27/11/2021

(AU SMH) Can Court Cases, Boardroom Takeovers And Protests Save The Planet?

Sydney Morning Herald - Sherryn Groch

As governments lag on climate policy, people are looking to drive change in other ways. What are their tactics and do they work?


In the middle of the shareholder revolt, the board called a sudden recess. It was May 2021, 40 minutes into the annual shareholder meeting of Exxon Mobil. A decade earlier, the oil and gas giant had been the most powerful company in the world. Now it was in danger of losing control of four board seats – in one vote.

Annual shareholder meetings are usually reliably dull, well-choreographed affairs, especially for a giant like Exxon. “Most people are there for the free sandwiches,” laughs Daniel Gocher at the Australasian Centre for Corporate Responsibility.

But this was a coup worthy of a storyline in Succession. A plucky hedge fund holding less than 0.02 per cent of Exxon shares had campaigned to flip board seats in favour of its own hand-picked candidates. Only this wasn’t about the usual power struggles of big business or family dynasties. This was about climate change. Exxon wanted to expand its fossil fuel extraction, despite posting recent losses of billions of dollars as demand fell.

The hedge fund, known as Engine No. 1, argued that “driving humanity off a cliff” no longer made good business sense. With votes still trickling in – and swayable – before polls closed, a hasty break was called and the Exxon executives hit the phones to try to convince key investors to come back. It didn’t work. Engine No. 1 won control of a quarter of the board, installing three new directors committed to driving the company towards a clean energy transition.

The same day, another fossil fuel giant, Chevron, faced a similar climate-related shareholder campaign, demanding the company cut emissions – not just from its operations but from the oil and gas it sold, meaning an overhaul of its core business. And that morning, even more dramatic news broke that oil and gas multinational Shell had been ordered by a Dutch court to cut its total emissions almost in half by 2030 to meet the Paris Agreement goal of keeping the world well below 2 degrees of warming.

This month, deals made between nations at the COP26 climate summit in Glasgow fell short of what the science tells us is needed. While there was real progress (such as stronger emissions cut pledges and agreements to end deforestation), the most critical negotiations to phase out planet-warming fossil fuels failed to get some key countries on board.

Government policy is crucial to accelerating the clean energy transition, but it’s not the only lever to pull for climate action. People are increasingly taking the fight to boardrooms, to courtrooms and to the streets as they target the same fossil fuel giants lobbying governments to delay climate action.

So, beyond COP, where are the key battlegrounds? And can people power really save the world?

School strikers rallied in Melbourne in May 2021 for climate action.
School strikers rallied in Melbourne in May 2021 for climate action. Credit: Luis Ascui

How are environmental protests changing (and do they work)?

Ella Simons was 13 and sleeping in the shadow of a mountain when the fire alarms went off. It was the dead of night, just three days into 2020 but already months into a horror bushfire season. Ella had been camping near Mansfield with a youth group. Now the smoke was choking, and the black sky streaked orange as the fire advanced. Seven-year-olds ran past her, crying, coughing. Ella followed them onto the bus.

For much of that past year, she’d been organising protests in Victoria as part of the global “school strike for climate” movement – wrangling police permits and speaker line-ups between classes and soon drawing crowds bigger than any seen before at an Australian protest. “The scientists had been saying these fires were coming and, suddenly, here they were,” Ella says. “It was terrifying.”

A year later, she found herself in Mallacoota as part of a bumper-to-bumper convoy of travellers rushing to beat pandemic lockouts at the Victorian border. “The trees were still black where the fires went through,” Ella says. But she could see green shoots sprouting up through the dirt too, clinging to the bark. Thousands of them. “I thought, wow, nature is fighting back. We’ve lost all this momentum during COVID but we can’t forget what happened that summer.”

David Ritter, chief executive of Greenpeace Australia Pacific has been thinking a lot about regeneration too, about the seeds buried so deep only a firestorm can unleash them. “Those seeds are still there after COVID, they’re growing. The school strikers have re-energised the entire climate movement.”

Last month, Ella turned 15 the same day she hopped on a plane to Milan to represent Australia at the UN’s youth climate summit ahead of COP26. Young people came from all over the world to draft policy and march in the streets behind Greta Thunberg, the Swedish teen who ignited the climate strike movement in 2019 when she skipped school to protest outside her parliament every Friday.

