06/04/2025

AUSTRALIA: Climate Change March Review - Lethal Heating Editor BDA

In Brief

Extreme Weather Events

  • Record-Breaking Heat: March 2025 was Australia's hottest March on record, with temperatures averaging 2.41°C above the norm. This contributed to the hottest 12-month period recorded, averaging 1.61°C above average. Link

  • Tropical Cyclone Alfred: In early March, Cyclone Alfred approached Brisbane, an unusual event for the region. The cyclone's slow movement heightened its destructive potential, leading to concerns about storm surges, extreme rainfall, and flooding. Link

  • Queensland Floods: Later in the month, unprecedented rainfall led to severe flooding in Queensland, particularly affecting Townsville and surrounding areas. Townsville surpassed its annual rainfall record within just three months. The floods caused extensive damage, isolating communities and prompting disaster support from federal and state governments. Link

Policy Developments

  • Energy Bill Commitments: Prime Minister Anthony Albanese abandoned the Labor Party's earlier modelling that promised a reduction in power bills by $378 by 2030 and a 43% emissions reduction target. This move faced criticism from opposition parties and environmental groups. Link

  • Federal Budget and Environmental Funding: The 2025 federal budget was criticised for its limited allocation towards environmental conservation and climate change mitigation, despite public demand for more substantial action. Link

Climate Action and Advocacy

  • Climate Action Week Sydney: In mid-March, Sydney hosted Climate Action Week, featuring a keynote address by Ross Garnaut. The event aimed to mobilise community-led initiatives and discussions on Australia's potential as a renewable energy superpower. Link

  • Health Sector's Call for Climate Action: The Royal Australian College of General Practitioners emphasised the health impacts of climate change, urging political parties to fully fund the implementation of the National Health and Climate Strategy. Link

These events underscore the escalating impacts of climate change in Australia and highlight the ongoing debates and actions concerning climate policy and adaptation strategies.

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March 2025 was a pivotal month for climate change in Australia, marked by extreme weather events, significant policy developments, and environmental impacts. 

Analysis of recent data continues to underscore Australia's vulnerability to climate change, with record-breaking temperatures, unprecedented coral bleaching, and destructive cyclonic activity. 

This report comprehensively reviews the major climate-related developments across the country during this consequential month.

Extreme Weather Events and Their Impacts

Tropical Cyclone Alfred

March 2025 witnessed one of the most significant climate-driven disasters with Tropical Cyclone Alfred striking Brisbane—an unusual occurrence at this latitude. The cyclone brought extreme rainfall, flooding, and storm surge to Queensland's capital city and surrounding areas. Link

Brisbane set new daily rainfall records on Sunday, March 9, with preliminary economic assessments estimating damages at approximately $1 billion per day. Link

The cyclone's intensity and unusual southern trajectory align with climate scientists' predictions about changing cyclone patterns under global warming conditions.

The extensive damage caused by Cyclone Alfred had ripple effects beyond the immediate humanitarian response, reaching into the political sphere. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese delayed the anticipated federal election until May specifically citing the cyclone's impacts. Link  Link

This postponement significantly altered the national political calendar and campaign strategies that had been prepared for an earlier election date.

Scientific Analysis of Extreme Events

On March 20, the Climate Council released a timely report titled "Eye of the Storm: How Climate Pollution Fuels More Intense and Destructive Cyclones," directly linking events like Cyclone Alfred to climate change. Link

The report provided crucial context for understanding how human-induced warming is creating conditions for more severe tropical cyclones in Australia.

Research from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology has further connected recent extreme weather to climate change. 

Dr. Surendra Rauniyar's analysis showed that the record-breaking sea surface temperatures observed in north west Australia from September 2024 to January 2025 were heavily influenced by human-induced climate change, which contributed approximately two-thirds of the observed temperature anomaly of 1.34°C. Link

Marine Ecosystem Crisis

Simultaneous Coral Bleaching Events

March 2025 marked a devastating month for Australia's iconic reef systems, with simultaneous mass coral bleaching events reported at both the Great Barrier Reef and Ningaloo Reef. Link

Scientists described these concurrent bleaching events as "profoundly distressing" and "heartbreaking," noting that Ningaloo Reef had accumulated the highest amount of heat stress on record. Link

By March 30, researchers from Curtin University reported that the "devastating" bleaching at Ningaloo was putting ancient coral colonies at risk of permanent damage or death. Link

The simultaneous bleaching of two World Heritage-listed reef systems represents an unprecedented ecological crisis that scientists directly attribute to climate change-induced marine heatwaves. 

These events highlight the accelerating impacts of climate change on Australia's marine ecosystems and the urgent need for strengthened climate action.

