05/08/2021

(AU) The Climate Emergency – A Need For Radical Honesty – Laced With Courage And Compassion: Part 1

Pearls and Irritations - Jonathan Page

We have all been abandoned by our “leaders”, a pathetic coterie of self-focused, ignorant and immature individuals who lack courage, compassion and the capacity to recognize an impending catastrophe, with likely societal collapse and massive loss of life (already beginning). There is no possibility of technological salvation.

 
Author
Jonathan Page has been a medical oncologist for 40 years, previously working in major teaching hospitals in Sydney, but now focuses on palliative care and important issues of the psycho-spiritual domain. He also has an interest in ecological matters and human rights.
I’ve been a medical oncologist for 40 years, treating patients with advanced cancer. What can I say about the intractable COVID 19 and Climate Crises?

Perhaps, “The human civilization now confronts the challenging interconnected crises of COVID 19 and Climate Change, (not to mention the crises of health inequity, racism, poverty and child abuse, each exacerbated by all the others)”?

As the great 20th-century philosopher, John Lennon sang:

“I’m sick and tired of hearin’ things
From uptight, short-sighted, narrow-minded, hypocrites
All I want is the truth
Just gimme some truth”
.

In oncology, we often see multiple crises. A previously well patient may present with a serious refractory infection, say pneumonia, in itself a crisis for patient and family alike. Weeks of treatment go by. There is no improvement. Further testing reveals the Big Crisis, underlying cancer. Now life itself is threatened. But there is more. This 50-year-old woman, Joan, lives in an abusive relationship, a third crisis.

In oncology, following the discovery of a cancer, there are often two consultations. In the first, I would spend much time with Joan by herself, and then with the family, obtaining as much information as possible about her past, even from early life, and other important factors, including aspects of the ongoing lung infection, her personal strengths and supports, and her emotional response when told of the cancer and its clear threat to life. Further investigations would be necessary to characterise the cancer in detail and thus plan the best treatment.

So too with COVID 19 and Climate Change, I will approach these crises gently in this Part 1, with a presentation of the “further investigation” and stark reality in Part 2.

In the second meeting with Joan, I would discuss the further results with Joan. Over the years I have had to “break bad news” to so many patients, essentially telling an anxious and desperate patient that their cancer is treatable but not curable. They will thus die sooner than they expected. Some patients indicate early that they do not want to hear this news. Sometimes a family member intervenes to ask me not to break this bad news, that is not to tell the truth, even indirectly or in stages. Clearly, there are ethical issues here. A person generally has a right to know the truth about their own life.

Over the years, despite informing hundreds of patients of their shortened lives, I find that this important duty never gets easier, and nor should it, since I am relating deeply with one person, this particular patient, whose name is Joan, with her own life, that she has kindly shared with me, including details never shared with anyone else. So, I share and feel the reality of her shortened life, with the knowledge that so many dreams will not be fulfilled. Eyes moisten. I can only really be truly present for Joan if I have already become familiar with my own eventual demise, although always necessarily beyond comprehension. I reassure Joan that she will be cared for with compassion right through until the end.

Unfortunately, because of the pneumonia, Joan was never able to receive treatment for her cancer, and died some weeks later, still in hospital.

As with this second consultation, confronting intolerable realities, so in Part 2 I will present current data indicating the truly perilous status of the Climate Emergency.

Just as the pneumonia and lung cancer are related to each other in many complex ways, so too with COVID 19 and Climate Change, reflecting man’s inexorable destructive exploitation of our precious planet. The great majority of indicators of ecosystem health and biodiversity now show rapid decline. The Sixth Great Extinction on this planet has begun. The population sizes of vertebrate species have fallen 68% since 1970. Around 1 million species of all life forms already face impending extinction.

Whilst we are rightly focused on the immediacy of COVID 19, we should not forget the evolving malignancy of Climate Change. Indeed, as with Joan, this malignant process can rapidly become irreversible, possibly amenable to minor mitigation, but ultimately following a trajectory determined by physical laws oblivious to human preferences.

Despite decades of alarming scientific data and witnessing and experiencing directly the catastrophic consequences of the Climate Emergency (wildfires and alarming record temperatures on many continents, unprecedented flooding in Europe and increasing Atlantic hurricane intensity and so on), very little action has been taken.

