09/04/2021

(UK) Carbon Dioxide Levels In Atmosphere Reach Record High

The Guardian - PA Media

Concentrations are 50% above pre-industrial levels despite dip in emissions during Covid pandemic

Smoke rises from a factory as a truck loaded with cars crosses a bridge in Paris. Photograph: Michel Euler/AP

Concentrations of climate-warming carbon dioxide in the atmosphere have hit record highs, despite a dip in emissions during the Covid pandemic, scientists have said.

The latest measurements from the long-running recording station at Mauna Loa Observatory, Hawaii, show global levels of carbon dioxide are 50% above what they were when the Industrial Revolution began in Britain.

The data released by the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, shows atmospheric concentrations of the greenhouse gas in March averaged 417.14 parts per million (ppm), a new record high.

The UK’s Met Office predicts monthly concentrations of carbon dioxide, the main driver of rising temperatures and the climate crisis, will peak in 2021 at about 419.5 ppm.

The previous record for monthly carbon dioxide concentrations at Mauna Loa in the Scripps dataset was 417.10ppm in May 2020.

Last year’s annual average figure was 413.94ppm – with 2021’s level forecast to be about 416.3ppm.

Carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere fluctuate slightly during the year, dropping as some is absorbed during the spring and summer by plants growing in the northern hemisphere, before it rises again in autumn and winter.

But the long-term trend in rising concentrations of carbon dioxide is caused by human activity, mainly through the burning of fossil fuels and also from deforestation, the Met Office said.

Global emissions reduced temporarily in 2020 as a result of a drop in transport use and economic activity as the coronavirus pandemic struck.

But the emissions reduction in 2020 was not enough to substantially affect the buildup of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, which continues to rise.

Much larger, longer-term reductions in emissions will be required to slow or stop the rise, the Met Office warned.

Projections from the UN’s climate science body, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change warns that to halt global warming at 1.5C – beyond which the worst impacts of rising temperatures are expected – global emissions will need to reach net zero by around 2050, or sooner.

Reaching net zero involves cutting emissions to as near to zero as possible and taking steps such as planting trees to absorb any remaining pollution.

Commenting on the latest data, Prof Martin Siegert, of the Grantham Institute, Imperial College London, said the new record high was completely expected.

“Emissions may have been reduced but we are still emitting lots of carbon dioxide, and so its atmospheric concentration is bound to go up – and will continue to do so until we get to somewhere near net-zero emissions.

“Our path to net zero is obvious, challenging and necessary – and we must get on with the transition urgently,” he said.

Prof Simon Lewis, from University College London, said: “It is easy to forget just how much and just how fast fossil fuel emissions are affecting our planet.

“It took over 200 years to increase the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere by 25%, and just 30 years to reach 50% above pre-industrial levels. This dramatic change is like a human meteorite hitting Earth.”

But he added: “If countries make plans now to put society on a path of sustained and dramatic cuts to emissions from today, we can avoid ever-rising emissions and the dangerously accelerating impacts of climate change.”

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(NZ) Managing Retreat: Why New Zealand Is Drafting A New Law To Enable Communities To Move Away From Climate Risks

The Conversation

Shutterstock/Pro Aerial Master

Author
 is Professor of Law, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington     
The government’s recently announced overhaul of major environmental legislation will result in a new law focused solely on climate change adaptation.

The 30-year-old Resource Management Act (RMA) was groundbreaking when it was passed in 1991 — the first in the world to be based on the concept of sustainable management. But it has been subject to many criticisms, and amendments, from all angles.

On one hand, it hasn’t protected the environment enough, allowing the degradation of waterways and loss of indigenous biodiversity. On the other hand, its procedures are slow and cumbersome, making development difficult. It has also been partly blamed for the current housing shortage in New Zealand.

The Power Of Water Episode 3 - Rights and Responsibilities from Newsroom on Vimeo.

In this documentary, directed by Magnolia Lowe, the author covers legal issues around water, from climate change to pollution. An extensive independent review of the legislation recommended replacing the RMA with three separate pieces of new legislation, with one focused on climate adaptation.

Perhaps most significantly, the review recommended a new government fund to pay for managed retreat, to better ensure change happens fairly and consistently across the whole of Aotearoa New Zealand.

Sued if you do and sued if you don’t

Current laws in both Australia and New Zealand are hindering adaptation to the effects of climate change.

