16/10/2016

Great Barrier Reef Climate History Unlocked As CSIRO Maps Offshore Queensland Basin

ABC NewsKathy McLeish

An underwater landslide, which slid 900 metres and spread 20 kilometres wide at its base. (Supplied: Dr Robin Beaman, James Cook University)
Scientists from the CSIRO are using cutting-edge technology to map the seafloor of the Queensland Basin to understand how the Great Barrier Reef responded to past climate change events.
While the reef is one of the world's most studied ecosystems, its depths could still hold many surprises, including how resilient it might be in the future.
Scientists on the CSIRO research vessel, the RV Investigator, are on a four-week voyage to map the offshore Queensland Basin.
It uses new multi-beam echosounders to survey the seafloor to the depth of about 11 kilometres — eight kilometres deeper than scientists could reach previously.

3D map shows Kerguelen Plateau and SW Indian Ocean.

James Cook University marine geologist Robin Beaman, who heads the project, said the ship worked by constantly scanning the seabed, building a more comprehensive picture than ever before.
While it has mapped parts of the Southern Ocean, this voyage takes the researchers from Brisbane north to the Coral Sea.
"On the edge of the Great Barrier Reef there is this incredible undersea landscape," Dr Beaman said.
"We've got a three-dimensional picture.
"We will use this data for many, many years to come."

Fossilised, drowned reef discovered

The fossilised drowned reef, which would have grown when the sea level was lower. (Photo: Dr Robin Beamean/James Cook University) (ABC News)

So far the team has found a fossilised, or drowned reef about 100 metres down.
It would have grown when the sea level was lower.
Not able to keep pace with the high rate of sea level rise and associated environmental changes after the last ice age, about 20,000 years ago, the coral died and is now preserved at those deeper levels.
Dr Beaman said it had the potential to provide a wealth of knowledge about how best to manage the reef going forward.
"We are facing unprecedented change on the Great Barrier Reef. We look at the past to give context to what we might have in the future," he said.
Robin Beaman aboard the CSIRO research ship, the RV Investigator. (Supplied: CSIRO)
Tsunami-making reef slide
University of Sydney geoscientist Jody Webster said the new information was crucial.
Associate Professor Webster examines a core sample drilled from the reef. (Supplied: Sydney University)
Associate Professor Webster said it would help make improved predictions, such as the rate of sea level rise in the face of global warming as the ice sheets melt.
Similar mapping laid the groundwork for a huge core drilling expedition in 2010, which revealed a mass of information about extinct reefs and organisms.
"One of the key goals is to understand what the environmental thresholds are to the life of the reef," Associate Professor Webster said.
The latest research has also turned up a huge underwater landslide on the edge of the reef shelf.
At a depth of about 120 metres, the slide drops almost a kilometre down and more than 20 kilometres wide at its base.
"It is truly huge in scale," Dr Beaman said.
"We know that these are old, but they generate tsunamis several metres to 10 metres [high].
"It's unlikely that humans were here in Australia at the time."
The mapping from this voyage will be further investigated next year, when the scientists join an international collaboration on board a German research ship in the Great Barrier Reef.

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Kigali Deal On HFCs Is Big Step In Fighting Climate Change

