RenewEconomy - Ketan Joshi
Have you heard the good news? One of the key institutions holding back climate
action in Australia – Rupert Murdoch’s News Corporation – is
suddenly on Team Climate Action!
Today, the Sydney Morning Herald revealed
that the company’s Australian outlets are set to launch a
campaign urging “the world’s leading economies” to embrace a target of net zero emissions
by 2050; to be fronted by columnist Joe Hildebrand. The details aren’t out yet,
but I contend that we can comfortably predict what it will look like.
It will be a centrist, pro-business approach to climate action. It will make a
show of dismissing the “hysterics” of climate activists, while urging
governments, including Australia’s, to set distant, meaningless and
non-binding climate targets.
It won’t allow any room for emissions
reductions in line with the 1.5C goals or the Paris agreement; no short-term
meaningful targets or actions such as those highlighted in the IEA’s recent
‘net zero’
report. It won’t argue for a coal phase-out by 2030, or the end of all new coal,
gas and oil mines in Australia, or a ban on combustion engine sales by
2030-2035; all vital actions if Australia is to align with any net zero
target.
It’ll champion controversial technologies like CCS and fossil hydrogen. It’ll
highlight personal responsibility: tree planting, recycling and electric
vehicle purchases. It will not propose or argue in favour of any new policies;
at least none that might reduce the burning of fossil fuels.
How can we know all this before we’ve seen the actual campaign? It’s easy –
let me explain.
Done with denial
Here’s a remarkable statistic for you. In the month of August this year,
global media
coverage of climate saw its highest volume since the December 2009 Copenhagen climate
meetings. That’s partly down to the release of the IPCC’s AR6 Working Group
one
report into climate
change, six years in the making.
That report reiterated something extremely
important: every single tonne of carbon dioxide does damage. Actions must be immediate
and aggressive to align with the most ambitious pathways. Delay is deadly.
No media coverage records for Australia: coverage of climate change has
dropped almost entirely off the radar relative to the high volumes of late
2019 and early 2020 (partly driven by the Black Summer bushfires).
|
These figures track newspaper coverage of climate change or global
warming in 5 Australian newspapers (Sydney Morning Herald, Courier Mail
& Sunday Mail, The Australian, Daily Telegraph & Sunday
Telegraph, and The Age). Updated through August 2021.
|
During the Black summer bushfires of 2019-20, I did a few interviews about
Australia with baffled and perplexed international reporters. “What is going
on over there? Why did the people elect such a climate laggard?”.
A key part of my response was to pin blame on Australia’s media
industry. Mostly on News Corp, which dominates the country’s uniquely
concentrated media landscape, and which is notorious for its heavily
politicised climate views. In fact, a recent
study quantified this in historical terms, analysing media coverage within Canada,
New Zealand, the United Kingdom, the United States and Australia for its
climate science accuracy.
By a comfortable margin, News Corp’s Daily Telegraph and the Courier Mail
scored the second and fourth worst among every media outlet analysed between
2005 and 2019 (The Australian wasn’t included in the analysis).
Australia has, in general, seen the least accurate climate science
coverage from 2013 onwards, despite a general rising trend in scientific
accuracy over the past decade. For a decade and a half, News Corp lied about
climate science with the blatant aim of protecting the revenue streams of the
fossil fuel industry, and protecting its political allies.
This is important as a historical study, but today, it’s increasingly
irrelevant. As the study points out, the accuracy of climate science has
essentially plateaued in media coverage, with outright denial consigned to the
dustbin.
The authors highlights that “the terrain of climate debates has shifted in
recent years away from strict denial of the scientific consensus on human
causes of climate change toward ‘discourses of delay’ that focus on
undermining support for specific policies meant to address climate change”.
The fundamental goal is the same – staving off action – but the way it
manifests is very different.
Delay is the main game
There are many substantial recent examples of this. A
good one was the severe blackouts that spread across Texas in February this year, which
were immediately blamed on wind power failures, alongside easily debunked
claims that snows and ice were blocking solar panels and freezing up wind
turbines in Texas and around the world.
This isn’t climate change denial: it’s “
mitigation denial“. That is, a move away from denying the problem exists and towards decrying
its solutions as utterly unacceptable. An important part of this performance
is pretending to have a moment of having seen the light, but then continuing
to commit the same acts of delay as before.