The Australian Productivity Commission found as far back as 2012 that the law was a barrier to effective climate change adaptation. Significantly, local governments are responsible for adaptation measures, but their precise abilities and responsibilities are not clear enough.

Therefore, they face a “liability dilemma” where they are sued if they take action and sued if they don’t. The fear of being sued has stopped them from taking action and, for some local councils, concern about liability has been described as the single most important issue to resolve.

Research in New Zealand has found the same thing: New Zealand’s local authorities have been sued when they take action to adapt to climate change, and sued when they haven’t acted boldly enough. Fear of liability has also prevented New Zealand’s local government from taking measures they know are necessary.

Coastal hazard adaptation guidelines issued by the Ministry for the Environment have helped but are not enough.

The devolution of climate change measures to local government has inhibited national strategic land use planning. Shutterstock/Krug

Barriers and gaps to effective adaptation

It isn’t just fear of liability, there are many legal barriers that leave local authorities unsure of what they can or cannot do. In some cases, they are legally prevented from doing what they need to do.

In 2019, an extensive New Zealand study identified numerous barriers and gaps in the law and recommended many changes to the relevant legislation, mostly the RMA.

The RMA includes several barriers to adaptation generally as well as managed retreat in particular. For example, it is not always clear who is responsible for taking particular climate adaptation measures — whether that involves building hard seawalls, imposing conditions on building permits to ensure future resilience, or simply revising where housing and other structures may be built in the face of increasing risks from sea level rise.

Even where the responsibility is clear, the extent of the powers may be unclear, or the most appropriate measure may not be defined or leave too much flexibility about what needs to be done.

There are also strong barriers to adaptation measures that involve interference with existing, permitted land uses. In some cases it does not appear possible to force landowners to move to retreat from the coast in the face of rising sea levels. If they do move, it’s unclear if they are entitled to compensation, and if so, who should pay.

Other research focused solely on managing existing uses (particularly retreat) has also found the law needs to change if we are to enable government to take the measures necessary for communities to adapt to climate change.

The law also needs to change if we are to do this fairly and with dignity, and without transferring the risks and burdens to the most vulnerable.

Law reform

The RMA is a huge statute of 836 pages. It governs most uses of land, natural resources and the coastal marine area in New Zealand. It provides for national policies and standards, as well as regional and local ones.

But the devolution to local government has inhibited national strategic planning for land uses. For example, cities have sacrificed the best food-producing land for housing on urban fringes. Importantly, the RMA has not provided for the growing risks of climate change.

The RMA reform panel made several recommendations to fix barriers to climate adaptation, including:
  • Mandatory national direction on climate adaptation measures
  • spatial plans including provision for adaptation
  • funding to enable managed retreat
  • flexible planning regimes
  • and the power to modify existing land uses and permits.
There is not enough detail yet to assess how this will be achieved. The Ministry for the Environment is currently figuring out precisely how these new statutes should be drafted.

But this could be another world first: laws to provide for climate adaptation, including a fund to enable communities to manage their retreat from climate risks. New Zealand is small and it often experiments with new ideas and initiatives.

This may well be one Australia should be watching.

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(AU) Australia Will Face Its Moment Of Carbon Truth In 2021

AFRRobyn Eckersley

Even this country’s closest friends are going leave us exposed as a laggard ahead of the crunch COP meeting in Glasgow.

Australia, unlike its leading allies, has been reluctant to step up the pace of decarbonisation. Peter Rae

Author
Robyn Eckersley is Redmond Barry distinguished professor of political science at the University of Melbourne
This is the year of reckoning for the Paris Agreement, the future of the world’s climate and especially for Australia.

The Paris Agreement is built around a ratcheting-up mechanism. Parties to the agreement submitted pledges – known as “nationally determined contributions” (NDCs) – in 2015. These pledges must be enhanced every five years.

In 2020, parties with 2025 targets were to submit new 2030 targets and policies, while those with 2030 targets – all parties other than the US – are required to update or enhance their 2030 targets.

However, many parties missed the 2020 deadline due to the pandemic. Instead, this year we will see which countries have stepped up their ambition, and which have shirked their responsibilities.

Australia is an internationally renowned climate laggard, routinely appearing close to the very bottom of the annual Climate Change Performance Index. This year, Australia will be under diplomatic pressure on multiple fronts to do more, but especially from its closest allies, the US, and Britain as the host of the 26th annual climate conference (COP26) in Glasgow in November.

