03/01/2022

(NYT) Tracking Climate Change In 193 Countries

New York TimesSarah Bahr

A team of more than 40 Opinion writers, photographers and editors spent five months canvassing the globe to illustrate the deadly consequences of our warming world.

Credit...Matthew Abbott for The New York Times

Cities swallowed by dust.
Human history drowned by the sea.
Economies devastated, lives ruined.
193 stories reveal the reality of
climate change.
In every country in the world.

Open your eyes. We have failed. The climate crisis is now.”

So begins the video introduction to “Postcards From a World on Fire,” an ambitious multimedia project reported and developed by more than 40 writers, photographers, editors and designers on the Opinion desk at The Times.

The project, which appears in today’s issue and was published online last month, documents how climate change has altered life in 193 countries.

“We need to change the conversation around climate change,” Kathleen Kingsbury, the Opinion editor, said in an interview. “We talk about it like it’s in the future, but it’s already changing the way we live.”

In July, inspired by the then-upcoming United Nations climate change conference in Glasgow, Ms. Kingsbury started a deskwide initiative that would immerse readers in the disastrous consequences of a warming world — not as an abstract, apocalyptic future threat, but as a present and personal one.

The package would present the facts but also advocate prioritizing an issue that has had irreversible effects on the planet, which qualified “Postcards” as an Opinion project.

She enlisted Meeta Agrawal, the Special Projects editor for Opinion, and Kate Elazegui, the Opinion design director, to form teams that would compile dossiers on the most pressing climate issues in 193 countries — and then figure out how to illustrate one issue per nation in a streamlined format.

After the groups concluded their research, the design team came up with several display ideas. The team decided on a mobile-friendly experience similar to the TikTok app, in which readers could easily “swipe” through digital cards that would each feature a carousel of photos, a video or audio clip, a chart or an illustration that illustrated climate change in a country.

The cards show a variety of global issues. A team of staff and freelance photographers, audio specialists and videographers around the world documented or collected existing recordings that showed changes, like the sounds of healthy (sizzling and popping) and dying (silent) coral reefs in Fiji, captured a skater crashing through the ice in the Netherlands, and recorded the deep boom of a calving glacier in Greenland. There are floods sweeping Austria; wildfires scorching Tanzania. There are elephants and cargo ships and cricketers.

NYT Editorial Board: The Climate Crisis Is Now

The project also includes testimonials from people in different countries, including a migrant worker in Qatar who works outdoors in temperatures above 100 degrees and a 12-year-old climate activist in Barbados, a Caribbean country alternately battered by hurricanes and drought.

The biggest challenge, Ms. Kingsbury said, was to make sure the issues they chose to highlight were authentic representations to people from those countries.

“We wanted someone in the country to definitely be able to relate to that card,” she said

Ms. Kingsbury said the goal was, whenever possible, to tell the story of a person directly affected by the issue.

“We wanted to have as many human voices as we could to try to draw in readers who could see their own experiences reflected,” she said.

Ms. Kingsbury said the team was particularly conscious of how to do that for the United States, where a majority of Times readers live. One card allows readers to type in the name of any of the 3,143 counties in the nation and see the top climate change threat there.

“We wanted to do something interactive that would let people personalize it to see how the issue affects them,” she said.

Ms. Agrawal said that, after working on the project for five months, she came away with a deeper understanding of how different areas of the world have been ravaged by climate change. She points to how everything from cultural traditions, like the practice of Kuomboka in Zimbabwe and climbing Mt. Triglav in Slovenia, to people’s livelihoods have been affected.

Though the project’s title doesn’t exactly inspire optimism, Ms. Agrawal said the team made sure to include examples of inventive ways nations were tackling climate change. Norway’s card, for instance, includes a photo of a wooden skyscraper, a building method that is part of the country’s effort to avoid concrete’s colossal carbon footprint. Spain’s highlights the nation’s return to preindustrial farming methods to revitalize almond farms that have dried up amid desertification.

More than 1.5 million people have so far read the piece, which has been shared on social media by influential climate activists like former Vice President Al Gore and John Kerry, the former senator and secretary of state and current U.S. special presidential envoy for climate.