The reasons for this dangerously inadequate activity by governments in the face of increasing existential risk are not well understood but likely include:

  1. “Scientific reticence” (a self-censoring process when dealing with truly unpalatable data); and also here;
  2. The recent “under-presentation” of opinion and risk (based knowingly on incomplete data for political acceptability); for example, the IPCC 2018 statement that zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 would restrict a global temperature rise to 1.5⁰C; when in fact there was only a 50% chance of doing so, but this also excluded other adverse factors – notably tipping points, so we are now actually at the undesirable 2⁰C, with an urgent need to reach zero by 2030 (not 2050);
  3. “Psychic numbing” and the “nothing response” (noted by the courageous psychiatrist, the late Beverly Raphael, during the nuclear threats of last century);
  4. Significantly, most politicians have limited cognitive and emotional maturity, mostly residing in level 3 of 8 possible levels in Grave’s Model of Human Development. In level 3, (Egocentric Power) the principles include:
  • Living in a world of haves and have-nots, where it’s good to be a have;
  • Avoiding shame, defending reputation, seeking revenge, being respected; remaining self-focused with no awareness of the world;
  • Gratifying impulses immediately; exploiting the world;
  • Fighting remorselessly and without guilt to break constraints;
  • Not worrying about consequences that may not come.

Higher levels of maturation in our “leadership” would allow: the finding of meaning and purpose in life (spiritual progress), a sense of self-sacrifice, seeking order, stability and peace, controlling impulsivity, responding to guilt, promoting righteous living, enabling others to flourish, becoming aware of the world as a complex, sensitive, interactive, interconnected biosphere (Gaia).

In the world of oncology, patients (like Joan) are often faced with an existential threat, the equivalent of their own internal “climate emergency”, (a terminal illness). They would then receive meticulous care, guided by compassion and honesty, remaining fully informed about changing circumstances, with their loved ones also supported. Importantly, there would be a commitment by the caring team to maintain this deep engagement to the end of life, with no possibility of abandonment.

In the very real world of Climate Emergency, as tipping points are passed, with a rapidly worsening prognosis, we have all been abandoned by our “leaders”, a pathetic coterie of self-focused, ignorant and immature individuals who lack courage, compassion and the capacity to recognize an impending catastrophe, with likely societal collapse and massive loss of life (already beginning). There is no possibility of technological salvation.

Furthermore, they have abrogated their fundamental duty to protect the vulnerable, particularly children, who are already aware of the crisis (note Greta Thunberg), and experience eco-anxiety and grief, and internationally, participate in “SS4C” (School Strikes for Climate) demonstrations in large numbers. A major recent Australian protest by children took place on May 21st 2021 against the bizarre plan for our federal government to fund a $600m gas-fired plant.

Not surprisingly adult eco-anxiety and solastalgia (climate grief) are also high, or often internalized, (and thus to manifest as other disturbances of mood and behaviour).

Since our leaders have access to the best climatological and psychological advice, their bewildering inaction over decades now represents a major crime, not only against humanity but against all life. There are now new categories of crime to consider: Ecocide, Auto-Speciescide, Eídocide (killing of an entire species) and Gaicide.

More evidence and analysis in Part 2.

Links

(AU) The Climate Emergency – A Need For Radical Honesty – Laced With Courage And Compassion: Part 2

Pearls and Irritations - Jonathan Page

The sight of an ice-free Arctic or Siberia on fire is tantamount to the discovery of cancer spreading to the brain. Some mitigation is possible but the prognosis is bad.


Author
Jonathan Page has been a medical oncologist for 40 years, previously working in major teaching hospitals in Sydney, but now focuses on palliative care and important issues of the psycho-spiritual domain. He also has an interest in ecological matters and human rights.
In Part 1, I introduced Joan, a previously well 50-year-old woman, whom I had met in hospital whilst she received second-line antibiotic therapy for a refractory pneumonia. After three weeks an underlying lung cancer was discovered, although, of course, it had been present all along.

