18/02/2022

(USA Washington Post) Facing The Effects Of Climate Change, Skiers Want To Save Their Snow — And Their Sport

Washington Post - Denise Hruby

‘If we don’t start taking action now, then when are we going to?’

Article Audio

10min 44sec

Windmills power part of the Lachtal ski resort in the eastern stretches of the Austrian Alps.
Windmills power part of the Lachtal ski resort in the eastern stretches of the Austrian Alps. (Denise Hruby for The Washington Post)




OBERWÖLZ, Austria — At the Lachtal ski resort, high in the eastern Alps of Austria, skiers immediately pull out their phones after sliding off the chairlift — not to take selfies, but rather to snap pictures of the windmills that have become part of the mountainous vista.

When the first windmills were built here in 2002, at about 7,290 feet, many tourists saw the massive blades as an eyesore. But as the wind park grew and expanded, so did skiers’ environmental conscience. Today, locals and tourists are proud to ski among the backdrop.

“When I ride up with them and eavesdrop, they’re usually impressed,” says Rudolf Wiesnegger, who maintains the wind park and adjacent solar panels. “They comment that it’s great for the environment,” he says.

There are few places where climate change is as tangible as in the Alps; Europe’s largest mountain range has been warming at twice the global average.

Snow has become scarcer, and glaciers are receding dramatically. Skiers see it when they ride down slopes sprayed with artificial snow, and they are increasingly concerned that their favorite sport helps damage the very environment they’re seeking.

Skiers and spectators have been flabbergasted by this year’s Winter Olympics in Beijing. Just as the LED snowflakes that sparkled during the Opening Ceremonies weren’t real, the snow that skiers and snowboarders are competing on isn’t natural, either.

The Alpine competitions are held in the brown mountains around Zhangjiakou, on white bands of snow entirely created with machines that need massive amounts of water and electricity.

“It’s just crazy,” says Cécile Burton, a French-British national who grew up skiing but switched to snowboarding when she moved to the village of Morzine, a popular ski destination in the French Alps.

Burton heads Montagne Verte, or Green Mountain, an association trying to make skiing more sustainable. She is among those who have begun to counteract the sport’s impact on the planet. In making their favorite sport more sustainable, an increasing number of skiers are hoping to secure its future.

“We’re definitely seeing that people worry about this, that they are aware that ski holidays are not very sustainable — but [they] can be,” the 30-year-old says.

A windmill in the eastern Alps of Austria. (Denise Hruby for The Washington Post)


Counterproductive’ Winter Olympics

The Winter Olympics, once a flagship ad for winter sports, have an increasingly negative reputation among skiers (and not just because the Games’ leaders ignore hosts’ human rights records).

Conditions during the 2010 Winter Olympics in Vancouver and four years later in Sochi, Russia, were “too warm for even advanced snowmaking technology,” so snow had to be trucked or flown in from elsewhere.

Zhangjiakou, where the climate is so dry it basically never snows, might be the worst advertising for winter sports thus far, says Peter Zellmann, head of the institute for leisure and tourism research in Austria.

Instead of inspiring amateur athletes, “holding Olympic Games the way this is happening in China is counterproductive and has a negative impact on [winter] tourism,” Zellmann says.

And yet it might be a glimpse into the future.

Previous host cities already belong to the fastest-warming locations worldwide, and if greenhouse gas emissions aren’t dramatically reduced, 20 of the 21 destinations that have previously hosted the Winter Olympics wouldn’t be able to do so by the end of the century, according to recent research, led by the department of geography and environmental management at the University of Waterloo in Canada.

The only exception would be Sapporo in Japan.

“In terms of the climate, it’s complete madness,” says Laura Gantenbein, a 28-year-old who saw the images of Zhangjiakou on TV in her home in Switzerland, where she grew up skiing and snowboarding. Hefty ticket prices already keep the budding lawyer from hitting the slopes as frequently as she used to, but increasingly, she says, she’s also worried about the impact on the environment.

Even in the mountainous Engadin valley, birthplace of Gantenbein’s mother and of Alpine winter sports, she now finds that snow cannons are ubiquitous. “And all that does make you think: Is that still ok?” she says.

The industry is feeling that pressure, too, says Robert Steiger, who researches winter tourism at the department of public finance at the University of Innsbruck in the Austrian Alps. Though skiers aren’t yet dropping their favorite sport, “it’s going to be a big topic in the future,” Steiger says.

The Lachtal ski resort in Austria. (Denise Hruby for The Washington Post)


Solar, wind and the world’s shortest subway

If you visit the ski resort of Morzine, you can stay in hotels that have installed solar panels and dine in restaurants that serve local produce rather than over-harvested fish — all thanks to help and nudging from Montagne Verte, the sustainable skiing association.

On a cable-car ride to Matterhorn, the iconic Swiss mountain shaped like a jagged tooth, you’ll find solar panels reflecting off the base station. And if you turn on a television in See, a municipality in Austria’s narrow Paznaun valley, you’ll learn that the hydropower plant along its mountain brooks generates enough electricity to run the cable cars and produce snow.

The excess of about 9.5 gigawatt hours, enough for more than 200 households, is fed into the grid.

