Climate Institute - John Connor*
Australia's election results could
actually support considered climate action, particularly when viewed in
the context of community and mainstream business support. But that will
require assistance and leadership.
Polling shows
support for climate action is at its highest since 2008.
A very
persuasive 66 per cent of Australians want our country to be a world
leader in finding solutions to climate change.
At the same time, an
overwhelming majority, including over two thirds of Coalition
supporters, think tackling climate change will create economic
opportunities, such as new jobs and investment.
Mainstream business has
been urging the integration of climate and energy policies, recognising
the need for net zero emissions and highlighting the costs of piecemeal
action.
With
the major party numbers tight it is important to note that four out of
five of the lower house crossbenchers support credible climate action.
Only Bob Katter is ambivalent. Cathy McGowan and Andrew Wilkie supported the previous carbon pricing mechanism and have strong and/or inclusive policies. Nick Xenophon's team backed strong 2030 targets and look likely to gain three Senate seats.
And it appears at least eight Green Senators will be returned.
As a matter of fact The Coalition, Labor, Greens and Nick Xenophon Team (NXT) now all support emissions trading and renewable energy, albeit to varying degrees.
Labor had stronger policies but both they and the Coalition share
support for the Paris climate agreement's goals of keeping global
warming well below 2°C and the pursuit of limiting it to 1.5°C.
There
is a centre that can support credible climate action and there are
extremes with Hanson and others that won't.
Only the centre offers
chances of political, investor and community stability.
If
the Coalition manages to retain government, it will need to choose
between the extremes and the centre on climate change and on other
issues.
It
will also need to choose between scare campaigns and substance.
It was a
bittersweet irony at best to hear the Coalition complain about scare
campaigns given its colourful past of wrecking balls, cobra squeezes and
distortions regarding the impacts of the carbon pricing mechanism.
It
continued this election with claims of a 78 per cent electricity price
hike from Labor's policies which were an extreme misrepresentation which
got no traction.
A
move beyond scare campaigns would be welcome but will need mediation
from independent institutions and/or assistance from civil society and
business partnerships such as the Australian Climate Roundtable of business, investor, welfare, union and environment groups.
Though
it has committed to a review of climate policies in 2017, and
consideration of a long term emissions reduction target, the Coalition
may benefit from bringing that process forward.
It would certainly be
supported by regular independent processes such as that offered by the
Climate Change Authority - which has survived despite continued
Coalition opposition.
Oddly,
after a week of Brexit chaos, our country can learn from a UK decision
welcomed across the political spectrum, by mainstream industry, by
investors and by environmental activists.
On Thursday, the Conservative
UK government accepted the advice of the independent Committee on
Climate Change, responding to its regular carbon budget driven review
process, and adopted an ambitious 2030 emissions reduction target.
Perhaps
surprisingly, climate action in UK and in Australia could be a lifebuoy
of stability amongst turbulent political waters. But it will require a
clear choice.
A choice for inclusive processes, independent institutions
and considered deliberation.
Not a choice for extremism, scare
campaigns or deliberate distortions.
*John Connor is CEO of The Climate Institute. Whilst qualified as a lawyer, John has
spent over twenty years working in a variety of policy and advocacy
roles with organisations including World Vision, Make Poverty History,
the Australian Conservation Foundation and the NSW Nature Conservation
Council.
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