14/02/2025

Global: Political Overview of Climate Change - Lethal Heating Editor BDA

This Overview of Global Climate Change Politics is part of a series examining the impact of Lethal Heating in key areas, including:

1. Global Political Landscape

Climate change is one of the most politically charged issues of the 21st century. 

Governments, international organisations, corporations, and civil society all play roles in shaping policies and actions. 

While there is broad scientific consensus on the causes and consequences of climate change, political responses vary widely based on national interests, economic concerns, and ideological positions. 

2. International Agreements & Frameworks

  • Paris Agreement (2015):
    A landmark treaty under the UNFCCC where countries committed to limiting global warming to well below 2°C, ideally 1.5°C, above pre-industrial levels. However, enforcement mechanisms are weak, and many countries are failing to meet their commitments. 
  • COP (Conference of the Parties):
    The annual UN climate conference where nations negotiate climate action. COP28 (2023) in Dubai led to the first-ever agreement to "transition away from fossil fuels," but critics argue it lacks binding commitments.
  • Kyoto Protocol (1997):
    Preceding the Paris Agreement, it set legally binding emission reduction targets for developed nations but was largely ineffective due to lack of participation from major polluters like the U.S. 

3. National Politics & Divides

  • United States:
    Highly polarised.
    Democrats typically advocate for stronger climate action, supporting renewable energy and regulations.
    Republicans often push back due to economic concerns, favouring fossil fuel industries.
    The U.S. oscillates between ambitious climate policies (under Obama and Biden) and rollbacks (under Trump). 
  • European Union:
    Generally progressive, with ambitious climate policies like the European Green Deal and strict emissions regulations.
    However, internal divisions exist, especially with fossil fuel-dependent nations like Poland. 
  • China:
    The world’s largest emitter, but also the biggest investor in renewable energy.
    It has pledged carbon neutrality by 2060 but remains reliant on coal. 
  • Developing Nations:
    Countries in Africa, Asia, and Latin America argue that historical polluters (developed nations) should bear more responsibility.
    They seek climate financing to adapt to climate impacts without sacrificing economic growth. 

4. Fossil Fuel Politics & Corporate Influence  

The fossil fuel industry remains a powerful political force. 

Lobbying efforts often delay or weaken climate policies. 

Countries like Saudi Arabia, Russia, and the U.S. continue to defend fossil fuel interests, while oil and gas companies invest in greenwashing campaigns to appear environmentally responsible without making significant changes. 

5. Climate Activism & Public Pressure  

Movements like Fridays for Future, Extinction Rebellion, and Just Stop Oil have pushed climate change to the forefront of political debates. 

Activists demand systemic change, often clashing with governments and corporations. 

Laws criminalising protests have increased in some countries, highlighting tensions between climate activism and political power. 

6. Geopolitics & Climate Refugees  

  • Climate change is exacerbating global instability, fuelling conflicts over water, food, and habitable land. 
  • Nations facing severe climate threats (e.g., island states like Tuvalu) demand urgent action, while high-emission nations resist drastic economic shifts. 
  • Climate-induced migration is emerging as a major political issue, with millions expected to be displaced due to extreme weather and rising sea levels. 

7. Future Trends & Political Challenges 

  • The transition to clean energy is inevitable but politically fraught.
    Green technologies are disrupting traditional industries, creating economic winners and losers. 
  • Right-wing populist movements often oppose climate action, framing it as an elitist agenda that harms working-class jobs. 
  • Climate lawsuits against governments and corporations are rising, with courts increasingly recognising climate inaction as a violation of human rights. 
  • The success of climate action depends on sustained political will, public pressure, and international cooperation—none of which are guaranteed.

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