Not just ski resorts, but the International Ski Federation (FIS) is taking a different tone, too. Just three years ago, Gian Franco Kaspar, then head of the FIS, said “there is no evidence” for “so-called climate change” in a Tagesanzeiger interview.

But the group’s new president, Johan Eliasch, a Swedish British billionaire, told The Washington Post that skiing needs to “act in harmony with nature and not against it,” and that he feels “a personal responsibility to reduce the impact of our activities on the climates.” Aside from buying a rainforest to protect it from logging, Eliasch also pledged that the FIS will cut its emissions by half by 2030.

The key will be to no longer chase wintry conditions across the globe, and for the race schedule to be optimized.

At least one site — Zermatt in Switzerland — will now begin to accommodate year-round training for all ski teams, and next season, Eliasch says, races will also be held by regional blocks to decrease travel.

That would address the single biggest source of emissions caused by the world’s 135 million skiers: Depending on the mode and distance to the destination, traveling accounts for up to 86 percent of emissions from a ski holiday, according to a report published in the journal Mountain Research and Development.

The Lachtal ski resort. (Denise Hruby for The Washington Post/FTWP) 


Some destinations have begun tackling that problem through electric buses or bicycles.

Skiers in Serfaus, Austria, can board the world’s shortest subway on one of four stops through the 1,100-resident village. And the Swiss village of Saas-Fee was already car-free when Wham filmed the music video for “Last Christmas” there in 1984.

Generally, however, visitors still get to both destinations by car and park in one of thousands of designated spots. Emissions from traveling to Morzine had Montagne Verte pondering, too. Most of its tourists are young Brits who fly to nearby Geneva, with round-trip fares going for less than $100.

To get people to opt for the pricier but environment-friendly railroad, Morzine now offers train travelers discounts for ski lessons, drinks and dinner — and, next year, even for expensive lift tickets.

That, however, addresses only the extra costs of train travel, not the nuisance of having to swap trains several times.

Looking at the rail network, Burton and her colleagues realized that a direct connection from Lille, a major hub for the Eurostar, would be possible. Next year, Montagne Verte plans to charter a train and fill it with 500 skiers.

“You want to go to the mountains on a ski holiday? Well, make sure it’s still there in 25 years. Start changing the way you do things,” Burton says.

With a successful pilot run, Montagne Verte hopes to convince the national train services of France to create a direct connection. It’s an uphill battle, Burton admits, especially given the vast subsidies granted to fossil-fuel-burning industries like airlines.

Tauernwind boasts a total of 10 windmills, each with a rotor diameter of 367 feet. (Denise Hruby for The Washington Post)

 Power in numbers

 It’s these bigger-picture policies on which local efforts often hit a wall, says Jeremy Jones, who founded Protect Our Winters (POW), a U.S.-based association trying to get politicians to take action.

Jones, a former professional snowboarder, became engaged in climate action after a 2005 trip to Prince Rupert, Canada, where locals showed him a small ski area that had been forced to stop operating.

He started switching to more efficient lightbulbs and saving water but soon realized that the sweeping changes necessary to reach climate goals had to come from politicians.

To get them to act, POW aims to “unify the outdoor state” — or the roughly 50 million Americans who ski, hike, surf or take part in similar activities. That potential voter base, Jones says, is 10 times larger than the National Rifle Association’s active members.

“There are a lot of politicians that are afraid to cross the NRA because they are afraid they’ll lose their job, that they will not get reelected,” says Jones, now 52 and a father of two.

“We need to make it so that politicians view climate in that same manner, where when they take a bad vote on climate, a pro vote for fossil fuels, they will lose their job in the next election,” he says.

Windmills in the eastern Alps. (Denise Hruby for The Washington Post) 

 Ski idols like Mike Douglas, known as the godfather of freestyle skiing — now an Olympic discipline — have joined POW, as have younger, emerging talents, like the teenage skier Kai Jones and snowboarder Bea Kim, who hopes to compete in the next Winter Olympics.

In the last national election cycle, POW’s nonpartisan “pledge to vote” campaign reached 30,000 people, many of them nonvoters or considered unlikely to vote.

“If we don’t start taking action now, then when are we going to?” Kim says.

In the 2018 election in Montana, POW pushed for climate coverage in local papers and helped 800 voters register.

Democrat Jon Tester — who says the impact of climate change on his own farm is “starting to scare the hell out of me” and who campaigned for an energy transition that would create high-paying jobs — secured reelection with 50.3 percent of the vote.

Across the Alps, too, politicians are increasingly addressing climate change, Steiger says — especially in areas like Tyrol, an Austrian province where every fourth job depends on the winter tourism industry. Last year, the state government ordered all ski resorts to become climate-neutral by 2035.

“The political will is there,” Steiger says, “just how it’s put into action remains to be seen.”

At Lachtal, for one, that means that the wind farm is going to be extended within the next five years, and the 2-megawatt solar panels will be increased to about 10 megawatts.

Four years from now, the Winter Olympics will return to Cortina d’Ampezzo, in the Italian Alps, which already hosted the Games in 1956. Back then, winter temperatures remained low, skiing conditions were excellent and the Olympic flag was framed by snow-covered mountains.