The Biden administration has rejoined the Paris Agreement and embarked on a major climate diplomatic offensive in the lead-up to Glasgow. Joe Biden’s comprehensive executive order on tackling the climate crisis at home and abroad, issued on January 27, makes it clear that he intends to outdo Barack Obama as a climate leader.

Domestically, Biden has committed to a US$2 trillion ($2.6 trillion) investment plan to revitalise US infrastructure and industry, much of which is devoted to an energy transition and green manufacturing and jobs. This includes reaching a target of 100 per cent carbon-free electricity by 2035, promoting electric vehicles (including a zero-emissions bus fleet by 2030), and ending fossil fuel subsidies.

It’s going to take a lot more than money to repair Australia’s tattered international reputation on climate change.

Biden has also appointed John Kerry as his special climate envoy. Kerry played a key role in ensuring US-China co-operation in the run-up to the Paris Agreement in 2015, and has likened failure to address climate change to a “mutual suicide pact”.

Kerry is working closely with Alok Sharma, the British president of COP26, to find ways of closing the “emissions gap” between what is pledged under existing NDCs and what is needed to keep global warming below 2 degrees.

Scientists warn that global emissions need to halve by 2030 to ensure a reasonable chance of holding global warming to 1.5 degrees. This means that rich countries should be cutting their emissions by substantially more than 50 per cent, given their obligation to lead under the burden-sharing principles of the regime.

There is also a large “climate finance gap”. Developed countries have failed to mobilise the US$100 billion required annually by 2020. Talks will aim to set a new and higher goal by 2025. Adequate climate finance is a condition precedent for poorer countries to pursue both mitigation and adaptation.

The next milestone on the road to Glasgow is Biden’s climate summit for major economies, scheduled for Earth Day on April 22. This is also the crucial moment when the US is expected to announce its 2030 NDC.

The US’s 2015 NDC was to reduce emissions by 26 to 28 per cent by 2025 from 2005 levels. Australia’s NDC copied the US target and baseline, but with a deadline of 2030. Australia’s official Climate Change Authority (since defunded and largely ignored) had recommended a 2025 target of at least 30 per cent reduction, and a 2030 target in the range of 40 to 60 per cent.

Emissions reduction ambitions

Laurence Tubiana, who served as France’s climate ambassador at the Paris negotiations and is now head of the European Climate Foundation, has argued that the US must commit to a cut of at least 50 per cent by 2030. Boris Johnson has scaled up Britain’s commitment to 68 per cent by 2030 from 1990 levels. Norway, a major gas and oil exporter, has updated its 2030 target to at least 50 per cent, while Germany’s is 55 per cent.

A report by the Australian Climate Targets Panel, an independent group of senior climate scientists and policymakers, has recommended Australia’s 2030 target should be updated to minus 50 per cent.

Australia will be under huge pressure to do more than minus 26 to 28 per cent, especially if the US goes to minus 50 per cent or beyond. The problem for Biden is that Australia already formally reported its “updated” 2030 NDC on the last day of 2020, during the summer holiday season when no one was paying attention.

This “update” simply restated the existing target of 26to 28 per cent by emphasising that it is a minimum that Australia will “meet and beat”.

The only new policy on display is Angus Taylor’s technology road map, which has been widely condemned for including gas. The government has no new national renewable energy target or credible decarbonisation strategy and has merely expressed a desire to reach net zero emissions “preferably” by 2050.

Whether Biden and Kerry, or Johnson and Sharma, can persuade the Morrison government to lift its game is an open question.

One important area of leverage for the US is climate finance. Here Australia will be under the spotlight for cancelling its future contributions to the Green Climate Fund, the primary mechanism under the climate regime to assist developing countries with mitigation and adaptation.

Resuming contributions to the Green Climate Fund might provide one avenue for possible redemption for the Morrison government at Biden’s summit, but it’s going to take a lot more than money to repair Australia’s tattered international reputation on climate change.

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08/04/2021

(AU) Climate Change Will Render Parts Of Australia “Uninsurable”

Energy Matters

Experts warn that increased flooding events in Australia caused by climate change could make insurance premiums too expensive for the average resident to afford.

We already see the impacts of climate change in our country, and data shows that Australia is flooding more than ever because of it. This is because our atmosphere now holds more water; our oceans’ heating means more evaporation and heavier rain systems, while the La Niña phenomenon has increased the likelihood of severe systems colliding.