The Guardian - John Vidal

The deal done in Rwanda on Saturday will cut greenhouse gases. We assess its global significance
US secretary of state John Kerry in Kigali. Photograph: James Akena/Reuters
They went to Kigali to eliminate hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) and take 0.5C out of future global warming, and the 170 countries that successfully negotiated an amendment to the Montreal protocol treaty agreed to get rid of 90% of them. Not bad for four days and three long nights of hard work.
The Kigali deal on HFCs is in fact fiendishly complicated and has taken years to negotiate in various technical and political forums. The final agreement, announced on Saturday morning caps and reduces the use of HFCs in a gradual process beginning in 2019.
More than 100 developing countries will start taking action from 2024, a date that has sparked concern from some groups that the changes will be implemented too slowly. A small group of countries, including India, Pakistan and some Gulf states, pushed for and secured a later start – 2028 – on the grounds that their economies need time to grow. But that is three years earlier than India, the world’s third-worst polluter, had first proposed.
The result was achieved thanks to several factors: an ambitious scheme to give countries different time scales in which to phase out HFCs; major chemical and food companies accepting change; the determination of US secretary of state John Kerry to agree a plan before the presidential election; and developing countries agreeing to invest heavily in new technologies.
Rich countries, including the US, Japan and Europe, will start phasing out synthetic HFCs in 2019, China in 2024, and India and less ambitious countries in 2028. The deal reflects countries’ differing levels of development. Because nearly all HFCs are made by a handful of giant western chemical companies and are used in air-conditioning units and cooling systems made and sold in rich countries, it was relatively easy for their governments to put pressure on a single global industry. Alternatives such as hydrocarbons, ammonia and CO2 are widely available, safe, approved and on the market.
HFCs are mainly used in air-conditioning systems in rich countries. Photograph: Dimitra Louvrou/EPA 
Worldwide use of HFCs has soared in the past decade as rapidly growing countries such as China and India adopted air-conditioning in homes, offices and cars. But HFC gases are thousands of times more destructive to the climate than carbon dioxide, and scientists say their growing use threatens to undermine the Paris accord, agreed last year by 195 countries.
The deal will make little difference to rich countries. The EU had already started to phase out HFCs and since 2011 had banned their use in cars. Many global food and drink companies – Coca Cola, Pepsico and Unilever among them – have already started to replace fluorinated gases with climate-friendly and natural refrigerants, which are more energy-efficient and can save money.
The new agreement is welcomed by many chemical and manufacturing companies because it gives them green kudos and market advantage over inferior products made in poor countries.
But it was much harder for India, China and other developing countries to strike a deal. Their companies have relied on old refrigeration and coolant technologies, and will now have to invest in R&D and upgrade or replace factories and equipment.
Just as in wider climate talks, they accepted that they are part of the problem and may be on track to become the main HFC users, but insisted that, like climate change itself, this is primarily a western problem foisted on them.
The deal keeps the Paris agreement on track and is a vital step towards reducing global emissions. Coming on the heels of a new deal to cap aviation emissions, and just weeks before the shipping industry sets about cleaning up its act and UN climate talks resume, it is overwhelmingly positive.
But the Kigali meeting need never have happened. HFCs were widely recognised as powerful greenhouse gases many years ago, and though governments deliberately missed the chance to eliminate them in 1987, they agreed in the Montreal Protocol to phase out CFCs and protect the ozone layer.
The ozone hole is slowly recovering, and HFCs are now seen as just a small part of the climate change problem. If only it took just a few nights of negotiations to eliminate fossil fuels, too.

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The Haunting Sound Of Climate Change Over 100 Years

Huffington Post - Dominique Mosbergen

Two Stanford researchers have transformed data of a dying Alaskan tree into song.
Yellow cedar trees are shown in abundance in Glacier Bay National Park, left. The image on the right, south of the park in the Tongass National Forest, reveals the impact climate change on this tree. Lauren Oakes
Quick, bright piano notes open the melody. It's lively, almost playful; conjuring images of birds chirping through sun-dappled forests.
Then suddenly, a shift. The piano notes quieten; the silence interrupted only by the lament of a lone flute. But soon, other instruments compete for the listener's attention, the strings and a clarinet jostle to be heard.
The piece becomes a roller coaster of sound and emotion, until finally it ends with a trill of a flute — almost abruptly— much more subdued than how it began.
This is a 100-year-old story captured in a 3-minute song; the story of a dying tree and its changing forest home. It's a song about life and death. It's a song about climate change:

Two Stanford researchers collaborated to create the music through an emerging analytical tool known as data sonification. It captures the ecological transformation of Alexander Archipelago, a 300-mile chain of islands off the southeastern coast of Alaska. There, yellow cedars have been dying in staggering numbers over the past century. Other trees have been moving in to take their place.
The piano in the song represents the dying yellow cedar; violin and viola symbolize mountain hemlock; the clarinet is shore pine; cello and bass are Sitka spruce; and western hemlock, the conifer which has successfully usurped the cedar in some swathes of the archipelago, is played by the mournful flute.
Dead yellow cedar trees on Chichagof Island in the Tongass National Forest. Lauren Oakes
Yellow cedar has long been a culturally, ecologically and economically valuable tree in southeastern Alaska. Many of the trees are ancient, aged between 700 and 1,200 years old. Their leaves and surrounding soils play host to unique bacterial communities; animals rely on the trees for food and shelter, while humans prize them for their durable, closed-grained wood.
For the past 100 years, however, the yellow cedar has been dying off in large numbers across Alaska and British Columbia. As of 2012, 60 to 70 percent of yellow cedar in a 600,000-acre area in the region have died.
Climate change is to blame for this die-off, scientists say. They've concluded that though the trees could withstand centuries of bugs, rot and injury, their shallow roots are vulnerable to freezing when the surrounding soil is not protected by a layer of insulating snow.
Alaska has been melting for decades. The average temperature across the state has increased by about 3 degrees Fahrenheit over the past 60 years. That's more than twice the warming recorded in the rest of the U.S., according to the Environmental Protection Agency.
Interested in these dying cedars and, more specifically, the environmental changes that the tree deaths had triggered, ecologist Lauren Oakes visited the Alexander Archipelago in the summers of 2011 and 2012 to conduct field research. Oakes, then a doctoral student at Stanford's Emmett Interdisciplinary Program in Environment and Resources, started in the north of the archipelago in Glacier Bay National Park where healthy yellow cedar forests still thrive. She steadily moved south to areas increasingly afflicted by warming temperatures and dying cedars, finally ending her research at the base of Slocum Arm in the remote wilderness of the Tongass National Forest.
Oakes' field crew during their Alaskan research expedition in 2012. Lauren Oakes
Wherever Oakes and her team of field assistants went, they identified trees and other plants in the forest, taking note of measurements including the height and diameter of each specimen. Her data set ended up containing nearly 30 variables for more than 2,000 conifers. Oakes published her findings in an article for the journal Ecosphere in 2014. But as with most academic writing, it was not widely-read beyond a select group of academicians.
That didn't sit well with Oakes.
"My path in life to date has been at the intersection of environmental research and communications — so I'm always looking for interesting ways to share important stories of environmental change with a broad public," she shared with The Huffington Post in an email last week.
Oakes double-majored in environmental studies and visual art, specializing in film and photography, at Brown University. She later worked on a series of environmental documentaries, including one for PBS' Frontline, and wrote for The New York Times Green blog. She recently began work on a book about her Alaskan research for a mainstream audience. It's due to be published in 2018.
"In any project I tackle, I want to publish the research in journals for the science community, [but also] work to communicate what I learn through other creative means to a broader public," she said.
So when Nik Sawe, then also a PhD student at Stanford, emailed her earlier this year about his pioneering work in data sonification, Oakes said she was instantly intrigued and replied immediately. Sawe had been looking for interesting datasets to sonify.
Data sonification is, essentially, the transmutation of data into music. It involves a computer and a composer, who feeds information into a special modeling software that reinterprets data so it'll make sense to a musical instrument digital interface, or MIDI.
Similar to the more mature tools of data visualization, sonification is meant to help uncover or better explore patterns and trends. These patterns, in turn, could unveil news way to see the world.
The tool is still in its infancy, but many interesting sonification projects have already emerged. Musician Brian Foo has sonified income inequality in New York City and air quality in Beijing. Chris Chafe, director of the Center for Computer Research in Music and Acoustics, Stanford's computer music research center, and a mentor of Sawe's, has sonified electrode recordings from epileptic patients.
And then, there's the climate change music — the result of the sonification of Oakes' data from Alaska. The music maps Oakes' journey from the healthy cedar forests of the north to the dying ones of the south. "What I was really looking for was not just a pattern but a narrative," Sawe said. "The decline of the yellow cedars and the link to climate change was a very clear story in the data. The trick was trying to represent that in audio."
Yellow cedars in Glacier Bay National Park, left, and in Tongass National Forest. Lauren Oakes

Then Sawe realized that Oakes' trip had, in effect, been a journey back in time.
"As Lauren went further south along the Alaskan coast, the forests had been wrestling with climate change for a longer time. So that travel through space, from north to south, became time in the song. We first hear the forests in the north — still largely untouched by climate change — and as we travel south the changing landscape becomes more and more evident," he said.
Every moment in Sawe's composition is meaningful. Every note is a tree and every species plays a different instrument. The pitch of each note is related to the height of the tree; how hard the note is hit is linked to the diameter at the base, and the duration correlates to tree health.
"We spend the same amount of time in every place that Lauren visited, so if there are say, 40 yellow cedars in one location, they'll play very quickly and lively; if there are 3, they'll be long slow notes," Sawe said. "But here's perhaps the most important part of the mapping: dead trees count as silences. So in a place with 3 live trees and 30 dead, we'd hear 3 sporadic notes surrounded by silence. And that's why you can really hear, about midway through the song, this abrupt change in the liveliness of the yellow cedar. More and more of the trees in the forest are dead."
In the recording below, the yellow cedar's piano melody is isolated, allowing for closer listening to the individual tree. Note the silences that begin near the middle of the song:

Sonification of data involves a precise, scientific process — but there's artistic flair intertwined in it too. In the case of the Alaskan forest composition, for instance, Sawe made two obvious aesthetic choices. One was the use of cello and bass to represent Sitka spruce, which is a tree whose wood is often used to make stringed instruments.
The other was the key. "I picked D minor as it sounded rather poignant," Sawe said.
The song seems to take on an elegiac quality as a result, a ballad to the dying cedar tree. But a different key could've perhaps reflected something else Oakes discovered in her research.
"This is a story of death, yes, but it's also a story of regeneration, and a new forest community taking shape," she said. "In the song, you hear yellow cedar trees drop out and then other species regenerate. In the middle, you hear a busy flurry of instruments as various species compete to regenerate. Then over time, in the end, you hear more flute ― Western hemlock dominates."
The outer coast of Glacier Bay National Park where yellow cedar trees still thrive. Lauren Oakes
Sonification could change the way scientists, and the public, analyze and appreciate data.
"For scientists to interpret their data in a new way, this could be really valuable," said Sawe, who is currently working on another research project at Stanford to sonify California's drought. "In terms of how we explore our data, and what questions we ask next as we endeavor to do good science, this is a really promising tool."
The accessibility and emotiveness of music means that broader audiences can also be reached ― and touched.
"You don't have to understand statistics or how to read a graph, you don't need access to an academic journal, you don't have to dig through the raw data where Lauren painstakingly recorded the attributes of thousands of trees. I can describe what you're about to hear in 20 seconds and then you've got it, and you're able to hear every single tree that Lauren visited down the Alaskan coast inside of 3 minutes," said Sawe, adding that the emotional quality of music allows for listeners to experience data "viscerally."
Next spring, a live orchestra will be playing Sawe's climate change composition on Stanford's campus. He and Oakes, now both lecturers at the university, say they hope to also launch a public exhibition that will showcase the music as well as the photos Oakes captured in the Alaskan wilderness.
"I'd like our work to communicate science in a more accessible way and for it also to help raise awareness about the kinds of impacts occurring as a result of climate change," said Oakes. "As Nik would tell you, information alone isn't often enough to motivate action. Feeling motivated is often connected to emotion, and we tend to strip emotion from science."

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15/10/2016

Most People Alive Today Set To Witness Dangerous Global Warming In Their Lifetime, Scientists Warn

The IndependentIan Johnston

Average temperature could rise to two degrees Celsius above the norm by 2050 or 'even sooner'
Pictures that show we are killing our planet (first of  21)
The world could hit two degrees Celsius of warming – the point at which many scientists believe climate change will become dangerous – as early as 2050, a group of leading experts has warned.
In a report called The Truth About Climate Change, they said many people seemed to think of global warming as "abstract, distant and even controversial".
But the planet is now heating up "much faster" than anticipated, said Professor Sir Robert Watson, a former chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and one of the authors of the report.
If their analysis is correct, it means the majority of people alive today will experience what it is like to live on a dangerously overheated planet.
But in the same year the level of warming reached 1C after an astonishing 0.15C rise in just three years.
Droughts, floods, wildfires and storms are all set to increase as the world warms, threatening crops and causing the extinction of species.

A raging wildfire closes in on a tree as people flee near Clayton, California

The new report warned the 1.5C target had "almost certainly already been missed"
Even if all the pledges to cut emissions made by countries at Paris are fulfilled, the average temperature is set to reach that level in the early 2030s and then 2C by 2050, they said.

Professor Watson, a chemist who has worked for Nasa, the World Bank, the US president and now at the renowned Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research in Norwich, said: "Climate change is happening now and much faster than anticipated.
"While the Paris Agreement on Climate Change is an important step in the right direction, what is needed is a doubling or tripling of efforts.
"Without additional efforts by all major emitters, the 2C target could be reached even sooner."
The report said an extra 0.4 to 0.5C of warming was expected to take place because of greenhouse gases that have already been emitted due to the slow response of the ocean and atmosphere.
The report said that full implementation of the pledges made at Paris would require wealthy countries to give a total of $100bn a year – as promised at the summit – to poor countries to help them transition to a zero-carbon economy.
"About 80 per cent of the pledges are subject to the condition that financial and technological support is available from developed countries," Professor Watson said.
"These conditions may not be met, which means that these pledges may not be realized."