Much will have changed in 2026, when Kim, the POW snowboarder, hopes to compete. Until then, Kim, now 15 years old, wants to help “convince people to go outside and just to see how magical it is,” she says.Hopefully, they’ll — out of their own conscious — start trying to protect it.”

Links

(AU ABC) Big Oil All Talk, No Action On Climate Change? Researchers Say They'Ve Got The Proof

ABC Science - Nick Kilvert

Some oil companies have engaged in climate change disinformation campaigns.(Getty Images: Anton Petrus)

Key Points
  • Researchers looked at how four big oil companies performed against their clean energy claims
  • They found that none of them were producing clean energy on a scale that indicates a move away from fossil fuels
  • Clean energy investment targets were often not being met
The world's highest-polluting oil companies are promising big but delivering very little on climate change, according to damning new research published today.

Chevron, ExxonMobil, Shell and BP are failing to meet green energy investment pledges and lack consistent transparency in their reporting of investments, the researchers say in science journal PLOS ONE.

They say fossil fuel production was maintained or increased by Chevron, Shell and BP between 2009 and 2020, despite committing to, or in Chevron's case "aspiring to", net-zero emissions by 2050 or before.

To reach these conclusions, researchers from Tohoku and Kyoto University looked at the activities of Chevron, ExxonMobil, Shell and BP between 2009 and 2020.

They focused on these four because they're the highest greenhouse-gas-emitting investor-owned energy companies globally.

Specifically, the researchers tallied the frequency that climate change and clean energy-related keywords were referred to in those companies' annual reports during that 2009-2020 period, and what each company pledged to do to decarbonise and invest in clean energy.

They then compared that to each companies' actions during the same period — their investments and profits from fossil fuels, and investments in clean energy.


Clean energy generation in megawatts by each company between 2009 and 2020.(Supplied: PLOS ONE/Li, Trencher, Asuka)


Neither of the American companies — ExxonMobil and Chevron — disclosed the size of their clean energy investments for any years during the period, "despite claims of increasing investments for low-carbon energy and technologies", the researchers said in the paper.

European companies Shell and BP disclosed sporadically, and the researchers took data for all four companies from external sources where it wasn't disclosed.

The researchers concluded that accusations of greenwashing against these companies "appear well founded".

No indication of shifting away from fossil fuels

Between 2009 and 2020, none of the four companies generated renewable energy on a scale that would "indicate a shift away from fossil fuels", despite all showing a significant increase in references to "climate change", "transition", "emissions" and "low carbon energy" in their annual reporting.

According to the research, ExxonMobil generated no electricity from clean energy sources between 2009 and 2020. Chevron generated just 65.5 megawatts.

Of the four, BP generated the most with around 2,000 megawatts, or "the equivalent of around two large gas-fired power-plants", the researchers said.

In energy equivalent terms, this pales in comparison to the 2 million or more barrels per day each company produced on average during the study period.

Youtube Between 2010 and 2018, more than 98 per cent of Shell's investments were in oil and gas

It's also at odds with the image these companies are trying to project to the public, the researchers said.

"Over the study period that we looked at — 12 years — there's been a big increase in green rhetoric," said study co-author Gregory Trencher from Kyoto University.

"If that was reflected in actions, we would expect in the same period, to see a big surge in green activity.
This is despite the websites of BP and Chevron stating that they support the goals of the 2015 Paris Agreement; Shell's website says the company's net-zero aim supports the Paris Agreement; and ExxonMobil says it is "advancing effective solutions to address climate change".

Among the Paris Agreement's goals are to limit warming to well below 2 degrees Celsius, and to pursue efforts to keep it below 1.5C.

We're currently on track to hit 1.5C in the early 2030s.

BP, Shell say change is happening

The two European companies — BP and Shell — had the most ambitious clean energy pledges of the four, which the researchers still described as "highly conservative".

"Even with these very conservative indicators, [we] don't see much action, especially in the US," Dr Trencher said.
"[With] BP and Shell, it's really only in the last two years that we see meaningful action occurring, but that's obviously far from sufficient, and there are still contradictions."

Both BP and Shell met their targets of investing more than 1 per cent of capital expenditure on clean energy for multiple years throughout the study period.

But they failed to meet other targets. Shell's investment of $0.9 billion on clean energy in 2020, for instance, fell short of its pledge of $1 billion-$2 billion annually between 2018-2020.

The companies' investment data from 2018 and 2019 was not published, according to the researchers.

A spokesperson for BP said that because the study was between the years 2009-2020, it didn't take recent "developments and [their] progress fully into account".

"In 2020, BP set out our new net-zero ambition, aims and strategy, and in 2021 completed the largest transformation of the company in our history to deliver these," the spokesperson said.

In 2020, BP's new chief executive officer Michael Looney claimed the company could get to net zero.

He laid out a raft of measures, which included reducing future production by 40 per cent, or about 1 million barrels, of oil a day, and selling off about $25 billion in fossil fuel assets by 2025.

A Shell spokesperson also said they had taken big steps recently that wouldn't have been captured by the study.

"Shell's target is to become a net-zero emissions energy business by 2050, in step with society," they said.