This relationship resembles that of COVID 19 to the Climate Emergency, the two intimately related, but the immediate focus on the former, and indeed, radical treatment for both the lung cancer and the Climate Emergency must await a significant improvement in the acute crisis, namely the pneumonia or COVID 19.

As with climate change the lung cancer required further detailed investigation, to define the precise behaviour, rate of progression, prognosis and the possibility of meaningful intervention.

I had promised Joan that I would return to discuss these results as soon as they became available, and would then spend considerable time explaining the implications, openly and honestly. This would then allow a deep, balanced and realistic conversation about possible therapies, their efficacy and side effects, and importantly, a focus on her life ahead, its uncertainty, preciousness, meaning and brevity.

Unfortunately, the results of these various scans confirmed the spread of the cancer to a spinal bone and the brain. I gently conveyed this information to Joan and her daughter, both of whom wept and hugged one another. “Can anything be done to help me?” Joan asked between sobs. I replied with a tremulous voice: “Joan, unfortunately the cancer has spread. This means that it cannot be cured. The lung infection is still very active, so we have to be careful and all work together to try and avoid any complications of the cancer. Your lifespan is now very short. We must ensure that every moment is spent well. This a wonderful time to express and receive love, and likewise to offer and possibly receive forgiveness. It is also a time to consider a legacy, a memory of your invaluable presence on this Earth”.

With the overwhelming impact of COVID 19, not surprisingly, we have thought less about the Climate Emergency, although its manifestations abound, most recently with devastating wild fires in British Columbia and northern California, massive floods in China amongst many others, all with strong scientific attribution.

The further investigation of climate change confirms an advanced malignant process. Despite international commitments, global annual energy-related greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions fail to diminish responsibly, and may actually rise back up to 33 Gt CO₂ if COVID 19 control allows industrial production to “bounce back”. Clearly the “Paris targets” were too conservative, did not include all the forcing factors and had little power of execution over myopic and delinquent nations such as Australia.

Whereas nations strive (to some extent) to achieve “zero emissions” by 2050, blindly believing that, thereby, they will achieve a remission from the climate malignancy, they forget that years (and decades) of inaction now requires zero by 2030 to prevent catastrophic temperature rise. This global warming is likely already 2⁰C, but distributed unevenly over the Earth.

With accumulating CO2 (beyond our budgetary control) and the rise in other potent GHGs, with the fall in “cooling” aerosols, and changes in cloud behaviour, there may be a trigger to “hothouse” Earth, exacerbating the ongoing animal extinctions and threatening social viability, particularly in urban environments (with heat islands), and with great stress in poorer countries.

There is now clear Arctic amplification, whereby the rate and extent of climate warming is three times the global average, sea ice is now melting in an accelerating fashion, becoming thinner, with less winter recovery, losing its albedo effect, and soon to disappear entirely during summer months (sea ice-free Arctic by the 2030s), decades before previously anticipated, and representing the crossing of an irreversible tipping point.

This will likely lead to the release of vast quantities of seafloor methane, also arising from melting permafrost (containing as much GHG as all other sources), which in turn has arisen sooner than predicted by climate models, and not even included in recent predictions of global warming. In Greenland, glacial loss is also accelerating, with the expectation that further tipping points will be crossed soon.

These changes, together with progressive Antarctic ice melting will contribute to a more rapid rise in sea level (in addition to oceanic heat expansion), exceeding 1 metre by late century or sooner. A significant rise has already been documented, impacting on coastal communities in the Pacific, on our own Torres Strait islands, Florida and elsewhere, with associated extreme weather events, and causing salination of fresh water estuaries and aquifers, the latter representing the world’s most accessed freshwater reservoir. Such progressive sea level rise will continue for millennia.

Alpine-glaciers in Europe, Asia and South America are also melting rapidly creating a major further threat to water supply and agricultural activity, potentially affecting 3 billion people.

The sight of an ice-free Arctic or Siberia on fire is tantamount to the discovery of cancer spreading to the brain. Some mitigation is possible but the prognosis is bad. An oncologist who truly cares for his or her patients must tell the truth, be radically honest, display some compassion and vow never to abandon them. We should expect and demand nothing less from our leaders, but we should also be wise and realistic enough to know that this is beyond them. Most will be condemned to eternal infamy for not undertaking sound policies with courage and maturity some 30 years ago.

