18/10/2021

(AU SMH) Joyce Weakens Morrison Before World Leaders Decide Their Pledges On Climate Change

 Sydney Morning Herald David Crowe

Barnaby Joyce has weakened Scott Morrison just two weeks before world leaders are due to meet in Glasgow to decide their pledges on climate change.

Joyce left the Prime Minister with little room to move on one of the key negotiations at the United Nations climate summit: the goal of making deeper cuts to emissions by 2030.

Deputy Prime Minister Barnaby Joyce addresses the media during a doorstop interview ahead of a Nationals party room meeting. Credit: Photo: Alex Ellinghausen






This is a win for the Nationals leader and Deputy Prime Minister but a loss for the wider government when it is trying to convince voters it is already ahead of its targets.

If, of course, Morrison lets Joyce call the shots.

Time and again, Morrison and his Liberal ministers have claimed they are on track to “meet and beat” the official policy of reducing emissions by 26 to 28 per cent by 2030 on 2005 levels.

Climate policy
Now, it looks like the Nationals and the Greens have at least one thing in common: they do not believe it.

An agreement on a long-term target, net zero emissions by 2050, is still within reach. About one-third of the Nationals party room appears to be dead against a federal cabinet decision to make this official government policy.

But the 2050 target has support in cabinet, in the Liberal Party room and probably enough support in the Nationals party room to be adopted within days.
This will be a win for Morrison, after a painfully slow shift in his thinking, but it is undercut by the loss on the interim target.

The problem? Just as Morrison catches up, other leaders jump ahead. The head of the Carbon Market Institute, John Connor, says an Australian pledge on net zero by 2050 is only the “entry ticket” to the Glasgow UN summit next month.

It is enough to get Morrison a place at the table but not enough to get him much credit. It is as if Joyce has allowed him the ticket to the dinner but not the voucher that guarantees a meal.

Deputy Prime Minister Barnaby Joyce will chair a Nationals party room meeting to decide their climate change policy.

United States President Joe Biden has set a target of 50 to 52 per cent by 2030. Japan is aiming for 46 per cent, while South Korea set a goal of 40 per cent earlier this month. The United Kingdom is aiming for 68 per cent. Some use different base years but all are more ambitious than Australia.

Joyce took his usual roundabout route to air his view on Sunday. He dismissed the idea of a bigger 2030 target by saying it was his opinion about the mood of the whole party room.

There is a chance he got it wrong, but his way of summing up the majority view may have effectively decided it.

This has divided ministers. Some like the idea of making a 2030 forecast rather than setting a new and formal target. Others believe this needs a pledge, not a prediction. The nuance is unlikely to impress anyone in Glasgow.

It may not impress the public, either. It reveals a lack of confidence in the “meet and beat” promise Morrison has made so often.

And if the government cannot be confident about its promises, why should voters?

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(AU The Conversation) What’s Behind News Corp’s New Spin On Climate Change?

The Conversation -

Justin Lane/EPA/AAP

Author
is Research Fellow in Climate Change Communication, Climate Futures Program, University of Tasmania, and Lecturer in Communication - Journalism, Deakin University
Australia’s Murdoch-owned tabloid newspapers – including The Daily Telegraph, Herald Sun and Courier Mail – have embarked on a bold new climate change campaign.

This climate rebrand, dubbed “missionzero2050”, is billed by the company as “putting Australia on a path to a net zero future”.

The change has surprised Australian media observers and, no doubt, media consumers given News Corp’s long-held climate denialist stance, which is well documented in public commentary and research.

So why is this happening now? And what does it mean?

What does the new campaign say?

Last Monday, News Corp’s tabloid mastheads began the new campaign with a 16-page wraparound supplement and a splashy online campaign championing the drive to cut climate warming emissions by 2050.

News Corp must have done its climate communication research. It has assembled a collection of stories using best-practice climate communication techniques: telling a global story with a local face, visualising climate impacts and focusing on solutions, not creating fear.

Crucially, the campaign marks a change from News Corp’s long-held position on climate action. It’s moved from calling decarbonisation too expensive and bad for jobs (it tagged the cost at A$600 billion in 2015), to describing it now as a potential $2.1 trillion economic “windfall”, offering opportunities for 672,000 new jobs.

News Corp and climate change

What News Corp does matters, because it has extensive influence in Australia’s media market.

The company’s newspaper, radio, pay TV and online news portfolio gives it significant audience reach and huge political sway. In April, former Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull labelled the Murdoch media “the most powerful political actor in Australia”. Most people derive their understanding of climate change from the media. So News Corp’s audience reach (which included about 100 print and digital mastheads as of early 2021) has given it extensive influence over Australians’ knowledge of and opinions about climate change, profoundly shaping public debate.