Ella was the youngest delegate there – almost every year of her life has now ranked among the hottest on record. While she shares Thunberg’s frustration with the stagnating political process, she says being with Thunberg and her peers and the thousands of adults from all walks of life now standing behind the school strikers has given her hope. “At school we learn about history. Well, we’ve been creating it too.”

And, Ritter says, the climate movement is learning from it. As Ella and her fellow school strikers gear up for more protests next year, other groups are waking from pandemic hibernation too, including Extinction Rebellion (XR), which came to global attention when activists scaled bridges, blockaded roads and shut down much of central London traffic over 11 days in 2019.

On the final night, a mural by street artist Banksy appeared depicting a child with the XR hourglass symbol and the words, “From this moment despair ends and tactics begin”. Days later, a UK Parliament under pressure declared a climate emergency.

Before XR, these “direct action” tactics had mostly been used by environmentalists against specific projects (not peak-hour traffic). Non -violent civil disobedience, which draws on the legacies of the suffragettes and the civil rights movement, is polarising, but it has led to big wins in the past.

Blockades and protest camps saved the Franklin River in Tasmania from a dam in the 1980s, and in recent years has helped shrink and delay huge coal mines planned for the Galilee Basin in Queensland. When Greenpeace sent one of its ships – the same ships largely credited with saving whales from hunting decades earlier – to the Great Australian Bight off the coast of South Australia, the resulting flotilla of fishermen, traditional owners and concerned locals helped scare off the last of the big companies planning to drill for oil beneath those waters.

In 2012, when activists in inflatable boats tried to block the Margiris supertrawler from docking to fish in Australian waters, an eleventh-hour government ban banished the controversial ship just days later. And Greenpeace’s habit of occupying oil rigs at sea created an even more hostile climate for Shell’s Arctic drilling ambitions, which it eventually abandoned after a long opposition campaign.

A Banksy artwork appeared on the final night of Extinction Rebellion’s London blockade in 2019.
A Banksy artwork appeared on the final night of Extinction Rebellion’s London blockade in 2019. Credit: Facebook/XR

These wins are not always clear-cut; sometimes they’re short-lived or fraught with danger (Greenpeace’s first ship was bombed by the French secret service). And they almost always take time. In the US, the decade-long campaign to stop the Keystone oil pipeline could have been looked on as a failure until it wasn’t – President Joe Biden vetoed it in his first days in office.

In that fight, and in many others, Indigenous people have been a driving force. The World Bank calculates they safeguard about 80 per cent of all biodiversity left on Earth, and experts say there are big environmental wins when Indigenous nations manage their land.

But Gomeroi woman Karra Kinchela says heritage and native title laws are weak in Australia. Sometimes a nation will not agree on whether to allow development. “It can be used to divide us, or they’ll come in and try and buy us off,” she says.

In 2014, former Wallabies captain David Pocock locked onto equipment with farmer Rick Laird to disrupt work on a coal mine threatening the Leard State Forest in NSW.
In 2014, former Wallabies captain David Pocock locked onto equipment with farmer Rick Laird to disrupt work on a coal mine threatening the Leard State Forest in NSW. Credit: Twitter

In her home of Narrabri in NSW, Kinchela is fighting to stop Santos from expanding its gas fields. “This is beautiful country but I’ve seen it change. We’re now surrounded by coal mines and gas fields.” The river where she and her father once swam is now clogged with sediment.

To drill 850 new gas wells, Santos plans to cut roads through much of the Pilliga forest, a refuge for koalas, quolls and the rare Pilliga mouse. And the whole area sits on a key recharge zone for the Great Artesian Basin – the mammoth groundwater system that feeds much of inland Australia – drawing concern from farmers about well contamination.

The proposal, which Santos says will create local jobs and has careful restrictions around water, drew a record 23,000 community submissions in NSW, almost all opposed. But this year, it was fast-tracked by the federal government (even before approvals were in) as part of its gas-led COVID recovery. Santos did not respond to requests for comment.

Kinchela says the community is running out of options, but it won’t back down. “Our Country has been hurting from the drought, then the fires. What will be left for us when they come and take what they want?”

The campaign against the Keystone pipeline was driven by First Nations people across the US.
The campaign against the Keystone pipeline was driven by First Nations people across the US. Credit: Bismarck/Tribune/AP

How are campaigners following the money?

