14/04/2021

(AU) First Australian Scorecard Of Vehicle CO2 Emissions Reveals Best And Worst Brands

The Guardian

Automotive sector is working on voluntary emissions reductions but the industry says government inaction is slowing progress 

Australia’s peak automotive industry body has set an ambitious target to reduce CO2 emissions as the government drags its heels on policy. Photograph: kokkai/Getty Images/iStockphoto

Australia’s peak automotive industry body has released its first “scorecard” of CO2 emissions from cars imported into the country in 2020.

The report from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries (FCAI) breaks down average CO2 emissions by carmaker and the number of sales in order to show the difference between average CO2 emissions and the target set under the industry’s voluntary standard.

Among the best-performing brands on CO2 emissions were Toyota, Lexus and Jaguar while the worst-performing were luxury brands Lamborghini and Ferrari which massively overshot their voluntary emissions reductions target.

FCAI chief Tony Weber said the release formed the “baseline” for a long-term plan by carmakers to compensate for a lack of government action in Australia by voluntarily working to reduce vehicle emissions by 4% a year until 2030.

“It’s an ambitious target,” Weber said. “This puts a line in the sand. We put that out for transparency. What we’re doing is saying here is a target in 2030 that we’re going to aim for.

“We have two issues in Australia. We don’t have a [CO2 emissions] target and we have the lowest quality fuel in the OECD. Marry those together and it’s really hard to get the best quality drive-train technology into the market.”

Details
Monitoring CO2 emissions from passenger cars and light commercial vehicles in 2020 (pdf)

Weber said the 10-year timeframe was chosen to give manufacturers a chance to make adjustments over the model cycle of different vehicles.

While most car models are built on a five-year cycle, some are produced on a 10-year cycle.

Australia 'risks being dumping ground' for cars with greenhouse gas 1,400 times more potent than CO2 Read more
The problem was exacerbated as other major economies have set ambitious mandatory targets, which is seeing global carmakers direct cars with newer technologies everywhere else first.

“You can’t just change your CO2 output overnight. You can’t just put a new engine in,” he said.

We’re about 1m cars in a 100m market. It’s about directing limited supply of these technologies around the world to markets with targets. Supply will meet demand.”

Adjunct Associate Prof Robin Smit from the University of Technology Sydney and director transport energy/emission research said he it was good to see the industry “taking the lead”.

“Previous research has shown that new Australian passenger vehicles have not reduced CO2 emission rates as fast as the other major jurisdictions,” Smit said.

“It is good to see action from the FCAI with the aim to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

“There is nothing new about this test though.”

Smit said the initiative could be further improved with the adoption of the newer Worldwide Harmonized Light-duty Test Procedure (WLTP) standard that has been used overseas since 2017 to more accurately measure real-world CO2 emissions.

The FCAI’s current methodology relies on a legislated test called the New European Drive Cycle (NEDC) that was developed in the early 1970s and does not accurately capture real-world emissions. In 2015, the difference between the result obtained in the lab using the NEDC and real-world on-road emissions was as high as 40%.

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“The NEDC test doesn’t capture real-world emissions, basically,” Smit said.

“Purely from a climate change perspective where we want to reduce emissions quickly, it is really important to know the real-world emissions levels. 

"The NEDC test previously used in the EU and that is still used in Australia is increasingly underestimating on-road emissions.

“It is important that we get a handle on real-world emissions reductions.”

Another concern was the use of different weight standards for cars, light SUVs and heavy SUVs. Smit said where this occurs it creates a risk that sales of large SUVs will continue to grow and some manufacturers will attempt to reclassify smaller cars as heavy SUVs in order to continue selling underperforming vehicles.

In one example from the early 2000s, Chrysler sought to evade fuel efficiency standards that were limiting sales of the popular Dodge Ram pickup by building the PT Cruiser. The vehicle looked like a car but was built on a “truck” platform which had worse fuel economy but was also subject to more lenient regulations that applied to heavy vehicles in the US.

Similar problems have also emerged in Europe where weight-dependent standards boosted sales of larger and heavier vehicles – which have increased real-world CO2 emissions. Many of these were then exported to vehicle fleets around the world.

“It is clear that other policy measures are needed to complement the voluntary standards and achieve real on-the-road reductions in CO2 emissions from the on-road fleet,” Smit said.

