22/08/2021

(The Guardian) A Billion Children At ‘Extreme Risk’ From Climate Impacts – UNICEF

The Guardian

Report launched with youth activists including Greta Thunberg paints ‘unimaginably dire’ picture


Rescuers evacuating a child from a flooded area following heavy rains in Suizhou, China. Photograph: CNS/AFP/Getty Images

Almost half the world’s 2.2 billion children are already at “extremely high risk” from the impacts of the climate crisis and pollution, according to a report from UNICEF.

The UN agency’s head called the situation “unimaginably dire”.

Nearly every child around the world was at risk from at least one of these impacts today, including heatwaves, floods, cyclones, disease, drought, and air pollution, the report said.

But 1 billion children live in 33 countries facing three or four impacts simultaneously. The countries include India, Nigeria and the Philippines, and much of sub-Saharan Africa.

The report is the first to combine high-resolution maps of climate and environmental impacts with maps of child vulnerability, such as poverty and access to clean water, healthcare and education.

“It essentially [shows] the likelihood of a child’s ability to survive climate change,” said Nick Rees, one of the report’s authors.

The report was launched with youth climate activists on the third anniversary of Greta Thunberg’s first school strike, which sparked a global movement. After a pause in public demonstrations during the coronavirus pandemic, a global climate strike is planned for 24 September.

Henrietta Fore, UNICEF executive director, said: “For the first time, [this report gives] a complete picture of where and how children are vulnerable to climate change, and that picture is almost unimaginably dire. Virtually no child’s life will be unaffected.”

”Children are uniquely vulnerable to climate hazards,” she said. “Compared to adults, children require more food and water per unit of body weight and are less able to survive extreme weather events.”

The report calls for the inclusion of young people in all climate negotiations and decisions, including at the UN Cop26 summit in Glasgow in November. “The decisions will define their future,” said Fore. “Children and young people need to be recognised as the rightful heirs of this planet that we all share.”

Thunberg said: “We are not just victims, we are also leading the fight. But [the world] is still not treating the climate crisis like an emergency. We are still just talking and greenwashing things instead of taking real action. But, on the other hand, there have been many millions of people mobilised, especially young people, and that is a very important step in the right direction.”

Nkosilathi Nyathi, a climate activist from Zimbabwe, said: “Climate change is very personal to me.”

He said heatwaves and floods had interrupted his schooling and farmers in his village were struggling with unpredictable weather.

“I’m passionate about the inclusion of young people in decision-making platforms – young people are the world’s most precious natural resource.”

The UNICEF report said the impacts of the climate crisis were “deeply inequitable” and very likely to get worse. Rees said: “The top 10 countries that are at extremely high risk are only responsible for 0.5% of global emissions.”

The report found 920 million children are highly exposed to water scarcity, 820 million to heatwaves, and 600 million to vector-borne diseases such as malaria and dengue fever, which are likely to get worse as suitable climate conditions for mosquitoes and pathogens spread.

300 million children live in areas with extreme air pollution, data reveals. Read more

“But there is still time to act,” said Fore.

“Improving children’s access to essential services can significantly increase their ability to survive these climate hazards.

"UNICEF urges governments and businesses to listen to children and prioritise actions that protect them from impacts, while accelerating work to dramatically reduce greenhouse gas emissions.”

Mitzi Jonelle Tan, a youth campaigner from the Philippines who also helped launch the report, said: “One of the reasons I’m a climate activist is because I was born into climate change like so many of us have been.

"I have such vivid memories of doing my homework by the candlelight as typhoons raged outside, wiping out the electricity, and growing up being afraid of drowning in my own bedroom because I would wake up to a flooded room.”

“[Cop26] has to be the one that changes something because we’ve gone for so long having these conferences only coming up with empty promises and vague plans,” she said.

Thunberg said: “We cannot stress enough how big a responsibility the UK government has now.

"But there is a lie that the UK is a climate leader and that they have reduced their CO2 emissions by more than 40% since 1990.

"If you include things like aviation, shipping, outsourcing and imports and the burning of biomass, it doesn’t really look that good – they are very good at creative carbon accounting.