The project is getting recognition on the ground, too: A high school teacher in Lagos, Nigeria, emailed Ms. Kingsbury to say that she’d used it as a teaching tool for her students whose lives had been upended by flooding, and that it allowed them to see that they weren’t alone — and hopefully imbued them with political will.

Ms. Agrawal said she hoped the project would underscore the deep devastation of climate change and serve as a warning. “The takeaway is that it’s coming for you, wherever you are, and we need to do whatever we can to limit the damage.”

Links - New York Times climate change articles

2021: A Year Of Climate Crisis In Review

The Guardian

A look back at 12 months of key summits, devastating weather and alarming discoveries

Local youths and volunteers wait to support firefighters during a wildfire next to the village of Kamatriades in Greece. Photograph: Angelos Tzortzinis/AFP/Getty Images

January

The year began with a counting up of the damage after the catastrophic extreme weather events of 2020, from fires to floods. Looking at the US alone, California more than doubled its previous annual wildfire record with more than 1.7m hectares (4.1m acres) burned and Nasa concluded that 2020 had been the joint hottest year on record. The US’s Noaa and the UK Met Office put it in close second to 2016.

And 2021 – the year that would see the crucial UN climate summit held in Glasgow in November – was not showing signs of being much better. The continent of Africa had its warmest January on record, while torrential rains fell in Malaysia, leading to the evacuation of 50,000 people and the death of at least six. Meanwhile in Turkey there were fears that Istanbul would run out of water following the most severe drought in a decade.

Residents in Sementeh, near Lanchang in Malaysia’s Pahang state are evacuated on a digger. Photograph: Mohd Rasfan/AFP/Getty Images

But there were small steps of progress on other fronts. Within hours of becoming president, Joe Biden announced that the US would be rejoining the Paris agreement. The Israeli company StoreDot announced that car batteries that could be fully charged in five minutes had been produced in a Chinese factory for the first time.
In my view, we’ve already waited too long to deal with this climate crisis and we can’t wait any longer. We see it with our own eyes, we feel it, we know it in our bones, and it’s time to act.
Joe Biden
 
And in the UK a plan to reintroduce white-tailed eagles to the east of the country was, unusually, led by farmers, who said they wanted to “inspire people with nature and drive wider nature recovery”.

February

The internationally renowned scientist James Hansen waded into the UK’s row over plans for a new coalmine in Cumbria, saying it showed “contemptuous disregard for the future of young people”. A few days earlier, nine activists had announced that they were in a tunnel under London’s Euston station, dug secretly beneath a tent, in order to protest against the high-speed rail link the UK government was in the process of building.

Protesters’ canary-shaped handwritten messages outside the Home Office during a demonstration against a proposed coalmine in Cumbria. Photograph: Alastair Grant/AP

A historic wave of winter weather hit the eastern US and Texas, with nearly 10 million people without power at the storm’s peak, and millions without water after pipes burst; it was later assessed to have been the most costly winter storm event on record.

In an amazing rewilding operation in Indonesia, 10 rescued orangutans were returned to the wild. Helicopters were used to ferry the critically endangered apes deep into the forest.

And in Madagascar scientists found what is believed to be the smallest reptile on Earth. Brookesia nana, a nano-chameleon, has a body the size of a sunflower seed, just 13.5mm long.

March

The world’s oldest Laysan albatross, a female named Wisdom, nesting on Midway Atoll national wildlife refuge. Photograph: USFWS - Pacific Region

New York was lit up by news that dolphins had come to play in the East River – validation of a long-term clean-up of the river which had cost the city $45m. Further north, in the Midway Atoll wildlife refuge in the North Pacific, the “oldest wild bird in history”, 70-year-old Wisdom the Laysan albatross, hatched another chick. Banded by biologist Chandler Robbins in 1956, Wisdom has outlived a number of partners (albatrosses normally mate for life).

On the other side of the planet, Australia was being hit by horrendous floods, with thousands forced to flee rising waters in New South Wales, and the insurance industry facing millions of dollars in claims. The same region, meanwhile, was also battling a mouse plague, with horrifying footage showing the ground moving as the rodents took over.

In the US, Deb Haaland was confirmed as the first ever indigenous cabinet secretary, as she took over the environment department. The huge surge in renewable energy around the world continued, with China announcing that it had built windfarms with a staggering total capacity of almost 100GW in 2020 – an increase of nearly 60% on 2019.