Nigel Lawson says global warming is real

The UK has already indicated its share of this total will come from the foreign aid budget, meaning poor countries will actually not get any more cash than they do at present.
The report suggested there was little chance the world would not see 2C of warming at some point.
"The main concern is not when the 2C target will be exceeded, but the impacts of climate change resulting from such an increase in global temperature," it said.
"Weather-related events due to climate change have doubled in number since 1990.
"An increase in global average temperature of 2C within the next couple of decades implies an additional doubling in the number of these events.
"As the number of weather-related events due to climate change continues to rise, their impact on water resources, food production, human health, services and infrastructure in urban and rural areas, among other sectors, will be more frequent and intense.
"Some of the impacts of climate change may be beneficial, while most will not, negatively impacting lives and livelihoods everywhere."


Proof of Global Warming? Grass Bubbles Bizarrely in Siberia

But there was "still time to slow down the current path towards the 2C target", the report stressed.
The experts called for drastic changes to the way the world produces and uses energy with a switch to electric cars among steps that should be taken quickly.
They also said carbon capture-and-storage (CCS) of emissions from fossil fuel power stations and industrial plants could be part of the solution if the system could be made to work.
Deforestation should be reduced and more trees – which absorb carbon from the atmosphere as they grow – should be planted.
But humanity should also take steps to deal with the "unavoidable" adverse effects of climate change that are already in the pipeline.

Is Geoengineering to Stop Global Warming Too Risky?

Professor James McCarthy, an oceanographer at Harvard University and one of the report's authors, said: "Climate change is already causing harm. Although implementation of the Paris Agreement will slow the rate of change, we will still need widespread adaptation to reduce its risks.
"It is important that appropriate adaptation measures be planned and implemented with sensitivity to specific regional context."
Mark Lynas, in his award-winning book Six Degrees: Our Future on a Hotter Planet, laid out just what will happen as the world's average temperature increases.
He described the report's findings as "extremely worrying".
"If we hit 2C by 2050 then we will be well on the way to a really terrifying 3C-plus scenario by the end of the century," Mr Lynas said.
"The world's ice-caps will be in full-scale meltdown, and large areas of what are now breadbaskets could become deserts, threatening serious global food shortages.
"We would likely lose all the tropical coral reefs, combined with a devastating mass extinction of plants and animals more widely.
"And we would be condemning our children and grandchildren to multi-metre sea level rise, and the eventual evacuation of major coastal cities."

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Investors Threaten Car Industry On Climate

Climate News Network - Terry Macalister

Car manufacturers warned they must address climate change by switching to low-emission models − or face a sell-off of their shares.
Low-carbon vehicles such as Tesla’s pump in electric instead of petrol. Image: Windell Oskay via Flickr
Major investors have warned the automotive industry it needs to accelerate its readiness for a low-carbon world if it is to retain their support and prosper.
Vehicle makers must put climate change specialists on their boards, engage better with policy-makers, and invest more heavily in low-emission cars, says a network of 250 global investors with assets of more than $24trillion.
The demands come in a new report, Investor Expectations of Automotive Companies, published this week by the Institutional Investors Group on Climate Change (IIGCC).
“Long-term investors want to ensure that automotive companies are prepared for the challenges stemming from climate change, new technologies, changing policies and shifts in demand caused by global trends,” says Dr Hans-Christoph Hirt, co-head of investment house Hermes EOS, a member of the IGCC.
“Investors expect the industry to embark upon a smoother route to future prosperity by developing and implementing long-term business strategies that are resilient to climate change and resulting regulatory shifts.”