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(AU) Climate Change Is A Security Threat The Government Keeps Ignoring. We’ll Show Up Empty Handed To Yet Another Global Summit

The Conversation

Eastern Indonesia has recently experienced landslides and flash floods from torrential rains. AP Photo/Rofinus Monteiro

Author
Cheryl Durrant is a fellow of the Institute for Integrated Economic Research -Australia, an Adjunct Associate Professor at UNSW, and a Climate Councillor.
Professor Durrant has over 30 years’ experience in the national security sector, including specialist Army intelligence and Defence capability and preparedness roles.
In her former role as Director of Preparedness and Mobilisation, Department of Defence, she led major Defence initiatives into climate change and energy sustainability and commissioned the first major review of Defence mobilisation since Vietnam, including supporting studies into global supply chain vulnerability and cyberwar. 
Climate change is a hot topic in Australian security circles, as it poses an emerging threat to our national resilience and way of life.

As a new report from the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) last week warned, the federal government is unprepared to meet these challenges.

The report, authored by Dr Robert Glasser, said the government has largely overlooked the security threat posed by rising seas, climate-induced famine, extreme weather events, mass migrations and other climate change damage in Southeast Asia. Australia is sitting on the frontline of this vulnerable region.

Glasser’s report focuses on Southeast Asia, but in the bigger picture, climate security is an existential global risk which the Australian government is yet to fully grasp. It is this global aspect of climate and security which will be on the agenda in two weeks time at the Biden Leaders Summit in the US.

Why should we be worried?

The global risk is broader than traditional security threats, such as the rise of China, terrorism and separatist movements. As the ASPI report emphasises, there is a relationship between climate security and other sectors such as food, health and environmental security.

Unlike traditional national security threats, climate threats have no respect for national or sector borders and cannot be solved with missiles.

The threat is urgent. With the end of the Donald Trump presidency, climate change is back on regional and international security action agendas. The penny has dropped on how little time is left to take action to prepare for the worst of consequences.

This is especially the case when there are long lead times to implement action, such as infrastructure development and military capability development.

ASPI’s key recommendations to the government include:
  • improving understanding of climate change risks through a broad whole-of-government process
  • building capacity in government agencies to assess ongoing risks
  • identifying opportunities for regional aid and investments.
These make sense, as the first step of preparedness is understanding the risk.

Security risks go beyond natural disasters

The ASPI report notes Southeast Asia “has the world’s highest sea-level rise per kilometre of coastline and the largest coastal population affected by it”. The region is a hot spot for cyclones, with some nations vulnerable to catastrophic heat or fires.

Debris caught on a submerged bridge in Windsor, northwest of Sydney, after the recent floods in NSW. AP Photo/Rick Rycroft, File

The ASPI report notes:
Those hazards will not only exacerbate the traditional regional security threats […] but also lead to new threats and the prospect of multiple, simultaneous crises, including food insecurity, population displacement and humanitarian disasters that will greatly test our national capacities, commitments and resilience.
The report focuses on Southeast Asia and natural disasters, but the risks and the affected regions are bigger than that.

The Indo-Pacific region may see the displacement of millions of people due to climate change-related extreme weather events, heatwaves, droughts, rising seas and floods. We’re already seeing this occur in Bangladesh and small island developing states.

We could also see conflict arise as climate change affects global food or water resources. A particular concern is the potential geopolitical tensions between India and China over dwindling Tibetan water resources.

Australia is getting left behind

Urgency and risk are central to an executive order from President Joe Biden in January. The order requires a US national security estimate on the economic and national security impacts of climate change by June. The US Department of Defence must also complete an analysis of the security implications of climate change in the same timeframe.

Most tellingly, the US is taking an integrated approach to climate security. Foreign policy, defence and economic risk analysis are being conducted in a joined-up, systemic way.

In contrast, the Australian Defence Strategic Update 2020 was conducted in isolation from foreign policy and economic reviews. Taking a narrow military perspective, it does mention climate change, but only once, as a subset of human security threats.

Australia risks being left behind as other countries follow the US lead. Across the Tasman, our Kiwi friends are already well advanced in turning risk awareness into action. The New Zealand government completed its first national climate risk assessment last year, with a national adaptation plan to be completed by August 2022.