But Climate Action 100, launching the first ever benchmark for tracking corporate progress on climate change, found that only a handful of the big polluters were taking serious action.

April

A landmark legal decision by the German supreme constitutional court found that the government’s climate protection measures were insufficient to protect future generations. The government promised it would take action on what one of the young activists who had brought the case called “a huge win for the climate movement”.

In the UK meanwhile, the coroner who oversaw the sad case of a young girl, Ella Kissi-Debrah, who died after an asthma attack in 2013, published a report which called for the lowering of legally binding maximum levels of particulate air pollution in the UK.

Activists from the environmental group Fridays for Future demonstrating in Berlin’s Invalidenpark. Photograph: Fabian Sommer/AP

And in the US, a two-day summit on climate change was wound up with promises on all sides, including one from the US to cut its greenhouse gases by 50-52% by 2030.

The country also pledged to double financial aid to help other countries with their targets. “Is it enough? No,” said John Kerry, Biden’s climate envoy, who had earlier struck a deal to cooperate with China on climate change. “But it’s the best we can do today and proves we can start to move.”

The shifts came against the background of a troubling development however, as scientists concluded that the warm Atlantic current linked to severe and abrupt changes in the climate in the past was now at its weakest in at least 1,600 years. The current is known as the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (Amoc).

Huge sandstorms in China turned the skies over Beijing yellow for several days, while Cyclone Seroja brought heavy rain and strong winds to Western Australia, with some locations seeing their highest ever daily rainfall.

May

A Dutch court ordered Royal Dutch Shell to cut its global carbon emissions by 45% by the end of 2030 in an unprecedented ruling that will have huge implications for the energy industry and other polluting multinationals.

The decision came just as the International Energy Agency published Net Zero by 2050, a landmark report which stated that exploitation and development of new oil and gas fields would have to stop this year, and no new coal-fired power stations could be built if the world wanted to stay within safe limits of global heating and meet the goal of net zero emissions by 2050.

Ava Princi, Liv Heaton, Izzy Raj-Seppings and Laura Kirwin embrace outside the federal court of Australia in Sydney. Eight young Australians and a nun sought an injunction in September 2020 to prevent the environment minister, Sussan Ley, from finally approving the Vickery coalmine extension project in north-east New South Wales. Photograph: James Gourley/AAP

Meanwhile in Australia the federal court found that the environment minister, Sussan Ley, had a duty of care to protect young people from the climate crisis, in what lawyers said was “the first time in the world” such a duty of care had been recognised.

In France, the minister for ecological transition delighted and appalled people in equal measure with the announcement that the new climate law would take meat off the menu once a week in schools.

Turkey was hit by “sea snot” – a blanket of mucus-like stuff that was silting up the coasts, created as a result of warm temperatures and agricultural run-off that encouraged phytoplankton to grow. But in California, after a short and late rainy season, the governor was declaring an impending drought emergency in 41 of 58 counties.

June

One of the most extraordinary and powerful heatwaves ever experienced by North America hit the west coast in June and did not go away. Caused by what meteorologists called a “dome of high pressure”, the heatwave extended from California – worsening the drought even as the first wildfires of the season began – all the way up to Canada, where temperatures rose up to 121.28F (49.6C), shattering all previous records.

“This is the beginning of a permanent emergency,” the governor of Washington state said.

Other parts of the world also saw scorching temperatures. Both Europe and Asia had their second warmest Junes on record, while Africa and New Zealand had the warmest June ever recorded.

Smoke billows from the chimneys of Bełchatów power station in Poland. Photograph: Kacper Pempel/Reuters

But efforts to fight back continued too. Poland announced it would shut down Bełchatów, Europe’s most polluting power plant (although only in 2036). The City of London said it would be creating a heat network and digging boreholes for one of the UK’s largest low-carbon heating systems.

Sri Lanka braced itself for disaster after the MV X-Press Pearl, a ship carrying toxic chemicals, caught fire off the coast and sank. Meanwhile China was fixating on a herd of elephants that had trekked 300 miles into the city of Kunming.

July

The average global surface temperature for July was the hottest since records began in 1880, with Death Valley in California registering 54.4C (130F).