At what level of risk do we start to sacrifice our dangerous and selfish behaviour for the lives of our living offspring (let alone future generations)? The need for planetary palliation has become urgent, and should focus on all species, in addition to our own.

We can still demonstrate our capacity for noble, contrite self-less-ness, by systematically reducing our carbon footprint. Without delay (days to months) we must cease all GHG emitting activity (transport, infra-structure, energy, agriculture, industry), enhance eco-recycling, begin active transport (walking and cycling), insist upon much smaller eco-designed homes, green cities (to counter heat islands), and begin the regeneration of all debilitated ecosystems.

Finally, we must attend to the psycho-spiritual assault upon humanity by the two synchronous crises, particularly the “bad news” that our precious and galactically unique biosphere is morbidly ill, with the knowledge that we are responsible, but with some distant possibility of atonement. There has been much wise reflection in the realm of psycho-spiritual support and the much broader concept of Deep Adaptation. Likewise, with the expectation of universal distress there are many compassion-based strategies (plus here) for specific demographic groups, in various cultures (children, adolescents, parents, the elderly, the chronically ill, the disabled and so on), and new approaches will undoubtedly emerge.

Ultimately, we will have an opportunity, as a species, to seek forgiveness from our fellow Tellurian life forms (from the koalas to elephants to whales to the albatross; all being species imperiled by human contact), and all of whom must wonder, that when presented with the ineffable, effulgent beauty of Gaia, the large-brained, self-described Homo sapiens chose willful Armageddon, strangely and compulsively enacting an ancient eschatology.

Life will continue but we humans (from the Latin “humus”, meaning soil or earth) will have a deservedly minor role.

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(AU) The City Of Sydney Is Opening A Massive Tech Innovation Hub In Salesforce Tower To Help Tackle Climate Change

Startup Daily -


The soaring 56-storey Salesforce Tower at Sydney’s Circular Quay will be home to a new innovation hub focused on tackling climate change.

Named ‘Greenhouse’, the hub spans 3,800sqm on first three floors at 180 George Street and is due to open next year. It will offer affordable office space for climate tech startups and scaleups, to be run by a subsidiary company of seed investment firm Investible for the next 10 years.

City of Sydney Lord Mayor Clover Moore said creating affordable startup space would help support an important sector of the economy and contribute to the CBD’s post-pandemic recovery.

“Greenhouse is a wonderful opportunity for tech entrepreneurs and the scaleup economy to be located in one of the most advantageous and desirable locations in Australia, and for the City to showcase Sydney’s tech startup ecosystem to the world,” she said.

“By supporting our fastest-growing, sustainability-focused businesses with affordable, premium office space and access to expert-run services and globally competitive talent, we hope to reaffirm Sydney’s reputation as a vibrant and sustainable city and the home of smart, inclusive and green innovation.

“Greenhouse will help to drive the kind of economy our city needs, and I’m delighted that we are one of the key investors.”

The hub aims to directly support more than 100 ventures in creating more than 1,500 new jobs over a decade and creating pathways for early-stage startup to position Sydney as a global leader in climate tech.

Investible co-founder Creel Price will be Greenhouse CEO.

“We’re designing a space that’s optimised for growth; bringing together a diverse group of investors, experts, partners and advisors to provide climate tech businesses with the nutrient capital, talent, programs and community to grow to their fullest potential,” he said.

The City will sublease the hub space to Investible subsidiary, Innovillage Pty Ltd for 10 years and offer a rental subsidy through its Accommodation Grant Program, providing they demonstrate an ongoing community benefit to the tech startup ecosystem.

Greenhouse is expected to open in late 2022.

Links

04/08/2021

(AU Canberra Times) Public Sector Informant: Reducing Greenhouse Emissions Will Take A Group Effort - Including From Australia

Canberra TimesStephen Bartos

A firefighter passes a burning home as the Dixie Fire flares in California. Picture: AP

Author
Stephen Bartos is a Visiting Fellow, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University.
He was Professor of Governance and Director of the National Institute of Governance at the University of Canberra, and is a former deputy secretary of the Commonwealth Department of Finance. 
Stephen Bartos is the author of Against the Grain - The AWB Scandal and Why it Happened.
In recent weeks we have seen extreme climate events, from devastating wildfires in the United States to widespread flooding in Europe.