Murdoch’s The Sun, in the UK, did precisely this. In October 2020, The Sun
launched a ‘
Green Team‘ campaign that focused on ‘individual responsibility’ in the lead-up to
COP26, to be held in Glasgow at the end of this year. It wasn’t long until
they were celebrating their own victory in
freezing fossil fuel taxes.
The UK’s Daily Express, another hyper-conservative outlet that ‘saw the
light’, continues to publish articles attacking climate activism and, more
significantly, framing climate action in an explicitly “eco nationalist” way,
as UK writer Sam Knights highlights in this
article in Novara media. He says,
“Make no mistake: these newspapers are not your friends. They are not your
allies. Their politics are not in any way ecological. They are deeply
racist, reactionary, right-wing publications. Their sudden interest in
climate change is not to be celebrated – it is a terrifying indication of
things to come.”
It’s notable that these examples seem to manifest in the UK, and less so in
similar anglophone countries like Canada or the US or New Zealand. Those are
led by centre-left parties and politicians, but the UK’s conservative embrace
of climate action is surely a model that Australia’s PM Scott Morrison pines
to replicate.
Sure, the UK certainly is miles ahead of Australia
in terms of climate action – but there remains a
very significant gap between Boris Johnson’s climate policies and where the country actually needs
to be to align with the carbon budget that its independent climate advisor
body has laid out.
A technocratic, rich white country with a government more concerned with
optics than doing what needs to be done to protect people from being hurt by
fossil fuels. Morrison’s obviously inspired by the UK, but Australia’s
conservative media outlets are increasingly inspired, too.
Net zero by sometime after I retire, please
This is all coming to a head at COP26. George Brandis, Australia’s attorney
general, who once
declared that “coal is very good for humanity indeed”, is now High Commissioner for
Australia to the UK, and has significantly
ramped up the broader greenwashing exercise that the government has been enacting
over the latter half of last year and most of this one.
As I
wrote in RenewEconomy, that means creative accounting, dodgy charts and deceptive
framing, all designed to paper over Australia’s significant failure to reign
in emissions.
Morrison will almost certainly set a net zero by 2050 target before COP26, but
it’ll be
packaged with a collection of loop holes that allow for rising emissions in the short term. It is dawning on the
government just as it is dawning on News Corp: the best way to protect the
fossil fuel industry today is not to deny the science, but to pretend to
accept it. This is not the end of climate denial. It’s evolution from a common
ancestor.
That this effort will be lead by Joe Hildebrand is telling enough. His
previous work on climate change does exactly what a centre-right campaign like
this would be best at – decrying both sides as ‘hysterical’ while failing to
propose anything meaningful or substantial.
We can also see hints of what a conservative climate message looks like in a
previous editorial from the more progressive News Corp outlet, NT News, which
– of course – continues to host syndicated climate denial from the Sky News
Australia channel. Ditto for
News dot com.
What might reasonably seem like a surprising change of heart in News Corp’s
stance on climate is actually a long-term tactical shift that has been
occurring for at least a few years. Whatever policies they failed to destroy
through their earlier campaigns, they will try and reframe through racist,
nationalistic, technocratic and pro-business frames.
Whatever policies they can delay or destroy, they’ll simply keep running scare
campaigns about, insisting that ‘the balance isn’t right’, and that the threat
of climate action is greater than the threat of climate change, as they always
have (in Australia, News Corp’s partnerships with Google and Facebook mean
these campaigns to destabilise climate action are
growing more powerful and more harmful every day).
When the next federal election comes around, the “COSTS OF NET
ZERO” scare campaigns will ramp up in Australia as they are in the UK, and
News Corp will be at the forefront, pleading that acting too fast will cause
catastrophe. Absolutely mark my damn words: this is what will happen.
Net zero by 2050 isn’t enough. We’ll know that the denialism has truly ended
when organisations like News Corp treat the IPCC’s latest report like it’s
real. That is, when they acknowledge that every additional unit of greenhouse
gases causes harm to life on Earth, and that actions to stop their release
must be as fast as possible.
That climate change is an emergency
that requires rapid action to wind down the fossil fuel industry in a just and
equitable way, and that its replacement must be grown to full size with just
as much passion and urgency.
This campaign won’t look anything like that. We know what it will look like –
and it won’t be anything surprising at all.
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