People visit the unofficial thermometer reading 56C (133F) at Furnace Creek Visitor Center on 11 July. Photograph: David Becker/Getty Images

As the US heatwaves and droughts worsened, India, China and Europe were being hit by catastrophic floods. Torrential downpours on India’s west coast led to 115 deaths, while Henan province in China saw a year’s worth of rain – 604mm – in a single day.

Horrifying videos showed the waters rising in subways, while hundreds of thousands were forced to evacuate. And in Germany rows broke out when it emerged that a flood early-warning system had failed to work, after torrents of rainwater tore through villages and towns, leaving more than a hundred people dead.

Meanwhile the Australian government continued to fight attempts to have the Great Barrier Reef declared “in danger”, with local politicians saying they feared for the impact the declaration would have on jobs. In the UK, the water company Southern Water was fined a record £90m after a six-year investigation found evidence that it had deliberately poured untreated sewage into the sea in order to avoid the cost of upgrading infrastructure.

And, to top off a gloomy month for the planet, new data showed that the melting of Greenland was surging, with the amount of ice vanishing in a single day enough to cover the whole of Florida in 5cm of water, according to researchers.

August

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change delivered its starkest warning to the world yet, concluding that climate change was unequivocally caused by human activities, and warning that some of the impacts were now inevitable and “irreversible”.

As the heat continued, wildfires broke out in the Mediterranean, where the Greek prime minister described them as the country’s “greatest ecological disaster in decades”, and across more than 9m hectares of forests in Siberia.

A local resident holds an empty water hose near the village of Pefki in Greece. Photograph: Angelos Tzortzinis/AFP/Getty Images

Meanwhile floods and landslides hit Japan, where more than a million people were evacuated from their homes, and also Turkey, Colombia, and Tennessee in the US, where a record-breaking deluge swept through homes and roads. Rain fell on the highest point of the Greenland ice sheet for the first time on record. 

A Swedish company shipped the world’s first customer delivery of “green steel” – made without using coal – as solar power outstripped coal in Australia for the first time when, for a fleeting moment, more electricity was generated by solar power.
In the UK, Extinction Rebellion swung back into action, blocking London Bridge and Oxford Circus, pouring red paint in entrances at the City of London and locking on outside the Science Museum over its sponsorship deal with the oil giant Shell.

September

“Blah blah blah” was what Greta Thunberg called the promises from global leaders around the world to tackle climate change, pointing out that carbon emissions were still on track to rise 16% by 2030.

As Cop26 drew nearer, and following the summer of record-breaking fires, heatwaves and floods, politicians everywhere were under increasing pressure to improve their offers. A US/EU deal to reduce methane emissions felt like a good contribution.

Insulate Britain climate activists block the anticlockwise carriageway of the M25 near Ockham. Photograph: Mark Kerrison/Alamy Live News

A new protest movement launched in the UK, as Insulate Britain demonstrators began sitting on motorways to demand climate action in the form of insulation for the country’s housing stock.

In Scotland, as preparations sped up, one man built an ark on a hillside, telling the planning committee when it asked if it was a permanent structure: “It’s not permanent in the same way that humanity won’t be if we don’t take action on the climate.”

In a painful irony, new data revealed that the wildfires were themselves releasing record-breaking amounts of carbon dioxide. Meanwhile, an energy crisis was breaking across the world, with sky-high gas prices in Europe and pressure on electricity and coal supplies in China.

October

China hosted the Kunming conference on biodiversity and announced a $233m (£170m) fund to protect biodiversity in developing countries.
We shall take the development of an ecological civilisation as our guide to coordinate the relationship between man and nature.
Xi Jinping
 
With just days to go before Cop26, Australia, one of the countries most notorious for holding out against climate action, published its plan for how it would reduce carbon emissions, but it was called “a scam” containing no detail and no modelling.

Delegates at the Green Middle East Initiative Summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Photograph: Saudi Green Initiative/Reuters

Elsewhere, however, signs of change were palpable, with a series of plans announced at the Middle East Green Initiative Summit, led by the United Arab Emirates which will be hosting Cop28 in two years’ time.

A Tesla became the first ever battery-powered car to top Europe’s sales chart. And in the UK, the government was forced by a near rebellion to U-turn and place a duty on water companies to reduce sewage discharges.

