Australia’s top Great Barrier Reef officials warn the natural wonder will virtually collapse if the planet becomes 1.5 degrees hotter – a threshold that scientists say requires shutting down coal within three decades.
This federal election campaign is a potential tipping point for Australia’s direction on climate action, as the major parties pledge distinctly different ambitions for cutting greenhouse gas emissions.
However neither party has rejected the proposed Adani mine outright or promised to phase out coal, an export on which Australia is heavily reliant.
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| The Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority says limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees is "critical". |
In response to the threat, the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority – the federal government’s lead agency for managing the reef – has prepared a climate change position statement.
The document, obtained by the Sydney Morning Herald and The Age under freedom of information laws, has not been released to the general public despite being in development for the past 15 months.
It states that limiting the average global temperature increase to 1.5 degrees or below since industrial times began – the higher end of the Paris agreement target - “is critical to maintain the ecological function of the Great Barrier Reef”. The world has already warmed by 1 degree.
Ecological function refers to roles performed by the reef's plants, animals and habitats, including providing a tourist experience. The authority has said these processes are necessary for the reef to exist.
The document cites scientific evidence that the reef could experience temperature-induced bleaching events twice per decade by about 2020 and annually by 2050 under high-emissions scenarios.
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| The IPCC says the global coal industry must virtually shut down by 2030 to prevent catastrophic climate change. Credit: Fairfax Media |
A report prepared by the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in October last year said it was possible to keep warming below 1.5 degrees, but only with "rapid, far-reaching and unprecedented changes in all aspects of society".
This included phasing out coal-generated electricity globally by 2050, unless unproven technology to capture carbon dioxide from coal plants was deployed.
The Morrison government has pledged to cut Australia’s emissions by 26 per cent by 2030, based on 2005 levels. Experts say the target is not in line with keeping global warming below even 2 degrees.
The government has been plagued by internal divisions over emissions and insists coal has a strong future in Australia.
It has backed the controversial Adani mine and is considering underwriting new coal-fired generation projects in a bid to boost energy reliability and affordability.
By 2030, Labor wants half of Australia’s electricity needs met from renewable sources and a 45 per cent cut to national emissions. It says a transition away from coal is inevitable, but has no plans to shut down the industry. It has expressed scepticism about the Adani mine's future but has not pledged to stop it if Labor wins government.
The Greens say that by 2030, thermal coal exports and coal burning in Australia should cease.
WWF-Australia head of oceans Richard Leck said the reef authority’s explicit recognition of the need to stay below 1.5 degrees of warming was a “long time coming”.
“Now [a government agency] has made it absolutely clear that we need a climate policy that is consistent with 1.5 degrees or lower. We absolutely need to see that backed up by substance,” he said.
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| Fish swim among bleached coral in the Great Barrier Reef. Credit: Ove Hoegh-Guldberg |
“You can’t have the Great Barrier Reef and the Adani mine, and what that [mine] represents in terms of future resource extraction. It is simply a big contradiction.”
Professor Hoegh-Guldberg said Labor’s 45 per cent target aligned “with the very best science coming from the international community”.
Labor’s climate change and energy spokesman, Mark Butler, said the party “agrees that climate change poses a severe risk to the Great Barrier Reef and real action is long overdue”.
A spokesman for Environment Minister Melissa Price said limiting climate change was important for the reef but it was "a global problem requiring a global solution, and Australia is playing its part".
He cited the Coalition's $3.5 billion carbon solutions package and commitment to the Paris treaty and the $443.3 million grant to the Great Barrier Reef Foundation to improve the reef's health.
Links
- 'Barbaric': Adani's giant coal mine granted unlimited water licence for 60 years
- CSIRO doubted Adani mine's predicted impact on groundwater
- Legal Protections Urged As Science Gears Up To Aid Great Barrier Reef
- Malcolm Turnbull Asked To Front Reef Inquiry
- The Great Barrier Reef Is “In For A Rough Ride”
- Great Barrier Reef Likely To Be Hit With Another Mass Bleaching This Summer, Forecast Shows
- To Tackle Climate Change, A New U.N. Climate Report Says Put A High Price On Carbon
- Mining Sector, Morrison Government On The Defensive Over IPCC Report
- Major Climate Report Describes A Strong Risk Of Crisis As Early As 2040
- The Political Will To Prevent Climate Change Is Lacking, Even As The Cost Climbs
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