Severe weather events like flood, bushfires and hail have already hit insurers hard, and they were forced to pay out $5.3 billion for damages caused during the first quarter of 2020.

Mark Leplastrier is an atmospheric scientist and also the head of Insurance Australia Group’s (IAG) Natural Perils unit. He said that climate change was making all of these weather events worse with every cycle.

   
“The main thing is, with climate change in the background of a natural variability cycle, if you have the same event coming back, and you have more warming, you have extra rainfall or intensity associated with that,” he said.

We have seen this recently with the record flooding in New South Wales that has seen 17,000 insurance claims filed – a number rising as fast as the floodwaters. There are also fears that significant weather systems like cyclones could strike areas like south-east Queensland and northern NSW, which have never seen powerful storms like that.

Insurance costs are almost outreach in some regions already

You only have to look at North Queensland to see how the severe weather events have impacted insurance costs. Cyclone Yasi’s devastation alone caused strata premiums to more than triple from $25,000 for 25 apartments to $81,000. By the time Cyclone Debbie rolled around in 2017, many North Queenslanders could not afford insurance anymore due to the skyrocketing premiums.

The situation is so severe that homeowners have asked for Federal Government intervention, and the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) has launched the Northern Australia Insurance Inquiry, which is due to be concluded soon.

A big fear now is that climate change could lead to another once-in-a-generation flooding event in a region like North Queensland, which could then see a cyclone collide with the existing chaos. That would cause widespread devastation and potentially see premiums soar to completely unaffordable levels.

Renewable energy and sustainability remain crucial to reversing climate change

The world is moving towards a net-zero carbon future to halt and reverse the human-made climate change causing these catastrophic weather events. A large part of that is moving away from fossil fuels and turning towards renewable energy solutions like solar.

Australia is already well on its way towards a green future, with the individual states leading the way through investment in renewable energy infrastructure and solutions.

To help play your part, consider joining the two million-plus homeowners who have already installed solar panels on their roof. You will not only be helping save the world, but you will also enjoy enormous savings on your electricity bills. 

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(USA) Your Diet Is Cooking The Planet

The AtlanticAnnie Lowrey

But two simple changes can help.

Getty

What’s for dinner?

On a planet wracked by rising seas, expanding deserts, withering biodiversity, and hotter temperatures, that’s a fraught question to answer. Food production accounts for roughly a quarter of the world’s greenhouse-gas emissions, and scientists have found that limiting global warming will be impossible without significant changes to how the world eats. At the same time, climate change is threatening the world’s food supply, with land and water being exploited at an “unprecedented” pace. 

Reforming the food system to save the planet is going to require new corporate practices, and new laws and regulations at the national and international levels. But individual consumer behaviors matter as well—more than you might think. Your diet is likely one of your biggest sources of climate emissions. But what should you do? Eat locally? Get your food from small-scale farmers? Choose organics and fair trade? Avoid processed foods? Eat seasonally?

The choices are many; the stakes are high. But experts on land use, climate change, and sustainable agriculture told me that two habits tower above all others in terms of environmental impact. To help save the planet, quit wasting food and eat less meat.

The conservation nonprofit Rare analyzed a sweeping set of climate-change mitigation strategies in 2019. It found that getting households to recycle, switch to LED lighting and hybrid vehicles, and add rooftop solar systems would save less than half the carbon emissions combined than would reducing food waste and adopting a plant-based diet.

Let’s begin with the role of food waste. Americans waste a lot of food. Nearly one-third of it, in fact. More than 130 billion pounds a year, worth roughly $160 billion. We throw away enough food to close our own “meal gap” eight times over. Food is the single biggest component of our country’s landfills, and the average American sends more than 200 pounds of food there every year. More than 1,250 calories per person a day, or more than 140 trillion calories a year, get tossed in the garbage.

Households, not restaurants or schools or corporate cafeterias, are the dominant wasters. The problem is worse in the United States than in most other countries, and it has worsened over time. When you toss a spoiled chicken breast or moldy tomato into the trash, you’re wasting a greenhouse-gas-intensive product. You’re also sending it to a landfill, where it will emit methane.

