quickly,” she said.

Two massive storms have converged over eastern Australia, dumping more than three feet of rain in just five days.

In a country that suffered the worst wildfires in its recorded history just a year ago, the deluge has become another record-breaker — a once-in-50-years event, or possibly 100, depending on the rain that’s expected to continue through Tuesday night.

Nearly 20,000 Australians have been forced to evacuate, and more than 150 schools have been closed. The storms have swept away the home of a couple on their wedding day, prompted at least 500 rescues and drowned roads from Sydney up into the state of Queensland 500 miles north.

Shane Fitzsimmons, the resilience commissioner for New South Wales — a new state position formed after last year’s fires — described the event as another compounding disaster.

Last year, huge fires combined into history-making infernos that scorched an area larger than many European countries. This year, thunderstorms have fused and hovered, delivering enough water to push rivers like the Hawkesbury to their highest levels since the 1960s.

Scientists note that both forms of catastrophe represent Australia’s new normal. The country is one of many seeing a pattern of intensification — more extreme hot days and heat waves, as well as more extreme rainfalls over short periods.

Watching the flooded Hawkesbury River in Windsor, on Monday. Over the weekend, the river rose rapidly by more than 30 feet. Credit...Matthew Abbott for The New York Times

It’s all tied to a warming earth, caused by greenhouse gases.

Because global temperatures have risen 1.1 degrees Celsius, or about 2 degrees Fahrenheit, over preindustrial levels, landscapes dry out more quickly, producing severe droughts, even as more water vapor rises into the atmosphere, increasing the likelihood of extreme downpours.

“There is a very strong link between global warming and that intensification in rainfall,” said Andy Pitman, director of the ARC Center of Excellence for Climate Extremes at the University of New South Wales. “There’s good scientific evidence to say extreme rain is becoming more extreme due to global warming.”

Australia’s conservative government — heavily resistant to aggressive action on climate change that might threaten the country’s fossil fuel industry — has yet to make that link.

Prime Minister Scott Morrison has offered funds for those forced to flee, and several dozen areas have already been declared disaster zones.

Sandbagging in Windsor, which may see some of the worst flooding as rains continue on Tuesday. Credit...Matthew Abbott for The New York Times

“It’s another testing time for our country,” he told a Sydney radio station, 2GB, on Monday.

Windsor may become one of the places hardest hit. Over the weekend, the Hawkesbury rose rapidly by more than 30 feet, and it is expected to peak in the next day or so at 42 feet.

With rain continuing to fall, emergency workers wearing bright orange went door to door on side streets with waist-deep puddles where the road dipped.

In and around the historic downtown, many of the businesses close to the river stayed shut on Monday, with a few putting sandbags by their doors. The central meeting place seemed to be at the foot of the Windsor Bridge, where television crews and crowds in rubber boots marveled at the view.

The new Windsor Bridge, which opened just a few months ago as a “flood-proof” replacement for an older bridge, was completely underwater.

It was built 10 feet higher than the bridge it replaced, but the river flowed over it as if it did not exist. A red flashing light on the top of a buried yellow excavator offered the only hint of the old bridge, or what had once been solid ground.

Flooding in Windsor. Experts say the storm that produced the floods was a once-in-50-year event, or perhaps even 100. Credit...Matthew Abbott for The New York Times

Cameron Gooch, 46, a diesel mechanic from a town nearby, said he saw huge trees speeding downriver toward the coast a day earlier. The water seemed to have slowed down, he said, becoming a giant bathtub with water held in place and rising slowly from tributaries.

“That’s the problem,” he said. “It’s just going to keep building up.”

A few feet away, Rebecca Turnbull, the curator of Howe House, a home and museum built in 1820, put handwritten notes on the furniture that would need to be removed if the water surged a few more feet.

She pointed to a line drawn on the doorway of a room that smelled of damp old wood.

“This is where the water came up to in 1867,” she said.

Like many others in Windsor, she said she doubted the river would reach quite that high this time around. But that didn’t bring much solace to those closer to the rising brown sludge.

Windsor may become one of the places hardest hit by the Australian floods. Credit...Matthew Abbott for The New York Times

Rachael Goldsworthy, who owns a home and real estate business just behind Ms. Miller’s naturopathic clinic — it’s a few feet higher on the hillside — said she saw a new Mercedes washed downstream the night before after a man had parked in a small puddle and then went into a grocery store to buy a roast chicken.

In just minutes, the rising water carried the car away. On Monday, she tried to help Ms. Miller find a few milk crates — the only defense for some of the heavy furniture that could not be moved out.

Inside, Ms. Miller and her son collected oils and other products that she would normally be selling, with plans to put them in a truck or a storage unit. The antique flowered carpet was still dry, and she’d taped up the toilets to keep the septic system from backing up into the house.

She said she didn’t have flood insurance because she couldn’t afford it. So all she could do was learn from YouTube videos about how to fight a flood.

“We’re trying to work out how to save what we can,” she said. “We don’t want to lose everything.”

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(AU) Biden Invites Morrison To Climate Summit, Urges Lift In Ambition

Sydney Morning HeraldMatthew Knott

Washington: Prime Minister Scott Morrison is among 40 leaders invited by the Biden administration to a high-powered climate change summit in April, a meeting designed to spur a raft of ambitious new carbon reduction pledges from global leaders.

The invite marks a welcome change for Morrison from the end of last year, when UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson pointedly declined to ask him to join a virtual “climate ambition summit”.

Johnson told Morrison in a letter that he had been snubbed because Australia had not announced ambitious enough goals to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions.

US President Joe Biden has invited 40 world leaders to a climate summit in April. Credit: Bloomberg

John Kerry, President Joe Biden’s climate envoy, recently said the US and Australia were not “on the same page” when it came to tackling climate change.