A comparison of capital expenditure on "low-carbon" investments by each company as a percentage of total capital expenditure. (Supplied: PLOS ONE/Li, Trencher, Asuka)

"Our short-, medium- and long-term intensity and absolute targets are consistent with the more ambitious 1.5C goal of the Paris Agreement."

If both BP and Shell are to reach their net-zero emissions by 2050, Dr Trencher said it would be "an amazing challenge" given their continued interests in fossil fuels.
Chevron, ExxonMobil dragging the chain

Investment in "clean energy" by the two American companies — Chevron and ExxonMobil — made up less than a quarter of a per cent of their total capital expenditure.

But the researchers urged caution even over these modest figures.

"We can have one company claiming that it's invested, you know, X amount of dollars in clean energy, but we don't really know what's meant by clean energy," Dr Trencher said.
"There's no industry accepted definition of this."
Chevron has expanded its gas interest in Australia, including at Wheatstone and its troubled CCS facility Gorgon. (Chevron)


ExxonMobil has made no secret that it lacks interest in some renewable technologies, said study lead author Mei Li from Tohoku University.

"ExxonMobil is the only major [oil company] to refuse to invest in solar and wind. It's quite a surprising thing for me," Dr Li said.

Attempting to derail climate action

According to ExxonMobil's website, the company is "working to be part of the solution".

"ExxonMobil scientists have been involved in the forefront of climate research for four decades, understanding and working with the world's leading experts on climate," the website states.

But ExxonMobil has also been accused of funding climate sceptic organisations, and promoting climate disinformation.

Back in 2006, the Royal Society slammed the company for promoting "inaccurate and misleading" climate information.

ExxonMobil said it would stop funding such groups in 2007 after pressure from activists, but was accused of the same thing again in 2009.

Last year the City of New York filed a lawsuit against ExxonMobil, Shell, BP, and the American Petroleum Institute for "systematically and intentionally deceiving" New Yorkers about the impact their products have on climate change.

Similar lawsuits have previously failed.

Oil companies are accused of 'greenwashing' while continuing with business as usual. (AP: Nabil al-Jurani)

And ExxonMobil has been reticent to address climate change in its annual reporting, according to the researchers.

"Only in 2018 did ExxonMobil recognise, indirectly and weakly, the link between fossil fuels and climate change in its annual report," they said.

"This position did not carry over into the 2020 version."

A range of questions were put to ExxonMobil, including whether they still fund climate sceptic groups, but a response wasn't received by deadline.

But it's not just ExxonMobil that has attempted to derail climate action. It's an industry-wide practice, according to Polly Hemming from independent think tank The Australia Institute, based in Canberra.

She said there were plenty of examples in Australia where companies had campaigned against climate action.

Woodside ran a campaign against an EPA proposal for offsetting all emissions on new large projects. (Supplied)

"[In 2019] the Western Australian [Environmental Protection Agency] suggested that all high-carbon activities would be completely offset," she said.

"Woodside [Energy] in The West Australian newspaper ran a scare campaign and within a week it was ditched."

A concerted effort by the industry has held back action on climate change in Australia, according to Ms Hemming.

"I would say [fossil fuel lobbyists] have been behind the last 10 years of delay on climate change [in Australia].
The fossil fuel industry's assertions that they can continue to produce oil and gas with zero net emissions — described by Ms Hemming as "a complete fantasy" — allows governments to continue supporting the industry, she said.

"Our own government's net-zero plan — there's a sentence in there that says that gas and coal production will continue.

"No fossil fuel company is proposing to offset all their emissions. Even if they were, there wouldn't be enough offsets in the world to do that.

"It might work on paper, but in reality, the physics don't work."

In response to questions from the ABC regarding today's research, a spokesperson for Chevron said it was difficult to respond without first seeing the report, but the company was committed to reaching net-zero in 2050 on its scope 1 and scope 2 emissions — that's emissions from its owned or controlled sources, and indirect emissions from the generation of energy it has purchased.

Scope 3 emissions are those produced by burning the fuel by consumers, such as in vehicles.

"Chevron is focused on lowering the carbon intensity of our operations and seeking to grow lower carbon businesses along with our traditional business lines," the spokesperson said.

"Globally, the corporation is planning $10 billion in lower carbon investments by 2028.

"In Australia, we are working to advance a lower carbon future using our unique capabilities, assets, and expertise."

Links

(AU SMH) Origin Energy To Bring Forward Closure Of Australia’s Largest Coal-Fired Power Plan

Sydney Morning HeraldNick Toscano | Mike Foley

Origin Energy has brought forward plans to close Australia’s largest coal-burning power station to 2025, seven years earlier than scheduled, as the rollout of clean energy across the country accelerates.

The power and gas supplier has notified authorities it intends to shut down the 2880-megawatt Eraring generator at Lake Macquarie in NSW after the required notice period of three and a half years, saying “rapidly changing” energy market conditions have hammered the plant’s viability.

Origin’s giant Eraring power station is the largest coal-fired generator in Australia. Credit: Nick Moir

Eraring was originally intended to close in 2032.

“Origin has today submitted notice to the Australian Energy Market Operator for the potential early retirement of Eraring Power Station in August 2025,” chief executive Frank Calabria said.