They are linked to climate change - further support, if any were needed, to the determination of most of the world to address the climate crisis.

It is almost obligatory to note that it is not possible to attribute an individual event to climate change; but that's not the point. Climate change is making extreme weather events like these more frequent and more extreme. That applies both to the US wildfires (we call similar events bushfires) and to Europe's floods.

The same will apply as extreme events - including cyclones, drought, flooding and bushfires - affect Australia with greater frequency in the future.

There are however four outlier countries whose policies, according to the Guardian, differ: China, Russia, Brazil and Australia. The report suggests that if the rest of the world followed these countries' policies the global temperature would rise by 5 per cent: a catastrophic outcome.

That conclusion was based on the non-partisan Paris Equity Check website developed by the University of Melbourne. This country grouping is not a club Australia would normally be comfortable joining. We have more in common with countries like the UK and US whose climate change policies and programs are far more ambitious than ours.

Their main talking point is that Australia contributes only 1.3 per cent of global carbon emissions, so nothing we do will make a significant difference. That argument is wrong. It needs to be put down.
If Australia is concerned that the rest of the world should take action on climate change, the most effective way to ensure that happens is ourselves to take action - helping establish a global norm.
Does this mean that countries with lower emissions should not bother? The argument is often raised in the context of what is asserted to be relative inaction by China (although the Chinese government would dispute that). It is a complicated story.

Moreover, the second highest emitter, the US, is engaged in serious efforts to reduce emissions, as is the third, the European Union.

There is a long history of analysis of collective action problems in economics. They are common. Examples include: taxation - why bother to pay tax, your tax payment is not going to make much difference to the country, it is only a tiny percentage of the total; voting - your vote makes hardly any difference to the result, so why bother; vaccination - if you get vaccinated it will make only a small difference to the total percentage of the population who are: yet that collective number of small impacts means the difference between a vulnerable or a relatively safe population.

Additional carbon emissions will worsen the impacts of climate change. Picture: Shutterstock

One of our major insurers runs an advertisement showing commuters lifting a train off a person trapped underneath (based on a real incident at Stirling railway station in Perth). They all contributed. It would have been easy for smaller commuters to stand back and say "there's a couple of big, strong blokes over there whose efforts will make more of a difference than mine" (you can call them China and the US). The people on that platform all pitched in to help. The same applies with climate change.

This is already happening in Australia. Despite relative inaction by governments, households have the world's highest uptake of rooftop solar power; financial institutions are increasingly demanding commitment to action on climate change before investing in a company; corporations themselves are adopting renewables and reducing emissions.

Does that apply internationally? Absolutely it does. Global norms about how countries should behave influence what governments do. They become institutions. In many cases international treaties and agreements emerge long after the institution. For example, norms on how to treat diplomats were in place well before they were formalised in the 1961 Vienna Convention on diplomatic relations.

There are other arguments as to why the 1.3 per cent argument is misleading, including that Australia has one of the highest per capita emissions rates in the world, and that coal exports mean our actual contribution to climate change is far higher. They are valid, but we don't need them.

The nature of climate change as a collective action problem provides a full and sufficient reason to reject the 1.3 per cent argument. For collective action problems to be solved, everyone has to contribute, small as well as large.

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(AU The Age) ‘We Need More Urgency’: Top Renewable Group Warns Against Paying To Keep Coal Alive

The AgeNick Toscano

The head of the nation’s top renewable energy group has urged legislators to reject a proposal to pay coal and gas-fired power stations to keep operating in order to avoid the shock of sudden closures.

Powering Australian Renewables (PowAR) – a consortium of power giant AGL, the Future Fund and the Queensland Investment Corporation – is the latest clean-energy developer to speak out against a contentious recommendation by the nation’s Energy Security Board that could see fossil fuel generators paid to guarantee future capacity.

A consortium of power giant AGL, the Future Fund and the Queensland Investment Corporation this week takes control of Tilt Renewables’ Australian wind and solar farms. Credit: Joe Armao

Chief executive Geoff Dutaillis warned the move would deter the very investment needed for a smooth transition to a zero-emissions grid.