"We want them to stop talking and start acting.”

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(Gizmodo) It Rained at the Summit of Greenland’s Ice Sheet for the First Time Ever Recorded

Gizmodo -  Dharna Noor

The rain triggered widespread ice melt—a warning sign for what the climate crisis may have in store.

Photo: Saul Loeb/AFP (Getty Images)

Last week, the Greenland ice sheet underwent a major melting event—its second in two weeks.

This time around, the melting was quickened by a wholly unexpected and unwelcome visitor: rain.

Seven billion tons of rain fell on the country last week, and for the first time in recorded history, it rained at the Greenland Summit Camp, a research station near the normally frigid top of the ice sheet. 

Saturday was also only the third time this decade that temperatures ever rose above freezing at Greenland’s summit, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center.

The big melting event took place across two days last weekend. These large-scale melts can do serious damage to the ice sheet even if they only last a few days.

The darker water can absorb the sun’s energy and cause the surrounding ice to melt faster, destabilizing the snow and firn below the surface. The blitz of water can screw up ice sheet dynamics in the longer term as well.

“During melt events, these processes can occur over parts of the ice sheet that do not typically experience melt, making the impact more widespread,” Lauren Andrews, a glaciologist with NASA’s Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, said in a statement to NASA’s Earth Observatory. “Positive feedbacks like these are starting to take their toll.”

The weekend of rain adds yet another wrinkle to the mix. In addition to melting ice, it also creates issues for when it inevitably refreezes. Ice made by the compression of snow and firn is generally pretty white and reflective.

 Ice by way of rain is relatively smooth and dark, though, which means it will absorb more of the sun’s rays and be more prone to melting.

Before and after satellite images showing the impact of rain on the Greenland ice sheet. The cloud-free image was acquired on Aug. 12, 2021 while the rainy one was acquired on Aug. 15, 2021. Gif: Gizmodo (NASA Earth Observatory)

On Saturday, the extent of ice affected by melting peaked at 337,000 square miles (872,000 square kilometers), roughly half of the massive ice sheet. 

About two-thirds of the ice sheet melted in late July, and this marks only the second year on record the ice sheet has seen more than one melt event of more than 309,000 square miles (800,000 square kilometers).

What’s more, no melt event of that extent has ever been seen as late in the year as the one that just hit the ice sheet.

This summer is a warning sign of the horrors the climate crisis has in store. The Arctic is warming faster than anywhere else on Earth. Studies show that rain is becoming far more common, and that trend will continue as the climate crisis becomes more severe.
 
A 2020 report found that some Arctic regions will begin seeing rain instead of snow in any month of the year, even during the traditionally frigid winter.

Daily ice melt extent at the Greenland Ice Sheet during last week’s melt event. Photo: National Snow and Ice Data Center/T. Mote, University of Georgia
  
TheGreenland ice sheet meltdown is only one impact.

These shifts have also taken a massive toll on the region’s Indigenous populations and ecosystems, and they’re dangerous for those of us living far from the Arctic, too.
 
Last week’s major Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report showed that melt from Greenland and Antarctica’s ice sheets is causing seas to rise faster than at any point in the last 3,000 years.

A 2019 study found that if the world keeps emitting greenhouse gases at an increasing rate, ice melt from Greenland alone could cause sea levels to rise between up to a foot (.3 meters) by the end of the century, overwhelming coastal communities around the world. 

It would also eventually lead all of the ice sheet to disappear, albeit by the year 3000. That would raise sea levels 23 feet (7 meters). 
The only way to ward off that fate is to rapidly, urgently kick fossil fuels to the curb and draw down greenhouse gas emissions.
 
If we don’t, rain at the Greenland Summit Camp could become common—and could be the least of our problems.

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(CBS News) How Climate Change Helped Strengthen The Taliban

CBS News -

Drought-displaced Afghan children carry water containers filled from a tanker at a camp for internally displaced people in the Injil district of Herat province, August 3, 2018. HOSHANG HASHIMI/AFP via Getty Images

Rural Afghanistan has been rocked by climate change. The past three decades have brought floods and drought that have destroyed crops and left people hungry. And the Taliban — likely without knowing climate change was the cause — has taken advantage of that pain.