Sustainable returns
Chris Davis, senior programme director of the Ceres Investor Network on Climate Risk, agrees. “A growing number of institutional investors recognise that climate change will impact their holdings, portfolios, and asset values in the short and long-term,” he says.
“To achieve sustainable returns for clients and beneficiaries, investors in the automotive sector must engage to ensure companies are prepared to thrive in a carbon-constrained environment and support robust policy action sufficient to drive the transition to clean vehicles.”
The traditional car industry has gradually been increasing its output of pure electric and hybrid diesel/electric models, but in small numbers. It has failed to shrug off its image as a foot-dragger in the fight against climate change – similar to the way most big oil companies are seen.
“Investors in the automotive sector must engage to ensure companies are prepared to thrive in a carbon-constrained environment”
The recent Volkswagen emissions scandal, in which the German car manufacturer used “cheat devices” that underplayed pollution on its cars, has further tarnished the industry’s image over the last 12 months. And critics have long claimed that few vehicles live up to the fuel consumption levels claimed of them.
Making sure the industry has “closed the gap between real world and emissions testing” is highlighted by the IIGCC as one of the key issue that must be fixed.
But the finance houses also want car and truck makers to set more meaningful targets and metrics to reduce greenhouse gases in their own supply chain. And car companies need to engage more meaningfully with international policy-makers and their own investors on climate change.
Big investors point out that large car companies face serious threats inside their own sector from innovators such as the California-based automaker Tesla, evangelists for climate change and producers of low-carbon electric vehicles.

Climate agreement
And the finance houses say the move towards driverless vehicles, being pioneered by the likes of Google, poses a threat of even more severe potential new competition for the traditional car firms.
Last year’s Paris climate change agreement has increased the urgency for the big manufacturers such as Ford, VW and Toyota to move more quickly, the report warns.
They point to a recent study by the Moody’s credit agency that highlighted the potential dangers of tighter regulations for vehicles.
And the new IIGCC report warns that the automotive industry is already exposed to “a plethora of CO2 and pollutant emission reduction targets in all major markets”.
It says that tougher vehicle standards have already been implemented or are on their way in Australia, Brazil, China and India, as well as the US and Europe.
And it stresses that governments are increasingly incentivising the use of electric vehicles in countries such as Norway and Holland.

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Global Sea Levels Are Rising Fast, So Where Does That Leave The Cities Most At Risk?