Damaging the planet is done for profit, so much of modern environmental campaigning focuses on the financials. As Australia ducked calls to up its climate ambition at COP26, Prime Minister Scott Morrison declared that “can-do capitalism” would fix the climate crisis, not government intervention.

He was right in one way. Although nations such as Australia still pour billions of dollars into taxpayer subsidies to the fossil fuel industry, the transition to clean energy is already well under way, says Will van de Pol at Market Forces. Renewables are now cheap and efficient. Already, they make up almost a third of world energy use.

The question is whether the phase-out of fossil fuels will happen fast enough to avoid the trillions of dollars (not to mention many lives) that will be lost the further beyond 1.5 degrees of warming we go – and how much companies will extract of the coal, oil and gas reserves that scientists say must stay in the ground.

“That’s why we follow the money: to make sure it’s used as a force for good,” says van de Pol. Just 100 companies worldwide are estimated to have produced about 70 per cent of the emissions since 1988.

One tactic, divestment, involves convincing an investor – be they an individual or a large fund or bank – to pull their financing of fossil fuel projects. “A clear red line drawn by the scientists, and now the [world energy authority] the IEA, is that the world can’t afford any new fossil fuel projects,” says van de Pol.

Divestment has already killed off projects around the world, including in the Bight. And it’s whittled down Indian company Adani’s coal mining in the Galilee as a growing international list of banks, investors and insurance companies rule out involvement in the project often described as a “carbon bomb” such is its approved scale.

Large institutions including Harvard and Oxford universities and Norway’s sovereign wealth fund have also pulled out from fossil fuel investments of any kind following hard-fought campaigns. Billions and likely trillions of dollars are now estimated to have been divested globally, including by the British royal family and the Vatican. “But it’s not happening fast enough”, says van de Pol, “because clearly fossil fuels are still getting financed too often.”

Emma Thompson pulls a giant polar bear puppet outside Shell’s London headquarters in 2015 to protest planned oil drilling in the Arctic.
Emma Thompson pulls a giant polar bear puppet outside Shell’s London headquarters in 2015 to protest planned oil drilling in the Arctic. Credit: Jiri Rezac / Greenpeace.

How does shareholder climate activism work?

If you have a stake in a public company, however small, you can try to drive change from within. Gocher and van de Pol have helped run shareholder campaigns at some of Australia’s biggest fossil fuel players as well as the big four banks. Gocher says it means a lot of talking – on the phone, on Zoom, at webinars – as well as chasing big fish investors such as super funds to sway large blocks of votes.

In Australia, where rules around shareholder resolutions are less open than in the US, it’s particularly hard. “People vote in line with relationships too,” Gocher says. “Still, less than a decade ago when we started we were laughed out of the room. Climate change was put in the corner with recycling and gender balance. Now we’re getting access to CEOs and boards.”

Part of the reason for the change of heart is the realities of the declining fossil fuel market. “These companies are facing an existential threat,” he says. “Their businesses are looking less profitable by the day and investors are hurting. Often they’ve lost money on these companies because they’ve failed to manage the transition.”

For a long time, companies have argued that, beyond their own operational emissions, the carbon released by burning their product was their customers’ problem, not theirs, Gocher says. “But investors now expect companies to take responsibility for all their production. So the question becomes: do they change their core business or do they wind down? Neither path is easy and investors want plans.”

Businesses that don’t move fast and switch from brown energy to green – as companies such as Next Era in the US and Denmark’s Ørsted already have – are in danger of being squeezed out of the clean economy by new players. “Think of Tesla disrupting the car market with [electric],” says Gocher.

Major companies such as Rio Tinto are selling off fossil fuel assets, including coal mines in Australia, and investing in renewables. Shell has just bought Australian renewable and gas retailer Powershop (a move making some customers drawn to Powershop’s green credentials uneasy given Shell is also still expanding in gas and fighting to overturn the court ruling that it must cut emissions).

Meanwhile, though many companies have already pledged to go net zero by 2050, including Shell, when investigators such as Gocher and van de Pol peer behind the veneer at how such commitments are translating into reality, they are frequently disappointed.