While agriculture is a source of income for more than 60% of Afghans, more than 80% of conflicts in the country are linked to natural resources, according to a joint study by the World Food Programme, the United Nations Environment Program and Afghanistan's National Environmental Protection Agency.

In 2019, Afghanistan ranked sixth in the world for countries most impacted by climate change, according to the Germanwatch Global Climate Risk Index.

Over the last 20 years, agriculture has ranged from 20 to 40% of Afghanistan's GDP, according to the World Bank. The country is famous for its pomegranates, pine nuts, raisins and more. However, climate change has made farming increasingly difficult.

Whether from drought or flood-ravaged soil, farmers in the region struggle to maintain productive crops and livestock. When they cannot profitably farm, they're forced to borrow funds to survive. When Afghans can't pay off lenders, the Taliban often steps in to sow government resentment.

"If you've lost your crop and land or the Afghan government hasn't paid enough attention [to you] then of course, the Taliban can come and exploit it," said Kamal Alam, a nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council's South Asia Center.

The Taliban has capitalized on the agricultural stress and distrust in government to recruit supporters. Alam said the group has the means to pay fighters more, $5-$10 per day, than what they can make farming.

"[Farmers] fall into choices. That's when they become prey to people who would tell them, 'Look, the government is screwing you over and this land should be productive. They're not helping you. Come and join us; let's topple this government,'" said Nadim Farajalla, director of the climate change and environment program at the American University of Beirut.

In the mountainous north, snow and glaciers have melted more quickly and earlier than ever before, at times flooding fields and irrigation systems, but also leading to snowmelt-related drought in the winter. In the south and west, some areas have seen heavy precipitation events increase by 10 to 25% over the past 30 years.



Those regions are often left reeling, without adequate aid from the former government.

"With poverty and war and everything else, climate change is the last thing on anyone's mind," said Alam.

Today, one-third of Afghans are in "crisis" or "emergency" levels of food insecurity due to drought, a danger potentially more threatening than the historic 2018 drought that left thousands dead.

Farajalla said even Afghans who move into the urban areas in order to leave the stress of farming behind still cannot escape the pressures of "people of ill repute."

"They become destitute enough to be given a few dollars to join this party or that group."

The ripples of these climate-spurned Afghans can last for years. Farajalla said farmers who abandon their land often leave their families behind, arguably making those children easier recruiting targets for extremism.

Climate change has fueled terrorism and civil unrest elsewhere in the world. Boko Haram gripped water-scarce central Africa in 2017 as they gained footholds along the Lake Chad Basin.

ISIS has taken advantage of agrarian communities suffering from extreme drought in Iraq and Syria. Farajalla said arid or semi-arid areas in impoverished countries with low levels of education and poor infrastructure are all ripe for extremism.

The Taliban has not only used farmers and rural communities to fortify their ranks, but also to help fund their efforts by taxing farmers on their territory. Most crucially, they have controlled the uber-lucrative poppy trade in Afghanistan.

The country is the world's leading supplier of opium poppies. Not only has the Taliban made billions from their illicit drug trade, but poppies require less water than other crops, providing more stable means to struggling farming communities.

Poppy cultivation is most abundant in the south of the country, where drought in part fueled by climate change has been the most severe and the Taliban is most popular.

These partnerships have helped the Taliban's popularity. But since taking control of the country, the group has vowed to make the nation poppy-free — a tenuous political decision that would not be popular with the rural communities that rely on the crop, said Vanda Felbab-Brown, director of the Initiative on Nonstate Armed Actors and a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution.

"If they went to go for the ban quickly, they would cause themselves a huge economic downturn. They would set off massive miseration of the population. And they would have real problems with maintaining stability," she said.

"Their own fighters often harvest poppy. For many of the fighters, poppy was the principal source to help them fund their family and themselves. They could do jihad for months but would have to disengage to harvest so the family had food."

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