In the US, one senator gained global notoriety: Joe Manchin, a conservative Democrat, was holding out against his own party for huge cuts to President Biden’s climate change plans. For a brief moment, it looked as if Biden would have to go to Cop26 with no legislative progress at home.

November

Cop26 was under way at last, after two years of pandemic, delays, worries, criticisms and negotiations. World leaders gathered for the first two days and were exhorted by David Attenborough to be “motivated by hope rather than fear”.

Biden had finally got his bill passed, but the UK’s prime minister, Boris Johnson, put a dampener on events by making his speech and then hopping into a private jet to make the short journey to London.

The first week saw an onslaught of deals on methane, deforestation, coal, the ambition to stick to 1.5C of warming and finance, with hundreds of the world’s biggest banks and pension funds with assets worth $130tn committing themselves to limiting greenhouse gas emissions.

Alok Sharma receives applause after giving the closing speech at Cop26 in Glasgow. Photograph: Jeff J Mitchell/Getty Images

By the end of the second week of hard negotiation, the summit’s president, Alok Sharma, had cajoled countries into a deal including a ratchet mechanism that asked every country to upgrade its emission reduction plans in time for the next Cop in Egypt in a year’s time, and each year thereafter.

However, many were dismayed that the deal did not include the loss and damage facility that most of the world had asked for, to help developing countries in particular pay for the impacts of the climate crisis already being felt.

Beyond the summit, rain storms hit British Columbia in Canada, earlier battered by the summer’s heatwaves, broke up roads and led to a state of emergency.

Out in the oceans one of the rarest animals in the world was glimpsed: the mythical white sperm whale, seen surfacing for a moment, from the waters off Jamaica.

December

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) announced in the middle of the month that it had recognised a new Arctic temperature record: the summer of 2020 had seen the Russian town of Verkhoyansk hit with an all-time high of 38°C (100.4°F).

Floods swept Queensland, Australia, with up to 180mm of rain falling in 24 hours in some parts of the state. The UK was hit by Storm Arwen and Storm Barra. Heavy rains fell in Iraq, leading to serious flooding and displacement.

And tornadoes ripped through North America, with at least 70 deaths in Kentucky in what was described as the “most devastating tornado event” in the state’s history, only to be followed, by the end of the month, by record-breaking temperatures and snowfall.

A family walks past a destroyed church in Mayfield, Kentucky. Photograph: Brandon Bell/Getty Images

EO Wilson, who died on 26 December, had warned many times that humans could not continue to use the land and resources of the planet in the way they did. The biologist was caught up in controversies at times during his career.

Nevertheless, his warning that “we live in a delusional state” if we do not understand the burden that the western way of life imposes on Earth, rings true even now.
If all mankind were to disappear, the world would regenerate back to the rich state of equilibrium that existed 10,000 years ago. If insects were to vanish, the environment would collapse into chaos.
EO Wilson, biologist
Links

(The Guardian) Colorado Wildfire: Three Feared Dead And Nearly 1,000 Homes Destroyed As Biden Declares Disaster

The Guardian and agencies

At least seven reported injured while cause of the blaze remains under investigation

A Boulder County neighbourhood that was destroyed by a wildfire. Photograph: Hart Van Denburg/AP

Three people are missing and feared dead after a wind-stoked wildfire roared through two towns in Boulder county, Colorado, prompting thousands of evacuations and destroying nearly 1,000 homes, authorities said on Saturday.

Officials initially said there were no reports of fatalities or missing residents following the rare urban wildfire that erupted Thursday morning on the northern outskirts of the Denver metropolitan area.

Wind gusts of more than 100mph (160km/h) pushed flames eastward into the towns of Superior and Louisville, prompting the evacuation of both communities. In about two hours, the fire had scorched 6,000 acres (2,400 hectares), officials said.

Boulder county sheriff Joe Pelle said the three missing people, whom he declined to identify, all lived in homes that were consumed by the blaze.

“The structures where these folks would be are completely destroyed and covered with about eight inches (20cm) of snow,” Pelle said at a Saturday news briefing, adding cadaver dogs will be deployed on Sunday to search the dwellings.

Pelle said 991 homes in Superior, Louisville and in unincorporated parts of the county have been destroyed, making it the most destructive wildfire in state history in terms of residences lost.