“Origin’s proposed exit from coal-fired generation reflects the continuing, rapid transition of the National Energy Market as we move to cleaner sources of energy.”

The influx of large-scale wind and solar farms coupled with an ongoing boom in the uptake of rooftop solar panels have been radically reshaping the industry and slashing daytime wholesale prices to levels at which the dominant sources of power – coal and gas – struggle to compete and have been forced to regularly operate at a loss.

Glasgow summit
Origin’s early exit from coal follows similar moves by other major power utilities.

EnergyAustralia last year announced it would shut Victoria’s Yallourn coal-fired power plant in 2028, four years earlier than planned, while AGL, the largest Australian power company, has pledged to bring forward the closure dates of its coal assets in Victoria and NSW by several years.

“Australia’s energy market today is very different to the one when Eraring was brought online in the early 1980s,” Mr Calabria said.

“The reality is the economics of coal-fired power stations are being put under increasing, unsustainable pressure by cleaner and lower cost generation, including solar, wind and batteries.”

Because electricity production is a dominant source of Australia’s emissions, reducing output from coal plants would help sharply reduce the national carbon footprint.

However, concerns have been building across the industry that unexpectedly early shutdowns of coal-fired generators could threaten the reliability of the nation’s power market and cause price volatility in the future.

Federal Energy Minister Angus Taylor said Origin’s decision was “bitterly disappointing”. Credit: Alex Ellinghausen

Federal Energy Minister Angus Taylor condemned Origin’s decision on Thursday, describing it as “bitterly disappointing” and warning the closure of Eraring, which accounts for 20 per cent of NSW generation output, would leave a “considerable gap” in reliable generation.

“This decision is bitterly disappointing for all energy users – from households to small businesses to heavy industry – who rely on affordable, reliable energy to prosper,” he said.

“It is also bitterly disappointing for the 400 workers and communities in the Lake Macquarie region.”

The Morrison government argues fossil fuels are vital to ensuring affordable and reliable power as the clean-energy transition accelerates, and is pushing ahead with a plan to build a Commonwealth-owned gas-fired generator at Kurri Kurri in NSW.

Mr Taylor said on-demand, reliable power including coal, gas and pumped hydro was crucial to supporting renewable energy during times when the wind is not blowing and the sun is not shining.

He called on private energy companies to “step up” and increase investment in projects to replace Eraring.
“The reality is the economics of coal-fired power stations are being put under increasing, unsustainable pressure by cleaner and lower cost generation, including solar, wind and batteries.”
Origin chief Frank Calabria
“Closure without like-for-like replacement puts affordability and reliability at risk,” he said. “They owe this to their customers as providers of an essential service.”

Origin is planning to build a 700-megawatt battery at the site of Eraring as part of its “replacement plan”.

Mr Calabria on Thursday said firm commitments across the wider energy industry to build out more on-demand energy capacity in the market in coming years, along with new transmission infrastructure that can better-enable the flow of energy from one part of the east coast to another, would “more than compensate” for Eraring’s exit.

“We will continue to assess the market over time, and this will help inform any final decisions on the timing for closure of all four units,” he said.
What's a 'just transition' and can you switch to green energy without sacking coal workers?

AEMO, the market operator, agrees.

“Planned additional transmission capacity – including the announced battery - will give the state access to enough electricity generation to meet the Energy Security Target at the time Eraring closes,” AEMO chief executive Daniel Westerman said.

While coal still makes up most of the nation’s power, the rollout of renewables is squeezing it further out of the market.

In the three months to December 31, black coal fell to its lowest seasonal average share since the east-coast electricity market was created in 1998, while gas recorded its lowest since 2003.

Renewable energy, meanwhile, accounted for a record-high average of 34.9 per cent of generation, beating the previous record of 31 per cent.

Origin on Thursday vowed it would consult with Eraring’s workforce about the timing of any potential retirement, and provide a “generous support package during any transition period”.

“This will include re-skilling, career support and redeployment into new roles, where possible,” the company said.

“Origin intends to engage with governments and the local community to determine the most appropriate transition planning for any eventual closure.”

Links

(AU The Conversation) World-First Research Confirms Australia’s Forests Became Catastrophic Fire Risk After British Invasion

The Conversation | 

Andrew Brownbill/AAP

Authors
  •  is Assistant Professor in Physical Geography, University of Nottingham
  •  is Associate Professor in Biogeography, The University of Melbourne
  •  is Fellow in Natural History, Australian National University     
 revealing the catastrophic risk created by non-Indigenous bushfire management approaches.

Contemporary approaches to forest management in Australia are based on suppression – extinguishing bushfires once they’ve started, or seeking to prevent them through hazard-reduction burning.

This differs from the approach of Indigenous Australians who’ve developed sophisticated relationships with fire over tens of thousands of years.

They minimise bushfire risk through frequent low-intensity burning – in contrast to the current scenario of random, high-intensity fires.

Our research, released today, provides what we believe is the first quantitative evidence that forests and woodlands across southeast Australia contained fewer shrubs and more grass before colonisation. This suggests Indigenous fire management holds the key to a safer, more sustainable future on our flammable continent.