Addressing food waste would be low-hanging fruit: The country could save money, emit less carbon into the atmosphere, alleviate the burden on landfills, reduce the number of animals subjected to life on a factory farm, and address its hunger crisis just by eating all the food it makes. Households consuming more of what they buy, and thus buying less, would have a major effect on the whole food system. Food suppliers would produce less to meet the country’s more efficient demand. Supermarkets would stock less food. Fewer trucks would need to run from plant to store. Fewer refrigerators would be needed in stores and industrial facilities to keep groceries cold. Fewer cows would fill up feedlots. Fewer acres of corn and soy would be grown to feed them.

How to do it? For one, get wise about expiration labels and quit throwing out perfectly good food. Research shows that nearly all Americans misinterpret date labels and toss their groceries out prematurely, for fear of food poisoning, and understandably so. Retailers and production companies use 50 different Use By–type labels, and none is federally regulated, except for those on infant formula. Sell By stamps tend to be for inventory management, and have nothing to do with food safety; Best If Used By and Use By stamps tend to be about freshness and food quality, not whether you are about to enjoy a serving of mycotoxins. As a general point, most food is safe to eat as long as there is no evident spoilage, such as visible mold or an off smell. “Use your senses,” says Yvette Cabrera of the Natural Resources Defense Council, the conservation nonprofit, noting that those senses were refined through millennia of natural selection in no small part to help us figure out whether food is safe to eat.

Experts also point to a series of simple, old-fashioned techniques households can use to ensure that they eat more of the food they buy. They amount to thinking like your Depression-era forebears, pretty much. Figure out appropriate portion sizes; eat your leftovers; store food in appropriate containers and at the right temperature; prepare and freeze perishables instead of letting them linger and go bad; and shop in your refrigerator and cabinet before you hit the store.

And when you’re at the store, there is one dietary change to consider that beats all others in terms of its climate impact. It is not eating locally or seasonally. It is not eating organic or fair-trade. It is not eating unprocessed foods or avoiding big-box and fast-food retailers. It is eating less meat. Roughly three-quarters of the world’s farmland is used to pasture livestock or raise crops to feed that livestock. That contributes to deforestation, destroys the planet’s natural carbon sinks, erodes the planet’s biodiversity, and uses up fresh water.

The main, mooing offender is beef. Cattle are responsible for roughly two-thirds of the livestock sector’s greenhouse-gas emissions, while beef and dairy products are responsible for about one-tenth of global emissions overall. Gram for gram, beef produces roughly eight times more greenhouse-gas emissions than farmed fish or poultry, 12 times more than eggs, 25 times more than tofu, and even more compared with pulses, nuts, root vegetables, bananas, potatoes, bread, or maize.

Beef is so bad for two reasons, Michael Clark, a scholar of food systems and health at the University of Oxford, explained to me. The first is that it takes a lot of inputs to produce beef as an output: about 20 kilograms of corn and soy protein to produce one kilogram of beef, he said. The second is that cows produce methane as they digest their food. “Other types of animals don’t do that,” he said. “And methane is a more potent greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide.”

Trading your rib eyes and cheesesteaks for lentils and tofu is one of the best things you can do as a consumer for the environment; if all Americans did, the country would be roughly halfway to hitting its Paris Agreement targets. Still, the all-or-nothing way the choice is often presented is a mistake. There is enormous acreage between the Atkins diet, or even the meat-heavy diet of the average American, and full-on veganism, which remains a niche lifestyle choice that few follow for long. Better all Americans cut meat consumption by 40 percent than 3 percent of Americans cut it out completely. Experts encourage taking small, meaningful steps to reduce your meat consumption, and trying to find some joy in doing it. Participate in Meatless Monday; try learning to cook dishes from a plant-heavy cuisine you like; offer a vegetarian option at work events; opt for dishes where meat plays a supporting, rather than leading, role.

After wasting less food and eating less meat, all other changes a person might make are marginal, experts said, among them eating locally, organically, and seasonally. Moreover, the climate impact of those food choices is in many cases contradictory. “I work in food, and it’s confusing for me,” Cabrera, of the NRDC, told me. “Is this lettuce better than this lettuce? Consumers are faced with so many choices, and it is really hard to know.”

Humanely raised, local meat, for instance, can produce more emissions than meat coming from a concentrated industrial operation, Clark told me. Cows in concentrated animal-feeding operations are generally slaughtered at 12 to 18 months of age, while cows raised exclusively on pastures typically live twice as long. “The cow that lives for longer is going to emit more methane over the course of its lifespan,” he said, though he added that there were still compelling reasons to opt for the local beef.