Forty world leaders will attend the Leaders Summit on Climate that Biden will host on April 22 and 23. EPA/Alex Edelman/POOL

What are the consequences?

Being left behind has consequences for Australia’s international standing, national resilience and economic position.

From a diplomatic perspective, Australia’s influence in the Indo-Pacific region is diminished, relative to other actors, especially in states where climate change risk is a top priority, such as Vanuatu or Kiribati.

Risks offer opportunities as well. For example, Australia has an abundance of critical minerals and rare earths needed for modern communications, space technologies, and renewable energy generation and transmission. These are key for business, as well as critical for defence forces.

However, processing and manufacturing is largely conducted offshore — in countries vulnerable to climate risks such as Malaysia — before returning to Australia as finished products.

This puts Australian defence and space and energy sectors at risk of disruption, and Australian businesses at risks of economic loss.

What needs to happen next?

ASPI’s report echoes the earlier recommendation from a 2018 Senate inquiry into the implications of climate change for Australia’s national security. The inquiry also called for a coordinated whole-of-government response to climate change risks.

Three years later, the federal government has yet to act on its recommendations.

The Australian government now needs to have a greater sense of urgency to act on the growing national and international calls to act on climate risk. But first, our leaders need a changed mindset. They must accept that climate change is an immediate threat to Australia.

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(AU) Big Surf Flips Boulders Across Road In Port Fairy, Reigniting Climate Change, Coastal Erosion Concerns

 ABC South West Vic

Huge rocks swept up to 30 metres from the seawall. (Supplied: ABC Radio listener Graham)

Wild surf has battered Victoria's south-west coast, sweeping large boulders onto roads and trapping a family on an island off Port Fairy.

Emergency services rescued the family from Griffiths Island on Sunday after large waves and a high tide left them stranded, unable to access the narrow pedestrian walkway that would link them to the mainland.

Port Fairy-based shire councillor Jordan Lockett said the force of the ocean was incredible and roads were strewn with seaweed and large boulders.
"Some of the boulders would take literally four strong people to lift and the ocean has just flipped it across the road, so there's a huge might there," he said.
Locals reported some rocks had been moved up to 20 or 30 metres from the sea wall, which lined a road along the town's South Beach precinct.

Wild surf has battered Victoria's south-west coast, sweeping large boulders onto a road. (Supplied: ABC Radio listener Graham)

Cr Lockett said the impact of climate change on the shire's "vulnerable coastline" would continue and worsen over the years to come.

The Victorian government has already instructed councils to plan for a 0.8-metre sea level rise by 2100.

But updated data released by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predicted sea level rises of up to 1.1m.

Climate change impacts swell patterns

Speaking to the ABC last year, coastal geomorphologist David Kennedy from the University of Melbourne said Victorian coastal areas were under threat from changes to swell patterns as a consequence of climate change.
Friends of the Earth climate activist Leigh Ewbank said the "startling" images of displaced boulders at Port Fairy were "a sign of things to come".

"It raises the question, if this is what Port Fairy is seeing today, how will this community cope with sea level rises of 10, 20 centimetres — let alone a metre of sea level rise," he said.

Mr Ewbank said other Victorian towns, such as Apollo Bay and Inverloch, had already sounded the alarm about the issue.

"It was only a matter of time before the Port Fairy community started connecting the dots," he said.

But some Port Fairy locals are already involved in a citizen-science program gathering data about coastal erosion and monitoring changes to the coastline.

The group formed after 4m of coastline was lost to coastal erosion in 2013 and threatened to expose an old rubbish site.

The small town of Port Fairy lies just over three hours' drive from Melbourne, on the state's south-west coast. (Supplied: ABC Radio listener Graham)

'Weak' penguins rescued, at risk

The wild weather over the weekend also impacted local penguin populations.

Tracey Wilson has been running a wildlife centre near Warrnambool and said she rescued three penguins that washed up on nearby beaches.

Tracey Wilson says she's lucky if one in 10 penguins survive. (Supplied: Mosswood Wildlife Centre)

"The seas down here were absolutely horrendous," she said.
"When we get them they're often so weak they can't stand up."
Ms Wilson is urging anyone who sees a penguin on the beach to contact wildlife rescuers.

"Please don't ignore a penguin that's on the beach, if it's still alive please get it help," she said.

"If you can approach them, they're in a lot of trouble and just shouldn't be there at all."

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