Indigenous Australians have developed sophisticated relationships with fire over tens of thousands of years. Pictured: Fire Lines, 2019. Archival waxed inkjet Print 100cm x 125cm. © Alan McFetridge. www.alan-mcfetridge.com

Not just a climate story

Globally, climate change is causing catastrophic fire weather more often. In Australia, long-term drought and high temperatures were blamed for the Black Summer bushfires in the summer of 2019-20. This event burned 18 million hectares, an area almost twice the size of England.

The unusually high fire extent in forests prompted several important questions. Could these massive fires be explained by climate change alone? Or was the way we manage forests also affecting fire behaviour?

Recent catastrophic fires in Australia and North America prompted renewed scrutiny of how the disruption and exclusion of First Nations’ burning practices has affected forest fuel loads.

Fuel load refers to the amount of flammable organic matter in vegetation such as leaves, twigs, branches and trunks. Large fuel loads in the shrubby layers of vegetation enable flames to more easily reach tree canopies, causing intense and dangerous “crown” fires.

Long before British invasion of southeast Australia in 1788, Indigenous people managed Australia’s flammable vegetation with “cultural burning” practices. These involved frequent, low-intensity fires which led to a fine-grained vegetation mosaic comprising grassy areas and scattered trees.

Landscapes managed in this way were less prone to destructive fires.

Cultural burning in Djabugay Country. Australian Museum

But under colonial rule, Aboriginal people were dispossessed of their lands and often prevented from carrying out many important practices. The colonisers suppressed Indigenous cultural burning – sometimes to protect fences – causing the land to become overgrown with shrubs.

Colonial vegetation management involved clear-cutting and intense intentional burning to create land on the plains for agriculture. Forests in rugged and less desirable terrain were left unmanaged or exploited through logging.

A fire-fighting mentality came to dominate fire management in Australia, in which fires are seen as a threat to be prevented, or stopped once they start. This thinking underlies mainstream fire and land management to this day.

Current mainstream fire management focuses on suppression techniques. Sean Davey/AAP


Uncovering past landscapes


Our research set out to examine vegetation change at 52 sites across much of Australia’s southeast before and after colonisation in 1788. A large proportion of these are in forested areas of Victoria and New South Wales.

Scientists can develop a picture of past vegetation by extracting tiny fossilised grains of pollen from ancient sediment in wetlands and lake beds. Different plants produce pollen grains with different shapes, so by analysing them we can reconstruct past vegetation landscapes.

We also calibrated the amount of pollen to vegetation cover, to determine the past proportions of trees, shrubs, and grasses and herbs.

We did this using new modelling techniques that allow the conversion of pollen grain counts to plant cover across the landscape. These models have been widely applied in Europe, but our work represents a first in Australia.

We could then quantify vegetation changes before and after British invasion. We found forests in the southeast are now much denser, and more flammable, than before 1788.

Researchers preparing a platform for extracting lake sediment cores. Photo by Haidee Cadd.

We found grass and herb vegetation dominated the pre-colonial period, accounting for about half the vegetation across all sites. Trees and shrubs covered about 15% and 34% of the landscape, respectively.

After British invasion, shrubbiness in forests and woodlands in southeast Australia increased by up to 48% (with an average increase of 12%). Shrubs replaced grassy areas, while tree cover has remained stable overall.

Considering the vast area covered by our analysis, the shrub increase represents a massive accumulation of fuel loads.

The transition from pre- to post-colonial fuel structure in southeastern Australian forests, according to results presented in our recent publication in Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment (Mariani et al., 2022).

More than 200 years of neglect

In 1770, natural history artist Sydney Parkinson described the landscape along Australia’s east coast as “free from underwood […] like a gentleman’s park”.

In 2011, historian Bill Gammage published a controversial book titled The Biggest Estate on Earth. It contained several paintings of early colonial Australia in which the landscapes resembled a savanna, with large gaps between trees and a grassy understorey.

Nowadays, many such areas are dense forest. Our research is the first region-wide analysis that gives scientific credence to these historical accounts of a landscape very different to what we see today.

Painting by Eugen von Guerard, Crater of Mt Eccles (Budj Bim National Park), Victoria (1858). Sourced from Gammage, 2011, The Biggest Estate on Earth.

The disposession of Indigenous Australians by British invaders has had a deep social and ecological impact. This includes neglect of the bush, the direct result of denying Aboriginal Australians the right to exercise their duty of care over Country, using fire.

Australia’s forests need fire, deployed by capable Indigenous hands. Without it, increased fuel loads, coupled with climate change, will create conditions for bushfires bigger and more ferocious than we’ve ever seen before.

Link

17/02/2022

(Grist) The World’s Poorest Bear The Burden Of Heat — And It’s Getting Worse

Grist

By 2100, they’ll see 23 more days of heat waves each year than the world’s richest.

Arvind Yadav / Hindustan Times via Getty Images

As temperatures climb with climate change, the world’s poorest will increasingly take the brunt of the heat, according to a new study in the journal Earth’s Future.

Lower-income countries are already 40 percent more likely to experience heat waves than those with higher incomes. The researchers expect this disparity to widen in coming decades.