He told The Age and The Sydney Morning Herald there were better ways to redesign the market and support renewables during periods when weather conditions were unfavourable.

“The sun doesn’t always shine, the wind doesn’t always blow; there will be renewable droughts,” Mr Dutaillis said.

“If we get a diverse pool of resources and an interconnected system linking Queensland, NSW, Victoria, and South Australia properly – and, dare I say, even Tasmania – we will have a diverse, resilient system which allows us to use resources from different parts of the country cost-effectively.”

Renewables
100 per cent renewables by 2025: Grid operator pushes clean energy revolution
Last week, the Energy Security Board sent its final recommendations for a redesign of the energy market to the national Cabinet.

The recommendations include a “capacity mechanism” to pay power generators to guarantee they can dispatch power when required. State and federal ministers are expected to decide on the rule changes within months.

PowAR on Tuesday will become Australia’s largest operator of renewable energy when it assumes control of Tilt Renewables’ wind and solar operations across the country following a $2.7 billion takeover deal earlier this year.

Mr Dutaillis said the consortium was eager to realise the full potential of Tilt’s outstanding development pipeline of energy projects, including more than 3500 megawatts of wind, solar, battery storage and peaking capacity.

However, he expressed dismay at the state of energy politics in Australia and said he believed the Morrison government was overly focused on prolonging the lives of ageing coal generators and expanding the use of gas power to support the shift to renewables.

Energy
Origin Energy takes a $2.2b hit as green shift hurts, coal costs bite
“Scientific assessment and lived experience are telling us every day that we need to act with more urgency, yet we are still in the midst of a debate in Australia where we are talking about subsidising increasingly ageing and unreliable generation beyond their useful life,” he said.

“We need a significant amount of flexibility and dispatchable generation, but that can happen in a renewable world – we’ve got battery technology evolving quickly, we’ve got pumped hydro being talked about every day.”

Mr Dutaillis also called for a greater focus on delivering improvements to the nation’s outdated, coal-based grid, where poor transmission infrastructure is hindering the delivery of clean power around the grid and across state lines.

Although coal still accounts for the majority of the country’s energy supply, an influx of renewable energy into the country’s main power grid in recent years has placed enormous pressure on coal generators by driving down daytime electricity prices to levels where they are unable to compete, threatening early closures.

EnergyAustralia’s Yallourn brown coal plant in Victoria this year announced it would shut down in 2028, four years earlier than planned, and there are expectations across the industry of other plants’ closure dates being brought forward.

Because electricity production is a dominant source of Australia’s emissions, reducing output from coal plants would help sharply reduce the national carbon footprint.

However, the Morrison government and some energy industry leaders are ramping up warnings that unexpectedly early shutdowns of coal-fired generators could raise the danger of blackouts or power bill spikes in the future.

Power plant owners including EnergyAustralia have expressed support for a proposal that would ensure there was always adequate capacity to meet consumer demand and keep the lights on.

“Our market is not providing the right investment signals for the flexible dispatchable capacity the system needs as ageing thermal baseload generation retires and Australia transitions to a low-emissions future,” EnergyAustralia head of markets Ross Edwards said.

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(DeSmog) Scientists Who Issued ‘Climate Emergency’ Declaration In 2019 Now Say Earth’s Vital Signs Are Worsening

DeSmog - Nick Cunningham

A rapid and urgent phaseout of fossil fuels is needed, scientists warn, in order to avoid crossing dangerous climate tipping points.

Wildfires in Chubut, Argentina, March 2021. Credit: Greenpeace Media

From devastating wildfires to rising methane emissions, Earth’s vital signs are continuing to deteriorate, scientists warn.

An urgent global phaseout of fossil fuels is needed, they say, reiterating calls for “transformative change,” which is “needed now more than ever to protect life on Earth and remain within as many planetary boundaries as possible.”

The warning comes roughly a year and a half after a global coalition of 11,000 climate scientists declared a climate emergency, warning that global action was needed to avoid “untold suffering due to the climate crisis.”