The Guardian - Amy Lieberman

The severe risk of climate change and rising sea levels on urban areas has not been addressed in the UN’s proposed New Urban Agenda, so flood-risk cities will have to learn from each another and share solutions
New reports suggest nearly 1.9 million US homes could be under water by the end of the century. Photograph: Joe Raedle/Getty Images
Current projections of global average sea level rise are now expected to double by 2100, which would be severely damaging – if not disastrous – for many of the world’s coastal cities, from Ho Chi Minh City and Mumbai to New Orleans and Miami.
Yet the upcoming United Nations conference on sustainable urban development, Habitat III, is unlikely to create the international platform needed to tackle such a global threat, according to Dan Lewis, head of UN Habitat’s urban risk reduction unit.
“The communication of risk is something that most UN member states are not prepared to openly discuss, unless they happen to be Tuvalu or the Maldives or other South Pacific or Caribbean islands,” Lewis told the Guardian.
“Massive [climate-induced] displacement is a big problem that a lot of member states have dressed up as other kinds of issues. But when it comes to the real nuts and bolts of ‘how do you accommodate 100,000 people from Kiribati in the next decade or so?’, I don’t think we are going to see much of an expression emerging about the practical aspects of a major situation like that.”
The 20 world cities with the highest number of people at risk from flooding, accounting for future climate and socioeconomic change. Source: OECD    CLICK FOR LARGE VIEW
Sea level rise – along with flooding, storms, heatwaves and other effects of climate change – receives only one (admittedly lengthy) mention in the 175-point New Urban Agenda which member states are due to adopt at Habitat III in Quito, Ecuador:
“We also recognise that urban centres worldwide, especially in developing countries, often have characteristics that make them and their inhabitants especially vulnerable to the adverse impacts of climate change and other natural and man-made hazards, including earthquakes, extreme weather events, flooding, subsidence, storms including dust and sand storms, heatwaves, water scarcity, droughts, water and air pollution, vector borne diseases, and sea level rise particularly affecting coastal areas, delta regions and small-island developing States, among others.”
There are no direct references to climate-forced displacement nor potential remedies, Lewis notes. Yet he says there are an estimated 12 million people displaced worldwide because of climate events.
The conference, which starts on 17 October, will also include announcements of specific commitments, such as helping local Florida authorities address sea level rise in low-lying, low-income areas.
More than 1,800 people were killed after Hurricane Katrina hit the US in 2005. Photograph: Vincent Laforet/Pool/EPA
Of  course, several factors that climate scientists are still working to understand – such as the fragility and likely collapse of the West Antarctic ice sheet – mean questions about exactly how fast sea levels will rise, and where the effects will be most severe, must be left open.
While the New Urban Agenda is a global, non-binding plan that aims to promote socially and environmentally sustainable cities, Lewis says the best option for many flood-risk cities looking to take action is to develop independent partnerships and networks to learn from each other – adding that this is the “cheapest and most effective way of doing work”.
For example, the Netherlands embassy in Washington DC consults and collaborates with a number of vulnerable US cities, including Norfolk, Virginia, and New Orleans, Louisiana. According to Dale Morris, a senior economist at the embassy, some of the shared ideas follow the principle of adapting to living with water, not keeping it out. (About a third of the Netherlands is below sea level, with another third presently at sea level.)
UN Habitat is gearing up to connect 20 cities, including St Petersburg and Beirut, through a “city resilience” programme that provides direct technical assistance to measure cities’ resilience and training.
Dutch experts are advising the US city of Norfolk on how to prepare for the dangerous effects of climate change. Photograph: Bill Tiernan/AP
“There is a lot of work cities are already doing together that is going to get showcased [in Quito],” Lewis says. “There is a lot of sharing going on around specific hazards cities are facing, and there has been a kind of explosion around awareness in activities. Instead of older, historic approaches like creating levees, it will be positive to see how cities have progressed, and are adapting.”
Of 533 cities, 89% recognise climate change as a significant risk, according to a recent report. But just 210 of 490 surveyed cities report an active climate adaptation plan.
Individual city plans to mitigate the impacts of flooding and storm surge are often extremely expensive. They are also developed for fairly short-term timeframes – for example, in the case of Miami and its neighbouring cities – and without the support of the state or federal government.
C40, a 10-year-old network of the world’s largest cities working to address climate change, provides an outlet to share both innovative solutions and the particular challenges facing the world’s poorer cities.
“It’s very hard for poor cities to handle this, by and large,” says Seth Schultz, director of research and planning at C40’s New York office. “Many of them don’t have plans, and it is also just a question of the hazards they are facing in the short and long term.”
“If we come in at the high end of the [sea level rise] projections, there will be many cities whose persistence will be difficult to imagine,” says Ben Strauss, director of Climate Central, a New Jersey-based independent organisation of scientists and journalists. “New Orleans can build levees higher and higher – but then they are just pearls on a necklace at some point, and everything around it could become water.”
Projections of global sea level rise by 2100 range from 0.2 metres to 2.0 metres (0.66 to 6.6 feet). Strauss co-authored a recent study (working with projections of 2 to 7 feet during this time period, and 3 feet as a reasonable global average estimate for some areas) which found that even a sudden elimination of CO2 emissions would still leave 30 million Americans below the ocean’s high-tide line by the end of the century.

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14/10/2016

Meet The 16-Year-Old Climate Change Activist Suing The U.S. Government

Huffington Post - Lonnie Nadler | Zac Thompson

Huffington Post

Xiuhtezcatl Martinez is a 16-year-old, indigenous hip-hop artist hailing from Boulder, Colorado. He also happens to be one of the most vocal climate change activists out there today. Martinez is the youth director of the Earth Guardians, "a tribe of young activists," looking to change the world now for the sake of the future generations who will inherit the planet.
Martinez has been prolific in his efforts to combat climate change. He's a member of Obama's youth council, he's addressed the U.N., and has participated in countless protests. Perhaps his most noted accomplishment came back in April of this year when Martinez and twenty other youth activists, all under the age of 21, filed a lawsuit against the federal government for violating their constitutional right to life, liberty and property by their affirmative actions that have contributed to global climate change.
His age has never stopped him from making a difference. Martinez has been fighting on behalf of his generation pretty much his entire life, knowing that someone has to be their voice, speaking up about environmental issues.
Outspeak recently spoke to Martinez about climate change, how other youth inspire hope, and the upcoming presidential election.

What is the biggest threat facing our environment currently?
Xiuhtezcatl Martinez: The biggest threat currently facing our environment is our global climate crisis because of the impacts that it has on nearly every human and natural systems.