Similarly, growing a given amount of organic produce usually requires more emissions and acres of land than growing the same amount using conventional farming methods. One study conducted in Sweden, for instance, showed that organic peas and wheat have a bigger climate impact than their conventionally farmed cousins.

That said, when it comes to the emissions related to shipping food around the world, experts argue that—surprisingly—local is not always better. There’s a certain uncanny decadence to eating Peruvian avocados and Chinese grapes in the dead of winter, or opening a bottle of French Beaujolais or a package of Scottish smoked salmon at will. But transporting food around the world tends to make up only a small share of a given product’s total greenhouse-gas emissions. What you are eating and how it was farmed is far more important than how it got to you, and imported food typically has a low carbon impact.

For all that, experts said there are good reasons to opt for organic, locally produced, seasonal food, even if it might not be as efficient to produce, or might not have the lowest greenhouse-gas emissions. Many smaller-scale operations outside Big Ag produce food without pesticides, without monoculture, with manure instead of chemical fertilizers, and with respect for biodiversity and soil health. Those are all important facets of environmental preservation too.

Complicating things, what’s good for the environment isn’t always what’s good for animal welfare. When it comes to eating animals, “unfortunately, the cruelty scale is the flip of the emissions scale,” Leah Garcés, the president of Mercy for Animals, a nonprofit that advocates for better conditions for animals raised in industrial environments, told me. A family can easily eat a chicken in a single night, but might struggle to eat a whole cow over the course of a year. Moreover, transportation and processing is much rougher on birds, which have delicate bodies. (Each year, more than 1 million chickens die en route to slaughter, and half a million are not actually dead when they hit the scalding tank.) For these reasons, a chicken breast represents much more suffering than a steak, even though the steak is worse for the planet. But the fact remains: The fewer animals you eat, the fewer die, and the better off the planet is.

Diets that are good for the planet tend to be good for people too. Research by Clark and his colleagues has shown that foods associated with good health generally have low environmental impacts, “indicating that the same dietary transitions that would lower incidences of noncommunicable diseases would also help meet environmental sustainability targets.”

Our diets are cooking the planet, and changing them, even in small ways, might help avert catastrophe. A burger for lunch, a bag of wilted greens in the trash—these may not be as obviously destructive to the environment as a private jet or a gas-guzzling car. But they are choices we make daily, and they matter. 

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(AU) Malcolm Turnbull Has The Right Vision But Once Again Tricky Politics Got In The Way

Sydney Morning Herald - Frank Jotzo | Mark Howden

Author
  • Frank Jotzo is director of the Centre for Climate and Energy Policy at the ANU Crawford School of Public Policy.
  • Mark Howden is director of the ANU Institute for Climate, Energy and Disaster Solutions.
The ferocity of conflicts over coal still throws spanners in the works of Australian politics.

Malcolm Turnbull’s removal as chair of the NSW Net Zero Emissions and Clean Economy Board is a stark example of the difficulties Australian governments have in dealing with climate change and the transition to clean energy.

And yet, the momentum in the shift to a cleaner economy will ultimately sweep aside the adverse politics.

The NSW government has shown deft footwork developing forward-looking climate and energy policy, including an electricity strategy with renewable energy investment at its core.

It has a strategy that maps out first steps towards a net zero goal, and commissioned a stocktake of innovation opportunities in decarbonisation. In Matt Kean, NSW has an Environment Minister who understands the economic upside of the shift to low emissions, and who often leads on the issues nationally.

Former prime minister Malcolm Turnbull has been removed from his job in NSW as a byelection looms. Credit: James Brickwood

So how can it be that barely a week after having announced the former prime minister as chair of the new Net Zero board, the NSW government makes an about-turn and reverses the appointment? Clearly it is about the byelection in the Upper Hunter, where the future of coal is an important factor.

The byelection reflects a groundswell of ongoing change in Australia’s attitudes towards gender. There is a similar groundswell on climate change too. Political parties ignore such societal changes at their peril. Or embrace them to the advantage of many. The reality is that coal mining does not have a long-term future.

Longer-term continued use of coal is incompatible with any tolerable scenario for climate change. And even without carbon policy, technology will gradually push coal to the sidelines. Where new power generation is needed, wind and solar is already cheaper than new coal plants in many parts of the world, and much cheaper in Australia.