While the Exxon board coup wasn’t the first successful climate push by shareholders, it had perhaps the most tangible returns, producing not just pressure on the board but a major shake-up of its directors. Crucially, big investment funds commanding trillions in capital such as BlackRock, sided with the Engine campaign – and that has put boardrooms on notice worldwide.

 The science of global warming has now crystallised clearly into the language of risk, says van de Pol. For big investors with diversified portfolios across many sectors, “climate damage is going to hit all of them, it’ll outweigh any gains they make from their fossil-fuel slice short-term”.

And, after a flagging share price and major losses at Exxon, the Engine No.1 argument that a climate focus would be good for business appears to be holding: Exxon’s share price has rebounded since the new board directors arrived.

Protesters named fossil fuel giants in their rallies for climate action outside the COP26 summit in Glasgow.
Protesters named fossil fuel giants in their rallies for climate action outside the COP26 summit in Glasgow. Credit: Peter Summers/Getty Images

In Australia, van de Pol says, shareholder climate pushes are progressing beyond “fairly mundane requests for climate risk disclosure to actually calling on companies to wind up production in line with the world’s climate goals”.

“We saw a fifth of Woodside shareholders earlier this year tell the company to manage down production,” he says, even as the company plans to keep on expanding, including with its new Scarborough/Pluto oil and gas development in WA alongside BHP (estimated to be one of the highest polluting projects approved in Australia in a decade).

A Woodside spokeswoman says the company will put its climate reporting to shareholders at next year’s meeting but denied the project was out of step with its “aspiration to be net zero by 2050 or sooner”, defending the role of gas in the energy transition. While the International Energy Agency has warned that new fossil fuel projects risk becoming billion-dollar dud investments, Woodside says market outlooks for gas and oil remain strong, and it has already sold more than half of the gas from Scarborough.

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The climate clock: What’s the world’s carbon budget and what’s Australia’s share?
In September, Greenpeace backed an 18-year-old student to run for the board of energy company AGL, Australia’s largest emitter. He lost the vote, but “that wasn’t the point”, Ritter says.

The focus on climate at AGL’s shareholder meeting (as well as anger over its falling share price) saw a resolution calling for emissions reduction targets in line with the Paris goal win 53 per cent of the vote – against the advice of the board.

AGL’s board says the company is already investing in renewables but, given most of its power is still from coal, transitioning is complicated. Chief operating officer Markus Brokhof says the planned closure of the Liddell power station in NSW next year is the first step – that will slash AGL’s emissions by about 23 per cent, and plans are in the works for “grid-scale batteries, solar storage, pumped hydro and waste-to-energy facilities”.

But “our power stations currently play an important role in delivering affordable and reliable supply of electricity to millions of Australian households and businesses,” he says. “Currently, there is not adequate generation capacity in place or under development in Australia to ensure system strength if we were to turn off these power stations all at once.”

Though the company intends at this stage to keep running some coal-fired power until 2048 (well beyond safe timelines calculated by scientists and the IEA), Brokhof maintains AGL’s plan is not out of step with the COP26 agreement.

Van de Pol says that board directors around the world ignoring investor calls for climate action have “painted a target on their backs”, as those with a stake in the company consider whether they are the right people to lead a transition.

Tuvalu Foreign Minister Simon Kofe addresses COP26 standing in the rising seas threatening his island, which could be lost beyond 1.5 degrees of warming.
Tuvalu Foreign Minister Simon Kofe addresses COP26 standing in the rising seas threatening his island, which could be lost beyond 1.5 degrees of warming.

How else are people influencing companies?

If all else fails – or the company in sight is a private firm harder to influence from within – good old-fashioned bad publicity works too, Ritter says.

He recalls some of Greenpeace’s most infamous campaigns embarrassing big companies from Mattel, which makes Barbie dolls, to Nestle over their little-known links to deforestation – including a macabre ad featuring a KitKat unwrapped to reveal a dead orangutan finger. (Many such companies have now pledged to stop using palm oil made off destructive logging after their supply chains were exposed.)

Climate policyPrime Minister Scott Morrison has been urged by Business Council of Australia boss Jennifer Westacott to lift that nation’s emissions reduction targets.
Business Council calls for 46-50% emissions reduction by 2030 on path to net zero
Increasingly, though, Ritter says companies are open to joining the clean energy boom. Greenpeace has been convincing more and more major corporations in Australia to run their operations off 100 per cent renewable electricity by 2025, including Coles, Telstra, Woolworths and Bunnings.

