Climate Central - Brian Kahn
This
year is likely to remembered as a turning point for climate change.
It's the year the impacts of rising carbon pollution became impossible
to ignore. The world is overheating and vast swaths of the planet have
suffered the consequences. At the same time, it's also a year where
world leaders crafted and agreed on a number of plans to try to turn the
tide of carbon pollution and move toward a clean energy future. It's
clear 2016 was a year where planetary peril and human hope stood out in
stark contrast. Here are the 10 most important climate milestones of the
year.
The world struck an airline carbon pollution deal
The
friendly skies got slightly friendlier. Air travel counts for about 7
percent of carbon emissions globally. That number will need to come down
in the coming decades, and the International Civil Aviation
Organization, the world's governing body for airlines, put a plan in place
to start that transition. The plan, which was signed off on by 191
countries, is focused on letting airlines buy credits that will help
fund renewable energy projects to offset airplane emissions. It isn't a
perfect solution since it doesn't directly reduce carbon pollution from
air travel, but it's a first step for an industry that will have to find
novel, carbon-free ways to produce the fuel needed to fly you home for
Christmas vacation.
An extremely potent greenhouse gas is also on its way out
Hydrofluorocarbons
are the chemicals in your air conditioner that help keep you cool in
the summer (and the food in your refrigerator cool year round).
Ironically, they're also a greenhouse gas that's thousands of times more
potent than carbon dioxide when it comes to trapping heat in the
atmosphere. Reducing them is critical to keep the planet from heating up
much more and in October, international negotiators struck a deal to do
phase them out. Countries still have to ratify the agreement — and it
could face a major roadblock in the U.S. Senate
— in order for it to take effect, but if approved, it will provide
strong targets and a timetable to find replacement chemicals to keep you
cool in a warming world.
July was the hottest month ever recorded. Then August tied it
The Arctic had a crazy heat wave this winter, but the planet as a
whole really roasted through July and August. The summer is usually the
warmest time of the year by dint of the fact that there's more land in
the northern hemisphere. But this summer was something else. July was
the hottest month ever recorded, and it was followed by an August —
usually a bit cooler than July — that was just as scorching. Those
epically hot months helped set this year up for record heat (but more on
that in a bit).
Arctic sea ice got weird. Really weird
The Arctic was probably the weirdest place on the planet this year. It had a record-low peak for sea ice in the winter and dwindled to its second-lowest extent on record. The Northwest Passage also opened
in August, allowing a luxury cruise ship to pass through. Those
milestones themselves are a disconcerting harbinger of a warming world,
but November brought an even more bizarre event. Normally it's a time
when night blankets the region and temperatures generally plummet to
allow the rapid growth of ice. But a veritable heat wave
ratcheted temperatures 27°F above normal, hitting pause on ice growth
and even causing ice loss for a few days. December has seen a similar
warm spell that scientists have found would be virtually impossible
if it wasn't for climate change. The Arctic is the most rapidly warming
region on the planet and 2016 served as a reminder that the region is
being dramatically reshaped by that warming.
Divestment and clean energy investments each hit a record
Climate
change is a huge, pressing economic issue as countries will have to
rejigger their economies to run on renewables and not fossil fuels.
Investors are attacking that switch at both ends, and 2016 stands out
for the record pace at which they're doing it. On the fossil fuel side,
investors representing $5.2 trillion in assets
have agreed to divest from fossil fuels. That includes massive
financial firms, pension funds, cities and regional governments, and a
host of wealthy individuals. Not bad for a movement that only got its
start in 2011. On the flip side, a report showed that investors poured $288 billion into new renewable projects
in 2015, also a record. That's helping install 500,000 solar panels a
day around the world and ensuring that 70 percent of all money invested
into energy generation is going to renewables.
The Great Barrier Reef was decimated by warm waters
Coral has had a rough go of it around the world for the past three years.
El Niño coupled with climate change has caused a massive coral
bleaching event around the globe. Nowhere have the impacts been more
stark than the Great Barrier Reef in Australia. Up to 93 percent of the reef
was rocked by coral bleaching as record-warm waters essentially boiled
coral to death. A third of the reef — including some of the most
protected areas — are now dead. Researchers found that climate change
made the record heat up to 175 times more likely,
offering a glimpse into the dystopian future reefs face. A 1.5°C rise
in the global average temperature would essentially mean game over for
corals around the world.
The world breached the 1.5°C climate threshold
So
about 1.5°C. It's a threshold that's crucial for low-lying island
states to continue their existence (to say nothing of Miami or other
coastal cities). Passing it would mean essentially issuing a death
sentence for these places, corals and Arctic sea ice and other places
around the world. The globe got its first glimpse of 1.5°C in February and March this year.
Climate change, riding on the back of a super El Niño, helped crank the
global average temperature to 1.63°C above normal in February and
1.54°C above normal in March compared to pre-industrial times. While the
abnormal heat has since subsided a bit, it's likely that 1.5°C will be
breached again and again in the coming years and could become normal by
2025-30.
Carbon dioxide hit 400 ppm. Permanently
Scientists
measure carbon dioxide in parts per million and in 2016, and it hit a
not-so-nice round number at the Earth's marquee carbon observatory: 400
ppm. Despite the seasonal ebb and flow, there wasn't a single week
where carbon dioxide levels dipped below 400 ppm. It's the first time
on record that's happened. Because carbon pollution continues to rise,
the world isn't going to see carbon dioxide dip below 400 ppm again in
our lifetimes (and likely a lot longer than that). Carbon dioxide also
breached the 400 ppm threshold in Antarctica, the first time that's happened in human history (and likely a lot longer). And in a report that was published this year,
the World Meteorological Organization revealed that carbon dioxide
passed the 400 ppm milestone globally in 2015. So yeah, 400 ppm was kind
of a thing this year.
The Paris Agreement got real
The world got together to deliver the Paris Agreement in 2015, but the rubber really hit the road in 2016. Nearly 120 countries have ratified the agreement, putting it into force
on Nov. 4. That includes big carbon pollution emitters like China, the
U.S. and the European Union, and tiny ones like Mongolia, the Cook
Islands and Sierra Leone. While there's concern that President-elect
Trump could pull the U.S. out
of the agreement, signatories have stressed that they'll go forward to
meet their pledges regardless. With the rubber on the road, the next
step is to get the wheels spinning.
It was the hottest year on record. Again
In
case it wasn't clear, the clearest sign of climate change is heat. And
this year had lots of it. Hot Arctic, hot summer, hot water, and so it's
only fitting that the biggest climate milestone of the year (in a year
that itself is a milestone) is record heat. Of course, that was the biggest story in 2014. And 2015 for that matter.
This year marks the third year in a row of record-setting heat, an
unprecedented run. It's a reminder that we've entered a new era, where
our actions have changed the world we call home. We also have the
ability to decide what comes next.
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