And that is before including the costs of carbon emissions or the financial risk that coal plants might shut down early because of emissions constraints. Carbon capture and storage was once the hope for the survival of coal, but that is no longer cost-competitive with zero emissions alternatives. We will see demand for coal fall away.

Rather than sticking our collective heads in the sand, we need to have honest conversations about this. How are we, as a society, to go about supporting the regions, communities and workers in those few parts of the country where coal plays a big role in local economies? What are the industries that could rise in Australia’s other coal mining regions, and what can governments usefully do to support them?


How Turnbull’s new role was ended before it even began

These are questions that Malcolm Turnbull engaged with before, during and after his spell as PM. A focus on innovation was part of the answer.

But ideology, sectional political interests and the micro-politics of “the way things have been done around here” stymied much of his vision then, as now. But there are alternatives.

There are countries where climate and energy policy questions are not so toxic. Germany’s decision to stop using coal is supported by the major political parties.

It is underpinned by a consensus process where all major stakeholders hammered out an agreement. In Britain, there is bipartisanship in favour of ambitious climate policy, despite oil and gas interests.

These and other examples leverage off innovation – social, technological, political. Bypassing the landmines of “the way things have to be done”.

And so, having moved in reverse a bit to accommodate some tricky politics, the caravan will move on. With the byelection out of the way, the NSW government will be freer to do what needs to be done, at least until the state election looms.

And Malcolm Turnbull will have been, once again, the victim of the micro-politics that continues to delay constructive change.

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07/04/2021

New Report Hails The Decade Of Renewables As 2020 Hits Capacity Record

RenewEconomy - 


A new report released by the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) has shown that global renewable energy capacity additions in 2020 have surpassed a range of prior estimate and all records from previous years.

The majority of the year was impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, with supply chains, businesses and shipping all heavily disrupted, making the records even more remarkable.

IRENA found that global additions of renewables added up to 260 gigawatts, exceeding 2019’s value by nearly 50%. More than 80% of all new electrical capacity added in 2020 was renewable, and of that renewable energy 91% was wind and solar.

IRENA attributes this to a “net decommissioning” of fossil fuel power in Europe, North America and Eurasia (including the Russian Federation and Turkey). In Asia, the Middle East and Africa, there is a net expansion of fossil fuels. The expansion of fossil fuels continues, but is slowing, according to their data.  


The data also highlight that China and the US were the two dominant players globally for these markets, with China adding a stunning 72 gigawatts of wind power and 49 gigawatts of solar power in 2020.

The US installed 29 gigawatts of renewables, “nearly 80% more than 2019, including 15 GW of solar and around 14 GW of wind”.

However, most other countries “continued to increase renewable capacity at a similar rate to previous years”, the report adds.



The new additions put the renewable share of total generation capacity in the world from 24.6% in 2019 to 36.6% in 2020.

“An energy transition requires that the use of renewables expands by more than the growth in energy demand, so that less non-renewable energy needs to be used”, write the authors of the report.

“Many countries still have not reached this point, despite dramatic increases in their use of renewables for generating electricity”. 
  

Of the various regions reported upon, the highest increase in capacity was Oceania (18.5%), almost all of which occurred in Australia.

However, the region is a small share of global totals and Australia remains heavily dependent on world-leading quantities of coal-fired power, as reported in another recent analysis of 2020 electricity data.

Another Australian government report suggested that Australia’s growth could be heading for a downturn.

“Despite the difficult period, as we predicted, 2020 marks the start of the decade of renewables,” said IRENA Director-General Francesco La Camera.

“Costs are falling, clean tech markets are growing and never before have the benefits of the energy transition been so clear.

"This trend is unstoppable, but as the review of our World Energy Transition Outlook highlights, there is a huge amount to be done.

"Our 1.5 degree outlook shows significant planned energy investments must be redirected to support the transition if we are to achieve 2050 goals. In this critical decade of action, the international community must look to this trend as a source of inspiration to go further”.

A recent preview of the 2021 IRENA “World Energy Transition Outlook” report, to be released in full later this year, found that “proven technologies for a net-zero energy system already largely exist today”, and that “in anticipation of the coming energy transition, financial markets and investors are already directing capital away from fossil fuels and towards other energy technologies including renewables”.
 

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Lethal Heating is a citizens' initiative