“The CEOs are coming back to us and saying, ‘Look, we ran the numbers and it works, our stakeholders expect this from us’, and there’s usually a moment where people get personal and add, ‘And I’ve got to sleep at night.’

”Greenpeace calculates that its “re-energise” campaign has shifted more than 4 per cent of the national electricity market to renewables since it launched less than two years ago.

As one of Australia’s largest electricity users, Telstra has been offsetting its emissions by investing in wind and solar.

Now the company says renewables are so promising it plans to sell green power to its customers directly (by becoming a retailer).

Of climate change, chief executive Andrew Penn says, “The biggest risk is believing it’s someone else’s problem to fix.”

Anjali Sharma, with “litigation guardian” Sister Brigid Arthur, joined seven other teens to take the federal government to court.
Anjali Sharma, with “litigation guardian” Sister Brigid Arthur, joined seven other teens to take the federal government to court. Credit: Justin McManus

How is the climate fight playing out in courtrooms?

In 2017, James Hansen, the NASA scientist who first introduced the wider world to climate change, called for a wave of lawsuits to combat the threat. Since then, according to the UN, the number of climate cases globally has shot up to at least 1500 filed across 38 countries.

Among this “growing tidal wave”, the UN identified some key trends: applicants suing for their “climate rights” such as to life, health, food and water; groups targeting governments for failing to enforce emissions cuts; and suits against corporations for “greenwashing” and hiding their dirty practices under PR spin.

This year in Australia, eight teenagers (with the aid of an 86-year-old nun) sued the federal environment minister for negligence. They argued that the minister owed a duty of care to protect them from climate harm when approving new coal mines.

The court didn’t grant the teens the injunction they were after to stop minister Sussan Ley from approving the particular coal mine expansion in question (by Whitehaven near Gunnedah in NSW), arguing they couldn’t predict the decision she would make. But it did find that the minister owed that duty of care when making it.

It was a landmark moment for climate litigation worldwide, says lead lawyer David Barnden of Equity Generation Lawyers, relying not on existing human rights protections (as many successful cases in Europe have) but simple common law. “This case says that every single new coal mine matters.”

One of the teen litigants,Tom Webster-Arbizu,watched it unfold via video link between classes. “It was fascinating and exciting, and sometimes listening to the minister’s side make the case that she didn’t owe us a duty of care, it was kind of sad.” But Tom, now 16, recalls the “spine-tingling” words of the judgment too. The climate crisis “might fairly be described as the greatest inter-generational injustice ever inflicted by one generation of humans upon the next,” Justice Bromberg wrote.

“ We understand the judgment’s had quite a cultural impact already,” Barnden says. “Not only among the public, but also within various levels of government because, well, nobody wants to be involved in harming children.”

Still, after it came down, the minister’s office immediately filed an appeal and approved four new coal mines in one month. If the appeal judgment, likely to be released in the next month or two, upholds the duty of care, Barnden says the minister may need to answer for those approvals in court.

She fell back on a common “drug dealer’s defence” in justifying the new projects, saying another mine won’t make a difference to global emissions because the energy market will fill demand for coal from elsewhere.

“That argument doesn’t hold any more,” Barnden says. Where previously environmental court challenges were made project-by-project, he says the science is now so precise it is easier to link all fossil fuels together as inflicting harm.

In Pakistan, a farmer successfully argued climate change-related drought was threatening his right to life. In Brazil, climate lawyers have called for President Jair Bolsonaro to be investigated for crimes against humanity over his destruction of the planet’s vital Amazon rainforest. The Hague ruled that the Dutch government was failing in its duty of care to citizens by not making steeper emissions cuts.

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Ritter, who was once a lawyer himself, says Australia’s treaty obligations to protect the Great Barrier Reef “to the utmost of its resources” could even leave the government open to another lawsuit – given its climate policy is out of step with the 1.5 degree global warming limit the reef needs to stay alive.

“We’re considering our options there,” he says. “As much as we want to weep with frustration at Canberra [inaction], we know there is still space for decisions to be made by states, territories, cities, businesses and institutions, which can shift the dial. That’s really the lesson I take from 50 years of Greenpeace.