By 2100, the study says, people in the lowest-income quarter will experience 23 more days of heat waves each year than those in the highest. The top quarter is expected to maintain about its current level of discomfort, power outages notwithstanding.

Discrepancies were expected, said Mojtaba Sadegh, a climatologist at Boise State University, in a statement. “But seeing one-quarter of the world facing as much exposure as the other three-quarters combined … that was surprising.” 

Location shapes exposure: Many lower-income countries, like Madagascar and Bangladesh, are in the tropics. Access to air-conditioning, water, cooling shelters, and electricity matters, too. Without them, heat waves hit harder.

Climate change exacerbates the problem, magnifying heat waves and upping their severity and frequency.

Last year brought plenty of examples. In June, a heat dome gripped the Pacific Northwest — an event one expert said was “virtually impossible without human-induced climate change.”

The event left some 600 excess deaths between Oregon and Washington, and another 600 in British Columbia, in its wake.

The same month, temperatures in the Middle East spiked to 125 degrees, while extreme heat and drought in Kazakhstan killed scores of livestock.

Some countries are taking steps to protect the most vulnerable. After a deadly heat wave in 2010, the Indian city of Ahmedabad developed a comprehensive heat plan, which has since been scaled-up across the country.

In the United States, outdoor workers, such as those in agriculture or construction, are more vulnerable to heat stress.

Last October, the Occupational Safety and Health Administration began the process of setting the first national heat standard, a significant step toward improving protections for workers in a warming world.

Links

(AU Crikey) Both Sides Of Politics Felt The Warmth Of Gas-Led Boosts To Donations

Crikey

Recently released data shows that fossil fuel companies gave generously to the Coalition and Labor at the same time.

(Image: Private Media)

Author
Dr Leslie Cannold is an ethicist, educator and author.
Remember the gas-led recovery?

First trumpeted by the prime minister at a National Press Club address in February 2020, it proposed that the energy transition plan Australian business has been begging for for more than a decade — and that Turnbull lost the Coalition leadership over twice — should be built around gas.

Also that Australian taxpayers should underwrite the manufacturing sector’s efforts to deliver it.

There is, the PM said, “no credible energy transition plan for an economy like Australia that does not involve the greater use of gas”.

The howls of protest that greeted this were voluminous and widespread.

They came from the 82% of Australians concerned about the effect of climate change in our backyard and appalled that the leaked draft report backing the strategy didn’t even mention the climate crisis, nor propose a single alternative to centring Australia’s energy future around fossil fuel.

They also came from governance experts, appalled at how the membership of the National COVID-19 Coordinating Commission that wrote the report had been stacked by members from the mining and fossil fuel industries, including taskforce head Andrew Liveris, who was also a board member of Saudi oil company Aramco and mining business Worley.

Everyone wondered whether there was some connection between the government’s direction and its financial indebtedness to the fossil fuel industry.

But no one could prove it. Why? Because the Commonwealth doesn’t have real time disclosure of political donations. 

Only now, long after the public’s attention has moved on, have those suspicions been confirmed. Thanks to the donations data recently made public on the Australian Electoral Commission site, we know that fossil fuel companies — and the gas industry in particular — were giving generously to both major parties at the time, a whopping $1,329,754 to be precise, with just over half of this from the gas industry.

The Coalition got the lion’s share ($731,534), although Labor collected the not-insignificant sum of $598,220.

If you add to the Coalition’s total for that year the just over $1 million the LNP harvested from fossil fuel via its fundraising entity Cormack, the Coalition’s indebtedness to gas, coal and mining in the 2020-21 period swells to $1,735,048.

Is this proof of corruption? No, but it certainly gives reason for voters to consider whether corruption has taken place. To wit, whether the gas-led recovery policy was designed and intended by the Morrison government to serve the public interest or private ones.

Such doubt is devastating for the public trust needed for democracy to work — and right now that trust is already on the decline. According to Transparency International Australia, 85% of Australians believe at least some federal members are corrupt.

 Couple this with precipitously declining perceptions about the overall integrity of the public sector — we’ve dropped 12 points in the past year to a score of 73, just six points ahead of the US, where democracy is in crisis — and the imperative for swift political action to restore the public’s faith is clear.

Indeed, if we don’t do something to halt and reverse the decline, Museum of Australian Democracy research predicts that by 2025 “fewer than 10% of Australians will trust their politicians and political institutions”.

No democracy can survive such low levels of trust, and ours won’t either. It will founder — or die.

What else can we do to restore trust in our democratic institutions and representatives?

One critical step is for taxpayers to provide limited and exclusive funding to parties for elections. Private donors lose their sway over elected representatives when MPs don’t need their money to win.

At the very least, we must impose a cap of $1000 a donor — it’s currently $14,500, with loopholes big enough to drive a truck through — to limit the influence the big end of town has on “public” policy.

Finally, every rule we make to improve transparency and restore trust must have an enforcement mechanism, and be enforced by a federal integrity commission promised by the Morrison government before the last election but now shelved.

There is a small piece of good news. For the first time in a long time in Australia, public integrity is on the agenda for the federal election. The other day I drove past a campaign poster in the treasurer’s electorate of Kooyong that suggested a vote for him was one for “integrity in government”.