The new paper examining Earth’s vital signs, published in the journal BioScience, is authored by some of the same scientists who helped spearhead the climate emergency declaration.

“There is growing evidence we are getting close to or have already gone beyond tipping points associated with important parts of the Earth system, including warm-water coral reefs, the Amazon rainforest and the West Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets,” William Ripple, a professor of ecology at Oregon State University (OSU) and one of the paper’s lead authors, said in a statement.

The team of researchers and scientists, collaborating from Massachusetts in the U.S., Australia, the U.K., France, the Netherlands, Bangladesh, and Germany, took stock of 31 variables that collectively offer a gauge for the planet’s health. Many of those metrics have worsened since the group originally declared a climate emergency in 2019.

Both methane and carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere have reached new record highs, the study reveals.

Sea ice has dramatically shrunk, and so too has the ice mass in Greenland and Antarctica.

Wildfires in the U.S. are burning more acreage.

And deforestation in the Amazon is occurring at its fastest rate in 12 years.

Ruminant livestock — cows, sheep and goats — now exceed 4 billion, and their total mass exceeds that of humans and wild animals combined.

Cows in particular are huge contributors to climate change due methane emissions released from belching, and deforestation resulting from clearing land for livestock.


Forests cleared in Brazil for agriculture. Credit: CIFOR. CC BY-NC-ND 2.0.

The global pandemic offered only a modest and brief respite from some of these trends, the scientists note, such as a short drop in the use of fossil fuels as the world went into lockdown, but a quick rebound in oil and gas consumption demonstrates that the world remains stuck on a dangerous track.

The worsening vital signs “largely reflect the consequences of unrelenting business as usual,” the authors said in a statement.

Not every data point was negative, however, and there were some signs of hope. The level of fossil fuel subsidies has declined since 2019, although part of that was due to the collapse of energy use and market prices during the pandemic.

Fossil fuel divestment also picked up pace, increasing by $6.5 trillion between 2018 and 2020. And a growing number of governments have officially recognized the climate emergency — pledging to cut emissions and accelerate a push towards clean energy.

The authors also note that the share of global greenhouse gas emissions coming under some form of carbon pricing — a way of discouraging unchecked greenhouse gas emissions — also increased from 14.4 percent to 23.2 percent, largely due to expanding carbon pricing in China.

While that offered some hope, the scientists found that the global average carbon price under these programs stood at around US$15.49 per ton, much too low to ratchet down emissions.

The authors said global carbon pricing needs to increase “severalfold to be highly effective” in cutting the use of fossil fuels, and it should be linked to a “socially just green climate fund to finance climate mitigation and adaptation policies in the Global South.”

The scientists said the world needs to rapidly phase out fossil fuels, scale up carbon pricing programs at the global level, and develop climate reserves to protect natural carbon sinks such as forests, wetlands, and mangroves.

“Policies to alleviate the climate crisis or any of the other threatened planetary boundary transgressions should not be focused on symptom relief but on addressing their root cause: the overexploitation of the Earth,” the authors wrote in their paper.

The warning comes as politicians continue to drag their feet on ambitious climate action.

On July 22, a report from BloombergNEF was released, finding that G20 countries — the richest nations in the world — subsidized fossil fuels by roughly $3.3 trillion between 2015 and 2019.

The following day, the environment ministers of G20 countries met in Naples, Italy.

They failed, however, to reach a consensus on calling for a global phaseout of coal, and they also could not agree on tightening up the climate goals laid out in the 2015 Paris climate agreement.

The summit in Naples is meant to lay the groundwork for the much more important climate negotiations to be held in Glasgow later this year.

Flood damage in Germany. Credit: Greenpeace Media.

The Ponina Fire in Oregon, April 2021. Credit: National Interagency Fire Center.

Meanwhile, governments are also not following global calls to shift their pandemic-related economic recovery programs to forms of “green stimulus.”

The International Energy Agency (IEA) said only 2 percent of global fiscal stimulus is being funneled into clean energy.

“Not only is clean energy investment still far from what’s needed to put the world on a path to reaching net-zero emissions by mid-century, it’s not even enough to prevent global emissions from surging to a new record,” IEA executive director Fatih Birol said.