Long-term Ecological Implications

The coral bleaching events have significant implications beyond the immediate ecological damage. 

These reef systems support tourism industries worth billions of dollars annually and provide essential habitat for countless marine species. 

The compounding frequency of bleaching events is reducing recovery time between episodes, threatening the long-term viability of these ecosystems. 

Climate scientists have emphasised that marine heatwaves of this magnitude would be virtually impossible without the influence of human-caused climate change. Link

Climate Policy Developments

Federal Government Actions

March 2025 saw several significant climate policy developments at the federal level. The Department of Climate Change released its quarterly National Greenhouse Gas Emissions Inventory (for September 2024), revealing concerning trends in Australia's emissions profile. Link

The data showed emissions "still flatlining", with transport emissions overtaking stationary energy to become the second-largest source after electricity generation. Link

In a controversial move on March 20, Prime Minister Albanese announced plans to rush through legislation related to the Tasmanian salmon industry that would limit conservation groups' powers to challenge past environmental decisions. Link

Critics suggested this legislation might extend beyond salmon farming to curtail challenges against fossil fuel developments, potentially undermining Australia's climate commitments.

On March 30, Prime Minister Albanese stated he was willing to direct gas exporters to supply the domestic market "if needed," signalling potential intervention in the energy sector. Link

This came just after the March 29 announcement that the government had delayed approval for Woodside's Browse Gas extension until after the release of a rock art study—which would occur after the election. Link

Implementation of Climate Reporting Regulations

Australia continued preparations for the January 2025 implementation of mandatory climate-related reporting requirements for large and medium-sized companies. Link

These requirements, established through the Treasury Laws Amendment bill passed in 2024, will require companies to disclose climate-related risks and opportunities, as well as greenhouse gas emissions across their value chains. Link

The Australian Accounting Standards Board has been developing internationally-aligned climate disclosure standards, with assurance standards expected from the Australian Auditing and Assurance Board. Link

The implementation of these reporting requirements represents a significant step toward transparency in corporate climate impacts and will affect companies with over 500 employees, revenues exceeding $500 million, or assets over $1 billion. Link

Climate Science and Research

Record-Breaking Temperature Trends

March 2025 saw the release of data confirming that the 2024/25 Australian summer was the second-hottest on record, with scientists explicitly stating it was "not possible without climate change". Link

The average temperature anomaly reached 1.89°C above the long-term average, with researchers warning this extremely hot summer "will be one of the coolest in the 21st century" if emissions continue unabated. Link

Dr. Surendra Rauniyar from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology emphasised that without climate change, the extreme sea surface temperatures observed would have been "almost vanishingly rare." However, under current warming trends, such events are becoming "part of our new normal". Link

Dr. Rauniyar's analysis indicated that at 1.5°C of global warming—slightly above current levels—sea surface temperatures like those observed would become close to average for the region, while at 2.0°C, more than a third of all seasons would be even warmer. Link

Future Projections and Risks

Climate scientists have warned that the trajectory of warming will continue to accelerate if global emissions remain unchecked. At 4.0°C of warming, models suggest Australia will not experience sea surface temperatures as "cool" as those observed in 2024-25. Link

These warming trends drive more intense cyclones, disrupt marine ecosystems, and alter rainfall patterns in ways that directly impact communities, industries, and biodiversity across Australia. Link

Local and Regional Climate Action

Urban Planning and Sustainability

Climate considerations increasingly influenced local planning decisions in March 2025. In Melbourne's northern suburbs, the State Government targeted increased housing density in Brunswick and Coburg, with locals advocating for upgrades to the Upfield Rail Line to accommodate growing populations while minimising transport emissions. Link

These local initiatives highlight the growing integration of climate considerations into urban planning and public infrastructure development.

Electoral Politics and Climate Advocacy

Climate and sustainability emerged as significant issues in the lead-up to the Australian Federal Election, particularly in constituencies like Wills, where a candidates' forum focused on climate was organised for March 18 at Coburg Uniting Church. Link

While many voters reported struggling with cost-of-living pressures, advocates emphasised that climate change is a key driver of rising energy costs, food prices, and insurance premiums. Link

The election delay caused by Cyclone Alfred has extended the period for climate policy debate in the campaign context.

Summary

March 2025 represents a critical period in Australia's climate change narrative, characterised by the convergence of extreme weather events, policy developments, and growing scientific evidence of accelerating impacts. 

The simultaneous coral bleaching events at two World Heritage sites, the unusual and destructive Cyclone Alfred, and record-breaking temperatures all underscore the reality that climate change is no longer a future threat but a present crisis for Australia.

implementation of mandatory climate reporting requirements, the z climate action for months to come. 