“If you are strategic, and you are brave, there are always wins.”

Links

(AU The Conversation) 5 Big Ideas: How Australia Can Tackle Climate Change While Restoring Nature, Culture And Communities

The Conversation - | | | |

Zareth Long undertaking controlled burn in Birriliburu Indigenous Protected Area, WA. Annette Ruzicka, Bush Heritage Australia, Author provided

Authors
  • is Senior research fellow, School of Ecosystem and Forest Sciences, The University of Melbourne
  • is Professor in Conservation Ecology, School of Ecosystem and Forest Science, The University of Melbourne
  • is Lecturer in Urban Planning, The University of Melbourne
  • is Associate Professor in Biogeography, The University of Melbourne
  • is Research Officer, Centre for Urban Research, RMIT University
Australia’s plan to reach net zero emissions by 2050 relies heavily on unproven technologies to sequester carbon from the atmosphere, among other things.

But we already have solutions based in restoring nature and Country. In fact, nature-based solutions can deliver one third of promised global cuts in emissions.

Our new report, which brings together expertise from across Australia, reveals how we can make this happen using proven approaches including:
  • Indigenous-led work on Country
  • keeping our existing forests and woodlands safe from land clearing
  • restoring ailing ecosystems
  • simplifying access to carbon markets and
  • mapping ways of working with nature rather than technology to store emissions.

Researcher assessing carbon sequestration rates of a tidal seagrass bed in Williamstown, Victoria. Shutterstock

Here are five big ideas to store emissions while benefiting communities, our economy and our natural and cultural heritage.

1. Seek Indigenous leadership to heal damaged Country

 The catastrophic bushfires of the 2019-2020 summer have driven repeated calls to return to Indigenous leadership in managing Country to prevent similar disasters.

Indigenous-led cool burning practices and land management can make Country safer and keep carbon-storing forests and ecosystems intact. Indigenous management of Country could be integrated in national and state employment, industry and health policy.

This shift will mean a deeper respect for Indigenous leadership and a willingness to learn from Indigenous relationships with Country.

Indigenous ranger programs have been highly successful, helping both Country and its people. Expanding these programs into new places – including cities – would build on their success.

This will require re-framing our relationship and attitudes to Country, removing policy barriers, enabling access to Country, restoring water rights and increasing investment. If we can get this right, it would change the nature of our relationship with Country and provide tangible benefits toward national carbon, social and biodiversity goals.

For instance, the Yumbangku Aboriginal Cultural Heritage and Tourism Development Aboriginal Corporation uses Indigenous management to restore Turraburra, a large drought-affected degraded grazing property in Queensland.

Iningai custodians are reintroducing cultural burning and restoring artesian waterways and sacred rock waterholes as part of measured emissions-reduction projects on Turraburra.

In response, their Country is thriving, and life is returning to the land. These custodians have told us having Country back means healing for the whole community as well as for Country.

Before (L) and after (R) waterhole restoration in Turraburra, Iningai Country, central Queensland. Suzanne Thompson, YACHATDAC, Author provided

2. Look after what we have

The easiest and cheapest way to both reduce and store emissions is by keeping the vegetation we still have. Australia’s plants – from deserts to forests to ocean – play a vital role.

Australia has committed to end deforestation within nine years, but this seems highly optimistic given Australia’s depressing record of land clearing.

Restoration helps pollinator-dependent farming industries and boosts the economy more than cutting down forest.

In our heating climate, trees keep local areas significantly cooler and wetter. Forested watersheds reduce the cost of providing clean water. And intact vegetation boosts resilience to floods and storms, and stops soil eroding into rivers.

Vegetation and birds flourish after stock exclusion at a farm dam near Yass, NSW. Suzannah Macbeth, Sustainable Farms, Author provided

To stop clearing, tighter environmental laws are key. The scathing 2021 independent review of Australia’s key environment protection law shows it fails to stop habitat loss and proposes a more strategic approach to sustainable development.

We could also extend stewardship and landcare programs, so they involve more landholders and regional communities. For instance, the Murray Wetland Carbon Storage Project has brought together scientists, landowners, natural resource managers, communities and government to restore wetlands across 41 sites, with replanting, fencing, environmental water, weed and pest control.