Murdoch media outlets have denied the science of climate change and ridiculed climate action for more than a decade.

A 2013 study by the Australian Centre for Independent Journalism found climate denialist views in a third of Australian media coverage of climate change, and pointed to News Corp outlets as the key reason for this.

News Corp’s commentators have described those arguing for climate action as “alarmists” and “loons”, who are prone to “warming hysteria”. They have also said climate concern is a “cult of the elite” and the “effects of global warming have so far proved largely benign”.

Despite this, in 2019, Murdoch declared there were “no climate change deniers” in his company.

Signs of a mood shift

This pivot on climate change was not entirely unexpected.

The company had been signalling a mood shift since early 2020, in the wake of its controversial reporting on the Black Summer bushfires, which saw it accused of downplaying the fires and fuelling misinformation about the cause.

James Murdoch, pictured in 2015, has become a vocal critic of News Corp’s approach to climate. Sang Tan/AP/AAP

At that time, Rupert Murdoch’s son James expressed his concerns about the “ongoing denial” of climate change at News Corp in the face of “obvious evidence to the contrary”.

He subsequently resigned his position on the company’s board. Early last month, the Nine newspapers flagged an imminent change of stance on climate at News Corp, noting, “Rupert Murdoch’s global media empire has faced growing international condemnation and pressure from advertisers over its editorial stance on climate change”.

The fine print

Despite the gloss of missionzero2050 (the newspapers say they are only focusing on “positive stories” about creating “a clean future while having fun and feeling good at the same time”), a deeper analysis shows the campaign has some quite specific agendas, signalling its climate epiphany may be limited.

In the stories that make up the campaign, it is still rolling out business-as-usual narratives like:
  • defending Australia’s emissions as small compared to other countries, especially China (therefore suggesting we do not need to take drastic action)
  • framing renewables as an unreliable source of energy (so not an adequate replacement for fossil fuels)
  • promoting Australia’s coal as cleaner than other countries’ (some of it may be, but the International Energy Agency says the world must start quitting coal now to stay within safer global warming limits)
  • promoting gas as having half the emissions of coal (burning gas does emit less carbon dioxide, but its extraction also causes fugitive emissions of methane, a gas that’s about 30 times more powerful as a heat-trapping greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide over 100 years)
  • advocating carbon capture and storage (which is not yet a proven way to reduce emissions from burning fossil fuels)
  • criticising a carbon pollution price (economists widely agree this is the single most effective way to encourage polluters to reduce greenhouse gas emissons).
Surprisingly, the campaign is making a big effort to spruik nuclear power. It states: “our aversion to nuclear energy defies logic” and advocates strongly for an Australian nuclear industry for “national security” purposes as well as energy. Overall, the missionzero2050 agenda seems to be set on supporting new and existing extractive industries and Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s “gas-led recovery”.

Strangely, the campaign also emphasises “putting Australia first” – although efforts to deal with climate change must be inherently globally focused.

Loud silences

What’s most perverse, perhaps, about missionzero2050 are the things it does not say or acknowledge. There has been no mention of News Corp’s years of intentionally undermining decarbonisation and helping to topple Australian leaders who advocated for climate action. Oddly, News Corp has not muzzled its high-profile commentators. Columnist Andrew Bolt was quick to make it known that he thought the campaign was “rubbish”.

Nor has it aligned its advertising with the missionzero2050 message. For example, last Wednesday, the Herald Sun ran a half-page ad placed by the climate “sceptical” Climate Study Group about the “great climate change furphy,” discrediting climate science and advocating for more coal and nuclear power.

What might it mean?

The timing of the campaign, just as Morrison negotiates with the Nationals ahead of the COP26 climate conference, is likely to be no coincidence. It seems designed to provide cover for a potential shift on the part of the Coalition towards a mid-century net zero declaration.

Morrison is also under intense pressure from other world leaders to lift his ambitions on climate. He’ll be expected to bring new plans for emissions cuts to the table in Glasgow.

Some commentators have labelled the Murdoch pivot “greenwashing”. Others have called it a “desperate ploy to rehabilitate the public image of a leading climate villain”.

However perplexing the Murdoch papers’ climate U-turn may seem, at least Morrison will know Australia’s “most powerful political actor” is not likely to campaign against any 2050 net zero declaration.

Given News Corp’s power to subvert the national narrative on climate, that’s important if we want to see the action that’s so long overdue.

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