The policy responses during this month reflect the tensions between immediate economic considerations and longer-term climate imperatives. 

As Australia approaches both a federal election and the implementation of mandatory climate reporting requirements, the z climate action for months to come. 

What remains clear is that Australia's vulnerability to climate impacts continues to grow, demanding more robust and coordinated action across all levels of government and society.

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Climate Change and Flooding in Queensland - Lethal Heating Editor BDA

Rising global temperatures are triggering Queensland's severe floods, with extreme weather events likely to increase in frequency and intensity.

Notable Recent Flood Events in Queensland

    • In early 2025, Queensland experienced devastating floods due to persistent tropical low-pressure systems.
    • These floods resulted in at least two direct fatalities and 25 indirect deaths from disease outbreaks.
    • Mass evacuations were ordered in coastal regions, and the economic impact was estimated at $1.2 billion AUD.
    • Affected areas included Townsville, Hinchinbrook, and Innisfail.
    • In March 2025, unprecedented rainfall led to severe flooding in outback Queensland, submerging towns like Jundah and causing significant livestock losses, with estimates exceeding one million animals.
    • The floods highlighted deficiencies in weather infrastructure and communication systems, prompting calls for improved forecasting and emergency response capabilities.
    • Following a week of record-breaking rainfall in April 2025, the Sunshine Coast experienced rare surf swells at Currimundi Lake.
    • While some residents took advantage of the unusual conditions, the heavy rains caused devastating floods in the region, leading to road closures and emergency rescues.

How Climate Change Affects Queensland's Flooding

  1. Warmer Oceans & More Extreme Weather
    • Higher sea surface temperatures lead to stronger storms and cyclones, bringing heavy rainfall
    • More moisture in the atmosphere results in prolonged and intense downpours
  2. More Frequent & Intense Rainfall
    • Climate change intensifies the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), affecting rainfall patterns
    • Recent La Niña events (2021–2023) led to record-breaking rainfall and widespread flooding
  3. Rising Sea Levels & Coastal Flooding
    • Coastal communities face increased flood risks as sea levels rise
    • Storm surges become more destructive when combined with heavy rains
  4. Impact on River Systems & Urban Areas
    • Rivers like the Brisbane River are more likely to overflow due to heavy upstream rainfall
    • Urban development increases flood vulnerability by reducing natural drainage areas

Major Flood Events in Queensland

  • Recent Flood Events (2025)
    • Mass evacuations were ordered in coastal regions, and the economic impact was estimated at $1.2 billion AUD. Affected areas included Townsville, Hinchinbrook, and Innisfail.
    • Outback Queensland Floods (March 2025): Unprecedented rainfall led to severe flooding in outback Queensland, submerging towns like Jundah and causing significant livestock losses, with estimates exceeding one million animals.
    • The floods highlighted deficiencies in weather infrastructure and communication systems, prompting calls for improved forecasting and emergency response capabilities.
    • Sunshine Coast Floods (April 2025): Following a week of record-breaking rainfall in April 2025, the Sunshine Coast experienced rare surf swells at Currimundi Lake.
    • While some residents took advantage of the unusual conditions, the heavy rains caused devastating floods in the region, leading to road closures and emergency rescues.
  • Historical Flood Events in Queensland
    • Brisbane & South East Queensland Floods (2022): Record rainfall led to major flooding, causing significant damage and displacement.
    • Townsville Floods (2019): A slow-moving monsoon dumped a year's worth of rain in a week.
    • Brisbane Floods (2011): A devastating flood event caused by heavy rain and dam overflow.

Queensland's Climate Policies

To address the challenges posed by climate change, Queensland has implemented several policies aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions and enhancing climate resilience:

  • Clean Economy Pathway: Queensland has set a target to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 75% by 2035.
  • Queensland Climate Transition Strategy (Q-CTS): This strategy outlines the state's approach to transitioning to a zero-net emissions economy, emphasizing the integration of climate considerations into planning and development frameworks.
  • Queensland Climate Adaptation Strategy: Focused on delivering adaptation actions, this strategy aims to mitigate risks and impacts associated with climate change, including those related to flooding.
  • Renewable Energy Targets: The state has set ambitious goals for renewable energy adoption, aiming for 50% renewable energy by 2030, 70% by 2032, and 80% by 2035, with a long-term objective of achieving net-zero emissions by 2050.

Future Risks & Adaptation Strategies

  • Improved Infrastructure: Flood-resistant urban planning and drainage systems
  • Early Warning Systems: More accurate forecasting to prepare communities
  • Climate Action: Reducing emissions to limit further warming
  • Resilient Housing & Development: Relocating or adapting homes in flood-prone areas

Sources