Who is the current leader of renewable energy and how can we support them?
XM: Several countries around the world are beginning to understand the importance of shifting away from the fossil fuel based energy economy to renewable energy.
The amazing thing about renewable energy is you don't have to be a billionaire, like Elon Musk to make a difference. Tesla is making great advances in the storing capacity for solar energy, but renewable energy innovation is also coming from the grassroots level. There are stories like that of 14-year-old William Kamkwamba of Malawi, who overcame poverty and famine to build a wind turbine that powered his family home, using found materials and knowledge from the local library. These are the kind of leaders we need to support. We the people of this nation need to look towards a renewable energy infrastructure as a way to boost our economy as just as much as a way to protect the environmentally.

What do you think is the greatest hope for environmental reform?
XM: Myself and 20 other youth plaintiffs from around the country are suing the federal government for violating our constitutional right to life, liberty and property by failing to act on global climate change.
If we win this lawsuit it will mean that the federal courts in the United States will force the government to put massive climate recovery plans in the place to cut greenhouse gas emissions. This recovery plan will remain active, year by year, until our Planet's atmosphere has recovered to a reasonable, safe, and sustainable level: 350 ppm of carbon dioxide.
Countries around the world are adopting this template. Young people are standing up in their countries to demand the rights to protect our atmosphere and save our planet. This is an attempt by the young people of our planet to work together to sway our own governments to take action on climate change immediately.

What do you think of the new environment law just passed in California? How do you believe other states should respond? Is it enough?
XM: The law that recently passed in California that aspires towards a goal of 50 percent renewables across the entire state by 2030 is simply not ambitious enough. Although it is a step in the right direction we need concentrate our collective action and transition away from a fossil fuel energy economy even sooner than 2030. Various states across United States and many nations across the world have begun to adopt similar methods, but we need to achieve progress at a faster rate. For every year we delay the greater and more potentially insurmountable the issue becomes.

What is the biggest lie being spread in the media about climate change?
XM: One of the biggest misconceptions that I hear about climate change is that is solely an environmental issue and only environmentalists should care about it. The truth of the matter is that climate change is a human rights issue. Climate change impacts human lives of all ages and nationalities across our planet. It is a impacting our children. It's one of the unsung factors and a driving force in the refugee crisis. It is hitting families at home on Main Street in the United States and it's damaging the fabric of communities and delicate ecosystems in every corner of the world.

What if anything inspires hope/optimism in you around the environment in this election?
XM: I am inspired by the opportunity to join forces on this issue with young people across the country that are also on the front lines of this movement. I am discovering similar movements that are uniting around climate change and learning about relevant issues that are affecting my generation.
All of these experiences and interactions inspire me everyday to continue the work that I do to protect the environment. This is a fight for the rights of nature. This is the fight for the survival of our generation and the generations that will follow in our footsteps. As I travel this world I see the staggering beauty of our planet. The beauty of planet Earth and the people I meet along the way remind me of my purpose and what we are fighting to protect.
What weight do you feel on your shoulders in respect to climate change? What makes you feel responsible for pushing change?
XM: As a member of a generation that is affected by the problems we see in the world today, I feel it is my responsibility to take action right now, without hesitation, so future generations will not have to suffer the way our generation has already suffered at the hands of climate change. It's imperative that we take action now. As a young person I have an incredibly powerful voice that has the potential to create change. I believe all youth on the planet have this potential. As a leader in this movement my responsibility is to act upon this crisis for every generation.

Why shouldn't young people fall into apathy and hopelessness about the environment?
XM: It's so easy to fall into a state of apathy and hopelessness about the daunting task of helping a world that is under attack from so many different angles. Our race against time, the weight of the world, and even even old habits can make you believe the opportunity for action has already been missed. But there is still just enough time if we unite as a generation to take action. We must remain hopeful. We must remain vigilant. We must connect with the community and support the people in our lives that inspire us towards positive change. Only together can we continue to fight to change the systems that are destroying the planet.

What can young voters fight for in the upcoming election?
XM: In this upcoming election I am pressing young voters to make their voices heard on all issues affecting our county and the world we live in. We must demand strong action on climate change. We must hold corporations, our US president, and all political leaders accountable for the continued degradation of our planet and it's people. We also need to play a greater role in how laws are written (and enforced) and how our resources are being consumed. But not only in our country. We must help empower and share our information and resources with those around the world that want to make a difference in the world.
We need our youth to see how climate change and environmental issues are affecting us, because honestly climate change is one of the most important and defining issues of our time. We are the generation of change and action. We need our youth to stand up for our planet and the generations to come. We need to inspire people to take to the streets and the voting booth to appeal to the local and national court systems to demand change from our political leaders we can vote in or out of office.

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