3. Map pathways to use nature and culture to get to net zero

 We need a clear collective vision for net zero which embeds Country, culture, community and nature as vital methods of cutting and storing emissions. This vision would support action where it’s most needed, and bring policy coherence.

Under this vision, we could work to restore habitat connections across catchments and landscapes. We could embed culture and nature-based emissions reduction in community development, urban infrastructure, adaptation and catchment management strategies.

What does this look like? Consider Sydney’s coastline, where researchers and community members plan to bring a vital seaweed species back to its original range.

This species, crayweed, supports abalone and rock lobster, two of Australia’s most valuable fisheries. The team is working to restore crayweed forests destroyed by urbanisation and sewage.

A diver replants crayweed off North Bondi in 2017. John Turnbull, Flickr, CC BY

4. Measure the things we value to demonstrate success

We urgently need better accountability to ensure emissions reduction projects and programs deliver the benefits they claim. Robust monitoring also helps create premium carbon products.

Accountability must be culturally appropriate and measure the most important benefits for each project. Indigenous-led work demonstrates that cultural, social and biodiversity benefits must be central.

Requiring non-Indigenous projects to report robustly on cultural, social and biodiversity benefits would ensure projects deliver for Indigenous people, the wider community, and the ecosystems on which we all depend.

Savanna burning in Northern Australia has been a strong success story for renewing culture and Country. Indigenous-led approaches to assessing benefits have successfully attracted funding to sequester carbon through both government and voluntary markets.

Indigenous groups are now leading conversations on extending this success to other places and ecosystems, such as through an Indigenous-led southern forest fire credits scheme under development.

5. Simplify access to carbon markets and incentive schemes

 At present, the methods we use to produce high-quality carbon credits through government emissions reduction schemes are often costly, complex and time-consuming. In short, they require specialist expertise to navigate.

These challenges act as a barrier, particularly for small organisations, and are inequitable for less resourced communities.

If we reduce the administrative burden, more small projects could embark on emission reduction. That means offering accessible methods of assessing projects, streamlining permits, and investing in Indigenous and community-based agencies to provide support.

New incentive schemes to reduce emissions in cities could also be a game-changer, like green roof retrofitting or the City of Melbourne’s Urban Forest Fund which enables property owners to partner with the city to deliver vertical greening, convert carparks into gardens, and build food-producing rooftop parks.

Salt marsh under restoration (L) and pristine (R) in Western Port Bay, Victoria. Dr Melissa Wartman, Blue Carbon Lab, Author provided

If we draw together methods of producing carbon credits across catchments, land and seascapes, we could provide pathways into a market likely to boom. In Victoria, a team of researchers, government, industry, landholders and Traditional Owners at #VicWetlandRehab are restoring degraded coastal wetlands by fencing and weeding.

To date, this program has restored 130 hectares of saltmarsh in Western Port Bay and Gippsland, home to some of Victoria’s most endangered birds, frogs and plants. The team is now planning to work with landholders and Traditional Owners to map priority areas for restoration along the entire Victorian coastline.

Links

(AU ABC) Summer Outlook: It Will Pay To Check For Floods Before Setting Out This Summer

ABC Weather - Kate Doyle

With this much rain around many roads will be flooded. Check before heading out and do not drive through flood waters. (ABC News: Jessica Moran)

Thanks to the La Niña, finally announced on Tuesday, conditions are expected to be wetter than average for parts of the east coast this summer, according to the Bureau of Meteorology's official summer outlook.

But with the climate driver to the west, the negative Indian Ocean Dipole, dying out, the centre is expecting a fairly normal summer in terms of rainfall.

Youtube Summer 2021-2022 climate and water outlook, issued 25 November 2021

While it might not end up being the wettest summer on record for Australia as a whole, with many catchments around the country already primed, it won't take much to trigger flooding this summer.

What is La Niña?
La Niña has just been declared, but what is it and what does it mean for our weather? Read more
"Spring has been wetter than normal and, as a result, soil moisture is high, water storages are full, and we've seen flooding in some areas," says Andrew Watkins, head of the bureau's operational climate services.
"Any additional rain on our already-wet landscape will increase the flood risk for eastern Australia this summer."

This summer is expected to be wetter than average for parts of the east but relatively normal through the centre. (Supplied: Bureau of Meteorology)


NSW dam's dramatic turnaround

In New South Wales, the dams are overflowing.