The Biden administration has not made participation in its summit, to be held virtually on April 22 and 23, contingent on any specific new carbon reduction commitments.

But the Morrison government will still face pressure to announce new steps to tackle to climate change.

Boris Johnson outlines why Scott Morrison was rejected to speak at climate summit
In his invite to the summit, Biden urged leaders to use the event to outline how their countries will contribute to stronger climate ambition.

The Biden administration will announce an “ambitious” 2030 emissions target in the lead-up to the summit, the White House said.

Environmental group are urging Biden to pledge a 50 per cent in US emissions below 2005 levels by 2030.

Biden is also expected to make investment in clean energy technologies a major plank of a multi-trillion dollar infrastructure plan he will unveil next week.

The other leaders invited to the summit include Chinese Premier Xi Jinping, Russian President Vladimir Putin, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern.

Prime Minister Scott Morrison has pledged to work closely with the US President-Elect Joe Biden on key issues such as climate change.

Collectively, the nations represented at the summit account for around 80 per cent of global emissions and global GDP.

The fact Biden has invited China and Russia to the summit - two nations his administration has named as major threats to global stability - shows his determination to separate action on climate change from disagreements on issues such as trade and human rights.

“The Leaders Summit on Climate will underscore the urgency – and the economic benefits – of stronger climate action,” the White House said in a statement on Saturday (AEDT).

“It will be a key milestone on the road to the United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP26) this November in Glasgow.”

The White House said one of the key aims for the summit was to galvanise efforts by the world’s major economies to keep a limit to global warming of 1.5 degree Celsius within reach.

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In a discussion with former vice president Al Gore last month, Kerry said: “Australia has had some differences with us, we’ve not been able to get on the same page completely.

“That was one of the problems in Madrid as you recall, together with Brazil.”

At the Madrid climate summit in 2019, some countries accused Australia and Brazil of thwarting progress on climate action by refusing to drop a plan to use carry-over carbon credits from the Kyoto Protocol to meet their 2030 Paris Agreement targets.

In a speech earlier this month to the Berlin Energy Transition Dialogue, Kerry said the 2020s has to be the the “decade of ambition and the decade of decision and the decade of action” on climate change.

“So it’s a sprint,” he said. “And it’s a sprint towards substantial emission reductions by 2030.”

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(AU) 'We Want To Be Included': First Nations Demand A Say On Climate Change

The Guardian

Cairns event sees 120 traditional owners and scientists share insights on tackling heatwaves, rising seas and species deaths

Gudjugudju (Rainbow Serpent) Fourmile, led the Bana Ganyarra Wunyami tour of Admiralty Island and Green Island, where traditional owners and scientists shared data on climate change. Photograph: Brian Cassey/The Guardian

More than 100 traditional owners and leading scientists from across Australia met this week to build a national First Nations voice on climate change.

From marine heatwaves and rising seas to bushfires and mass species deaths, climate change is having a major impact on First Peoples, their country, health and culture.

Internationally, Indigenous people make up less than 5% of the world’s population, but they manage and protect 80% of global biodiversity.

The mangrove forests on Admiralty Island at Trinity Inlet in Queensland. Gudjugudju Fourmile estimates that the mangroves will be submerged by 2040. Photograph: Brian Cassey/The Guardian

This week in Cairns, the CSIRO convened the National First Peoples Gathering on Climate Change. One hundred and twenty traditional owners from more than 40 nations met with climate scientists and Bureau of Meteorology experts to share insights about where, why and how fast the climate in Australia is changing.

The gathering’s co-chair, Bianca McNeair, who is a Malgana woman from Gatharagudu (Shark Bay) in Western Australia, said: “We want to be included in the climate policy, not just like ticking the box for an environmental program.”

McNeair said Aboriginal people are on the frontline daily, coping with the impacts of a changing environment.“Changing climate affects our cultural practices, it’s changing our seasonal calendars,” she said. “All of those things are facing all our mob across Australia.“[People here] are talking about how the birds’ movements across country have changed, so that’s changing songlines that they’ve been singing for thousands and thousands of years, and how that’s impacting them as a community and culture.

“You know, we are very resilient people, so it’s a challenge we were ready to take on. But now we’re facing a situation that’s not predictable, it’s not part of our natural environmental pattern.”

McNeair said Aboriginal knowledge holders and the scientific community at the conference have agreed on guidelines for ethical and culturally appropriate partnerships, which are essential to mitigation and adaptation.

On her homelands at Gatharagudu at Shark Bay, working with scientists, they’ve begun planting sea grasses for carbon sequestration.

“We’re learning from the scientists how to plant the seagrass, which was not something that was part of our traditional culture because we never really had to do that – it was managed through other means. We didn’t have this whole global warming, which is raising the temperature of our water,” McNeair said.

Climate change specialist and senior principal research scientist Dr Kathleen McInnes of CSIRO Melbourne prepares to view the coral at Green Island during the tour. Photograph: Brian Cassey/The Guardian

“We were saying to the scientists, ‘What’s wrong with our dugong and turtles?’ And they were explaining about the marine heatwave, and how that’s all changing.

“So one of the things that I’ve learned is what the [seagrass] seedlings look like, and how to plant them.

“For me, as a saltwater person, that means I’m planting a tree in the ocean, and I’m planting a tree that’s going to take in 10 times more carbon than a tree on land. That, to me, is really exciting and it’s keeping our spiritual connection to country that keeps giving us hope.”

The gathering is currently drafting a national statement on climate change, due to be released soon.

“Aboriginal people manage 80% of the world’s biodiversity,” McNeair says. “We’re in this position where we can make a big change, but we need to be listened to.

“What we really need is to be able to get to the top levels of government and be heard and be included in that discussion and developing those climate change policies.”

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