I’d imagine similar signs are appearing in other inner-city seats that were once safe for Liberals — Tim Wilson in Goldsmith, Dave Sharma in Wentworth, Trent Zimmerman in North Sydney — though the revelation that independent Zali Steggall failed to declare a $1 million donation casts doubt on the viability of alternatives for the disenchanted voter.

All of which means we have work to do.

Right now is the time to get your candidates on the record about what they would do if elected to restore integrity to our systems of democratic governance and, by so doing, restore our trust.

Links
 

16/02/2022

(United Nations) Adapting To Climate Change ‘Happening Worldwide’, Essential

United Nations - Climate and Environment

Bricks are salvaged from a home damaged by erosion in Bangladesh. Climate Visuals Countdown/Moniruzzaman Sazal

The impacts of climate change are already “very visible” and “happening worldwide”, the head of the UN weather agency told the start of the 55th Session of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) which convened on Monday.

The meeting opened to approve the report of the second IPCC Working Group focusing on impacts, adaptation and vulnerability to climate change which will be added to the Sixth Assessment Report later this month.

The report of the first IPCC Working Group, which focussed on the physical science of climate change, influenced the work of the UN Climate Conference in Glasgow, COP26, last year. World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Secretary-General Petteri Taalas reminded delegates that during COP26, “there was not a single head of State who questioned the scientific facts”, saying the message had got through and “has been heard”.

Disaster impacts

The WMO chief noted that some areas of the world such as tropical latitudes and developing countries, especially in Africa, Southern Asia, and the Pacific islands, are particularly vulnerable to climate change.

Last year WMO published a report on disaster statistics, which demonstrated that for the past 50 years, 4.5 billion people have experienced a major weather-related disaster over the past 20 years.

And while there has been a drop in casualties thanks to improved early warning services, dramatic increases in economic losses have occurred.

Only a week ago, in Madagascar, deadly Cyclone Batisirai was a Category 4 storm “and had severe impacts on the economy and human well-being”, said Mr. Taalas.

“We have to be careful how we communicate these facts. We have to separate impacts from natural variability to impacts from climate change”.

Moving target

According to earlier thinking, 2°C was an ambitious enough climate change target.

However, the UNFCC’s previous special report revealed that the impact of 1.5°C would be “a game changer”.

“After that, 1.5°C became the desired outcome of climate mitigation work for the coming years”, said the WMO chief.

However, despite that COP26 was the second most successful conference after Paris, he observed that the 1.5°C target is “barely alive”.

“The work needs to continue”, he spelled out.

Adaptation imperative

Citing a growing trend of rising sea levels, glaciers melting and continuing disasters, the top WMO official underscored the importance of adaptation.

“Climate change impacts are related to economy, food security, infrastructure, the biosphere and health”, he said. “We have to adapt to climate change. That means droughts, flooding, tropical storms, heatwaves, water shortages, coastal inundation”.

Later this year, COP27 will take place in Sharm-el-Sheik, Egypt, followed next year by COP28 in the United Arab Emirates.

“We hope to hear more pledges at those conferences. We are working for such a goal. The next COP will have a more Africa flavour. It is the most vulnerable continent”, he said.

Stepping up, stepping in

Explaining that “major gaps” in African countries and Caribbean islands are obstacle for climate adaptation, Mr. Taalas said that WMO is focussing attention on Multi-hazard Early Warning services to forecast the impacts of disasters.

He drew attention to a new financing mechanism to enhance observation systems, a new water and climate coalition that pays attention to water shortages and an enhanced partnership with the UN Disaster Risk Reduction office (UNDRR) to form “a centre of excellence on climate change and disasters”.

“We are working together with financing institutions like World Bank, European Union, UNDP, Green Climate Fund, to allocate more finance to early warning services”, stated the WMO chief.

Destruction and flooding caused by Hurricane Iota left thousands of people homeless across Nicaragua.© UNICEF/Inti Ocon/AFP-Services




Laying out 'past and future changes'

The Executive Director of the UN Environment Programme (UNEP), Inger Anderson, also cited COP26 in pointing out that “the work of the IPCC underpins climate action”.

She noted that the first Working Group’s report “kept up the pressure on world leaders” and its relevance was clear in many of the delegates’ statements as well as in the final decision taken at Glasgow.

“Now it is the turn of Working Group II to lay out the latest evidence on how past and future changes to Earth’s climate system impact life on our planet”, Ms. Anderson said.

“This report on impacts, adaptation and vulnerability will integrate more strongly across the natural, social and economic sciences…highlight[ing] the role of social justice and indigenous knowledge”, she added.

Delivering across time zones

Chairing the meeting, Hoesung Lee informed the participants that this was the final phase of a "strict and meticulous review process" of the report.

Over the next two weeks, Governments and scientists collectively will deliver a "sound, tested and robust summary...critically important for policymakers around the world,” he said.

“I have no doubt that we will see constructive and collaborative work in the next two weeks as we work across all time zones to deliver this report.”.

This UNFCCC Adaptation Committee video aims at raising awareness on climate change adaptation. 19min 34sec

Links

Lethal Heating is a citizens' initiative