Officials initially said sparks from downed power lines that were toppled by the gale-force winds may have sparked the blaze, but an inspection by utility company Xcel Energy found no damaged or downed lines near the fire’s suspected origin.

Pelle said detectives were investigating all avenues to determine the source of ignition. Acting on a tip, the sheriff said a search warrant was issued in connection to the probe, but declined to offer any details.

A man looks through the snow-covered remains of his brother’s burned home on Saturday. Photograph: Jack Dempsey/AP

Joe Biden declared the situation a disaster and experts warned that the climate crisis and suburban expansion contributed to the devastation.

Hundreds of residents who had expected to ring in 2022 in their homes were instead on Saturday starting off the new year trying to salvage what remained of them.

Families who had been forced to flee the flames with little warning returned to their neighborhoods Friday in Louisville and Superior, which have a combined population of 34,000, north of the state capital Denver, to find a patchwork of devastation.

At least seven people were reported to be injured.

The Boulder county sheriff, Joe Pelle, said that as authorities continued to work on the aftermath of the fire, that the likely toll on homes and businesses would increase as things became clearer. Photograph: Carl Glenn Payne/ZUMA Press Wire Service/REX/Shutterstock

Many homeowners on Saturday were already talking about building back in the same place.

Cathy Glaab found that her home in Superior had been turned into a pile of charred and twisted debris, one of seven houses in a row that were destroyed. “So many memories,” she said through tears.

She and her husband intend to rebuild the house they’ve had there since 1998, she said, because they love the natural space behind and the view of the mountains.

Boulder county abuts the eastern foothills of the Rockies, an area known locally as the Front Range. To the west is Rocky Mountain national park.

Flames had swept east through grassland and over drought-stricken neighborhoods with alarming speed, propelled by gusts up to 105mph, as tens of thousands were ordered to flee.

Light snow fell on Friday, helping to extinguish the fire that had burned up to 10 sq miles, but snowfall in the area this winter has been late and light.

Then a further dumping of snow overnight into Saturday and frigid temperatures compounded the misery of residents left homeless.

The freeze cast an eerie scene amid the still-smoldering wreckage and the smell of smoke still permeated empty streets blocked off by national guard troops in armored vehicles.

For the thousands of residents whose homes survived the conflagration, Red Cross shelter volunteers distributed electric space heaters as utility crews struggled to restore natural gas and electricity.

But with temperatures forecast to rise well above freezing in the county on Monday and Tuesday, the risk of fire remained, even though huge wildfires are not usual in December in Colorado.

The US president on Friday declared a major disaster in the area, ordering federal aid be made available to those affected.

Superior and Louisville are filled with middle- and upper-middle-class subdivisions with shopping centers, parks and schools. The area is between Denver and Boulder, home to the University of Colorado.

Scientists say climate change is making weather more extreme and wildfires more frequent and destructive.

Ninety per cent of Boulder county is in severe or extreme drought, and it hasn’t seen substantial rainfall since mid-summer. Denver set a record for consecutive days without snow before it got a small storm on 10 December, its last snowfall before the wildfires broke out.

Becky Bolinger, assistant state climatologist at the climate center at Colorado State University, tweeted: “The ingredients for a devastating wildfire have been coming together since last spring. A very wet spring 2021 helped grow the grasses. A very dry summer and fall dried the grasses out and prepared the kindling.
“I have thought it won’t be long before we start experiencing fires like California where flames chase people out of their neighborhoods,” Bolinger said in an interview with the Denver Post. “I didn’t expect that would happen in December.”

Temperatures have been too high. June to December 2021, was the warmest period on record, Jennifer Balch, a fire scientist and director of the Earth Lab at Colorado University, Boulder, told the newspaper.

“Climate change is definitely a part of this story in that fire seasons are longer,” she said.

In addition, the larger Denver metro area has grown in size with suburbs spreading and new residential neighborhoods being built in the Front Range that were just wild grassland a generation ago, leading to massive disruption for those towns when fires strike.
  • Reuters contributed to this report
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(AU The Guardian) Before Australia’s Climate Wars: When A Coalition Cabinet Leaned Towards Positive Action

The Guardian

Cabinet papers 2001: Despite fierce battles between senior Coalition members, work had begun in 2001 on a national energy policy

Greenpeace demonstrators, one dressed as a policeman, protest outside prime minister John Howard’s Sydney office in 2001. Cabinet papers from that year reveal climate change was a concern for the Coalition government at the time. Photograph: David Gray/Reuters

John Howard still describes himself as “climate change agnostic” even though his government proposed an emissions trading scheme before the 2007 election.
How different Australia’s response to climate change might have been if he had not lost the election.