According to Tony Webber from Water New South Wales, it is a dramatic turnaround in water security from the worst years of the drought.

"That was only the end of the summer of 2019/2020," he says.

Many of the dams that were empty or nearly empty are now overflowing.

"Keepit Dam on the Namoi — that's now at capacity and spilling into the Namoi River — was dry for 14 months. Burrendong — that's at 128 per cent, but fell to 1.5 per cent," Mr Webber says.

Pelicans at Lake Pamamaroo are among the dozens of species benefiting from floodwaters that arrived in April. (ABC News: Niall Lenihan)

The other big turnaround in the past few years has been flow returning to the Darling River, which has now been experiencing connected flow for many months and the Menindee Lakes are at capacity. "There are releases occurring into the Lower Darling and the anabranch as we speak," Mr Webber says.

The turnaround has certainly been fantastic for water supply but it's obviously not all good news.



"The flooding is certainly most regrettable and the damage to the crops across many areas of the state at harvest time is quite heartbreaking for not just the farmers but everybody across the region," Mr Webber says.

"But in the longer term, the water security that we will have for communities, for agriculture, for the environment, is probably the best we've seen in at least a decade."

Keeping up with the flows if this kind of rain keeps up is going to be an ongoing challenge.

"Given that the majority of these storages that are at or about capacity, it'll just be an ongoing operational pattern that we've been in for weeks, if not months," he says.

"Waiting for a window between the rain events to lower the storage so that we're in a position to try to capture as much of the follow-up rain event on a wet catchment into a dam that's near capacity and releasing into rivers that are very high."

Copeton Dam — the biggest in the New England North West — spills for the first time in nine years. (Supplied: Joe Varani)









Murray-Darling Basin awash

Given that NSW makes up a large proportion of the catchment, it is therefore not a huge surprise that the Murray-Darling Basin is also awash.

According to the Murray-Darling Basin Authority executive director of river management, Andrew Kremor, the Murray-Darling Basin storages have already surpassed 2016 levels to reach 93 per cent.

"All this extra water in the system means flows into South Australia have also doubled in 12 months," he says.

"This time last year they were around 17GL a day and were around 34GL a few days ago," he said.



Flowing on, South Australia's water stores have also seen an increase in inflows this year.

"Natural inflow from winter rains have been higher this year when compared to the previous three years, largely influenced by high rainfall in July," according to a spokesperson from SA Water.

SA Water's reservoirs are currently sitting around 73 per cent — average for this time of year.

Even more dramatically, Western Australia has also seen a big uptick in its water stores thanks to plenty of winter rain — up to 62.1 per cent of capacity from just 27.2 per cent last year.

This is the first time since 2016 there has been enough water to open the gates between Lake Pamamaroo and Lake Menindee (pictured). (ABC News: Nathan Morris)

Meanwhile, Victoria has jumped from 67.3 to just over 85 per cent and the Northern Territory saw a decent boost during last year's wet season.

More to come in Queensland

Overall, Queensland's water stores are up from 47.6 per cent this time last year to 54.4 per cent and the SEQ water grid is sitting at 55.5 per cent.

Queensland has certainly been getting some heavy rain but it is taking a while for the water to trickle through to the dams. (ABC News: Alice Pavlovic)

It may be taking a while for catchments to start generating runoff from recent rain but if the outlook comes to fruition this summer those numbers would certainly be expected to rise.

Aside from the rain, the first cyclone of the season has already burst into being and more than average are expected this year.

High overnight temperatures could also lead to gruelling heatwaves.

Summer fire outlook

Just because it is wet in one region does not prevent fires in another.

This year's bushfire outlook suggests a below average risk for parts of the NSW coast but above average for the interior.

Parts of the east coast might be expecting below normal fire potential this year but fire is still an above normal risk for parts of the west and inland NSW. (Supplied: AFAC)

High growth following the recent rain is expected to dry out as the summer goes on upping the risk.

Likewise in WA grass growth is up and above average temperatures are also expected to help dry things out.

As always, a normal fire risk for the rest of the country does not rule out fire. A normal Australian summer has fires.


Daytime temperatures are expected to be below average for parts of the southern and east coast but above average elsewhere. Overnight temperatures are expected to be broadly above average. (Supplied: Bureau of Meteorology


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