The lagging response to a worsening climate crisis comes despite the destruction from disasters becoming more pronounced, with record heat in the Pacific Northwest, wildfires across the American West and in Siberia, and horrendous floods in China, Belgium, and Germany.

“Climate change is not abstract right now. It is in our face,” Ripple of OSU told DeSmog. “Just seeing the suffering around the fires, the floods, the heat waves and the drought … it’s accelerating a lot faster than I personally thought even two years ago when we made our scientist warning of a climate emergency declaration.”

“I think we’re all sitting back and reassessing,” Ripple said. “A lot of us are shocked about the speed and magnitude of what’s happening right now.”

Links

03/08/2021

(AU ABC) Legal Challenge Launched Against Federal Government's $21 Million Beetaloo Basin Grant

ABC NewsKate Ashton

Opening up the Beetaloo Basin has been identified as a priority in the Federal government's "gas-led recovery". (Supplied: Empire Energy)

Key Points
  • The government grants were awarded as part of a $50 million program to speed up gas exploration in the NT
  • Environmentalists will argue the decision did not consider climate change 
  • Minister Keith Pitt says the lawsuit is baseless and will threaten jobs
Environmental groups are challenging a federal government decision to award millions of dollars in grants to a fracking company searching for gas buried deep in the Beetaloo Basin.

The Environment Centre NT and the Environmental Defenders Office have filed urgent legal action against Minister for Resources and Water, Keith Pitt, alleging he did not consider the potential risk to climate change or Australia's obligations under the Paris Agreement in his bid to expedite gas exploration in the Beetaloo Basin.

Earlier this month, the minister awarded three grants totalling $21 million to energy company Imperial Oil and Gas, a subsidiary of Empire Energy, to support three new exploration wells and "create thousands of jobs".

Documents filed in the Federal Court show lawyers will argue Mr Pitt failed to act in a way that was "reasonable, rational and logical".

Co-director of the Environment Centre NT (ENCT), Dr Kirsty Howey, said the grants were an irresponsible use of public funds.
"We want to see taxpayers money used wisely and with all the consequences being fully considered," she said.
"Granting $21 million to a private fossil fuel company should only be done after all care is taken to examine the impacts on climate change, the environment and the community.

Environment Centre NT co-director Kirsty Howey is asking the government to pause the grants program while the legal challenge takes its course. (ABC: Dane Hirst)

"The law requires the minister to be satisfied that the expenditure is a proper use of money … we say that means inquiries into the risks of a heating climate if the heart of the Northern Territory was opened up to fracking."

Minister Pitt condemned the lawsuit as a threat to thousands of jobs.

"This is another example of activists using the courts with baseless allegations to try and delay a nationally important resources project," he said.
"This latest case of green "lawfare" declared on legitimate projects threatens to delay an estimated 6000 new jobs being delivered for the Northern Territory along with around $37 billion on economic activity."
The Environmental Defenders Office, running the case on behalf of the ECNT, said the court battle would examine if proper process was followed when awarding the grants.

"Before making a decision to grant these funds, the relevant minister needed to make reasonable inquiries into a range of risks, including climate and economic risks, that may arise from the expenditure," Environmental Defenders Office chief executive David Morris said.

"We will argue on behalf of our client that the federal government did not make these reasonable inquiries, and thus the minister's decision is invalid."

The decision by Minister Keith Pitt, pictured with NT Environment Minister Eva Lawler, is facing a new legal challenge from the Environment Centre NT. (ABC News: Michael Donnelly)

The Beetaloo Basin is one of five Australian gas fields the federal government plans to accelerate development under its "gas-led recovery" from coronavirus.

The grants were awarded as part of the $50 million Beetaloo co-operative drilling program, first announced by Mr Pitt and NT CLP Senator Sam McMahon in December last year.

Mr Pitt said the grants were administered in line with proper process.

"Grants are provided to companies that possess the highly specialised skills to meet the challenges of developing the Basin as determined by an expert assessment panel," he said.

Empire Energy declined a request by the ABC to comment on the legal action, but at a senate hearing on Wednesday said it had not yet received the grant money.

The Environment Centre NT has called on the minister to halt the grants until the matter has been considered by the court.

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