The 2001 cabinet papers, released by the National Archives of Australia on Saturday, supply further evidence of serious concerns and active ministerial work on climate change inside the Howard government, the archive’s historian, Chris Wallace said.

There were fierce battles, but the cabinet often proved “a moderating force”, she said, forcing ministers to work together on policy solutions.

“This can only have happened with John Howard’s assent and it reflects well on him. It arguably reflects, too, Howard’s greater capacity to manage internal policy differences and personnel than his successors possessed,” Wallace said.

The faultline within the cabinet was on display in 2001 as it attempted to finalise its stance for a national energy policy to be negotiated with the states through the Council of Australian Governments.

Senator Nick Minchin, one the leading climate change sceptics, brought the paper to cabinet in March.

“We will continue to be heavily dependent on fossil fuels for the foreseeable future,” it said.

It made almost no mention of climate change or renewables, particularly in the energy generation sector.

Instead Minchin’s paper put the emphasis on consumer prices, a national energy market and sustained improvements in energy efficiency.

Then as now, gas was privileged in the energy mix. There were a number of measures to promote the use and export of natural gas and the development of resources off north-western Australia and the Northern Territory.

Robert Hill’s environment department was highly critical of Minchin’s proposal.

“[The] cursory treatment of climate change and other environmental issues is not proportionate with their significance for energy policy and for key stakeholders in this sector. Nor is it consistent with the Coag communique of November 2000, which specifically called for the environmental impacts of energy supply and use to be encompassed within this strategy.

“We note that the independent inquiry into energy market development and prospects overlooks climate change and other environmental issues. Given that energy market reform has (unwittingly) contributed to rapid and significant emissions growth in what is Australia’s single largest emissions source, we request that the terms of reference for this inquiry encompass options for reducing the greenhouse and adverse environmental impacts of the reform process.”

The cabinet decision directed Hill and Minchin to come back “as matter of urgency” with a joint negotiating position on energy policy.

Wallace said the papers confirmed that Hill was not alone in those concerns, and that the balance of cabinet opinion was with him.

Meanwhile Australia was trying to balance its commitment to work with the international community on climate change against its relationship with its most important ally, the United States.

Under President George W Bush, the US had opposed the Kyoto agreement, and ordered a review of its policy led by the vice-president, Dick Cheney, a former executive at the oil services company Halliburton.

Howard had already written to Bush saying he shared Bush’s concerns about having a cost-effective outcome from Kyoto but believed an international agreement was the right path.

A cabinet memo in May shows Australia was uncertain about where the Cheney review was heading.

It noted that the Bush administration’s new energy policy focused “heavily on the supply side and will accelerate growth in United States emissions”, which did not bode well.

What to do next? They decided that Howard should write another letter.

It would suggest that an effective global framework to address climate change needed to include commitments from all major emitters; unrestricted market-based mechanisms, including emissions trading; an approach to carbon sinks that captured both economic and environmental opportunities; and a facilitative, rather than punitive, compliance system.

Howard told Bush US leadership was essential if efforts to address climate change were to be successful.

In February 2002, Bush announced his alternative to the Kyoto protocol, with a plan to reduce the intensity of greenhouse gases by 18% over 10 years – that meant emissions would still continue to grow, but more slowly.

Because of the US position, getting agreement of other nations on Kyoto was difficult but eventually 192 parties signed the treaty. Australia was permitted to take account of changes in land-clearing policy, which allowed it to achieve its target.

Water, salinity and land clearing were important environmental issues for cabinet in 2001.

In March the cabinet agreed on a detailed offer to the Queensland premier, Peter Beattie, for commonwealth support to reduce land clearing in Queensland to help meet the nation’s Kyoto targets.

Up to $50m would be made available on a 50:50 basis with the state to buy back land and reduce land clearing from 200,000 hectares a year to 50,000 by 2006.

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